A-listers hit the stage

From: POLITICO Global Playbook - Saturday Dec 02,2023 03:02 am
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By Suzanne Lynch

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WELOME TO THE WEEKEND! It’s another A-lister day on the COP stage today, as the heads of state and government (who didn’t get a turn on Friday) speak at the plenary session at Dubai Expo. The national statements are set to wrap up in the afternoon.

Up today: Vice President of the United States Kamala Harris, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Prime Minister of Barbados Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Estonia Kaja Kallas, Prime Minister of Ethiopia Abiy Ahmed Ali, Prime Minister of Tuvalu Kausea Natano, Prime Minister of Norway Jonas Gahr Støre, Prime Minister of Vietnam Phạm Minh Chính, Prime Minister of Iceland Katrín Jakobsdóttir.

NO-SHOW SHOCKS! There were some surprise no-shows on Friday — among them, Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, Israel’s President Isaac Herzog didn’t deliver a statement as planned, instead holding a series of bilateral meetings with leaders throughout the day. Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian Authority leader, also disappeared from the final speakers’ list.

Tehran takes off: The Iranian delegation dramatically walked out of COP because Israel was there. Tumbleweed was blowing through the Iranian Pavilion in B6 of the Blue Zone when Playbook popped by mid-afternoon.

 

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Israel-Gaza crisis gatecrashes summit: As my colleagues Zia Weise, Karl Mathiesen and Charlie Cooper report, events in the wider region dominated discussion outside the main plenary. In the back rooms of the conference venue, leaders were holding urgent talks on the war.

DOWN A BOARD MEMBER: The main COP advisory board has suffered its first casualty as a result of the bombshell reports that the United Arab Emirates planned to use the summit as an opportunity to secure oil and gas deals (the UAE denies the allegations). Hilda Heine, former president of the Marshall Islands, resigned, Reuters reported, saying in a letter sent to COP President Sultan Ahmed al-Jaber: “These actions undermine the integrity of the COP presidency and the process as a whole.” The question now is, will anyone else follow her out the door?

FAMILY PHOTO OP FLOP: The traditional COP “family photo” highlighted the impressive space at the center of Dubai Expo. The problem is, you need a magnifying glass to actually see anyone. Photographers who showed up on time as part of the official media pool were furious when they were turned away from the event, leaving media outlets across the world scrambling for close-ups of country representatives.

DID KING CHARLES SEND A SECRET SARTORIAL MESSAGE? Britain’s King Charles III appeared to take a subtle dig at his own Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. The king delivered a speech on Friday — while sporting what looked like a Hellenic-inspired tie and pocket square. Pundits were quick to speculate that Charles, whose father was born into the Greek royal family (as fans of “The Crown” will know), was taking a swipe at Sunak’s spat with Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis this week over the Parthenon/Elgin Marbles. You be the judge …

ON TODAY’S AGENDA

ALL CHANGE IS LOCAL: More than 150 mayors from across six continents will meet this morning for the Mayors Innovation Studio, taking place at today’s Local Climate Action Summit. It’s the latest effort to focus on cities as a major driver of climate change mitigation efforts — but this time, with a focus on youth. 

The kids have got talent: Under a new fund to be unveiled, mayors will receive $50,000 to distribute to climate initiatives developed by 15 to 24-year-olds. Cities that participate within six months will then receive another $100,000 from the Bloomberg Philanthropies Youth Climate Action Fund to be used over the course of a year.

Sorry about the state of the planet … here’s some money: “Our children and grandchildren are the ones who will be most impacted by climate change, and they deserve a seat at the table,” U.N. Special Envoy on Climate Ambition and Solutions Mike Bloomberg, a former New York mayor, told Playbook. “This new fund will help mayors galvanize youth action on climate and empower them to reach their sustainability goals faster.”

NUCLEAR OPTION: Also today, some big beasts are meeting to commit to tripling their nuclear capacity by 2050. Representatives of more than 20 countries — including heavy-hitters like U.S. Climate Envoy John Kerry and French President Emmanuel Macron — are expected to sign the declaration this morning.

Not going: But the role of nuclear in creating a more climate-conscious future is still one of the big dividing lines among countries, including between France and Germany. One leader who definitely won’t be signing up to the pledge: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Europe’s economic powerhouse shunned nuclear during the Angela Merkel-era.

CLINTONS FLY IN: Hillary and Chelsea Clinton are in town from this weekend as the Clinton Global Initiative gears up for a series of events, focused mainly on the nexus between health and climate, a key theme of Sunday’s gathering.

IN THE BLUE ZONE

WEATHER FORECAST: Sunny, highs of 29C/84F, humidity 58 percent.

If you need to cool off: Head to the artificial rainforest area in B3, where giant metallic structures and palm trees provide a soothing canopy and welcome escape from the madness.

GET IN LINE: Sometimes, the early bird doesn’t catch the worm. Queues on Friday to enter the Blue Zone were even longer than usual as huge swathes of the pavilion were closed off for leaders, with delegates waiting for more than an hour to get in. Expect more long waits today.

BATTLE OF THE BADGES: No good international jamboree would be complete without a (not-so-subtle) reminder of the hierarchies that separate the real power-brokers from the wannabes. At COP, the key is in the small strip of color on the badges, with pink, orange and blue indicating a higher level of access. Spare a thought for the lowly press corps and observers, who are relegated to a rather sad yellow.

TRANSPORT UPDATE: Full marks to Dubai’s metro system. Playbook is enjoying the special women- and children-only carriages (look for the signs — they are, predictably, pink). Similar systems are in place in India, Brazil, the Philippines and elsewhere. Of course, they’re also a depressing reminder of the stark gender divides that underpin many societies.

