Nearing the horizon – Republicans and business – The color of hydrogen

From: POLITICO's The Long Game - Tuesday Aug 24,2021 04:03 pm
Aug 24, 2021 View in browser
 
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By Lorraine Woellert and Catherine Boudreau

THE BIG IDEA

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell | Alex Wong/Getty Images

NEARING THE HORIZON — It was 2015 when Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank of England, famously warned of climate risk in his tragedy-of-the-horizon speech.

Six years later, the world’s central banks have yet to take up their formidable regulatory weapons in the fight against climate change, activists say. Now a ranking of the world’s 12 largest central banks has put the granddaddy of them all, the U.S. Federal Reserve, dead last, behind India and China, when it comes to climate action.

The Fed failed every metric measured by Oil Change International, a nonprofit advocacy group based in Washington, D.C., earning a grade of “grossly insufficient.”

“The Fed has been late to the party,” said David Tong, a global campaign manager for the group. “I’m surprised that the Fed is lagging behind, partly because of the vast scale of oil and gas production in the U.S.”

The report adds to a volley of criticism aimed at Fed Chair Jerome Powell, a Republican tapped by then-President Donald Trump to become Fed chief in 2018, as the left mobilizes against his renomination.

Among their complaints: Under one pandemic response program, the Fed bought $5.1 billion worth of corporate bonds, about 9 percent of which went to fossil fuel producers and other “dirty” industries.

It might not sound like much, but the $470 million the Fed spent buying fossil fuel corporate bonds is disproportionately high compared with the industry's share of overall corporate debt and equity markets. And in the context of economic recovery, the industry accounts for a small portion of U.S. employment, Tong said. It's the only sector where the Fed was overweight on all three metrics.

A program for smaller businesses directed nearly 13 percent of loans to fossil fuels and 1 percent to renewable energy companies, Oil Change International said.

The Fed’s money, combined with congressional pandemic aid, “triggered a fossil fuel borrowing boom,” the nonprofit wrote. In the six months leading to September 2020, 56 oil and gas companies issued $99.3 billion in debt, the highest level of borrowing in a decade.

Let’s be clear — Powell has stepped up. Yes, he’s said that climate change isn’t a “main factor” in Fed policy decisions. But under his watch, the central bank joined the Network for Greening the Financial System, a global coalition of central bankers and regulators focused on mitigating climate risk. Powell has called climate change an emerging risk for banks and established a supervision climate committee. The bank’s stability report mentioned climate for the first time in November.

He has told lawmakers that ensuring a “resilient” financial system fits with the Fed’s congressional mandates, and says “there’s a lot to like” about climate stress tests.

Powell’s term expires in February. President Joe Biden is expected to make a decision on his renomination this fall.

“Civil society will keep the pressure up to have Powell replaced, and if Powell is nominated, civil society will keep the pressure on Powell to act,” Tong said.

So which bank is getting it right? None of them. The European Central Bank came closest, but Oil Change assigned all of them a poor rating.

YOU TELL US

Should Powell stay or should he go? And why? We’re at cboudreau@politico.com and lwoellert@politico.com, and on Twitter @ceboudreau and @Woellert . FOMO? Sign up for The Long Game.

WASHINGTON WATCH

HEADLINE RISK — Republicans’ faith in Big Business has plummeted, a dramatic change in sentiment that coincides with the rise of corporate social responsibility and voter populism.

Since 2019, the share of rank-and-file Republicans who say large corporations have a positive impact on the U.S. has fallen by almost half, to 30 percent from 54 percent, according to a Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults.

The upshot: Republicans used to be the party of business. These days, there’s not much light between them and Democrats, Pew found.

“It’s striking, there’s no question about it,” said Carroll Doherty , Pew’s director of political research. “For large corporations specifically, members of both parties are saying they have a negative impact on the country.”

Businesses are feeling it. Lobbyists tell The Long Game that while they still have friends in Washington, it has become much harder to get even bipartisan legislation passed. GOP attitudes toward big banks and tech companies took a dive, too, Pew found, and regulation is a growing threat.

“Republican leaders obviously listen to their voters,” Doherty said. “The ground is shifting.”

We saw this under Trump, who famously went to war with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other industry groups over his trade policies. In the Biden era, companies that wade into policy debates over voting rights and diversity are drawing fire from conservative groups.

Consumers’ Research, a Washington-based nonprofit, has launched a multimillion-dollar campaign to agitate against Coca-Cola, American Airlines and other companies with political-style naming-and-shaming ads. Executive Director Will Hild said companies are using hot-button social issues to distract consumers from bad service, forced labor practices and other failings.

