What K Street is telling clients about the debt limit fight

From: POLITICO Influence - Wednesday Apr 19,2023 10:16 pm

Apr 19, 2023

Presented by

With Daniel Lippman

K STREET GAMES OUT THE DEBT LIMIT FIGHT: Congress returned to town this week after an extended absence and after getting off to a slow start this year, K Street is puzzling out how lawmakers will manage to get through everything on their lengthy to-do list over the next few months — starting with brinkmanship over raising the debt ceiling.

— While pressure to hunker down is clearly ramping up, with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy hoping to tee up a vote on his just-released debt limit proposal as soon as next week, the process will be “messy and laborious,” Hogan Lovells Democratic lobbyists Ivan Zapien, Timothy Bergreen and Ches Garrison write in a memo sent to clients this week.

— “We expect the next several months in Congress to rival the final weeks of Succession in terms of drama, palace intrigue, egos, insults, backroom negotiations, and unfortunately ineptitude,” the trio adds, referring to the HBO drama.

— While Zapien, Bergreen and Garrison are watching for the Senate to broker a deal, Tiber Creek Group says in its own recent memo to clients that “it is highly likely any deal will come only after several failed votes, ramped-up political fighting, and warning shots from the credit rating agencies” and could result in a variety of different outcomes.

— Apart from the debt ceiling, both memos also attempt to game out other legislative possibilities over the coming months, in particular where there’s a shot at bipartisan movement. Pushing back against China is “the single issue that transcends partisan lines,” Tiber Creek’s memo says, and both firms have praise for the new China select committee in the House.

— The Hogan Lovells Democrats also see potential in the bipartisan rail safety proposal from Ohio Sens. J.D. Vance (R) and Sherrod Brown (D), kids’ online safety and curbing certain so-called junk fees given their popularity in polling.

— Tiber Creek’s memo also dives into what to watch as farm bill negotiations heat up, but given the divided Congress and next year’s presidential election the firm doesn’t rule out an extension similar to the one enacted in 2008. Since lawmakers have to pass something, the firm is keeping an eye on the farm bill “as a potential vehicle for a tax title. While the likelihood of that seems low, it is worth watching.”

Good afternoon and welcome to PI. What are you watching for in this week’s Q1 lobbying filings?: coprysko@politico.com. And be sure to follow me on Twitter: @caitlinoprysko.

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ANOTHER GLIMMER OF HOPE FOR TIKTOK?: “U.S. tech companies are pushing to narrow the scope of legislation that could ban TikTok in the U.S., creating new obstacles as the Biden administration seeks to confront China's influence,” Bloomberg’s Anna Edgerton and Emily Birnbaum report.

— The Information Technology Industry Council, whose members include tech giants like Apple, Microsoft and IBM, is included in the lobbying push, which stems from tech companies’ concerns over a bipartisan bill introduced last month aimed at giving the executive branch new power to restrict the Chinese-owned video app.

— The bill from Sens. Mark Warner (D-Va.) and John Thune (R-S.D.) “would empower the Commerce secretary to evaluate national security risks and potentially ban any technology owned or operated by an adversarial nation such as China or Russia. It won an enthusiastic endorsement from the Biden administration” and has already attracted the support of a quarter of the Senate.

— But Warner and Thune’s effort “has some tech companies warning that it would give the government sweeping new regulatory power. Tech executives, who declined to speak on the record, said they're concerned the measure could expose their companies to national security reviews over even a minor piece of hardware or a line of code if the bill were to become law because most of their systems include some Chinese technology.”

— “Now lobbyists across the industry, including cryptocurrency firms, cloud providers and hardware makers, are pushing to narrow the legislation's language. The growing opposition lays bare the tricky politics for any measure in this Congress that needs to pass a Democratic-led Senate and a Republican-led House to become law. TikTok has been lobbying hard against the bill on different grounds, arguing that Congress should take a step back and let the existing national security review run its course.”

