The leakiest meeting in town

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Friday Jan 28,2022 11:08 am
A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Jan 28, 2022 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Zi-Ann Lum

WELCOME TO OTTAWA PLAYBOOK. We're your hosts, Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Zi-Ann Lum. TGIF feels a bit off if you live in the capital, given the snarled traffic and security uncertainty that's about to descend on downtown Ottawa. We dig into ERIN O'TOOLE's no good, very bad day — and PIERRE POILIEVRE 's clip of the day. Also, much-anticipated trivia results are at the bottom of this newsletter.

DRIVING THE DAY

"WHAT ARE YOU THINKING?" — That was reporter JUSTIN LING's blunt question to ERIN O'TOOLE as the Conservative leader held a press conference at the end of what was likely one of the longest days of his political career.

O'Toole had confirmed a few minutes earlier that he'd meet with some of the truckers who will arrive in Ottawa with the so-called Freedom Convoy. "I'll make sure it's done properly," he insisted, offering a few bread crumbs' worth of detail. Any meeting will happen off the Hill, O'Toole said. He won't meet with the organizers.

He condemned any violence or extremism that might transpire.

— Unsafe zone: Ling's exasperation was fueled in part by a stunning letter to MPs from PATRICK MCDONELL, the House of Commons sergeant-at-arms who's ultimately responsible for their safety. McDonell cautioned that people attached to the convoy had attempted to gather the home addresses of local MPs.

McDonell's advice in case of a confrontation over the weekend: "Do not get involved and go somewhere safe."

Press gallery members received a note that Hill security are anticipating the demonstration will not exceed 10,000 participants. But authorities will restrict public access to the parliamentary precinct.

Tamis Café, a resto in the downtown core, alerted Instagram followers to its temporary closure, citing road closures and "prank calls/threats to our security."

CUMMING TO JESUS MOMENT — It was a leaky Conservative party that spilled the details of JAMES CUMMING's confidential election post-mortem briefing at a Tory caucus retreat Thursday.

Unnamed sources were all over Hill reporting on the innards of the Cumming Report, which contained dozens of recommendations on what went wrong and why last year. It wasn't clear that any journalist had actually seen the documents distributed to MPs, though the elected people weren't shy about paraphrasing.

The Globe and Mail topped its coverage with the party's need to "recruit a wider diversity of candidates and improve its ethnic outreach." Cumming also heard that his party still hasn't managed to shake a disastrous 2015 campaign pledge to establish a "barbaric cultural practices" tip line.

→ Global News scrounged out a finding that O'Toole's first weeks on the campaign were positive — but he was “over-coached and over-managed” and, in the end, “couldn’t be himself” on the hustings. The party spent big on a studio in Ottawa's Westin Hotel. Cumming's conclusion: O'Toole should've been out on the road more.

The Toronto Star focused on a recommendation to eliminate membership fees to join the party. The Liberals are years ahead of the Tories on that front, having moved to free membership in 2016 after allowing non-members to vote in the leadership race that elected JUSTIN TRUDEAU.

— O'Toole admits failure: "There's a lot I had to learn," O'Toole told reporters. He acknowledged that he was in his studio too many days a week, that he was "too scripted" in the campaign's home stretch, and that his party didn't effectively showcase policies geared to western Canada.

— What happens next: Playbook asked connected Tories for the takeaways they think matter most from the leakiest meeting in town. Here are three:

→ If the Conservatives are going to win key suburban ridings by connecting with people of color, they can't just drop in at events around election time. The party needs to spend considerably more time simply connecting with people. And the party's senior ranks are dominated by white people. That has to change.

Tories have fallen behind Liberals on voter identification technology. On the campaign trail, your Playbook host witnessed small teams of deployed Liberal volunteers canvass neighborhoods with surgical precision. Cumming says the once-famed Conservative voter management system, CIMS, needs to be replaced.

A senior Conservative source reminded Playbook that Tories were several points behind when the campaign was launched, and they did manage to win the popular vote. The source looked forward to analysis of the leader's tour, platform priorities, advertising and digital campaigning.

THE LOUDEST TORY — O'Toole got the last word Thursday, but his ubiquitous finance critic got the first. On the way into the party's reportedly raucous caucus meeting, PIERRE POILIEVRE stopped for a word with reporters . He was asked about extremist elements that have embedded themselves in the truck convoy. Poilievre said individual protesters who break the law should be accountable …

— The money quote: "... but that doesn't mean we disparage the thousands of hard-working, law-abiding and peaceful truckers who, quite frankly, kept you alive the last two years by filling your grocery shelves with the food that you eat, and filling your homes with the products that you rely upon."

CPC caucus members who applauded: CANDICE BERGEN, LESLYN LEWIS, LAILA GOODRIDGE, LEO HOUSAKOS.

O'Toole penned a Toronto Sun op-ed on Wednesday with almost the identical message — though far less visceral emotion and media skepticism. The leader also earned kudos from BERGEN and HOUSAKOS, as well as BEN LOBB, ALEX RUFF, TIM UPPAL, MICHELLE FERRERI, ANNA ROBERTS, and SCOTT AITCHISON.

