Message control and wedge-ology

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Wednesday Feb 07,2024 11:02 am
Presented by The Coalition For Canadian Research: A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Feb 07, 2024 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Kyle Duggan

Presented by The Coalition For Canadian Research

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Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. Let's get into it.

In today's edition:

→ A romp through the ground Conservatives don’t want to fight on.

→ Playbook chats with Music Canada about its appeal for federal safeguards against deep fakes.

DRIVING THE DAY

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau makes his way to Question Period in Ottawa.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau en route to QP on Tuesday afternoon. | Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press

FIGHT OVER THE REMOTE — Ukraine. That’s what Liberals really wanted to talk about Tuesday.

Specifically, the vote on the Ukraine free trade deal. As much as possible. Before and after it cleared third reading and sailed off to the Senate, where the Conservatives are outnumbered and the House always wins on such matters.

 The PM’s official X account posted a partisan-taunt video ahead of the vote.

Talking to media after the Tories voted against it en masse — a rare crack in Canada’s united resolve for supporting Ukraine — JUSTIN TRUDEAU channelled some inner Princess Bride, calling the opposition to it “inconceivable.” The party piled on.

— Agenda setter: Angus Reid Institute maybe came out the biggest winner Tuesday, setting the conversation on third-reading vote day by releasing a poll that showed support for Ukraine is slipping — and that it’s being driven by the Conservatives walking away from it.

Poilievre’s “stewardship of the Conservative Party has been politically successful” for this long, pollster SHACHI KURL tells Playbook, because of “his message discipline around cost of living and really his focus on that one issue over all other issues.”

— Key quote: “The challenge for the Liberals has been they haven't really had anything at all that they could really get their hooks into the Conservatives around in terms of a differentiator,” Kurl said. “Now, you see the extent to which this has the potential to be problematic politically for [Conservative leader] PIERRE POILIEVRE.”

Foreign policy only matters so much come election time. But if there’s one thing the Liberals have proven in past battles, it’s that they “have a Ph.D. in wedge-ology.”

— Related reading: CBC News’ CAT TUNNEYdissects what it all means.

 — Ups for the Liberals: It works with their MAGA rhetoric to help drive a positional contrast.

— Downs for the Liberals: It works with their MAGA rhetoric, making it tempting to repeat U.S. political comparisons while the primaries are on.

Canadian Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre attends a commemorative event to mark the one-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in Toronto.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre in Toronto on Feb. 24 last year to mark the one-year anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. | Katherine KY Cheng/Getty Images

— Best defense is a good…: Poilievre went on the attack early Tuesday, branding Trudeau a “a big talker and a little doer” in supporting the war-torn country.

“He's made all these announcements of hundreds of millions of dollars of different equipment that he's never actually delivered. And now we know that he embarrassed the Ukrainian president by having a Nazi invited to a major state visit. We also know that Trudeau allowed for Canadian detonators to go to Russia.”

— What the Tories really want to talk about: Poilievre signalled this at the opening of the parliamentary sitting with four key slogans: Ax the tax. Build the homes. Fix the budget. Stop crime.

Ipso facto, they’re not so interested in talking about everything else. Not as a priority, anyway.

Pressed on their position ahead of the Ukraine vote, ANDREW SCHEER pulled a printed page from the new trade agreement out of his suit-jacket pocket and read out the clause about promoting carbon taxes.

He vowed his party would send Ukraine “rockets and artillery shells, not carbon taxes.”

Liberal House Leader STEVEN MACKINNON called that a “fake excuse” to cover for people in the party’s base “who have gone way too far down the YouTube hole.”

— Easy pivots: Poilievre began the day on another of the four issues, singling out auto theft and highlighting his related Opposition motion declaring the government soft on crime — framing one of the big discussions this week, since the Liberals have their anti-auto theft summit coming up tomorrow.

At a morning media conference at the Port of Montreal with a backdrop of stacks of colorful shipping containers, he accused Trudeau of turning Canada’s ports into “parking lots for stolen vehicles.”

“Canadian Border Services Agency is in charge of protecting our borders, but the federal Port of Montreal, where the majority of stolen cars leave Canada, according to the Journal of Montreal, only had five officers to inspect over a half a million containers that leave our country through this port.”

