Glimmer of hope for Gaza Strip evac

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Monday Oct 16,2023 10:00 am
A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Oct 16, 2023 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Kyle Duggan, Zi-Ann Lum and Nick Taylor-Vaisey

Welcome to Ottawa Playbook. Let's get into it.

In today's edition:

→ Ottawa is working on overdrive to get Canadians out of a powder keg in the Middle East.

→ The House returns to grapple with affordability and the Israel-Hamas crisis.

JAGMEET SINGH wins party backing to press Liberals harder on pharmacare.

THREE THINGS WE'RE WATCHING

Palestinian youths clear their belongings from a damaged building following an Israeli air strike in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on October 13, 2023.

Palestinian youths clear their belongings from a damaged building following an Israeli air strike in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip on Oct. 13. | Said Khatib/AFP via Getty Images

WINDOW AT RAFAH GATE Global Affairs officials are “extremely hopeful” the border crossing from Gaza Strip to Egypt will open up, allowing trapped Canadians the chance to exit as tensions between Israel and Hamas rise.

But when the chance comes up, the window to leave will be short.

Assistant Deputy Minister JULIE SUNDAY voiced this concern during a weekend press briefing dealing with the ongoing war and the government’s efforts to evacuate Canadians from the conflict zone.

It came after talks failed to secure safe passage for Canadians during a short window of possibility on Saturday.

Global Affairs has said it is trying to get 300 people out of Gaza, where borders are sealed and access to essential goods including water and electricity have been cut off.

Sunday called the situation at the Rafah gate border crossing “incredibly complex,” noting it involves Israel, Egypt, the U.S., the U.N. and Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip.

“I can't speak to where the specific block was,” she said.

Hundreds of thousands are fleeing Gaza as Israel prepares for an anticipated ground invasion.

Foreign Minister MELANIE JOLYtold CBC’s ROSEMARY BARTON that she met Friday with Israel’s Foreign Affairs Minister ELI COHEN, who confirmed to her that “Canadians in Gaza would have access to safe passage” to come back to Canada.

“So, we have the commitment of Israeli authorities on this issue,” Joly said.

Global Affairs is working on getting another 250 people out of the West Bank to Jordan, though that too could prove challenging.

Officials confirmed the death of a fifth Canadian in Israel Sunday and another three missing following attacks by Hamas.

— ‘Airbridge’ remains extended: Flights seven and eight went out of Israel Sunday, expected to bring the total number of Canadians evacuated from the conflict to more than 1,000, according to BOB AUCHTERLONIE, commander of the Canadian Joint Operations Command.

The flights are scheduled to continue with two out a day until there’s a better sense of changing demand for evacs.

— POLITICO reports: U.S. President JOE BIDEN is ‘weighing’ a visit to Israel for show of solidarity.

— In related listening: The Globe's MARK MACKINNON reports from the region on the latest episode of The Decibel. Over on CBC's Front Burner this morning, WaPo's ISHAAN THAROOR discusses where things could be headed next.

— By the numbers: By GAC’s count, there are 6,806 Canadians registered in Israel, 460 in the West Bank and Gaza, and 14,399 in Lebanon.

Sunday said Canadians should avoid travel to Lebanon and noted the department and the Canadian military have done a “lot of contingency planning” for the situation facing that country, which could be put into motion at any point.

THE WEEK AHEAD — Before the Commons rose for its break week, the planned agenda in the House aimed squarely at affordability. The Liberal government wants to advance its “affordable housing and groceries act,” bill C-56, and its Canadian sustainable jobs bill, C-50.

The oppo motions on notice, meanwhile, are classic bread-and-butter issues for the Conservatives: Ax the carbon tax and balance the budget.

But the media spotlight will be elsewhere. This will mark the first time MPs will have the chance to speak in the House about the growing crisis in the Middle East since Hamas launched its surprise attack against Israel.

Early criticisms focused on the responsiveness of the embassy and speed at which Canada snapped into action on evacs, but now an evacuation is well underway.

