Lobbyists gird for more gridlock

From: POLITICO Influence - Thursday Nov 10,2022 11:07 pm
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By Caitlin Oprysko

With Daniel Lippman

K STREET PREPARES FOR MORE GRIDLOCK: As results from Tuesday’s elections continue to trickle in, and with control of the Senate potentially resting once again on a runoff in Georgia, the reality that both chambers of Congress will once again be operating on the thinnest of margins is setting in around K Street.

— The narrowly divided Congress could “present new challenges for governance,” Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck wrote in a memo to clients Wednesday . Georgia’s runoff results notwithstanding, “the Biden administration may be forced to curb its congressional agenda as the president redoubles his use of executive authority and his administration’s power to pursue measures through the regulatory process and Executive Orders,” the firm said.

— Republicans, meanwhile, will likely need to adjust their legislative agenda in the event they succeed in retaking the House. “The GOP had expected to move fast on their agenda,” Prism Group told clients Wednesday. Now, “internal turmoil may kill momentum on implementing the overall blueprint for the first 100 days of legislating.”

— “The narrow majorities in both chambers suggest America remains divided, and compromise will be needed to overcome policy gridlock,” Squire Patton Boggs said in its own memo to clients previewing the next Congress.

— Former House Speaker John Boehner, now a senior adviser at the firm, noted that “even in a time of divided government and tribal politics, legislation will advance and deals will have to be made in order to ensure government can meet its basic obligations to the people.” And the firm — along with others in Washington’s influence industry — notes there’s plenty of potential for bipartisan agreement.

— Even so, Squire warns that much stands in the way of getting things done in Washington over the next two years — calling it “an open question” whether a GOP-controlled House “will be able to pass final appropriations bills without asking Democratic leadership to supply needed votes, giving the House minority substantial leverage.”

— Another possible side effect of endemic gridlock is that most legislation could come in the form of big bills. “I think you’re going to see a lot of must-pass appropriations bills that turn into omnibus bills that carry dozens, if not hundreds of attachments with them,” argued Narrative Strategies Ken Spain, which has the drawback of creating uncertainty among clients.

— Some are warning that narrow majorities in Congress could be the way of the future. “The days of sweeping landslide elections may be of the past,” Plurus Strategies Amelia Cleary wrote in an update on the firm’s House and Senate committee musical chairs.

— In the immediate future, the election results forecast a busy lame duck when Congress returns next week, more so perhaps than if a so-called red wave had come to pass and Republicans had greater incentive to punt issues into the next Congress, Casey Higgins, a GOP lobbyist at Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld, told PI this week.

— The left-leaning tech lobbying group Chamber of Progress sees things differently, at least for the fate of stalled bills aimed at reigning in tech giants. The group’s CEO Adam Kovacevich argued in a post-election memo that the American Innovation and Choice Online Act or other antitrust measures are unlikely to come up for votes before the Dec. 6 runoff in Georgia — if at all — despite a potential push from the White House .

Good afternoon and welcome to PI. I’ll be out tomorrow, but the fantastic Megan Wilson will be pinch hitting for me. Send your best post-midterm tips and gossip: mwilson@politico.com and coprysko@politico.com . And be sure to follow us both on Twitter: @misswilson and @caitlinoprysko .

 

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FIRST IN PI — MEHLMAN CASTAGNETTI ADDS A DEM: Lisa Goldman, the senior counsel for Democrats on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, is departing the Hill after more than eight years to join Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas as a principal. Her addition comes as one of the firm’s co-founders, David Castagnetti , departed the firm this week to join Dentons Global Advisors.

— Goldman has been with E&C for her entire Hill tenure, mainly working for the panel’s consumer protection, commerce, trade and manufacturing subcommittees. “I expect to have a pretty wide range of clients that I work with,” Goldman told PI, adding that she expects to work on many of the same issues on K Street that she did on the committee, including consumer protection, tech and auto issues.

YOU KNOW WHAT THEY SAY ABOUT FRIENDS IN WASHINGTON: “Crypto megadonor Sam Bankman-Fried helped bankroll Democrats’ overperformance in the midterms. But any friends he may have had in Washington won’t be there for him as his crumbling business empire threatens to torpedo the entire digital currency market,” our Sam Sutton reports.

— “Bankman-Fried’s Washington influence — as well as billions of dollars of his personal wealth — nearly vanished in the span of 48 hours, after it emerged that the giant crypto exchange he founded was insolvent and unable to meet customer withdrawals.”

— “The crisis has demolished Bankman-Fried’s public image as a go-to resource for policymakers writing rules for crypto — a reputation that was built on his willingness to write multimillion dollar checks to boost Democrats.”

— “One Democratic congressional staffer who requested anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly compared the collapse to seeing the man behind the curtain in ‘The Wizard of Oz,’ with Bankman-Fried’s razzle-dazzle performance for lawmakers and regulators amounting to smoke and mirrors.”

— Even industry players are keeping their distance. Kristin Smith, the head of the crypto lobbying group Blockchain Association, called the crisis “an absolutely stunning turnaround from somebody who was the darling of Washington policy circles.”

Robert Baldwin, head of policy at the Association for Digital Asset Markets, “said the broader meltdown could lead to congressional hearings on crypto’s potential risks to the financial system and to consumers. ‘I don’t think there’s going to be as big of a seat at the table for industry,’ he said.”