“In…sane…incompetence,” Poilievre said, with Simpsons Comic Book Guy emphasis. “No wonder the crime is out of control.”

It was the issue of choice to kick off Question Period.

— Buckle up: Watch in horror as headline writers, politicos and pundits hit the gas on the bad automotive puns this week instead of taking an early off ramp.

— That other thing: A certain premier stampeded a new hot-button issue through the nation’s capital this week — ground the Liberals also happen to see as favorable.

 Journalist JUSTIN LING pressed Poilievre at the morning newser on where he stands on Alberta Premier DANIELLE SMITH’s controversial trans policies, since the Conservative leader had attacked the media last time he was asked.

— The usual off ramp: “You are spreading disinformation,” he retorted, “and you refuse to even describe the policy proposals that are being debated.” Not that he discussed policy specifics after that. But it should be obvious by now where all the stable political ground is.

CBC’s J.P. TASKER has a rundown of how Poilievre responded: Telling Trudeau to “butt out" of parents’ business. From Ling’s Substack: “The Pierre Poilievre Media Circus

And here's AARON WHERRY this morning: The Conservative leader claims the PM is seeking a distraction — he may not be the only one.

A message from The Coalition For Canadian Research:

The Coalition for Canadian Research has been formed by organizations representing the broad spectrum of Canada’s research community to call on the federal government to increase funding for Canadian research. Without action, Canada’s place as a leader in innovation and home for highly-qualified talent is at stake. Help champion Canadian researchers – tell our leaders that Canada’s global standing is at risk.

 
Where the leaders are


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU attends caucus and question period.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND is in Ottawa to attend caucus at 10 a.m., followed by plans to meet Black community leaders at 1:30 p.m. for pre-budget consultations.

— Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE is in Ottawa with plans for a 9 a.m. press conference.

— NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH is in Ottawa with plans to attend his party’s caucus meeting at 9:30 a.m., followed by a 1 p.m. media availability to talk grocery prices before joining QP.

DULY NOTED

6 p.m. Diversity, Inclusion and Persons with Disabilities Minister KAMAL KHERA hosts the government’s official Black History Month celebration.

HALLWAY CONVERSATION


DEEPFAKE FEARS — Canada’s music record labels are pushing the Liberal government to tighten federal law to defend against damage from AI-generated deepfakes.

“We worry that eventual regulation will not come fast enough to prevent some of the more significant harms facing the creative industries and Canadians more broadly,” PATRICK ROGERS, the head of Music Canada,wrote in a letter to the Commons industry committee as it considers Bill C-27, the Liberal government’s digital charter that deals with privacy and AI.

The group is seeking to get federal publicity rights spelled out in Bill C-27 to extend protections for Canadians on how their voice is used online, a lobbying push spurred by a fake Drake song. That comes as U.S. lawmakers are making a similar push through the No AI FRAUD Act.

Playbook spotted the letter and got on the horn with Rogers. This interview was edited for length and clarity.

What's the concern for artists?

Historically, the music industry has been a really helpful canary in the coal mine through multiple technological revolutions. The reason music was stolen in the digital download age, before video games and movies, was because the file size was small enough to share over a phone line. In this way, music has been pretty easily and pretty quickly turned into voice clones and deep fakes.

We have firsthand experience on this and we wanted to make sure that we got out in front of decision makers who are making these sorts of early framework decisions and C-27 with sort of our biggest concerns of the costs, both economic and social, on what happens when you're when your voice is literally cloned or your image is reproduced in a way to put someone else's words in your mouth.

We've had some instances of this already in the music industry with mainstream artists, and increasingly, we're seeing the risks of this to emerging artists.

There are antiquated analog laws already on the books, mostly provincially, but some federal things that prevent celebrities from being misused in magazine ads. You can't put George Clooney’s face next to a watch and say he supports your watch without him consenting. We want to make sure those same laws are revamped and retooled and re-understood as being important in the digital space as well.

We saw this last year with the deepfake Drake song that had fooled some people as a big example in the media. What's the concern for smaller artists?