On the committee circuit, PROC’s study into foreign interference and the MICHAEL CHONG affair moves onto its next targets with a grilling of GAC’s (listed as DFAIT in a throwback) TARA DENHAM, from the office of human rights, freedoms and inclusion, along with MIKE MACDONALD, a senior ADM in the Treasury Board Secretariat’s office of the chief information officer.

It’s also commissioner week, with a spate of appearances by Parliamentary watchdogs — including former ethics commish MARIO DION up to bat later today. Privacy Commissioner PHILIPPE DUFRESNE gets the chance on Thursday to outline his concerns in detail about Bill C-27 — the Liberal government’s major privacy and AI law.

NEXT STEPS FOR ENVIRO LAW — It’s back to the drawing board, sorta, for the Liberal government now that the SCC has officially panned its environmental impact legislation.

The court found parts of the law, which mandates reviews of major resource and infrastructure projects, to be unconstitutional for stepping on provincial rights.

Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON says this will force Ottawa to amend the Impact Assessment Act in a “surgical way,” but the law itself will remain in place.

Cabinet will have to reassure Liberal supporters it’s NBD, while Alberta Premier DANIELLE SMITH takes a victory lap.

She said Ottawa should take this as a signal to butt out of provincial jurisdiction: “They cannot just drop new policy on our head and make us spend another six years going through the court to be told once again that they’ve been acting illegally.”HEATHER EXNER-PIROTwrites in the Globe: “It’s hard to see how the Liberal government’s proposed clean electricity regulations and oil and gas emissions cap, which is contentious on similar grounds, can now be seen as constitutional.”

— The backstory: The bill came into force in 2019 after the Liberals campaigned on introducing tougher environmental oversight for major projects.

It overhauled the environmental assessment process for projects on federal land and set out new steps for reviewing how they will bring social, cultural and economic impacts.

Conservatives had attacked the legislation, calling it a death blow to future fossil fuel projects.

 

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For your radar


DOUBLE-EDGED SWORD — NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH handily escaped a leadership review over the weekend with a united party behind him — but with less support expressed than in the past.

The Star’s ALTHIA RAJ offers five reasons the party wants Singh to remain at the helm,“despite a disappointing report card.”

But nearly 20 percent voted for a leadership review. Hill Times’ CHELSEA NASHspoke with those who want Singh gone over how closely associated the party has become with the Liberals.

The review vote might have been more of a blip on the radar if it didn’t highlight the double-edged nature of the Supply and Confidence Agreement that Singh inked with the Liberals to prop up the government.

 Its terms even drew criticism last week from party elder statesman ED BROADBENT as giving the Liberals too long a leash.

The disquiet comes as PIERRE POILIEVRE’s Conservatives lay the groundwork to gun for NDP seats in the next election.

 — Pressure builds on drug plan: But NDP MPs also return this week emboldened, with more ammunition and gumption to hold the Liberals’ feet to the fire over pharmacare.

Party health critic DON DAVIES, who has expressed displeasure with the state of Health Minister MARK HOLLAND’s draft bill, took to the mic to accuse the Liberals of “weaseling out” of their commitment.

Party delegates passed an emergency (though non-binding) resolution calling for single payer or bust.

“Nothing less,” Davies said, underscoring that SACA could be on the line at a time that’s scary for any Liberals reading the polls.

While the specifics with the bill unfold behind the scenes, the looming deadline of passing it by year’s end means the issue could come to the fore in a big way in the coming weeks in the House.

That convention push comes on heels of a PBO report that pegged the cost on a universal pharmacare program at about C$49 billion over four years, ramping up government costs while also leading to economy-wide savings.

 — Notable potshots: From the sidelines of the convention, the dippers became the latest to kick up a fight with the Bloc as the NDP crafts its Quebec strategy ahead of the next election.

NDP Deputy Leader ALEXANDRE BOULERICE told La Presse Canadienne’s ÉMILIE BERGERON the Bloc is parroting CAQ lines on a whole range of issues.

Bloc Leader YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET said on social media that the Bloc is under fire from everyone now, and he shot back that the NDP is parroting the Liberals, their “intimate partner,” in “trampling” on the province. “At least the Conservatives are in the race,” he wrote in French.

— Blood from a stone: If anyone emerged from the convention with a bad taste in their mouths, it would be representatives from Canada’s struggling media industry.

