Mission: Impossible’s inadvertently smart take on AI policy

From: POLITICO's Digital Future Daily - Wednesday Jul 26,2023 08:44 pm
Presented by Consumers for Digital Progress: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
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By Derek Robertson

Presented by Consumers for Digital Progress

Tom Cruise attends the premiere of "Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One" at Rose Theater, at Jazz at Lincoln Center's Frederick P. Rose Hall on Monday, July 10, 2023, in New York. (Photo by Evan Agostini/Invision/AP)

Tom Cruise attends the premiere of the new "Mission: Impossible" film. | AP

This week, apparently, DFD goes to the movies: “Oppenheimer” wasn’t the only film released this summer blockbuster season that has a lot to say about AI.

The other one is “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One,” which, in addition to its title absolutely rolling off the tongue, happens to deal head-on with the growing fear in both Silicon Valley and Washington that AI could pose an existential threat to humanity.

In the film a rogue AI known only as “the entity” manipulates human actors to do its mysterious bidding, insinuating itself into the world’s defense and financial systems and setting off a global race to control the software by any means necessary.

It’s not the first Hollywood film with an AI villain, but it is the first to land amid the current wave of anxiety and hype about the technology. And while it delivers (and then some) on its promised action spectacle, the way the film actually deals with the threats posed by AI is revealing in a very different way. It’s a window into why AI is such a slippery policy issue in the real world.

The main threat posed by the movie’s rogue AI isn’t its intention to launch the world’s nukes, or endlessly reproduce itself at the expense of humanity, or bring down the global banking system, all of which are risks being pondered by serious people, and even addressed in some policy ideas. It’s in its power to manipulate “the truth” — the film’s protagonists breathlessly describe the entity’s ability to manipulate all digitally-transmitted communications and media, plunging the world into a morass of uncertainty and mistrust.

Sound familiar? There’s a cynical argument to be made that we’ve already gotten ourselves pretty far down the road to such an outcome without the help of AI. There’s a non-cynical argument that generative models are poised to make this much, much worse; they’re already creating eerily lifelike audio and video of public figures. The futuristic threat the “M:I7” screenwriters conjure is, like an episode of “Black Mirror,” not much more than our current reality skewed a few more degrees toward the fantastical.

I won’t spoil the story after that, but you could say the most fantastical plot point of all is the hope that we could successfully do anything about this problem. The fight against “misinformation,” despite spawning a lucrative cottage industry, has proved maddeningly resistant to technical or policy fixes since its modern inception roughly a decade ago. The film, in this sense, ultimately serves as a reminder of how powerless humanity has already proven itself in that fight.

It does raise another specter of AI-related doom. Or, rather, one that AI enables: The global Easter egg hunt that Tom Cruise’s superspy Ethan Hunt undertakes is to track down a key (yes, a physical key) that will unlock the power of the AI “entity,” something that every government on Earth, including America’s, now desperately covets. The AI, seemingly omnipotent, will not only grant the state that wields it a nebulous “truth”-establishing power but total digital supremacy over all of its rivals.

In an exaggerated form, that’s a threat about which real-world actors both public and private are keenly aware, with the U.S. framing the race for AI supremacy over China as a global zero-sum competition. “How is it in our interest to allow them to get technology that they may turn around and use against us?” Secretary of State Anthony Blinken asked the Council on Foreign Relations in June.

In the real world, that means narrowly targeted trade controls to prevent U.S. companies from selling high-end semiconductors to our economic rivals — not exactly the stuff of summer blockbusters.

Aside from drawing into sharp relief just how maddening and diffuse AI is as a real-world policy issue, the film also serves as a useful parable about how developers or policymakers should respond to AI — it turns out the world doesn’t necessarily need to be protected from the AI itself, but from the avaricious and power-hungry humans who want to use it. Our real-life efforts toward “AI safety” might ultimately not be about taming a wild and dangerous sci-fi technology, but making a very powerful computer effectively user-proof.

 

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the skeptical spectator

Tech-nerd Twitter — gah, sorry, X, we’ll get used to it soon — blew up this morning after the publication of a pre-print from a South Korean research team that claims it discovered a way for superconductors to work at room temperature, a discovery with massive implications for everything from energy to computer science.

Most superconductors need to be kept at extremely low temperatures to work — around -284 degrees Fahrenheit — making them impractical for everyday purposes. For context, that’s 140 degrees colder than the coldest place on earth, according to NASA. Finding a way to run them under normal environmental conditions would bring a massive reduction in their operation cost, and provide cheap power storage.

Science takes time, and only reproduction and verification will tell whether the Korean researchers’ work is legit. But studies about superconductivity like this get published a lot, and are accompanied by scandal almost as frequently, including in the case of one completely separate study the New York Times reported on just today. And at least one writer is already skeptical: Matt Ridley, a British science writer and former member of the United Kingdom House of Lords, wrote in The Spectator that “the paper comes from an unknown team at a start-up institute with little track record in the field, it has not been peer reviewed and its charts are frankly a mess,” and it will likely “prove to be just a familiar hype-and-disappoint cycle of the kind that plagues the field of energy physics.”

A certain amount of such skepticism is fair enough in a world where the promise of, say, unlimited cheap fusion-generated energy always seems right around the corner without ever arriving. But don’t take Ridley’s word for it: He quotes superconductivity expert professor Jorge Hirsch at University of California at San Diego, who told him the paper is “...not superconductivity. It’s experimental artifacts, wishful thinking and poor judgment (in the best scenario).”

 

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norma rae-i

Can AI be held accountable for union-busting?

The hospitality workers union UNITE HERE Local 11 is trying to answer that question in a complaint targeting gig-economy app Instawork, as POLITICO’s Alfred Ng reported in today’s Morning Tech newsletter. The union claims that while helping a Los Angeles-area hotel replace striking workers, the app violated labor laws by automatically penalizing a replacement worker who decided to join the strike instead.

Alfred points out that in a memo published last year, a lawyer for the National Labor Relations Board urged NLRB leadership to protect workers from the kind of “automated management practices” like the one that penalized the Instawork worker. UNITE HERE Local 11 said it will continue its strike against both the hotel and Instawork itself until the NLRB reaches a decision on the complaint.

It’s one of several different ways that workers have started to target AI specifically in public; the Hollywood writers’ strike is another. Sarah Myers West, managing director of the AI Now Institute, told Alfred the systems tend to “work out very well for employers,” but do not “serve workers’ needs.”

 

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Tweet of the Day

superconductivity so good slay haha zero resistance at room temperature gang gang yes yes yes so many use cases including ultra efficient energy transmission thank you lopezyou’re right we do need to wait & see if these results can be reproduced scientific method so good

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