How Democrats betrayed New Hampshire

By Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza and Rachael Bade

With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

Joe Biden is sworn in as the 46th president of the United States by Chief Justice John Roberts as Jill Biden holds the Biden family Bible during the 59th Presidential Inauguration at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, Jan. 20, 2021. | AP

WHITE HOUSE: CELEBRATE THE BIDENVERSARY! — President JOE BIDEN was sworn in two years ago today. To mark the occasion, White House Comms Director KATE BEDINGFIELD is sending congressional Dems and other allies this “Cheat Sheet” of the president’s accomplishments to tout.

It’s worth a read to understand the emerging Biden reelection message — note the heavy emphasis on a manufacturing renaissance — which these talking points contend “is in contrast to MAGA Republicans in Congress who are creating chaos and proposing an extreme and divisive agenda.”

Meanwhile, AP’s Aamer Madhani tells the story of Biden’s first two years “by the numbers,” which he reports “is a mixed bag”:

“It includes a long-sought $1 trillion bill to shore up the nation’s bridges, roads and other infrastructure, but also the unwelcome milestone of historic inflation. There’s been a huge number of COVID-19 vaccinations, but nearly 680,000 people have died of the disease. Biden has visited three dozen states and spent all or part of nearly 200 days in his home state of Delaware.”

We wouldn’t be us if we didn’t flag this entry on the AP’s list: “21: Biden held fewer solo or joint news conferences than his three most recent predecessors at the same point in their presidencies.”

THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: RAY BUCKLEY — On the night of Dec. 1, Ray Buckley got a call from JEANNE SHAHEEN.

Buckley is the longtime chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party, and Shaheen is the state’s senior senator. Together they have spent years protecting New Hampshire’s role as the host of the first presidential primary.

Shaheen had just hung up with someone at the White House.

“I’ve known Sen. Shaheen since I was 15 years old,” he said. “So I know when she is very angry. I could immediately tell that something was wrong.”

The DNC’s Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC) was set to meet to review changes to the primary calendar. Everyone knew that Iowa was in trouble. The state had blown the 2020 caucuses, and Biden was rejected by Democrats in the state in all three of his presidential runs.

New Hampshire was supposed to be safe. Despite Biden’s fourth-place showing there in 2020, Buckley and Shaheen had no idea that the state’s prized position, which is mandated by state law, could be in jeopardy.

“It had never been broached to us by anybody of influence within the party,” Buckley told Playbook this week, including by “anybody in a top position at the White House.”

Shaheen herself had talked to Biden three days earlier, and, according to Buckley, “there was never even the slightest hint” from the president that New Hampshire was in trouble. The state, after all, had become a small but indispensable piece of Democrats’ electoral map.

Now Shaheen told Buckley the news of what amounted to the greatest political betrayal of their careers: Biden was endorsing a primary plan that would make South Carolina, the state that resurrected his campaign in 2020 after the embarrassing defeats in Iowa and New Hampshire, the new lead-off primary state.

The RBC quickly endorsed the Biden plan. The national party offered New Hampshire a consolation prize: It could go second, along with Nevada, if it changed the state’s first-in-the-nation primary law and passed a new law expanding access to early voting. All Buckley had to do was secure letters from the Republican governor of New Hampshire, the Republican majority leader of the state Senate and the Republican majority leader of the state House promising the DNC that they would make the changes.

What the DNC got instead was a trio of letters telling the national party to pound sand.

“You can try to come and take it,” Gov. CHRIS SUNUNU said of the DNC’s effort to abolish New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation status, “but that is Never. Going. To. Happen. It’s just not in our DNA to take orders from Washington. We will not be blackmailed. We will not be threatened, and we will not give up.”

This week, prominent New Hampshire Democrats sent a letter to Biden asking him to reverse his decision. Unless Biden changes his mind, the full DNC will meet in early February to ratify the new calendar. “I’ve been on the DNC for nearly a quarter of a century,” Buckley said, “and never has the DNC voted against the wishes of an incumbent president.”