The journalists who traveled all the way to The Hammer to file from the convention faced a stiff C$150 filing-room fee, served up with various internet access problems.Not exactly a hard sell for better coverage from a party seeking wider attention.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS


9:30 a.m. Mental Health Minister YA’ARA SAKS and Diversity Minister KAMAL KHERA, accompanied by Former Justice Minister IRWIN COTLER, will announce in Ottawa the appointment of the next special envoy on preserving Holocaust remembrance and combating antisemitism.

10:30 a.m. The Bank of Canada releases its Business Outlook Survey and the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations.

11 a.m. Suncor CEO RICH KRUGER will appear at the House natural resources committee to take questions on the climate crisis and the company’s role in Canada’s energy transition. Author JOHN VAILLANT is also on the witness roster.

11 a.m. Minister for Women and Gender Equality and Youth MARCI IEN will appear at the House human resources committee to discuss the Canada Summer Jobs Wage Subsidy Program.

3:30 p.m. KEVIN LEE, CEO of the Canadian Home Builders' Association, will be at the House finance committee. London Mayor JOSH MORGAN will also make an appearance.

3:30 p.m. A quad of federal watchdogs, current and former, will help with the House access to information committee’s study of annual reports. Who’s up: Lobbying Commissioner NANCY BÉLANGER, Information Commissioner CAROLINE MAYNARD, Interim Conflict of Interest Commissioner KONRAD VON FINCKENSTEIN and his predecessor MARIO DION.

6 p.m. Energy Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON will make an announcement in Ottawa with New Brunswick Premier BLAINE HIGGS and Nova Scotia Premier TIM HOUSTON. A media availability will follow.

MEDIA ROOM

TOPSHOT - The McDougall Creek wildfire burns in the hills West Kelowna, British Columbia, Canada, on August 17, 2023, as seen from Kelowna. Evacuation orders were put in place for areas near Kelowna, as the fire threatened the city of around 150,000. Canada is experiencing a record-setting wildfire season, with official estimates of over 13.7 million hectares (33.9 million acres) already scorched. Four people have died so far. (Photo by Darren HULL / AFP) (Photo by DARREN HULL/AFP via Getty Images)

The McDougall Creek wildfire in British Columbia in the month of August. | Darren Hull/AFP/Getty Images

MIKE CRAWLEY of CBC News reports that Ontario Premier DOUG FORD's climbdown on the Greenbelt is expected to go into legislation today.

ZEXI LI is expected to testify today in the "Freedom Convoy" trial, LAURA OSMAN of CP reports.

— Enormous wildfires aren’t merely damaging ecosystems but transforming them, EMILY ANTHES warns in The New York Times.

— Former Conservative MP CANDICE BERGEN shares lessons on ground game with readers of The Hub: “First, we need to stop trying to make our leaders into something they are not.”

— From our colleagues in Europe: Opposition wins Polish election, according to exit poll.

— Over on Maclean’s: Fifteen Canadian thinkers offer thoughts on how artificial intelligence will change everything.

— Former NDP leader ED BROADBENT writes in the Globe: “Social democracy … should not be seen as an unachievable utopia. Rather, it should be understood as an aspiration, to challenge the negative consequences of the market.”

PHILIP AUTHIERwrites in the Montreal Gazette that the Quebec Liberals want to “take the slow road” with a leadership race to replace DOMINIQUE ANGLADE now slated for 2025.

— Conservative CHRISTOPHER LUXON, the former CEO of Unilever Canada, will become New Zealand’s next prime minister following a decisive win Saturday, NICK PERRYreports for AP.

JOHN SAKELLARIADIS and LENNART PFAHLERreport for POLITICO about the Biden admin’s behind-the-scenes pushback against Huawei setting up 5G infrastructure in Germany.

2024 WATCH

Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy arrives to speak.

Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy in Nashua, New Hampshire, on Friday. | Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

BORDER TOUGH TALK — Campaigning in New Hampshire, U.S. Republican presidential candidates VIVEK RAMASWAMY, RON DESANTIS and NIKKI HALEY are talking about protecting the northern boundary with Canada, The Messenger’s STEPHANIE MURRAY reports from Nashua, New Hampshire.

