Washington watches as West Coast nerds fight for future of AI

From: POLITICO's Digital Future Daily - Monday Nov 20,2023 09:36 pm
How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Nov 20, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO's Digital Future Daily newsletter logo

By Ben Schreckinger

Former OpenAI CEO Sam Altman testifies before congress.

Former OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. | (Francis Chung/POLITICO)

The sudden ouster of CEO Sam Altman from OpenAI, the hottest startup in artificial intelligence, by the organization’s board has roiled the tech world.

In doing so, it has also highlighted the extraordinary power that the culture and characters of Silicon Valley consumer-tech startups now wield over the development of strategically vital technologies.

Washington, a town of over-socialized strivers answering to octogenarian bosses, is watching from the sidelines. Young, eccentric techies are fighting for control of the future while operating on a model largely inspired by Mark Zuckerberg’s success turning a web tool for rating his college classmates’ attractiveness into an $800 billion attention-harvesting juggernaut.

The success of that startup model in consumer tech has led both to its adoption for more sensitive technologies — including those with national security applications — and to the development of idiosyncratic, tech-centric worldviews among the Silicon Valley set. This week, it has created a dramatic contrast with the more prosaic concerns of the people trying to understand and regulate it.

The typical critique of Washington is that its policy disputes often mask more venal motives like money and power. The OpenAI rift seems almost exactly the opposite: While the details of the firing remain unclear, early reports indicate that what looks like a business argument is actually wrapped up in an ideological schism.

In one corner, the majority of OpenAI's board members were sympathetic to the effective altruism movement — a worldview made infamous by Sam Bankman-Fried — whose adherents, guided by long-term utilitarian thinking, worry a great deal about the potential existential risks of a super-intelligent AI.

Altman, meanwhile, has expressed more optimistic views about AI’s trajectory, and kept releasing more powerful versions of his AI platform. The competitive pressures of a technological arms race led to internal tensions over the tradeoffs between speed and caution.

The rift was exacerbated by OpenAI’s unusual corporate structure, in which the board of a non-profit umbrella organization wields influence over a for-profit subsidiary subject to commercial pressures.

The firing has made Altman, at least for the moment, a hero of yet another Silicon Valley intellectual movement: the effective accelerationists. They want to speed up disruptive change on the theory that, to quote one of its manifestos, “the force of technocapitalistic progress is inevitable."

Of course, not everybody agrees that the founders and executives of tech companies are quite so important to the future of humanity as these dueling Silicon Valley ideologies make them out to be.

But you don’t have to buy into these ideologies to recognize that their rifts might be important — especially if when those involved wield massive budgets and influence. A century ago, Mensheviks and Bolsheviks looked, from a distance, like one big blob of Marxists, only to have their internecine factional struggles determine the fates of nations.

Altman came to OpenAI as a classic bright young Silicon Valley figure, by way of his role as CEO of Y Combinator, a start-up accelerator famous for its ability to churn out Facebook-style tech successes. The company has launched well-known consumer products like Reddit, AirBnb and DoorDash, as well as less-known companies like 9Gag, a platform for posting internet memes.

On Monday, the board of OpenAI announced that it was replacing Altman with Emmett Shear, who until earlier this year was the CEO of Twitch, an online platform that lets people watch other people play video games.

In the world of effective altruism, Shear is also known for appearing as a wizard in a long piece of Harry Potter fan fiction, “Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality,” written between 2010 and 2015 by Eliezer Yudkowsky, an influential thinker among those concerned about the risks of AI.

It's safe to say none of this came up in May, when Altman made his tour of Washington. He spoke in front of the Senate on the risks and benefits of AI, offering — unusually for a CEO — to play ball with reasonable regulations, even licensing of the most powerful versions of the technology.

He did something similar in Europe, becoming the friendly face of a company otherwise profoundly opaque to the people trying to govern it from the outside.

The real reason Altman occupied that spot of influence, of course, was that OpenAI was already worth tens of billions of dollars, and had a product that Altman himself had succeeded in framing as transformative.

The fact that these kinds of baroque, almost science-fiction arguments are at the same time bubbling beneath the surface only illustrates the risks of letting Silicon Valley's self-appointed icons run away with the conversation. In Washington, the big debates tend to center around clear public issues like fairness and national security. In the world of AI, the big debates can be hard to distinguish from fantasy literature.