So now Buckley is in a tough spot. What do you do when you are one of the guardians of your state’s most precious political and cultural institution — the very thing that defines New Hampshire — and the president you love and the party you’ve served your whole life tell you to destroy it?

To find out, we spoke to Buckley for this week’s episode of Playbook Deep Dive, which you can listen to here.

One of the surprising conclusions from our conversation is that New Hampshire’s best shot at saving its primary is for Biden not to run for reelection, a Hail Mary prospect that some Democrats in the state are now quietly rooting for.

Buckley would not admit to being one of them, but he agreed that an open primary in 2024 would be “significant” for New Hampshire and allow the state to lure candidates and the media to cover the contest despite any threats of penalties from the DNC:

“Because it will give a candidate, maybe not the establishment’s candidate, maybe not a top-tier candidate, but it will give an opportunity for somebody to say, ‘You know what? Winning the New Hampshire primary, winning the first contest is a hell of a lot more important than getting a pat on the head by the Democratic National Committee.’

“And I have been around long enough and am familiar enough with the ins and outs that I absolutely believe that I would be able to create a process where there would be a very robust election here in New Hampshire. And I’m certainly not showing my cards.”

Happy Friday. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line if you plan on defying the DNC by competing in an unsanctioned New Hampshire primary: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

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PRE-MARCH FOR LIFE READING — The first post-Roe v. Wade March for Life kicks off today — and will finish its route somewhere other than the Supreme Court this year, a recognition of how seismically the landscape has shifted, The Atlantic’s Elaine Godfrey reports. She asks: What does winning mean for the anti-abortion movement? Their task is now transforming, and changing the culture may be tougher: “Advocates are technically closer than ever to ending abortion in America, but in some ways, the path forward is more treacherous now than it was before. The movement is not in disarray, exactly, but its energy is newly decentralized, diffused throughout the country.”

FOLLOW THE MONEY — “Dark money group linked to Leonard Leo is dissolved,” by Heidi Przybyla: “A dark money group tied to conservative judicial activist LEONARD LEO was dissolved three days after POLITICO inquired about whether it helped to facilitate the multi-million-dollar sale of former White House senior adviser KELLYANNE CONWAY’s polling company … Conway was simultaneously advocating with Trump for some of Leo’s favored judicial candidates.”

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PHOTO OF THE DAY

Mayoral candidates Paul Vallas, Lori Lightfoot, Roderick Sawyer and Jesus Chuy Garcia, along with 5 other candidates, get ready to debate one another at WLS-TV ABC Channel 7 studio on January 19, 2023 in Chicago, Illinois. | Tyler Pasciak LaRiviere - Pool/Getty Images

ALL POLITICS

PULL UP A CHAIR — RNC Chair RONNA McDANIEL has said privately that she should be reelected because she can best stop Trump from creating a third party if he loses the presidential nomination, WaPo’s Michael Scherer reports. That eye-popping line is McDaniel’s latest tactic as she tries to beat back a surprisingly sharp challenge from HARMEET DHILLON, who has sometimes positioned herself as the true MAGA mantle-holder but is also attracting support from some Trump critics in the party. McDaniel’s still confident she’ll win next week, but Dhillon’s camp insists McDaniel will lose support on the secret ballot.

BATTLE FOR THE SENATE — Sen. TIM KAINE (D-Va.) is expected to announce this morning whether he’s running for reelection. Marianne LeVine and Burgess Everett write that Senate Dems don’t know what Kaine will decide, but they’re praying he doesn’t open up another seat. Several indications signal that he’s running again.

— Sen. KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND (D-N.Y.), meanwhile, is all in, NYT’s Nick Fandos reports. “The most pressing question facing her campaign now is whether anyone from her own party will try to challenge her.”

— Rep. GREG STANTON (D-Ariz.) announced he won’t run for Senate, potentially clearing the path for Rep. RUBEN GALLEGO to get the Democratic nomination against independent Sen. KYRSTEN SINEMA. Newsweek’s Adrian Carrasquillo reports this morning Gallego’s campaign is set to launch Monday.

