‘This was not on anybody’s bingo board’

From: POLITICO's Digital Future Daily - Monday May 02,2022 08:34 pm
Presented by Connected Commerce Council: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
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By Ben Schreckinger

Presented by Connected Commerce Council

With help from Derek Robertson

GLASGOW, SCOTLAND - NOVEMBER 01: Central African Republic's President Faustin-Archange Touadera speaks during the UN Climate Change Conference COP26 at SECC on November 1, 2021 in Glasgow, United Kingdom. World Leaders attending COP26 are under pressure to agree measures to deliver on emission reduction targets that will lead the world to net-zero by 2050. Other goals of the summit are adapting to protect communities and natural habitats, mobilising $100billion in climate finance per year and get countries working together to meet the challenges of the climate crisis. (Photo by Yves Herman - WPA Pool/Getty Images)

Central African Republic's President Faustin-Archange Touadera speaks during the 2021 UN Climate Change Conference. | Yves Herman - WPA Pool/Getty Images

Last week, the Central African Republic announced a new law that makes Bitcoin an official currency.

CAR is now the second country in the world, after El Salvador, to officially adopt the volatile cryptocurrency.

Will it help make the impoverished nation one of "the world’s boldest and most visionary countries," as its president declared, or just turn it into a haven for financial misbehavior? Opposition leaders are worried: They've already warned the law could facilitate money laundering, tax evasion and fraud, while alienating international institutions.

To make sense of this development, I caught up with Alex Gladstein, chief strategy officer of the Human Rights Foundation, a nonprofit chaired by Russian dissident Garry Kasparov. He’s been a longtime advocate of adopting Bitcoin in the developing world, and a critic of the CFA franc, the currency used by the Central African Republic and more than a dozen other African nations, as part of a monetary system overseen by France that is often described as “neo-colonial.”

Since El Salvador made Bitcoin an official currency, there’s been a lot of speculation that other Latin American countries would follow suit. Are people who follow Bitcoin adoption surprised that the second country to do so is the Central African Republic?

This was not on anybody’s bingo board. Let’s put it that way.

Former Prime Minister Anicet-Georges Dologuélé, an opposition leader, has pointed out that this is a very high-tech move for one of the least-developed countries on earth. Only about 10 percent of the population is online. Will people in CAR see any practical benefits from this?

It’s not something that’s going to help the average resident of CAR who doesn't have a phone or internet access. It’s something that could help the business community or people who are reliant on remittances

I understand people might be able to get lower fees on remittances. How would it help business?

There was very little to no incentive to do business there. It’s a country known for civil war and humanitarian crisis. Now it will attract visitors and entrepreneurs.

Is there anything in the language of this law that gives you pause?

There’s ambiguity. The bill says Bitcoin is a national currency, but then it uses the term “cryptocurrency” throughout the rest of the bill. There’s thousands of different cryptocurrencies. It would be really sketchy if you and I could spin up a cryptocurrency and get [CAR’s government] to give us fiat money for it.

Is there anything that CAR can learn from El Salvador’s Bitcoin experiment?

The one area I’d be critical of is the way [El Salvador has] rolled out a state-run app. My concern is that it’s a surveillance and control machine because you have to put in your ID, and it’s a custodial solution [meaning the government retains control over the Bitcoin in users’ wallets]. I always thought the state-run app was the wrong way to go. As long as the Central African Republic government doesn't try anything like that, I’d be more positive.

Given just how small and undeveloped the country is, how much will this law really matter outside of its borders?

You could argue that the significance of this decision is going to be more important elsewhere, actually. To add a currency that France doesn’t control has a massive symbolic importance to it. It’s also important that the Russians or the Chinese don’t control said currency, or the Americans for that matter. I think this is going to have some butterfly effects over West and Central Africa over the coming years.

So, this might tempt other countries to ditch the monetary system overseen by France. Could it lead to retaliation, too?

Jeune Afrique is a well-read publication in francophone Africa that a lot of people in business read. There was a big piece in it today about how this move might lead to the expulsion of the Central African Republic from the Bank of Central African States, which runs the CFA franc system.