This is a concern for small artists. It's a concern for everyday Canadians. We're seeing stories of very deepfakes making their way into high school social circles and the damage that can be done there and weaponized against Canada's youth. It's those same issues. There's so much of people in the digital space that their voices and style can be stripped down from these services and made available to people. We want to make sure that when it's clear that something like this has been done to deceive and mischaracterize a person who has not consented to this, it should be fully understood as illegal and then our laws should be updated to make it so.

You point to unauthorized deepfakes as a risk to human artists, but also to politicians. Are you hoping to drive the point home by making it more compelling for the lawmakers who are going to read that?

The technology that interests you in the fake Drake track is the technology used to cause real civil harm. We do not want to see this technology evolve into a place where it could affect our elections. We don't want to see it in places where people of public prominence seem to be saying things that they never said or never would say.

Are you taking cues here from the U.S. bill, the No AI FRAUD Act , that would do the same kind of thing — give people more control over their likeness and digital replicas?

It's something we really believe in and so we're happy to see bipartisan progress in the U.S. on this. If they can do it with their First Amendment goals in mind, we're pretty confident we can do it here as well.

Have you brought this up with the Heritage Department?

Yeah. We've been pounding the pavement now for several months on this. The result has been really positive and really warm. The first response we get is, ‘Isn't this covered by a provincial tort law?’, and that sort of thing. Why we've gotten more aggressive about it is, whether it is or isn't covered by provincial tort law, we think there's a real moment here for federal legislators to stand up and say this should be illegal.

The industry minister seems to be in the driver's seat on the amendments for C-27. So if the government doesn't end up addressing this, because they seem to have already come out with their amendments, should there be some kind of separate legislation?

Digital regulation, digital laws aren't going to end with C-27. And so if this isn't addressed directly in C-27, we'll look to work with the government to address it elsewhere.

— In related reading from POLITICO: Taylor Swift deepfakes nudge EU to get real about AI.

 

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MEDIA ROOM

US conservative political commentator Tucker Carlson speaks at the Turning Point Action USA conference.

American pundit Tucker Carlson, who is currently on a visit to Moscow, has announced he is interviewing Russian President Vladimir Putin. | Giorgio Viera/AFP via Getty Images

— From Alberta to Moscow in two weeks, TUCKER CARLSON confirms he’s interviewing Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN. POLITICO’s NICOLAS CAMUT, EVA HARTOG and SERGEY GORYASHKO have details.

— Top of POLITICO this hour: Worse than you can imagine: NIKKI HALEY loses to ‘none of these candidates’ in Nevada.

SVEA HERBST-BAYLISS reports for Reuters that an activist hedge fund chaired by former PM STEPHEN HARPER is pushing for Kohl's to sell itself.

DAVID FRASER of CBC News reports that a C$300-million class-action lawsuit filed against Freedom Convoy protesters is moving forward.

ERICA IFILL writes in The Hill Times: Parental rights battle cry is turning private grievance into public policy.

— CTV’s MELISSA GILLIGAN reports on the fishy numbers floating around about Alberta’s newly proposed transgender policies.

— CP’s DYLAN ROBERTSON has details on Foreign Minister MELANIE JOLY slapping Hamas leaders with sanctions.

BORIS PROULX reports for Le Devoir that an independent report has concluded there was no Chinese interference at the Trudeau Foundation.

PROZONE


Our latest policy newsletter for Pro s: We asked Google about Canada’s tech landscape.

From POLITICO’s ARI HAWKINS: ITC strikes down antidumping duties on tin mill steel.

From GAVIN BADE and PHELIM KINE: Another Trump trade war? Foreign leaders and execs brace for impact.

In other news for Pro readers:

Another Trump trade war? Foreign leaders and execs brace for impact.

Brussels fires starting gun on massive carbon capture ramp-up.

World's largest carbon removal plant is about to open.

Miners, EV makers: Climate law must apply to digging up minerals.

Meet the new power player in the anti-ESG fight.

Playbookers


Birthdays: Author and culture writer SCAACHI KOUL celebrates today.

Birthdays, gatherings, social notices for this community: Send them our way.

Spotted: CAROL ANSTEY securing the Conservative nomination in Long Range Mountains to go up against GUDIE HUTCHINGS … Canadian astronauts JEREMY HANSEN and JENNI GIBBONS landing on Parliament Hill.

