Elon Musk is "now existing in a world where there are no rules"

From: POLITICO's Digital Future Daily - Thursday Nov 10,2022 09:12 pm
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By Derek Robertson

Twitter headquarters is shown in San Francisco, Calif.

Twitter headquarters is shown in San Francisco, Calif., on Nov. 4, 2022. | Jeff Chiu/AP Photo

Is it possible to be a billionaire entrepreneur and just not care what Washington thinks?

Elon Musk is trying to find out.

With his new company in internal chaos and top safety executives leaving, a memo leaked from an attorney on Twitter’s privacy team described Musk’s lawyer saying “Elon puts rockets into space, he’s not afraid of the FTC.”

The Federal Trade Commission, which fined Twitter $150 million this summer and is accustomed to being taken seriously, was none too happy and issued a rare slapback saying that “no CEO or company is above the law.”

As Musk’s empire grows — and he fiddles with the dials at a highly public platform like Twitter while actively trolling the politicians who run the capital — he’s likely to come more directly into the sights of regulators and elected leaders .

Then what?

I recently spoke with Tom Wheeler, a Brookings fellow, former FCC chair, and former venture capitalist himself, to get his take on the political pushback Musk is likely to receive as he tinkers apace with the “digital town square.” Our conversation, edited for length and clarity, follows:

By making himself Twitter’s chief moderator, Musk has opened himself up to not just regulatory risk but political risk. How successful do you expect him to be at handling it?

When Mark [Zuckerberg] saw that there would soon be a thing called visual social media, or social virtual reality, he started planning and he clearly has a vision for it. I haven’t seen Musk illustrate that kind of comprehensive, long-term view. It’s rather a, “I’m smart, I can come in and fix anything, let me throw all this stuff at the wall” approach.

[Announcing his purchase of Twitter at] $54.20 a share has nothing to do with finance, and everything to do with “Hey, isn’t this cool?” The dog has caught the bus, and now he’s trying to figure out how to drive it.

What are the risks that he and his team might not be thinking about?

Well, Musk has been the darling of the right. It’s an open question whether, for example, Donald Trump going back on Twitter is good or bad for Republicans. My reaction when he said “Well, we’re going to wait until after the election” [to reinstate Trump’s account], which just happens to coincide with when Trump reportedly will announce his re-election campaign, was that you can’t play to one side and ignore everyone else.

At the same time, his problems in Congress will not likely be strictly partisan. It’s like the old story about Sam Rayburn talking to a young Lyndon Johnson, when Johnson was sounding off and saying that Republicans were the enemy, and Rayburn said “No, Republicans are our opponents. The Senate is our enemy.”

There are a lot of people [in the Senate] who care about Twitter, and will say “This is my issue.” Dealing with Washington is not walking through a poppy field, it’s walking through a minefield, which I haven't seen Musk do successfully.

What do you think about the concept of “ jawboning ” and how it might intersect with Musk’s ownership of Twitter, especially after the midterms?

We [at the FCC] discouraged the first iteration of the T-Mobile-Sprint merger, saying “You're welcome to present all the facts and then we’ll make a decision based on the facts, but we don't think it's a good idea.” They dropped the effort.

But there’s another kind of jawboning: Congress is going to want to hear from Mr. Musk, and while you may think you’re up there to testify about rockets or cars, the question of “Why did you allow this hate speech on Twitter” is certainly going to come up. Congress, when it can’t legislate, uses hearings to coerce.

I was told by a group of committee chairmen at one point in time that if I didn't do what they wanted me to do on a particular topic, they would have me before their committees once a month. And they lived up to their promise.

And while Musk is used to operating in heavily regulated, established industries like aerospace and automotives, he’s now stepped into one of the murkiest, most unsettled, and politically controversial regulatory areas he could have.

Even Adam Smith said there was a need for regulation before the “invisible hand” could work. When you step into a heavily regulated area, like automobiles, or batteries, or spaceflight, you know what the rules are. In an unregulated environment, there is no such thing as certainty of expectation.

He is now existing in a world where there are no rules, where he is asserting that he can make the rules, to which I say: Good luck.

 

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a blow to crypto regulation

CEO of FTX Sam Bankman-Fried testifies during a hearing.

CEO of FTX Sam Bankman-Fried testifies during a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee on Capitol Hill on December 8, 2021. | Alex Wong/Getty Images

FTX’s collapse isn’t only bad news for its founder Sam Bankman-Fried (not to mention its customers) — it could also be a huge hit to the overall effort to build a regulatory framework around crypto.

POLITICO’s Sam Sutton reported this morning on the regulatory fallout from Bankman-Fried’s sudden financial demise, given how heavily he was involved with the push to bring crypto under the purview of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

“This is a pretty big body blow for an industry that was just starting to get its legs under it,” Isaac Boltansky, director of policy research at the global financial services firm BTIG, told Sam. (Dan Smith, a research analyst at Blockworks, told DFD yesterday that the bipartisan bill currently in the Senate Agriculture Committee that Bankman-Fried was backing is “pretty much dead in the water for the rest of the year.”)

The FTX catastrophe is also a blow to Democrats, for whom Bankman-Fried was the second largest individual donor during the 2022 midterm cycle after George Soros (although his involvement was limited mostly to the primaries).

His high profile and extensive media coverage make it easy to forget how quickly SBF arrived in politics: FEC records show his first major donation occurring in just October 2020. He may not have left a huge stamp on politics, but he’ll surely go down in history for the stunning rapidity with which he came and left — for now — the scene as a power player.

a case study in AI blunders

A rootop view of Amsterdam in the Netherlands. | Reuters

The Netherlands. | REUTERS

For the Dutch, the European Union’s current deliberations over the AI Act hit particularly close to home.

As POLITICO’s Pieter Haeck reported for Morning Tech Europe s today, Dutch Digital Minister Alexandra van Huffelen reasserted at a European Parliament event this week how the Netherlands “pushed hard to have a conformity assessment that included a thorough analysis of an AI system’s risks for health, safety and human rights” in the development of the AI Act, and that they’ll continue to do so.

That’s because of the massive scandal which rocked the country last decade as an AI system meant to detect fraud in childcare benefits malfunctioned so badly that more than 1,000 children were sent erroneously into foster care. That kind of malfunction represents more or less the nightmare scenario for the regulators across the globe who are seeking to put guardrails in place for AI systems, like ensuring that humans are supervising their highest-level decisions, or giving those harmed by them a clear means of redress .

the future in 5 links

Stay in touch with the whole team:  Ben Schreckinger  ( bschreckinger@politico.com );  Derek Robertson  ( drobertson@politico.com );  Steve Heuser  ( sheuser@politico.com ); and  Benton Ives  ( bives@politico.com ). Follow us  @DigitalFuture  on Twitter.

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DON'T MISS A THING FROM THE MILKEN INSTITUTE'S MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA SUMMIT : POLITICO is partnering with the Milken Institute to produce a special edition "Digital Future Daily" newsletter with insider reporting and insights from the Milken Institute's Middle East and Africa Summit happening November 17-18. Hundreds of global leaders will convene, highlighting the important role connection plays in advancing global well-being. The special edition will be the only Digital Future Daily newsletter sent on November 17-18. As a to Digital Future Daily, you will receive the special edition version for those two days. Learn more about the Milken Institute's Middle East and Africa Summit .

 
 
 

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