For now, Altman is winning the break up — at least on the business front. Large segments of the tech world have rallied to his side, from former Google CEO Eric Schmidt down to the lowliest entrepreneurs, while most of OpenAI’s staff is in open revolt over his dismissal. And Microsoft, a part owner of OpenAI that was reportedly blindsided by the firing, has already brought Altman on to lead an internal AI division.

Ironically, the botched board coup could help safety-minded effective altruists win the broader argument, by highlighting the curious conditions under which the development of AI is currently proceeding.

The news has hit Washington during a pre-holiday lull, and insiders have been staying mum about the chaos around what was, until Friday, the leading AI company. But it fair to say that next time Altman, or another AI wunderkind, tours Washington, he's likely to face a little less deference, and a few more pointed questions.

 

GET A BACKSTAGE PASS TO COP28 WITH GLOBAL PLAYBOOK: Get insider access to the conference that sets the tone of the global climate agenda with POLITICO's Global Playbook newsletter. Authored by Suzanne Lynch, Global Playbook delivers exclusive, daily insights and comprehensive coverage that will keep you informed about the most crucial climate summit of the year. Dive deep into the critical discussions and developments at COP28 from Nov. 30 to Dec. 12. SUBSCRIBE NOW.

 
 

Sam Altman had barely been fired by OpenAI before other nations with big tech ambitions began courting him.

French Digital Minister Jean-Noël Barrot offered Altman an open door, which would help Paris reach its lofty AI ambitions, POLITICO’s Jones Hayden reported Saturday.

"Sam Altman, his team and their talents are welcome in France, where we are accelerating [efforts] to put artificial intelligence at the service of the common good," Barrot wrote in a post on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.

Altman met with French President Emmanuel Macron in May to discuss the place of France and Europe in the global race for artificial intelligence.

The 38-year-old entrepreneur does not appear to be France-bound after he joined Microsoft, the biggest investor in OpenAI. But France’s naked outreach shows just how eager the country is to be a major player in the field — just as France and Germany team up against some of the EU AI Act’s regulation of “foundation models,” prompting sharp criticism from some in the regulation camp.

News for South America’s future: Bitcoin-loving libertarian economist Javier Milei won Argentina’s presidential election Sunday, putting another tech-minded right-wing populist at the head of a Latin American country (alongside El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele, who made bitcoin legal tender two years ago).

Milei, a self-described anarcho-capitalist and former television talking head, has said he intends to use Bitcoin as a tool to boost Argentina’s moribund economy and called its use “the return of money to its original creator, the private sector,” although he hasn’t yet announced any concrete plans to implement the technology.

Milei defeated Argentina’s Economy Minister Sergio Massa, who had pushed for a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, to fight rampant inflation. That position put Massa at odds with many of Milei’s allies on the right, who see CBDCs as a potential tool for establishing tyranny and widespread digital surveillance.

 

SUBSCRIBE TO CALIFORNIA CLIMATE: Climate change isn’t just about the weather. It's also about how we do business and create new policies, especially in California. So we have something cool for you: A brand-new California Climate newsletter. It's not just climate or science chat, it's your daily cheat sheet to understanding how the legislative landscape around climate change is shaking up industries across the Golden State. Subscribe now to California Climate to keep up with the changes.

 
 
Tweet of the Day
THE FUTURE IN 5 LINKS

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Mohar Chatterjee (mchatterjee@politico.com); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); Nate Robson (nrobson@politico.com) and Daniella Cheslow (dcheslow@politico.com).

If you’ve had this newsletter forwarded to you, you can sign up and read our mission statement at the links provided.

 

Follow us on Twitter

Ben Schreckinger @SchreckReports

Derek Robertson @afternoondelete

Steve Heuser @sfheuser

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://www.politico.com/_login?base=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

| Privacy Policy | Terms of Service

More emails from POLITICO's Digital Future Daily

Nov 17,2023 09:02 pm - Friday

5 questions for Scott Aaronson

Nov 16,2023 09:23 pm - Thursday

The new space race with China

Nov 15,2023 09:02 pm - Wednesday

The quantum Christmas tree

Nov 14,2023 09:20 pm - Tuesday

Keeping up with the drones-es

Nov 13,2023 09:02 pm - Monday

War and peace in outer space

Nov 10,2023 09:02 pm - Friday

5 questions for QED-C's Celia Merzbacher

Nov 09,2023 09:20 pm - Thursday

A lesson from the GOP's TikTok 'scum' moment