In the speaker’s lounge, Liberal MP ALEXANDRA MENDÈS (chair of the Canadian branch of the Commonwealth Parliamentary Association) hosting a delegation of members from the U.K. Parliament’s procedure committee led by Dame KAREN BRADLEY.

National Defense is looking for a communications consultant to help with “development and evolution” of Defense 365 initiatives — that’s Microsoft Office 365 for secret-level work.

ELON MUSK on X calling The Toronto Star “Canada’s Pravda.”

Movers and shakers: ERMINIA JOHANNSON has been appointed as the new board chair of the Canadian Bankers Association on a two-year term, effective immediately.

Sen. FRANCES LANKIN has a new role as government liaison in the Senate, a six-month secondment.

Media mentions: VILLAGE MEDIA has expanded to Flamborough … Communications firm Prime Contact issuing a statement to denounce a “questionable poll” picked up by CTV Alberta from an entity ripping a similar name to its subsidiary but has “absolutely no ties.”

Send Playbookers tips to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

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Canada faces a critical challenge as research funding remains stagnant, jeopardizing our competitive edge. Countries like the United States, Germany and Japan are strategically investing in research to propel their economies and attract global talent.

In contrast, Canada’s funding for research and support for researchers is stagnating, hindering our ability to generate new insights and attract highly qualified individuals. In the face of pressing challenges like climate change, a strained health care system and rising costs of living, investing in research will be central to Canada’s future success.

Now, more than ever, we stand at a pivotal moment where decisive action is essential. Canada must match the ambition of our peers to compete on the global stage and foster highly-qualified talent in Canada. We have the people and ideas we need to keep forging ahead as a global leader in research. But we must act NOW or risk falling behind.

 
ON THE HILL


Find House committees here.

Keep track of Senate committees here.

— It’s caucus day on the Hill.

8:30 a.m. Statistics Canada will release November’s retail commodity survey, plus December numbers for Canadian international merchandise trade and trade in services.

1:30 p.m. The Bank of Canada will release a summary of its deliberations before its Jan. 24 interest rate decision.

4:15 p.m. Chief Statistician of Canada ANIL ANORA has a date with the Senate banking, commerce and economy committee to discuss a report released last June.

4:15 p.m. Correctional Investigator IVAN ZINGER headlines the first panel of t he Senate legal and constitutional affairs meeting where senators are studying Bill S-230.

4:15 p.m. The Senate foreign affairs and international trade committee will meet to study Canada’s interests and engagements in Africa.

4:15 p.m. The Senate social affairs, science and technology committee will study Bill S-235. Sen. MOBINA JAFFER, sponsor of the bill, is a witness in the second half of the meeting.

4:30 p.m. The House industry committee will hear from a sweep of tech executives, including Meta public policy head RACHEL CURRAN, related to MPs’ study of Bill C-27.

4:30 p.m. The House veterans affairs committee will continue its study of the experience of women veterans.

6:45 p.m. Auditor General KAREN HOGAN will be a witness at the Senate national finance committee for senators’ broad study on “matters relating to federal estimates generally and other financial matters.”

6:45 p.m. Saskatchewan Chief Coroner CLIVE WEIGHILL will be a witness at the Senate Indigenous peoples committee meeting.

6:45 p.m. The Senate transport and communications committee will meet to continue its look at the impacts of climate change on critical infrastructure. Musqueam Indian Band Councillor ALLYSON FRASER will be first up as a witness on the first panel.

Behind closed doors: The House Indigenous and northern affairs committee will review a draft report of its study on improving graduation rates and successful outcomes for Indigenous students; the Senate ethics committee meets to discuss a “case of privilege concerning events relating to the sitting of Nov. 9, 2023.”

We're tracking every major political event of 2024 on a mega-calendar. Send us events and download the calendar yourself for Google and other clients .

TRIVIA


Tuesday’s answer: JEAN AUGUSTINE was the first Black woman to serve as assistant deputy speaker of the House.

Props to DENISE SIELE, BOB GORDON, STEPHANE BERIMBERE, DENISE SIELE, MARCEL MARCOTTE, KATIE FEENAN, NANCI WAUGH, MATTHEW CONWAY, ROBERT MCDOUGALL and GERMAINE MALABRE. 

Wednesday’s question: Who edited and published the Voice of the Fugitive newspaper?

Answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

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Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

 

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