DATA DIVE

FLEET ON FLEEK — One of Biden’s first climate actions was to direct federal agencies to electrify their fleets. If the government can pull it off, taxpayers could save a bundle, according to an analysis from Atlas Public Policy.

Researchers compared government-owned gas-powered buses and light-duty cars and trucks with their EV replacements.

Potential savings by 2030 if the government switches nearly all its buses and light-duty vehicles to electric


Sustainable Finance

China’s nascent emissions trading scheme has the potential to reduce the country’s carbon emissions by as much as 60 percent by 2060. Utilities likely would be the first sector to be materially affected by the trading scheme, followed by steel, cement, chemicals and aluminium. The analysis is from the Asia Investor Group on Climate Change and Schroders.

VERBATIM

HYDROGEN HANG-UPS – A day before the U.K. unveiled its strategy to scale hydrogen production, Chris Jackson quit his role as chair of the industry’s leading trade group, the U.K. Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Association.

Jackson is also founder and CEO of Protium Green Solutions, a company that develops green hydrogen projects using renewable energy. He said his decision was driven by opposition to blue hydrogen, which is made from natural gas and relies on carbon capture to reduce emissions generated by its production.

Jackson described blue hydrogen as “an expensive distraction” at best and “a lock-in for continued fossil fuel use” at worst. He spoke to Catherine last week.

Tell us more about why you resigned.

In the debate around hydrogen, it’s not a silver bullet. It’s not the answer to every problem. But I do think green hydrogen is the future and I can’t stand up and say we should continue supporting oil and gas production.

The U.K. mostly imports natural gas and wants to be net-zero. With blue hydrogen, you can capture up to 97 percent of emissions at the point when it’s converted from natural gas. So there’s 3 percent you can’t capture, and that doesn’t account for the upstream emissions in the supply chain.

Blue hydrogen supporters say they can produce it more cheaply today than green. That’s fine. But I don’t think the U.K government, with a limited budget, should be using taxpayer money to subsidize mostly oil and gas companies instead of SMEs [small and midsize enterprises] advancing green hydrogen.

What do you think of the overall U.K. strategy?

The strategy is positive because it gives investors some certainty that up to 30 percent of all U.K. energy could be hydrogen.

What was disappointing was this twin-track approach. The government said they recognize a role for blue and green hydrogen. So even though they each have different carbon footprints and reward different players, the government will treat them the same.

BP posted a more than $4 billion profit last quarter. Is it appropriate to make the SMEs looking to advance green hydrogen compete for the same funding? That probably isn’t the way you should do it.

What’s next?

The green hydrogen industry needs to step up as the U.K. government discusses price supports and early capital grants and holds consultations on how to measure the carbon footprint of hydrogen.

I think most politicians do support green hydrogen, so we need to show there is investment willing to go into the industry and also move conversation away from cost.

AROUND THE WORLD

WHOA — Swedish venture HYBRIT said it has delivered the world’s first shipment of steel produced without using coal. Volvo Group, the purchaser, expects to implement it into its full automotive fleet by 2026. Small-scale production of cars made with green steel will start in 2022, Volvo says. Steel currently accounts for around 8 percent of global emissions. Reuters has the details.

EXTREMES

The U.S.-Mexico border wall

The U.S.-Mexico border wall | Apu Gomes/Getty Images

Trump’s border wall took a beating from Arizona’s monsoons. Metal gates near the San Bernardino National Wildlife Refuge were ripped from their hinges and hanging open after record-setting rain. The area has had double its usual rainfall, and a downpour on Monday unleashed flooding. A spokesman for U.S. Customs and Border Protection confirmed the damage to the Tucson Sentinel.

In case you’ve forgotten: Trump rolled back climate policies and withdrew the U.S. from the Paris Climate Agreement.

Climate change was a factor in Europe’s deadly July floods. A report from World Weather Attribution said rising temperatures made the floods between 20 percent and 900 percent more likely. “Climate change is hitting us everywhere now,” said Maarten van Aalst, director of the Climate Centre and an author of the report. “What’s already been emitted is already affecting us today and is going to stay with us a while.”

WHAT WE'RE CLICKING

— Patagonia practices politics. The outdoor clothing company is pulling its merchandise from stores operated by Jackson Hole Mountain Resort after one of the owners hosted a fundraiser for Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.). The Washington Post has the story.

— Snakes near the plane. A parcel of land owned by San Francisco International Airport provides a habitat for the resurgence of the endangered garter snake, The Guardian reports.

 

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