Not that they're in competition at all. No way.

— The ad-man's view: Poilievre's targeted tirade caught the attention of DENNIS MATTHEWS, a former director of advertising to STEPHEN HARPER. "It’s a message that’s going to resonate with a lot of conservatives who feel under attack for swimming against whatever the elite Covid consensus of the day is," Matthews tweeted. "Never mind the specific points on the protest."

— Popularity rising: Conservative rabble-rouser and strategic comms guy STEPHEN TAYLOR charted the sharp increase in Poilievre's Twitter following — and noted a recent video that racked up more than 2 million views.

AROUND THE HILL

IN THE DEEP — Innovation, Science and Industry Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE says no risk of harm to national security was found after a review of a Chinese state-owned-enterprise’s deal to acquire Canada’s Neo Lithium Corp.

Champagne was in the hot seat Thursday answering MPs’ questions related to the House industry committee’s study of the critical minerals deal, which closed Wednesday . He said those who claim that the government green-lit the deal with no formal national security review, concerns which sparked the committee's inquiry, are “simply knowingly or unknowingly” misrepresenting facts. “Neo lithium was reviewed by the government and national security experts. Full stop,” he said.

Champagne’s testimony follows concerns the government made a “mistake” in not subjecting the deal to an extended review approved by governor-in-council.

A step the minister said wasn’t necessary in this acquisition deal.

“There was sufficient information to make a determination at that stage of the review that no national security harm could arise as a result of this transaction,” he said.

— The forest vs. the trees: Liberal MP NATE ERSKINE-SMITH brought up points raised in the previous day’s meeting warning that a broader critical minerals strategy risks being compromised if Canada reviews every single transaction on a case-by-case basis.

Erskine-Smith asked Champagne: “Walk me through how this particular transaction plays into a broader strategy. And do we do it on a case-by-case basis? Or are we taking a step back and looking at the bigger picture?”

It’s bigger-picture government details, such as a promised new China policy, that still remain outstanding.

Champagne didn’t take the opportunity to walk his colleague, MPs and committee watchers through Canada’s broader critical minerals strategy. Instead, the minister reiterated a message he told “the world” last year that if firms want to invest in critical minerals or strategic technologies, then they'd better prepare for “intense scrutiny” in the review process.

— ICYMI: Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU is in self-isolation for five days after being exposed to Covid — news that would have dominated headlines only a few weeks ago. (Some convoy participants insist the PM has gone into hiding.)

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

10 a.m. The House Standing Committee on Human Resources, Skills and Social Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities will meet at the request of four committee members who want to study service standards for employment insurance claims.

11 a.m. Health Minister JEAN-YVES DUCLOS holds a Covid-19 briefing.

ASK US ANYTHING

What are you hearing that you need Playbook to know? Send it all our way.

PROZONE

For POLITICO Pro s: The Pro Canada PM Memo by ANDY BLATCHFORD and ZI-ANN LUM: National security, critical minerals and supply woes.

In other headlines for Pros: 
Biden's diplomats are flooding the zone on Russia. But even some allies aren’t convinced
Trump plan favored giving vaccines to Israel, Taiwan over poorer countries
Biden administration to make 20,000 H-2B visas available amid worker shortage
Translating Powell's words: The Fed chair's real message on rate-hike plans
POLITICO Pro Q&A: Former EPA chief Andrew Wheeler

MEDIA ROOM

ANDREW PEREZ handicaps a potential Liberal leadership race in the National Observer. Perez gives CHRYSTIA FREELAND the best odds, and sizes up MARK CARNEY, FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE and MÉLANIE JOLY. But the hypothetical candidate he rates second to Freeland is Defense Minister ANITA ANAND.

One note on Anand's bona fides: On the campaign trail last year, a senior Liberal drew a sharp distinction in conversation with Playbook about Anand's political future. A superstar Cabinet minister might show off an impressive skill set, they said, but that's no guarantee they wouldn't flop at, say, managing caucus.

There's also this: Does Anand want the job?

Further reading: Nanos pegs Freeland as a more popular choice for Liberal leader than Trudeau

— Every so often, someone who's sitting at a tense bargaining table will tell reporters they refuse to disclose any details of confidential conversations, lest they be accused of "negotiating in the media." Then again, talking to a journalist has its benefits. That could be why KARINA GOULD, the cabmin who leads fed-prov childcare negotiations, popped up on CBC's Metro Morning with an update on talks with Canada's biggest province.

The tl;dr version: The two sides are talking, and Gould and her provincial counterpart, STEPHEN LECCE, touch base regularly. But the feds say they're waiting on Ontario's plan for how they'll spend federal dollars.

— In iPolitics, a quadruple-bylined op-ed — feat. retired senator HUGH SEGAL, Balsillie School director ANN FITZ-GERALD, law prof KENT ROACH and national security expert WESLEY WARK — urge federal parties to "quickly step back from the precipice and restore Parliament’s ability to independently scrutinize national security matters."

THE BUZZ

Birthdays: Bonne fête to Bloc Québécois MP STÉPHANE BERGERON, 57 today. … Former Alberta MLA DAVE QUEST is 58.