— The hits kept coming today as FTX’s U.S. affiliate resigned from the Crypto Council for Innovation, the industry trade group it had only joined earlier this year, Sam reports. The organization, whose other members include crypto investment firm Paradigm, Coinbase, Fidelity Digital Assets and Block , “accepted the resignation of FTX.US as an associate member, and we remain committed to working toward building regulation that protects users and safeguards innovation, in order to bring about real change,” the group's CEO, Sheila Warren, said in a statement.

PRIVATE EQUITY MOVES IN ON K STREET: “Private equity is pouring more money into Washington , investing in a group of polling, public relations, lobbying and political consulting firms,” The Washington Post’s Theo Meyer (a PI alum) reports.

— The latest is California-based Seidler Equity Partners, which “has taken a minority stake in a conglomerate of 10 firms. They include Public Opinion Strategies, a leading Republican polling firm; GuidePost Strategies, a bipartisan lobbying firm; and Bullpen Strategy Group, a consulting firm led by the GOP operative Joe Pounder.”

— “Seidler’s investment will allow the conglomerate — known as GP3 Partners — to buy more companies in an effort to become a bigger player in Washington, said Darrell Lauterbach, GP3’s president and chief executive. The idea is to serve clients better by offering a wider array of services under one umbrella. ‘We’ve got 10 firms now,’ Lauterbach said in an interview. ‘We will have probably 16 in fairly short order.’”

— “The deal is one of a series of private equity investments in Washington’s influence industry this year. Coral Tree Partners, a Los Angeles private equity firm, took a stake in the lobbying firm Subject Matter earlier this year. And the consulting firm Hamilton Place Strategies merged with four other firms in September in a deal backed by Falfurrias Capital Partners.”

ANNALS OF CAMPAIGN FINANCE: “Voters in Arizona, sharply divided over which candidates should represent them, found broad agreement Tuesday on a different matter — those candidates should not take office propelled by major sums of undisclosed money,” the Post’s Isaac Stanley-Becker reports.

— “That was the message sent by an emphatic victory for a ballot measure to curb undisclosed spending in political races, sometimes referred to as ‘dark money.’ … The measure, Proposition 211, requires any group making independent expenditures of at least $50,000 in statewide races or $25,000 in other races to report donors contributing more than $5,000.”

— “Voters favored that idea by a lopsided margin, with about 73 percent backing the measure based on ballots tabulated by Wednesday afternoon. The Associated Press declared the measure a winner. Only uncontested races and a handful of state legislative and judicial contests had wider margins in incomplete results.”

— “The new disclosure rules were embraced despite Republican misinformation about their effects. In a bid to turn voters against the measure, the Arizona GOP falsely warned residents that it ‘would create a new tax for certain business activities,’ according to a sample ballot mailed to voters and obtained by The Washington Post.”

 

DON’T MISS POLITICO’S 2nd ANNUAL DEFENSE SUMMIT ON 11/16: The United States is facing a defining moment in the future of its defense, national security and democratic ideals. The current conflicts and developments around the world are pushing Washington to reshape its defense strategy and how it cooperates with allies. Join POLITICO for our second annual defense summit, “At a Crossroads: America’s Defense Strategy” on November 16 in person at the Schuyler DC or join online to hear keynote interviews and panels discussing the road ahead for America’s national security. REGISTER HERE .

 
 
Jobs Report

Jana Lozano has joined Delta Air Lines' government affairs team as director of policy. She was most recently director of federal affairs at the Denver International Airport.

— The Pet Advocacy Network has named Alyssa Miller-Hurley its senior director of government affairs. She was most recently national legislative political director at the Progressive Turnout Project and is a NARAL alum.

Charles Mathias has joined Hogan Lovells as senior counsel in the communications, internet and media practice. He was most recently deputy chief in the FCC’s Wireless Telecommunications Bureau.

Vikrum Aiyer is joining Heirloom Carbon as their top public policy chief. He most recently was deputy director in the ACLU’s national political department and is an alum of Postmates/Uber and the Obama White House and Commerce Department.

  Grace Davis is now communications director for Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-Mont.). She previously was special assistant to the president at Alliance Defending Freedom.

Curtis Eichelberger is now a senior manager for policy communications at Amazon. He was most recently senior correspondent for M&A antitrust at MLex Market Insight and is also a Bloomberg alum.

Dana Weinstein is a new senior research fellow at the Krach Institute for Tech Diplomacy at Purdue. She is a professor in Purdue University’s Elmore Family School of Electrical and Computer Engineering.

New Joint Fundraisers

2022 GEORGIA VICTORY COMMITTEE (Team Herschel, Inc, Georgia Republican Party Inc., NRSC)
Team Stand for America (Stand For America PAC, SFA, INC)

New PACs

Georgia Safe And Strong, Inc. (Super PAC)

New Lobbying Registrations

Envision Strategy: Transitioning Federal Small Business Coalition
Hawley LLC: Mla Associates On Behalf Of The Espy Corporation
Hobart Hallaway & Quayle Ventures, LLC: Corfin Holdings Inc. Dba Micross
King & Spalding LLP: Mr. Tzvetan Vassileva And Mrs. Antoaneta Vassileva
Maps Public Benefit Corporation: Maps Public Benefit Corporation
Mchugh Lemay Assoc., LLC: The Espy Corporation
Strategies 360: Prince Kuhio Plaza, LLC
Thorn Run Partners: Otsuka America Pharmaceutical, Inc.

New Lobbying Terminations

Barlow Consulting, Inc: Palm Beach County
Smith Advocacy Group, LLC: Capitoline Consulting, LLC On Behalf Of Marss Sam
Total Administrative Services Corp. (Tasc): Total Administrative Services Corp. (Tasc)

 

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