— “Early action electrifies 2024 Senate battle,” by Burgess Everett: “The Senate’s in a deep freeze, having gone weeks without a single roll call vote. The battle to control it in two years, though, is already red hot.“

2023 WATCH — GOP Mississippi Gov. TATE REEVES leads Democratic challenger BRENDAN PRESLEY 43% to 39% in a new Mississippi Today/Siena College poll, Bobby Harrison reports. Reeves is unpopular: Fifty-seven percent of voters would prefer a generic “someone else,” compared to just 33% for the incumbent.

2024 WATCH — NIKKI HALEY is getting close to a decision on whether to jump into the presidential race — and she won’t be bound by past comments that she wouldn’t run if Trump did, she told Fox News’ Bret Baier. “The survival of America matters, and it’s bigger than one person,” Haley said. “If I’m this passionate and I’m this determined, why not me?”

— Let the sniping begin: MIKE POMPEO’s new bookclaims that Haley was “plotting with JARED KUSHNER and IVANKA TRUMP to be named vice-president, even while she served as Donald Trump’s ambassador to the United Nations,” The Guardian’s Martin Pengelly reports from “Never Give an Inch” ($26.39). On Fox News, Haley responded by calling Pompeo’s accusation “lies and gossip to sell a book.”

GREAT FRIDAY FEATURE — “One Woman’s Audacious Quest to Dignify Politics,” by Amanda Ripley for POLITICO Magazine

THE WHITE HOUSE

POTUS ON THE ROAD — Biden surveyed damage from the recent storms in California yesterday, mourned the dead and assured locals that federal assistance would help lift them up, the S.F. Chronicle’s Dustin Gardiner reports. The president also connected worsening storms to the effects of climate change, calling for action.

DOCU-DRAMA — Biden also maintained his approach of casting the classified documents issue as largely as a nothingburger. “I think you’re going to find there’s nothing there. I have no regrets,” he told reporters in Aptos, per Olivia Olander. “I’m following what the lawyers have told me they want me to do. … There’s no there there.”

— New NYT ticktock: “The decision by President Biden and his top advisers to keep the discovery of classified documents secret from the public and even most of the White House staff for 68 days was driven by what turned out to be a futile hope that the incident could be quietly disposed of without broader implications for Mr. Biden or his presidency,” write Mike Shear, Peter Baker and Katie Rogers.

— Both Biden’s and Trump’s documents issues lay bare the perils of relying on the honor system for administrations to follow records-preservation rules as they leave office, WaPo’s Toluse Olorunnipa reports. Their cases, he writes, reflect an underlying fact about how presidents handle the nation’s secrets, experts say: The rules are clear, but enforcing them is hard.”

PLAYBOOK METRO SECTION — “Bowser To Biden: Get Federal Workers Back in Their Offices, Pronto!” by Michael Schaffer

CONGRESS

WHO’S AT DEFAULT — Moderate House Republicans have no intention to side with Democrats on a clean debt ceiling increase this year, CNN’s Manu Raju reports. They may be the most likely to work across the aisle, but frontline and centrist Republicans insist the two parties will have to compromise on fiscal reforms, exerting pressure on Democrats’ no-talks stance. “They need to come to a realization pretty quickly they are no longer in a one-party controlled government, and it requires negotiation,” said freshman Rep. MIKE LAWLER (R-N.Y.).

— Republican Study Committee Chair KEVIN HERN (R-Okla.) said in a letter to his conservative group yesterday staking out the need for “meaningful fiscal reforms in conjunction with raising the debt limit,” per the Washington Examiner’s Juliegrace Brufke. “There is no more appropriate time to address our nation’s finances than when the bill comes due.”