FLYING IN: Trade groups and advocacy coalitions continue to flood the Hill for fly-ins this week as lawmakers return to town. The Healthcare Distribution Alliance brought 20 of its board members to Washington for meetings on the Hill and to break in its new headquarters downtown. Leaders will discuss the Pandemic and All-Hazards Preparedness Act reauthorization and supply chain resiliency, including raising concerns with the implementation deadline for the Drug Supply Chain Security Act.

— The Alliance for Transparent and Affordable Prescriptions, which represents physician and patient groups, is on the Hill today and tomorrow to press the case for reining in pharmacy benefit managers. In addition to meetings on both the House and Senate side, the coalition will hold a lunch briefing with Rep. Buddy Carter (R-Ga.).

— The U.S. Travel Association and 250 travel industry leaders met with lawmakers today on issues ranging from visitor visa wait times to FAA renewal priorities, raising the H-2B visa cap for workers and funding for the newly created Commerce assistant secretary post for travel and tourism. The group was slated to meet with Sens. Ted Budd (R-N.C.), Eric Schmitt (R-Mo.), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.), Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.), Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.), Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) and Reps. Kathy Castor (D-Fla.), John Joyce (R-Pa.), Rick Larsen (D-Wash.), Scott Peters (D-Calif.) and Gus Bilirakis (R-Fla.).

— The National Photonics Initiative hosted quantum experts from academia and industry to talk with lawmakers and staff about the importance of reauthorizing the National Quantum Initiative Act. Representatives from both industry and the research world met with House Science Committee Chair Frank Lucas (R-Okla.) and Reps. Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.), Joe Morelle (D-N.Y.), Haley Stevens (D-Mich.) and Mike Collins (R-Ga.) as well as senior staff from the Senate Commerce Committee, the House Science Committee and several Senate offices.

— The Coalition to Stop Flu is holding its fly-in today to stress the importance of resources for flu preparedness during the upcoming PAHPA reauthorization. Former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, who chairs the coalition, and other coalition members have more than two dozen meetings scheduled on the Hill including with Rep. Anna Eshoo (D-Calif.), Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.), and Larry Bucshon (R-Ind.) and staff of Sens. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Rep. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) and McCarthy.

— The Fragrance Creators Association is also in town today, and has 50 meetings on the Hill to talk R&D expensing and the Modernizing the Cosmetics Regulations Act, as was the Plastic Industry Association, which was slated to meet with nearly 75 House and Senate offices to discuss the state of the plastics industry nationally and in the states as well as R&D expensing.

MICHEL ON THE MIC: “Rapper and producer Pras Michel, who has been accused of conspiring to make illegal campaign contributions and failing to register as an agent of China, took the stand in his own defense Tuesday morning in a Washington, D.C., federal courtroom,” per NBC News’ Daniel Barnes.

— The former Fugees rapper “told jurors that he accepted about $20 million in 2012 from a Malaysian businessman who wanted his photo taken with President Barack Obama but that the large amounts were never intended as illegal foreign campaign contributions or as payment for Michel’s services.”

— “‘I looked at it as free money,’ Michel said, insisting that after the businessman, Jho Low, gave him the money it was his to spend how he wanted. ‘I could’ve bought 12 elephants with it,’ Michel said.”

— “Michel told jurors Tuesday that he gave about $800,000 to friends so they could donate in their names and gain access to exclusive, $40,000-per-seat Obama fundraisers in Miami and Washington, D.C., but reiterated his belief that the money was his to spend, regardless that he received it from Low.” During cross-examination, Michel said that he was unaware at the time that using straw donors was illegal and maintained he’d been relying on the advice of legal advisers.

— The trial on Tuesday also featured testimony from former Attorney General Jeff Sessions, who detailed “high-level meetings in which officials discussed the potential deportation of Guo Wengui, a dissident Chinese businessperson living in the U.S.,” which Michel is charged with illegally lobbying in support of.