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you buy it, you break it

LONG BEACH, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 09: A customer waits in line at the grand opening of the Bored & Hungry pop-up burger restaurant, which uses NFT art for its branding, on April 9, 2022 in Long Beach, California. The restaurant is using images from the popular Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT (non-fungible token) art series with the owner stating that Bored & Hungry is the first food concept to utilize crypto art for branding. The Bored Ape Yacht Club NFT series generated more than $1 billion in sales last year. (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)

The Bored & Hungry pop-up burger restaurant in Long Beach, California. | Mario Tama/Getty Images

The biggest name in NFTs made a bit of a mess over the weekend. Yuga Labs, the developers behind Bored Ape Yacht Club tokens that have become nearly synonymous with the technology itself, launched a new NFT line on Saturday night that would guarantee their holders virtual real estate in the company’s upcoming metaverse project.

In one way, it was a success: The tokens sold out almost immediately, netting Yuga Labs a cool $319 million. In another, more accurate way, it was a disaster: The rush to buy the NFTs caused a massive spike in the price of “gas,” or the surcharge that users pay to complete transactions on the Ethereum network, as said network became intensely congested.

Users flooded Twitter with complaints they’d lost the equivalent of thousands of real-world dollars on transactions that didn’t complete. “We're sorry for turning off the lights on Ethereum for a while,” the official Yuga account tweeted in the aftermath. Humblebrag!

As we covered last week , the minds behind Ethereum want it to be the underlying computational layer of the next version of the internet. Getting taken offline by a throng of people rushing to buy a virtual home in which to hang their ape .jpeg is a blow to those aspirations. But in the open-source spirit of the enterprise, a chorus of developers popped up to offer potential fixes: Editing the code to make it more “fuel”-efficient, for example, or to simply “pre-mint ” the NFTs, bypassing the computational rush entirely. Even Ethereum’s creator Vitalik Buterin weighed in, suggesting the community take another look at some analog economic fundamentals.

The whole debacle was a pointed reminder of how even the biggest players in crypto are dealing with technology that is very experimental. Appropriately enough, it’s the engineer’s mindset at work: You build something, it breaks, you put it back together. And then you wait for the next big test of the system. Derek Robertson

Afternoon Snack

A SpaceX Falcon 9 lifts off rom Pad 39A at Kennedy Space Center early Friday, Aug. 7, 2020, as seen in this four-minute time exposure from Cocoa Beach, Fla.

A SpaceX Falcon 9 lifting off. | Malcolm Denemark/Florida Today via AP | Malcolm Denemark/Florida Today via AP

We know a lot about what Elon Musk’s vision for the future looks like. (Not to mention the present.) But what shaped it? Musk’s science fiction fandom is well-documented; he’s dropped references to seminal SF authors like Isaac Asimov and Iain Banks, even putting a digital version of the former’s “Foundation” series on the Tesla Roadster he launched into space.

With all that in mind as Musk dominated the news last week, I asked Dan Nexon, a Georgetown University professor of international affairs who teaches a sci-fi-themed course with the excellent title of “Interstellar Relations ,” what he made of the mogul’s fandom. “Come to think of it, Asimov was pretty left-wing,” he said. (In Asimov’s 1981 memoir, he rages against Nixon and expresses his sincere admiration for George McGovern, among numerous other examples.)

Nexon pointed me to a blog post from the writer Kurt Schiller, who describes the odd ideological asymmetry of zillionaire futurists like Musk and Jeff Bezos’ avowed love for Banks’ “Culture” series. Banks, an outspoken socialist, railed during his lifetime against the perceived excesses of capitalism, as Schiller quotes:

“The market, for all its (profoundly inelegant) complexities, remains a crude and essentially blind system… It is, arguably, in the elevation of this profoundly mechanistic (and in that sense perversely innocent) system to a position above all other moral, philosophical and political values and considerations that humankind displays most convincingly both its present intellectual [immaturity and] — through grossly pursued selfishness rather than the applied hatred of others — a kind of synthetic evil.”

Strong stuff, not to mention the actual content of the “Culture” series, as Schiller describes at length. But we would all live in a more intellectually impoverished world if we only consumed art by artists we agree with politically, and there’s no shortage of explicitly libertarian sci-fi to pick up the slack on the other end. — Derek Robertson

The Future In Five Links

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Konstantin Kakaes (kkakaes@politico.com);  and Heidi Vogt (hvogt@politico.com).

Ben Schreckinger covers tech, finance and politics for POLITICO; he is an investor in cryptocurrency.

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