— “Wall Street’s D.C. watchers are really, really worried about the debt ceiling,” by Semafor’s Bradley Saacks … “In Debt-Limit Fight, Trump Wants Republicans to Play a Dangerous Game of Chicken,” by Bloomberg’s Mark Niquette, Erik Wasson and Josh Wingrove … “Biden and Republicans seem set for debt ceiling fight, reviving fraught political battles of years past,” by ABC’s Tal Axelrod

MARK YOUR CALENDARS — House Oversight Republicans teed up the first hearing focused on border security, scheduled for the week of Feb. 6. Chair JAMES COMER (R-Ky.) also told DHS Secretary ALEJANDRO MAYORKAS to produce various records related to immigration. More from Roll Call… The letter

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

CONTEMPT CONTRETEMPS — PETER NAVARRO’s last-ditch effort to have his contempt of Congress case dismissed was tossed out yesterday by a federal judge, who said Navarro hadn’t proven that Trump had invoked executive privilege to protect him. More from The Hill

IN FEDERAL COURT — “New Details Emerge of Meeting Between Proud Boys and Oath Keepers,” by NYT’s Alan Feuer and Zach Montague

TRUMP CARDS

THAT’S GONNA HURT — Trump and his legal team were slapped with a $938,000 fine by a Florida federal judge for abusing the judicial system with baseless accusations against HILLARY CLINTON. Trump and lawyer ALINA HABBA are liable. More from AP

MUCK READ — “Trump sold his D.C. hotel. GOP spending disappeared,” by Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington’s Rebecca Jacobs: “Despite the fact that the [Waldorf Astoria] is in the same building and kept public and private spaces remarkably the same, political spending at the new hotel all but disappeared when compared to the years when it was owned by a sitting president.”

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JUDICIARY SQUARE

SCOTUS WATCH — The Supreme Court announced that it couldn’t figure out who at the court disclosed the draft opinion in the Dobbs ruling to POLITICO last year. Josh Gerstein runs through the findings: Nobody confessed, there was no indication of a hack, and the court’s statement yesterday called it a “misguided attempt at protest,” even though the ideological reason behind the disclosure has not been made clear. Five takeaways… The report

STRANGE STORY — “U.S. Drops Case Against Police Officer It Had Called an ‘Insider Threat,’” by NYT’s Rebecca Davis O’Brien

POLITICAL VIOLENCE WATCH — A Kansas man was convicted yesterday of threatening to kill Rep. JAKE LaTURNER (R-Kan.) andcould get up to a decade in prison. More from The Kansas City Star

POLICY CORNER

WHOOPS — A contractor’s accidental deletion of some computer files caused the system meltdown that temporarily grounded flights in the U.S. last week, the FAA announced yesterday. There was no indication of mal-intent or a hack, the agency said. WSJ’s Andrew Tangel and Micah Maidenberg write that the FAA has “taken steps to prevent a recurrence of the outage.”

DOUBLE WHOOPS — After ICE accidentally publicized the personal information of thousands of migrants in custody who were fleeing repression, the agency has now released almost 3,000 of them, the L.A. Times’ Hamed Aleaziz reports. “ICE will not deport any immigrants affected by the disclosure until they have a chance to raise the issue in immigration court.”

EAT YOUR HEART OUT — “New USDA rule boosts ‘organic’ food oversight, targets fraud,” AP

WAR IN UKRAINE

BURNS AFTER READING — CIA Director BILL BURNS met with Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY secretly in Kyiv last week, WaPo’s John Hudson scooped. Burns wanted to lay out what the U.S. expects Russia to do in the next weeks and months. Zelenskyy and Ukrainian officials pressed Burns on whether the GOP takeover of the House will dampen U.S. aid to Ukraine.

FROM 30,000 FEET — Major shifts in the course of the war, as Russia got more aggressive on several fronts, have pushed the U.S. and Western allies to recalibrate their assessments of the future and step up their aid in the past few weeks, WaPo’s Karen DeYoung, Dan Lamothe and Loveday Morris report. “These decisions reflect a new urgency, and a belief that if Ukrainian forces are not equipped to make significant new gains in the coming months, they may face an endless war of attrition or worse.”