“The Republicans running for president are ramping up their rhetoric on immigration, defined for the better half of a decade by Donald Trump’s promise to build a wall between the United States and Mexico, by adding the border between the United States and Canada to the list of places they’d like to see a crackdown,” Murray writes.

All three candidates have mentioned the Canadian border in their visits to New Hampshire this month, she notes.

— Top of POLITICO this hour: Trump faces reckoning as D.C. judge mulls gag order.

PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro s, our latest policy newsletter from ZI-ANN LUM: STEPHEN GUILBEAULT accepts Supreme Court ‘homework.’

This morning's Pro Cannabis newsletter considers Canada’s cannabis growing pains.

In other news for s:

URSULA VON DER LEYEN yields to U.S. protectionism as she heads to Washington.

United Auto Workers promises more pain for Big Three: 'We're not messing around.'

California wins up to $1.2 billion from feds for hydrogen.

South Korean firms win partial exemption from chip export controls.

Next EU-U.S. Trade and Technology Council summit to be held in December.

Playbookers


Birthdays: HBD to Health Minister MARK HOLLAND and CHASE TRIBBLE of Creative Currency.

Got a document to share? A birthday coming up? Send it all our way. 

Spotted: A Canadian Real Estate Association ad campaign, projected against the Macdonald Building's O'Connor Street wall.

MP SEAN CASEY, ready to race.

Movers and shakers: MARION ISABEAU RINGUETTE, GEDS official as PIERRE POILIEVRE's director of French communications and media relations. … ELIZABETH ARSENAULT has joined the PMO as Atlantic regional adviser.

MARY SHORTALL, the NDP’s candidate for St. John’s East, elected party president at the big convention this weekend.

Cocktail circuit: The Automotive Industries Association of Canada hosts a 5 p.m. reception in Room 228 of the Valour Building ... Pets Canada hosts an event in Room 306 of the same building at the same time ... The Canadian Real Estate Association will be down the street at Queen Street Fare for a reception at 5:30 ... At the same time, NDP MP RACHEL BLANEY and Bloc Québécois MP LUC DESILETS will host a parliamentary reception in the Macdonald Building to honor women veterans.

On the Hill


8:30 a.m. Statistics Canada releases wholesale trade data for August and a new report: “Five years since legalization, what have we learned about cannabis in Canada?”

11 a.m. Suncor CEO RICH KRUGER will appear at the House natural resources committee.

11 a.m. Minister for Women and Gender Equality and Youth MARCI IEN will be at the House human resources committee.

11 a.m. The House public safety committee will consider Bill C-20. On the roster are officials from Canada Border Services Agency, Civilian Review and Complaints Commission for the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, Department of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness, and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police.

3:30 p.m. “Senior officials” from the transport department are due at the House transport committee’s study of Bill C-33.

3:30 p.m. The House agriculture and agri-food committee will hear from department officials and the Canadian Food Inspection Agency on Bill C-275.

3:30 p.m. KEVIN LEE, CEO of the Canadian Home Builders' Association, will be at the House finance committee.

3:30 p.m. A quad of federal watchdogs, current and former, will be on hand as the House access to information committee studies annual reports.

— Behind closed doors: House committees on health, official languages, Canada-China relations, the status of women, and science and research will meet in camera. Canada’s Ambassador to Ukraine NATALKA CMOC is a witness at a closed-door House foreign affairs committee meeting.

TRIVIA

Friday’s answer: On Oct. 13, 1957, Queen Elizabeth II delivered her first-ever televised broadcast. It was telecast by the CBC from her official Canadian residence.

Props to ANTHONY VALENTI, GERMAINE MALABRE, GORDON RANDALL, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, DOUG RICE and GEORGE SCHOENHOFER.

Monday’s question: Who posed this question in October 1970 in Ottawa: “Sir, what is it with all these men with guns around here?"

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Emma Anderson and Luiza Ch. Savage.

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

Follow us on Twitter

Nick Taylor-Vaisey @TaylorVaisey

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Maura Forrest @MauraForrest

Kyle Duggan @Kyle_Duggan

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