LONDON CALLING: The Managed Funds Association, which represents the global hedge fund industry, has opened its first U.K. office in London and its first permanent outpost outside the U.S. The trade group has tapped James Martin, previously a director of public affairs for British PR firm JBP, to lead the office as managing director and head of U.K. government affairs.

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Jobs Report

SPOTTED at a Delta Air Lines reception on Tuesday evening on the rooftop of Delta's new Washington office, per a tipster: Ed Bastian, Peter Carter, Heather Wingate and Lisa Hanna of Delta, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Sens. Mike Lee (R-Utah), Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.), Jim Risch(R-Idaho), Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska), John Barrasso (R-Wyo.), Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.), Alex Padilla (D-Calif.), Vance, Schmitt and Thune; Reps. Lucy McBath (D-Ga.), Sam Graves (R-Mo.), Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.), Hank Johnson (D-Ga.), Burgess Owens(R-Utah), Nikema Williams (D-Ga.), Angie Craig (D-Minn.), Kevin Hern (R-Okla.), Lisa McClain (R-Mich.), Tim Walberg (R-Mich.), Marc Molinaro (R-N.Y.), Pete Stauber (R-Minn.), Michelle Fischbach (R-Minn.), Joyce, Larson, and former Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao.

— Red Horse Strategies has added Olivia James as media and communications associate and Ryan Coker as art director.

— George Schutter is joining Food for the Hungry as chief financial officer. He previously was chief procurement officer for the District of Columbia, and served as CFO at TechnoServe and the Peace Corps.

— Greg Sunstrum has joined Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck as a senior policy adviser. He was most recently federal affairs lead for Argo AI and was previously chief of staff to Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.).

— Tom Perriello is stepping down as executive director of George Soros’ Open Society Foundations-U.S. He’ll be succeeded by Laleh Ispahani, who has been serving as co-director alongside Perriello, West Wing Playbook reports.

— Adam Ginsburg is now media associate for voting rights and redistricting at the Campaign Legal Center. He most recently was deputy voter protection director at the Florida Democratic Party.

— Matt Sparks, McCarthy’s deputy chief of staff for communications, is leaving to start his own communications firm, per Punchbowl News. Sparks will be involved with McCarthy’s political operation.

— Samuel Wojcicki is now senior director of climate policy at the National Audubon Society. He most recently was legislative director for Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.).

— Jerron Hawkins is now policy adviser in community relations services at the Department of Justice. He most recently was a consultant to the Obama Foundation and is a recent graduate of the Howard University School of Law.

— Jesse Hunt is launching Monadnock Strategies, a strategic comms and political consulting firm focused on political campaigns and corporate clients. He previously was comms director for the Republican Governors Association and the NRSC.

— Donna Shalala, the former HHS secretary and Florida House Democrat, is joining the board of directors for Chapter, a Medicare navigation platform.

— Kelle Strickland will be president and CEO at the Congressional Institute, succeeding Mark Strand. She currently is staff director and counsel for the House Ethics GOP.

— The Herald Group has promoted Todd Van Etten and Tom Snedeker to partner.

A message from the Association of American Railroads:

America’s economy relies on freight rail to deliver 1.7 billion tons of goods every year. And the communities we serve expect us to do this safely. We take this commitment seriously, which is why we’ve taken extensive action for decades to reduce accidents—leading to a 44% drop in mainline accidents since 2000. And we won’t stop there. Today, we’re taking decisive steps to further prevent accidents and minimize potential impacts to the communities we serve. See what we’re doing now.

New Joint Fundraisers

None.