 

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PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: MARINA SILVA

HAPPY G20 DAY: Brazil assumed the G20 presidency on Friday, taking the reins from India, and placing the South American behemoth in prime position to shape the global conversation for the year ahead. Brazil will also host COP30 in the Amazonian city of Belém in 2025.

Laying the ground: As a result, Brazil has a particular interest in this COP, Marina Silva, the country’s environment minister and a fave of leftists, told POLITICO. “Brazil has a very clear understanding of the importance of this COP. We will be hosting COP30 in 2025. We believe good items at COP28 will lead to good outcomes at COP30,” the long-time climate campaigner said.

What Brasília wants: “We’re very focused on the global stocktake — what we have achieved and what we have not achieved, so that we can leave this COP with a determination that all countries will increase their commitments and at COP30 it will materialize,” Silva said, referring to the summit’s report card on the implementation of the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement.

Not so clear on fossil fuels: But the government is divided over one of the fundamental challenges of this COP28 in Dubai: whether to phase out fossil fuels. Silva, a lifelong activist who resigned as environment minister during the first government of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva because she was struggling to advance the green agenda, was brought back in by Lula earlier this year.

Power shortfall: But in comments highlighting the tension within Brazil’s coalition government, Silva indicated to Playbook that her beliefs alone aren’t enough when it comes to fossil fuels: “We need to migrate to other sources, but this is an ongoing discussion within the Brazilian government. It is one thing what the minister for environment thinks, the other thing is where we go from here.”

Reminder: Reuters reported this week that Brazil will join OPEC+, the club for oil-pumping countries. (Brazil is also expected to unveil a new global fund in a bid to protect the world’s remaining tropical forests. Though the country has made strides in curbing deforestation since the departure of climate bad-boy Jair Bolsonaro, not all Amazonian countries are on board.)

This is not a drill! Similarly, on the contentious issue of drilling for oil, divides in Brasília are stark. Lula has backed oil drilling in sensitive areas, including the Amazon, for instance. Silva pointed out that requests to drill for oil at the mouth of the Amazon have been denied twice due to environmental concerns, but added: “This is not up to my ministry — this is a decision that is up to the government as a whole and the council of energy policy — of which we take part but we have one vote.”

SPOTTED

— Prime Minister Abdoulkader Kamil Mohamed of Djibouti with the biggest entourage of the day outside the plenary room Al Ghafat.

— A deflated giant inflatable panda drooping face-down outside the China Pavilion in the Green Zone.

— Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair and former U.K. Labour Party leader Ed Miliband hanging in the pavilion on British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s big day at COP. “It was nice to see Tony Blair, who obviously has an enormous amount of experience of the Middle East,” said a polite Sunak following their encounter, our own Charlie Cooper reports.

— Irish leader Leo Varadkar inviting Brazil’s Lula to visit Ireland and speaking about last week’s incident in Dublin when a Brazilian Deliveroo driver heroically intervened in a knife attack.

— Prime Minister Pushpa Kamal Dahal of Nepal at the opening of the Nepalese Pavilion. It’s the first time the South Asian country has its own pavilion at COP.

TODAY’S AGENDA

— Signing of the “Tripling Nuclear Energy by 2050 Declaration” at 9:30 a.m, at the Rove Hotel, Blue Zone. Expected to attend: French President Emmanuel Macron, U.S. Climate Envoy John Kerry, Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson of Sweden, Belgian Prime Minister Alexander De Croo, President Klaus Iohannis of Romania, President Andrzej Duda of Poland.

— Opening of the COP28 U.N. Ocean Pavilion, in Building 87, Blue Zone, with Bloomberg Philanthropies CEO Patti Harris, John Kerry, U.N. Secretary-General’s Special Envoy for the Ocean Peter Thomson.

— Local Climate Action Summit continues in the WCAS theater, Blue Zone. Includes Subnational Climate Action Leaders’ Exchange, at 1:30 pm at Al Hur, featuring John Kerry, Mayor of Rio de Janeiro Eduardo Paes, Mayor of Indore Pushyamitra Bhargav, Governor of Tokyo Yuriko Koike.

— Launch of the Net-Zero Data Public Utility proof of concept in the Action Lab, Al Jeer room, Blue Zone, 11:30 am. Speakers include OECD chief Mathias Cormann, Emmanuel Macron, Mike Bloomberg, U.N. Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance Mark Carney, U.N. Climate Change Executive Secretary Simon Stiell, UNSG High-Level Expert Group on Net-Zero Commitments Chair and CDSC Observer Catherine McKenna.

— Unveiling Industrial Farming’s Hidden Climate Destruction in the Global South, in Side Event Room 9, Blue Zone, at 4:45 p.m.

— Vietnam Business Forum: Mobilizing Resources for the Green Transition, with Vietnam Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính, at the Ritz-Carlton, Dubai, 9:15 a.m.

— Accelerated Partnerships for Renewables in Africa event, featuring Kenyan President William Ruto, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, in the Global Climate Action Zone, Al Hur, Blue Zone, at 10 a.m.

— Vision for the Global Stocktake Outcome and Beyond: The Case for Energy Transition, organized by the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, at 4:45 p.m. in Side Event Room 5, Blue Zone.

PROGRAMMING NOTE

SEE YOU AT THE BEACH: Global Playbook will be taking a day of rest on Sunday, but will back in your inboxes bright and early Monday morning.

WEEKEND PLANS? Get in touch with any tips, advice or best brunch spots.

THANKS TO: Zia Weise, Charlie Cooper, Karl Mathiesen, Jack Lahart, Seb Starcevic.

Global Playbook couldn’t happen without Global Playbook Editor Zoya Sheftalovich.

 

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