Spotted: Labor Minister SEAMUS O'REGAN applauding UFCW's agreement to represent Uber drivers in disputes with the rideshare giant. … Midnight Wordlers: KEVIN BOSCH (4/6) and ALEXANDRA MENDES (3/6) … U.S Ambassador DAVID COHEN paying tribute to KEN TAYLOR.

From the tenders: Environment and Climate Change Canada, upping its climate data and modeling game to help people implement adaptation measures. … Natural Resources Canada, laying the groundwork to "create a pathway for hydrogen to comprise a greater proportion of Canada’s energy mix." … Global Affairs, measuring the results of an effort to increase women's participation in peacekeeping missions. … Transport Canada, tapping Aecom to develop guidelines for higher-speed "Class 6" tracks that could allow travel up to 177 km/h.

Ethics files: MARIO DION's office promised an updated status report next Wednesday on which MPs have — and have not — filed initial disclosure statements. As of Jan. 5, eight of them were outstanding — including a Cabinet minister, plus a former party leader.

Media mentions: CARL MEYER, a Hill journalist who has toiled at National Observer and the now-defunct Embassy magazine, is jumping to The Narwhal for the climate investigations beat. Also on the move: LINDSAY SAMPLE and SHAWN PARKINSON.

AND EVEN MORE BUZZ

30 QUESTIONS, 30 POINTS — Our first-ever trivia night last December seemed almost too easy. The median score was way too high. Last night, we amped up the difficulty, we embraced obscurity, and we cranked up the number of multiple-choice questions in hopes teams would second-guess themselves into confusion.

But this was an impressive group of players who rose to the challenge. Here are the results. (Thanks for waiting.)

— CO-CHAMPS: Brock Stephenson; The Riddell Riddlers (27)

— THIRD PLACE: Crestview Strategy (26)

— JUST OFF THE PODIUM: H+Killers (25) 

— A SOLID 80%: Team LPC of the 80s; Are You Smarter Than a 4th Waver? (24)

— NOT QUITE 80%: Puttin' on the Writs; #TeamVantage (23)

NOT QUITE NOT QUITE 80%: Trivia If Necessary But Not Necessarily Trivia; Riddell Students (22)

— STILL ABOVE AVERAGE: News Trivia Veterans; The Points of Order; Team PAPM; Universities Canada (and friends); Business Council on National Issues; The Sauga Continues; Proof is a Proof (21)

— 66%: Cool Kids; Build Back Better than the Habs (20)

— 3 IN 5: Generation BlackBerry (18)

— 50%+1+1: Public Policy Forum; Team Springboard (17)

— 50%: Academics Anonymous; I am clueless (15)

— BARELY-A-FAIL: Cave Dwellers; Arts and Smart; Davos Kids Table; The Gerry Buttsdialers (14)

— UNLUCKY NUMBER: UofTriumph (13)

—  MOTIVATION MATERIAL: 24 CIVIX Drive; The Walrus; The Three Amigos (12)

— BATTING 0.366: Politics is for the nerds (11)

— MORE THAN 7: Hair Force One (8)

The Official Playbook Ranking of Top 5 team names:

  1. Build Back Better than the Habs
  2. Trivia if necessary but not necessarily trivia
  3. The Points of Order
  4. Are You Smarter Than a 4th Waver?
  5. The Three Amigos

Here were some of the people at the virtual tables. Your Playbook host couldn't get around to nearly as many tables as he'd have liked.
RICHARD MAHONEY, ANNE MCGRATH, JODI BUTTS, JENI ARMSTRONG, LIAM DALY, SHEILA GERVAIS, SHAWN MCCARTHY, KATIE DAVEY, JENNIFER HOLLETT, CHAD ROGERS, KARL LITTLER, ERIC BROUSSEAU, JOHN DELACOURT, JOHN DUFFY, GREG MACEACHERN, COLE HOGAN, DAVID COLETTO, STEPHEN AZZI, PAUL THOMAS, WYATT SHARPE, ÉRIC GRENIER, AARON WHERRY, MICHELE CADARIO, GWENDOLYN MONCRIEFF-GOULD, KEVIN BOSCH, CLAIRE SEABORN, JOSH DADJO, ALAN KAN, JOSH ZANIN, HOWARD FREMETH, KARAMVEER LALH, SEAN CASEY, AMY BOUGHNER, JOE BOUGHNER, and defending champ BROCK STEPHENSON.

Thanks for playing. We welcome your feedback. Stay tuned for our next event.

TRIVIA

Thursday's answer: The rookie MP from Kitchener South—Hespeler, VALERIE BRADFORD, has a son on Toronto's city council: BRAD BRADFORD.

Props to ALAN KAN , DOROTHY MCCABE, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, IAN SKIPWORTH and LEIGH LAMPERT.

Friday’s question: We're borrowing a question from Thursday's trivia night, but without the benefit of multiple choice afforded to the players. Which MP once slapped a fish on the desk of the prime minister in the Commons?

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without Luiza Ch. Savage, editor Sue Allan and Zi-Ann Lum.

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