New PACs

Able Dems PAC (Super PAC)
Golden State Watchdog PAC (Hybrid PAC)
MARLIN PAC (Leadership PAC: Marlin Stutzman)
REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP FUND INC. (Super PAC)
Vote Yes 418 Bond (PAC)

New Lobbying REGISTRATIONS

Actum I, LLC: Shut Down Shein
Alpine Group Partners, LLC.: Cruise LLC
Apex Advocacy LLC: Professional Hospital Guaynabo
Atlantic Strategies Group: New Front Strategies Group, LLC, Obo Aeroclave LLC.
Baker Donelson Bearman Caldwell & Berkowitz /The Daschle Group: Stand With Hong Kong Action, Inc.
Best Best & Krieger LLP: Natural Ocean Well Water
Boundary Stone Partners: Evbox North America Inc.
Bryan Cave Leighton Paisner LLP: Martin Energy Group, LLC
Capitol Counsel LLC: Ibex Biosciences
Cornerstone Government Affairs, Inc.: National Association Of Truck Stop Operators
Cornerstone Government Affairs, Inc.: Shift5, Inc.
Debrunner & Associates, Inc.: Yuma Regional Medical Center
Dla Piper LLP (US): The National Association For Amateur Radio
Dobbins Consulting, LLC: Altria Client Services LLC
East End Group, LLC: Illumnia, Inc.
Faegre Drinker Biddle & Reath LLP: Navitus
G2G Consulting: Communities In Schools Of Ohio
G2G Consulting: Epilepsies Action Network
G2G Consulting: Oligo Nation
High Street Strategies LLC: Cross Street Partners
Hogan Lovells US LLP: Metinvest International S.A.
Hogan Lovells US LLP: Recover Holdco., Inc.
Ice Miller Strategies LLC: House Authority Of The Birmingham District
Jeffrey J. Kimbell And Associates: Momentous
Linda Maynor, Inc.: General Atomics Electromagnetic Systems
Lot Sixteen LLC: Crusoe Energy
Mcallister & Quinn, LLC: Ahc Inc.
Mcallister & Quinn, LLC: Lutheran Social Services Of The National Capital Area
Mcallister & Quinn, LLC: Temple University
Mcallister & Quinn, LLC: The Hap Foundation
Meeks, Butera & Israel Pllc: Broadbill Investment Partners, LLC
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: Aleka Capital, Inc.
North Star Strategies, LLC: Aston Bay Holdings
Pioneer Public Affairs: Fight Corporate Monopolies
Pioneer Public Affairs: Tesla, Inc.
Ricchetti Incorporated: Pace-O-Matic, Inc.
Sidley Austin LLP: Envoy Medical Corporation
Strategic Marketing Innovations: Critical Frequency Design
Strategic Marketing Innovations: Icd Alloys And Metals
Strategic Marketing Innovations: Psyonic
Tiber Creek Group: Accountable For Health
Tiger Hill Partners LLC: Polygon Labs Services (Switzerland) Ag
Venn Strategies: Amsted Automotive Group
Venn Strategies: Omnova Solutions Inc. Dba Synthomer
Vnf Solutions, LLC: Ecority
Vnf Solutions, LLC: Whatcom Transportation Authority
West Front Strategies LLC: Families Against Mandatory Minimums (Famm)

A message from the Association of American Railroads:

New Lobbying Terminations

1607 Strategies, LLC: U.S. Mortgage Insurers
Aams: Aams
Advanced Policy Consulting, LLC: Independent Investment Bankers, Corp.
Arnold & Porter Kaye Scholer LLP: Robert Davidson
Baker Donelson Bearman Caldwell & Berkowitz /The Daschle Group: Wellhive
Ballard Partners: Agl Solutions, LLC
Becker & Poliakoff, P.A.: Hispanic National Bar Association
Becker & Poliakoff, P.A.: Motion Picture Association
Becker & Poliakoff, P.A.: Motion Picture Association
Bluebird Strategies: Pear Therapeutics
Borski Associates: Temple University
Bridge Public Affairs, LLC: Mbsc Black Creek, LLC
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Activision Blizzard, Inc.
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Africell Uk Limited
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Ambler Metals, LLC
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: American Unity Fund (Pandemic Prevention)
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: American Water Works Association
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Amplio
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Assicurazioni Generali S.P.A.
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Columbia Care LLC
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Digital Global Systems
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Energy Vault Fra Novus Capital Corporation Ii
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Ericsson Inc.
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Gpf Na LLC
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Lotus Concepts Management Corp.
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Nacero
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: National Association Of Clean Water Agencies
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: National Rural Water Association
Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP: Percy Rockdale LLC
Buchanan Ingersoll & Rooney Pc: Team Wendy LLC
Caiso: California Independent System Operator
Capitol Counsel LLC: Blandford Biotech
Capitol Counsel LLC: Fermaca De Mexico, S.A.R.L.
Capitol Counsel LLC: Intellistop USa
Capitol Counsel LLC: Varian Medical Systems
Capitol Hill Policy Group LLC: State Of Maine-Department Of Marine Resources
Card & Associates, LLC: Launch Expeditionary Learning Charter School
Cassidy & Associates, Inc.: Forest Service Employees For Environmental Ethics
Cassidy & Associates, Inc.: Neogenomics Laboratories
Cassidy & Associates, Inc.: Open Space Institute Inc.
Cassidy & Associates, Inc.: Phenom Resources Corp.
Clark Hill, Plc: American Cancer Society Cancer Action Network, Inc.
Clark Hill, Plc: Blue Origin, LLC
Clark Hill, Plc: Consolidated Safety Services, Inc.
Clark Hill, Plc: Curators Of The University Of Missouri
Clark Hill, Plc: Farmers Investment Co.
Clark Hill, Plc: First 5 California
Clark Hill, Plc: Florida International University
Clark Hill, Plc: Gmto Corporation
Clark Hill, Plc: Ibx, LLC
Clark Hill, Plc: Inventus Power
Clark Hill, Plc: Morgan State University Foundation
Clark Hill, Plc: National Consumers League
Clark Hill, Plc: National Diaper Bank Network
Clark Hill, Plc: National Womens Law Center
Clark Hill, Plc: Polyvision
Clark Hill, Plc: Relative Dynamics
Clark Hill, Plc: The Research Foundation For The State University Of New York
Clark Hill, Plc: The Shyft Group
Clark Hill, Plc: Veru, Inc.
Clark Hill, Plc: Zero To Three
Clark Hill Public Strategies LLC: National Education Association
Clyburn Consulting, LLC: Emed
Constantinople & Vallone Consulting LLC: Coach USa, Inc.
Cornerstone Government Affairs, Inc.: Mr. Dan Doctoroff Obo Target Als Foundation Inc.
Cornerstone Government Affairs, Inc.: Tait Towers Manufacturing LLC
Cornerstone Government Affairs, Inc.: Wheeler Bio (Fka Wheeler Labs LLC)
Covington & Burling LLP: Personal Care Products Council
Cozen O'Connor Public Strategies: Compology
Cozen O'Connor Public Strategies: Foundation For Civic Leadership
Cozen O'Connor Public Strategies: Lil Mixins
Dentons US LLP: Midtown Connector Project Foundation, Inc.
East End Group, LLC: Bayer Corporation
East End Group, LLC: Rai Services Company
Fgs Global (US) LLC (Fka Fgh Holdings LLC): Biomilq
Fgs Global (US) LLC (Fka Fgh Holdings LLC): Ceres, Inc.
Fgs Global (US) LLC (Fka Fgh Holdings LLC): Ceres, Inc.
Fgs Global (US) LLC (Fka Fgh Holdings LLC): Fortescue Future Industries