HAPPENING TODAY — “The United States plans to send Ukraine 90 Stryker armored combat vehicles as part of a roughly $2.5 billion shipment of arms and equipment that is expected to be announced at a meeting of allies in Germany on Friday, the Defense Department said on Thursday,” NYT’s Eric Schmitt reports.

— But the question of sending battle tanks remains in dispute, as WSJ’s Drew Hinshaw, Gordon Lubold and Bojan Pancevski report in their preview of the meeting.

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

DANCE OF THE SUPERPOWERS — “U.S. expands training of Taiwanese military with National Guard,” by Nikkei’s Ryo Nakamura: “The National Guard, a state-based American [military] force, began training the Taiwanese military some time before spring 2022.”

FOR YOUR RADAR — “What to know about the suspected Russian spy ship seen near Hawaii,” WaPo’s Andrew Jeong

IRAQ AND A HARD PLACE — A U.S. policy change meant to crack down on money laundering has damaged the Iraqi economy by weakening its currency, WSJ’s David Cloud scooped from Baghdad. The U.S. says Iraqi officials knew the change was coming, but PM MOHAMMED AL SUDANI says it’s hurting his country and he wants a temporary moratorium.

BIG READ — “The Chip War comes home,” by Insider’s Taylor Dorrell

MEDIAWATCH 

BIG MAN ON CAMPUS — As the paper steels for pending layoffs, JEFF BEZOS stopped by the WaPo newsroom yesterday in a visit that was “seen internally as an indication of his commitment to the future of the publication,” NYT’s Benjamin Mullin and Katie Robertson report. Bezos sat in on a news meeting and met with staffers including CAMERON BARR, KRISSAH THOMPSON, LORI MONTGOMERY, MATEA GOLD, PHIL RUCKER and JOSH DAWSEY.

HOLLYWOODLAND — A secret DOUG LIMAN-directed documentary about Justice BRETT KAVANAUGH, titled “Justice,” will premiere tonight at the Sundance Film Festival, the programmers announced. The film examines the sexual misconduct allegations that failed to derail Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court. More from IndieWire

TV TONIGHT — PBS’ “Washington Week”: Jonathan Lemire, Weijia Jiang, Nia-Malika Henderson and Lisa Desjardins.

SUNDAY SO FAR …

FOX “Fox News Sunday”: Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.) … Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.). Roe v. Wade panel: Penny Nance and Elizabeth Wydra.

CBS “Face the Nation”: Rep. Mike Turner (R-Ohio) … Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) … Miami Mayor Francis Suarez … New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell … Mesa, Ariz., Mayor John Giles … Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens.

MSNBC “The Sunday Show”: Rep. Brendan Boyle (D-Pa.) … Rep. Sara Jacobs (D-Calif.) … Rep. Barbara Lee (D-Calif.) … Lucas Kunce … Laverne Cox.

ABC “This Week”: Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas) … Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.). Black mayors panel: NYC Mayor Eric Adams, LA Mayor Karen Bass and Houston Mayor Sylvester Turner.

POLITICO’s exclusive interview with Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi will take place on Thursday, January 19 at 1:30 PM EST – live from the Davos mountaintop. Register today to join us online.

Greg Steube has gotten out of the intensive care unit but remains hospitalized after his fall.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Liz Charboneau will be the new VP of research at American Bridge 21st Century. She previously was head of the Bridge to Democracy research program in the 2022 cycle, after running the state legislative program in the 2020 cycle.

— Estephania Gongora will be director of operations for the House Ways and Means Committee under Rep. Jason Smith (R-Mo.). She previously was an associate at Booz Allen Hamilton and is a Trump White House and State alum.

