Crypto, but for the climate

From: POLITICO's Digital Future Daily - Thursday Oct 27,2022 08:24 pm
Presented by TSMC: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
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By Ben Schreckinger

Presented by TSMC


With help from Derek Robertson

A flare burns off methane and other hydrocarbons as oil pumpjacks operate in the Permian Basin in Midland, Texas, Tuesday, Oct. 12, 2021. Massive amounts of methane are venting into the atmosphere from oil and gas operations across the Permian Basin, new aerial surveys show. The emission endanger U.S. targets for curbing climate change. (AP Photo/David Goldman)

A flare burns off methane and other hydrocarbons as oil pumpjacks operate in the Permian Basin. | AP

In most green circles, “crypto” is a dirty word because of the vast amount of energy used in Bitcoin mining.

But some environmentalists are starting to see the potential for blockchains to play a vital role in the fight against greenhouse gas emissions — by fixing the world’s dysfunctional carbon credit markets.

Those markets have been plagued by several problems as they've grown, including the rise of dubious credit brokers and the potential for firms to sell credits for the same project twice. Public blockchains — as shared, transparent ledgers — are pretty good at preventing double-counting, as well as building accountability.

So far, this is an idea mostly pursued in the private sector through a handful of venture-backed projects. Yesterday, though, marked a big milestone for public sector buy-in: The World Bank and the government of Singapore unveiled plans for the launch of a joint project to bring together information from the world’s major carbon-offset registries in a single distributed ledger. The new project, called Climate Action Data Trust , will launch in December.

There's no guarantee it will catch on. Some early attempts to improve carbon markets with blockchains have faltered or failed , but this one comes with the weight of national governments and multilateral institutions.

Why do it with blockchains? Under the current system, many competing registries certify the offset projects that produce carbon credits, things like tree-planting programs and clean energy installations. As a result, the people running these projects can, and sometimes do, get certified by more than one registry and then sell duplicate carbon credits for the same project.

One solution to the double-counting problem might be a central global registry, but backers of the Climate Action Data Trust and similar endeavors argue that it would be too difficult to get the whole world to trust a single entity with control of the data that makes carbon markets run.

“It’s arguable that you can’t build a carbon market without a blockchain,” says Gene Hoffman, the California-based President of Chia Network, the crypto platform partnering with the World Bank initiative.

With a blockchain, he said, you could select a couple-dozen privileged users from across the world — various national governments and NGOs — and program the system to let signatures from any two of them certify an offset project.

Distributing governance power while keeping it in the hands of a limited number of trusted entities holds a particular appeal in voluntary carbon-offset markets, which occupy a kind of gray zone between government policy and PR-minded corporate philanthropy. The current market structure is hobbled both by certification of junk projects that do little to offset carbon emissions, and a lack of consensus about how to evaluate a project’s efficacy.

“In terms of market imperfections, it kind of ticks all the boxes,” said Rene Reinsberg, the Berlin-based co-founder of Celo, a blockchain platform that has carved out a niche among socially-conscious applications.

Cryptocurrency could also make it easier to directly pay the people running offset projects rather than relying on middlemen, according to Anna Lerner, a veteran of the World Bank and Facebook who now runs Climate Collective, a nonprofit that supports tech startups in the developing world.

So far, experiments in using blockchains to address climate change remain in the experimental phase, and are likely to evolve significantly in the years to come, she said.

Meanwhile, the early failures of some attempts to build blockchain carbon markets have turned some environmentalists against them.

So, what’s the appetite for trying another version of this? The World Bank and the International Emissions Trading Association, another partner in the initiative, will get a sense of that soon enough. They say they’ve already worked with a few dozen groups, including 11 national governments, on testing the system.

And next month, they’re taking their case to the 27th United Nations Climate Change Conference in Egypt with a series of panel discussions, before their official launch on December 7th.

 

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think tanks take on ai

One of Washington’s heavyweight think tanks is throwing its resources into AI development.

The Center for Strategic and International Studies announced yesterday the formation of its “AI Council,” a group of 17 thinkers co-chaired by top Accenture and Microsoft executives to “etch out what corporate responsibility, international collaboration, and effective governance on AI looks like not only in principle, but in practice.”

Befitting CSIS, the group is an international one — including also the president of Sony; leading researchers in Australia, Japan, the UK and Germany; and a former executive of the World Bank, among others. The Council promises three white papers “that make detailed, actionable, and prudent recommendations to the global AI policy community” by the spring of 2023.

The launch comes shortly after the White House laid out its own “ AI Bill of Rights ,” a guidance document for AI development and implementation that lays out largely the same values and goals described by the council. It also overlaps with the European Union’s ongoing hashing-out of a sweeping AI Act along similar lines, which will carry actual statutory enforcement muscle. — Derek Robertson

 

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caveat emptor

The headquarters of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. | John Shinkle/POLITICO

The headquarters of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. | John Shinkle/POLITICO

A CFTC commissioner is warning banks to tread carefully before they get involved with crypto.

Commissioner Christy Goldsmith Romero addressed a crypto conference in New York yesterday, as POLITICO’s Sam Sutton reported for Pro s , saying that crypto investments at major financial institutions could “unexpectedly amplify risk, heightening financial stability concerns.”

That matters because finance is becoming increasingly entwined with a crypto industry that’s suffered a brutal year of market losses and hacks. As Sam writes, “Many in the digital asset industry feared the collapse… might drive mainstream investment firms from the industry. But institutions like BlackRock and Bank of New York Mellon have started to partner with startups or offer their own crypto-friendly services over the past several months.”

So, buyer beware. Romero’s voice is the latest in a chorus of regulators warning banks to tread lightly, largely inspired by the Financial Stability Oversight Council report published at the beginning of October, which recommended a legislative and regulatory flurry to alleviate risk in the system. — Derek Robertson

 

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the future in 5 links

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson ( drobertson@politico.com ); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); and Benton Ives (bives@politico.com). Follow us @DigitalFuture on Twitter.

Ben Schreckinger covers tech, finance and politics for POLITICO; he is an investor in cryptocurrency.

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