Fgs Global (US) LLC (Fka Fgh Holdings LLC): Teletracking Technologies, Inc.
Forza Dc Strategies, LLC: Palm Center
Franklin Square Group, LLC: Solve.Care USa Inc.
Garrett Jemison: Chambers County Economic Development Authority
Garrett Jemison: Economic Development Partnership Of Alabama
Garrett Jemison: The University Of West Alabama
Holland & Knight LLP: Broward Metropolitan Planning Organization
Kit Bond Strategies: Sixty-West, LLC
K&L Gates, LLP: Clark Street Associates On Behalf Of Ionq, Inc.
K&L Gates, LLP: Macquarie Infrastructure And Real Assets, Inc.
K&L Gates, LLP: Rain Enhancement Technologies, Inc.
Lawrence James Group Professionals LLC: Borski Associates On Behalf Of Temple University
Mayer Brown LLP: Association Of Digital Asset Markets
Mcdermott+Consulting LLC: Ais Healthcare
Mcdermott+Consulting LLC: America'S Essential Hospitals
Miller & Chevalier, Chtd: Akj Steel Industries, Inc.
Miller & Chevalier, Chtd: Brown-Forman Corporation
Miller & Chevalier, Chtd: Cvs Health
Miller & Chevalier, Chtd: Mt. Vernon Investments Lp
Miller & Chevalier, Chtd: One Town Square Consulting LLC
Monument Advocacy: Millennium Strategies
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: Castellum, Inc.
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: General Dynamics
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: Ideal Innovations Incorporated
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: Innovative Defense Technologies
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: National Association Of Bankruptcy Trustees
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: National Capital Arts And Cultural Affairs Program
Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough: Salesforce.Com, Inc.
Nossaman LLP: Unified Business Technologies, Inc.
Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP: City Of Greensboro, North Carolina
Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP: Network Communications International Corp.
Powers Pyles Sutter & Verville, P.C.: Guardant Health, Inc.
Powers Pyles Sutter & Verville, P.C.: Remote Cardiac Services Provider Group
Ridge Policy Group: Scratchworks
Ryan Costello Strategies: Njoy, Inc.
Squire Patton Boggs: Huawei Technologies USa, Inc.
Squire Patton Boggs: Olin Corporation
Squire Patton Boggs: Rad Power Bikes LLC
Taft Stettinius & Hollister LLP Dba Taft Advisors LLC Fka (Taft, Stettinius & Hollister, LLP): North American Midway Entertainment
Tai Ginsberg & Associates, LLC: Bumble Bee Foods, LLC
Tai Ginsberg & Associates, LLC: Cape Cod Commercial Fishermans Alliance, Inc.
The Raben Group: United States Cannabis Council
The Vogel Group: Vectrus
The Wessel Group Incorporated: Dow Chemical Company
Tiger Hill Partners LLC: Hindu American Foundation
Tiger Hill Partners LLC: Pharmaceutical Research And Manufacturers Of America (Phrma)
Tiger Hill Partners LLC: S-3 Group O/B/O Council For Investor Rights And Corporate Accountability, Inc.
Tress Capitol Advisors: Judge Rotenberg Educational Center, Inc.
Twenty-First Century Group, Inc.: Cornerstone Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Formerly Rafael Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)
Twenty-First Century Group, Inc.: Idt Corporation
Venn Strategies: Lexmark International Inc.
Ward And Smith, P.A.: Carteret County
Ward And Smith, P.A.: Star Telephone Membership Corporation Dba Star Communications
Ward And Smith, P.A.: Wildchild Stockholm Inc.

A message from the Association of American Railroads:

For decades, America’s freight railroads have gone above and beyond federal safety requirements to ensure we remain the safest way to move goods over land. This includes using advanced technology to inspect and assess our network, helping us ensure our infrastructure and equipment remain sound. Despite these efforts, recent incidents have shown that there is more work to do, and we will take the lessons learned to get safer each day.

Proactive, transparent and collaborative measures with communities and policymakers are key. That’s why we’re installing an additional 1,000 hot bearing detectors, providing even better training and support for first responders, and improving collaboration across rail companies so we can make informed decisions based on shared data. These broad industry-wide steps are only the first of many we’re taking to make the rail network even safer. Read more about our commitment to the communities we serve.