HOT JOB — ByteDance, the Chinese owner of TikTok, is hiring a new strategic response communications lead in D.C., Gavin Bade and Daniel Lippman report. The U.S. version of TikTok is in Washington’s crosshairs, with the Biden administration pondering whether to force ByteDance to sell it and some congressional China hawks pushing for an outright ban. The job listing — notable because it is from the parent company, not the American TikTok subsidiary — asks for “strong crisis communications experience” and says the hire will be responsible for “responding strategically and rapidly to breaking news and crisis issues.” More for Pro s in Morning Trade

OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED at POLITICO’s inaugural reception for The Fifty Mayors Club: Carmel, Ind., Mayor Jim Brainard, Columbia, S.C., Mayor Daniel Rickenmann, Beaverton, Ore., Mayor Lacey Beaty, Peoria, Ill., Mayor Rita Ali, Edison, N.J., Mayor Sam Joshi, Jackson, Miss., Mayor Chokwe Lumumba, Tacoma, Wash., Mayor Victoria Woodards, Cleveland Mayor Justin Bibb, Overland Park, Kan., Mayor Curt Skoog, Dubuque, Iowa, Mayor Brad Cavanagh, Milwaukee Mayor Cavalier Johnson, Oklahoma City Mayor David Holt, Chattanooga, Tenn., Mayor Tim Kelly, Hilo, Hawaii, Mayor Mitch Roth, Santa Fe, N.M., Mayor Alan Webber, Lancaster, Pa., Mayor Danene Sorace, Newport News, Va., Mayor Phillip Jones and Raleigh, N.C., Mayor Mary-Ann Baldwin. Pic… Another pic

MEDIA MOVE — “CNN This Morning” executive producer Eric Hall is leaving the program to head to “CNN Tonight,” TheWrap’s Joseph Kapsch scooped.

WHITE HOUSE ARRIVAL LOUNGE — Ying-Ying Goh is now Robert Wood Johnson Foundation health policy fellow for VP Kamala Harris. She is director and health officer of the Pasadena, Calif., Public Health Department and a pediatrician.

TRANSITIONS — Regina Wallace-Jones will be the next CEO of ActBlue, the first Black woman in that role, WaPo’s Samantha Chery reports. She previously was COO at LendStreet Financial. … Michael Pillsbury is now a senior fellow for China Strategy at the Heritage Foundation, our National Security Daily colleagues scooped. He’ll work with the new China-focused House committee. He previously was a senior fellow and director for Chinese Strategy at the Hudson Institute. … Jim Vivenzio is now senior counsel in the investment management practice and fintech industry group at Perkins Coie. He previously was director for Bank Secrecy Act/anti-money laundering compliance policy with Treasury’s Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. …

… Holly Harris will be president of The Network, a new effort supporting lawmakers who work across the aisle on a variety of issues. She previously was president and executive director of Justice Action Network. … Gabriella Salazar is now comms director for Rep. Morgan McGarvey (D-Ky.). She most recently was comms director for Rep. Juan Vargas (D-Calif.). … Rep. Kevin Mullin (D-Calif.) is adding Katrina Rill as senior adviser and comms director and Luisa Gunn as press secretary. Rill most recently was district director and comms director for Rep. Jackie Speier (D-Calif.). Gunn most recently was press and digital assistant for Speier.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) … Nikki Haley … White House’s Ian Sams … Kellyanne Conway … POLITICO’s Gavin Bade … Paul Mandelson of Deloitte … Robin Roberts of National Media … Bill Maher … Dan Schneider of Business Roundtable … CNN’s Diane Ruggiero … CBN’s Jenna Browder … FTI Consulting’s Ben Watson and Shannon Bañaga … Emma Thomas of Feldman Strategies … WSJ’s James Grimaldi … CBS’ Maria Gavrilovic … Morton Abramowitz (9-0) … Sam Dealey of Monument Communications … Jessica Hanna … Purple Strategies’ Alec Jacobs … Chip Englander … Paola Ramos … former Reps. Bill Owens (D-N.Y.) and Shelley Berkley (D-Nev.) … Tracy Russo ... Merrill Hartson ... Elena Robertson … Sophie Khanahmadi ... Zack Walz … Elizabeth Ray of Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo’s office … Zach Beecher of America’s Frontier Fund … State’s Carter Allen … Anti-Defamation League’s Dan Granot … Emily Vandegrift of Terra Davis Consulting … Abby Greensfelder … Al Kamen

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