Biden's parent trap

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Friday Oct 22,2021 09:27 pm
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West Wing Playbook

By Sam Stein, Alex Thompson and Tina Sfondeles

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One of the more vexing problems President JOE BIDEN has faced in office is how to translate his policy accomplishments into political gain. The next few weeks may present a new complication from the other side of the coin: What happens to those voters who did feel an impact from Biden’s policies if they see that impact diminished or taken away?

At issue is the extended child tax credit, which was initially passed in the Covid-19 relief bill. It provided a $300 payment per month for every child under the age of seven and a $250-per-month payment for every child under the age of 17, so long as they lived in married households earning less than $150,000 annually. The program is set to expire in December and Democrats are hoping to extend it as part of the Build Back Better package.

Like most elements of that package, however, the party’s initial hopes for the program are likely to be scaled back. Talks are focusing on a one-year extension rather than four years. And SEN. JOE MANCHIN has called for a tighter income cap on those who can benefit, as well as work requirements for recipients, which Biden has publicly opposed.

For recipients of the CTC, this is creating an immense amount of anxiety, confusion, and despondence. In interviews, tax credit recipients — all but one of whom self-identified as a Democrat — explained the myriad of ways that the expansion reshaped their lives and offered their disillusionment that Democrats would muck it up.

Take JAKE WRIGHT, 40, of Rochester, Minn. The new child tax credit benefit helped pay for child care for his two sons, ages four and two. Both he and his wife are teachers. And being back in the classroom has meant an added level of inflexibility around childcare. The Manchin proposal, Wright said, would result in them losing $600 in monthly CTC payments.

“I’ve been a Democrat my entire adult life, but letting a program expire… or means testing it so that people who will genuinely benefit from it will lose out on much needed help infuriates me,” he said. “It makes me wonder why I bother supporting these people. I’m angry about this issue in a way I haven’t been with the Democratic Party, especially Manchin and [Arizona Sen. KYRSTEN] SINEMA, for as long as I can remember.”

KELLY JOHNSON, 48, of Whitesboro, N.Y., has three children ages 15, 14 and 10. Her husband died unexpectedly in May at the age of 50, and with his passing came the loss of a large source of the family’s income. She’s used the CTC money for groceries and sporting gear for her kids. A $1,000 check in October is being put aside for Christmas presents. She’s a staunch Democrat and will vote for Biden again.

“But I just don’t understand why if the government could help families live better that people wouldn’t support that,” Johnson said.

DAN SMITH, 37, is a programs counselor at SUNY. He is divorced with two kids, one of whom he claims on his taxes. He’s used the CTC expansion to increase his contributions for both children’s 529 college savings accounts. The money hasn’t had a “huge impact” on his life, he says. But it’s given him the chance to do some long-term planning.

“It just goes to show who both parties are,” Smith said. “You have the Republican Party who flat out says we don’t want to do anything to help working class Americans... And then you have the Democratic Party, which should be set up to do the most basic things that could help the American people in unprecedented times, a pandemic, and they’re like, ‘No we can’t do that.’”

CHRISTOPHER ROSE, an adjunct English professor at Baylor University, has two kids, ages four and two. The CTC funds helped him and his wife, an OBGYN, pay for childcare, which was critical when their daycare shut down due to a Covid incident in August and early September. He said he wouldn’t mind if the extension expired were the pandemic under control. But it isn’t.

“I’m a pretty reliable Democratic voter, but my perception of Biden would change if he can’t get a bill through at all,” he said.

And then there is JASON H. (he asked that his last name not be used) from Chattanooga. Thirty-nine years of age, both he and his wife work in health care. Specifically, he is a respiratory therapist in his hospital’s Covid ICU. He has two boys, ages two and three (“zero stars, do not recommend,” he said of spacing out the progeny by just one year). The CTC isn’t essential for the family’s survival. But it is providing a measure of certainty in a deeply uncertain time.

“We all crave a return to ‘normalcy’ but what that means to many is consistency, predictability,” he said. “I don't ‘need’ that money. But I do need to know whether it will be there or not.”

It remains to be seen what the final deal will be on the extended Child Tax Credit, if a deal is reached at all. Clearer is the impact that the extension has had. Researchers at Columbia University estimated that if it was extended through its duration, the program could “reduce monthly child poverty by up to 40 percent.”

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PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA

Courtesy of the White House Historical Association

Which president affectionately referred to one of his vehicles as the “Sunshine Special?”

(Answer at the bottom.)

The Oval

KNOLLER CORNER — Former CBS White House reporter MARK KNOLLER sent us some notable town hall stats on how Biden compares to his immediate predecessors in favoring the forum.

By this point in his presidency, BARACK OBAMA had participated in 21 town halls including one hosted by ABC and 19 of them White House hosted town halls (these are tougher amidst Covid). Trump had only done one town hall — a CEO event hosted by the White House. Biden has now done three, all hosted by CNN.

DOOCE ON THE LOOSE: Fox News’ PETER DOOCY asked press secretary JEN PSAKI why Biden said at the CNN town hall last night that he’d been to the southern border.

A fixation of the conservative press, a presidential visit would most likely be political theater without much, if any, immigration policy substance. Psaki had to go back to 2008, when Biden was still in the Senate, to back up his claim. "He did drive through the border when he was on the campaign trail in 2008," she said.

Here's the fact check from the Washington Post’s GLENN KESSLER: “Biden said he’s been to the southern border before. It was a drive-by.”

BON VOYAGE: VP KAMALA HARRIS and second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF are heading to Paris in November. Harris will deliver a speech at the Paris Peace Forum on Nov. 11 and will participate in the Paris Conference on Libya on Nov. 12. She’ll also meet with French President EMMANUEL MACRON to discuss the “importance of the transatlantic relationship to global peace and security,” the VP’s office said in a statement.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: A Reuters story that says the vaccine mandate for federal contractors won’t impact holiday travel. White House assistant press secretary KEVIN MUNOZ tweeted the story, writing, “Re-upping this as there’s such breathlessness today. Read the article.” DAVID SHEPARDSON and RAJESH KUMAR SINGH write that Southwest Airlines has said no employees will lose their jobs if they don’t get the vaccine by Dec. 9. American Airlines also said they had no expectations of losing employees due to the mandate.

White House Covid-19 coordinator JEFF ZIENTS also said this on Wednesday: "Vaccination requirements will not impact holiday travel.”

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: Gallup’s latest polling analysis with the headline: “Biden Job Approval Steady at Lower Level.”

A central promise of Biden’s candidacy and presidency was to unify the country — a pledge he reiterated last night at the CNN town hall. “If we can’t eventually unite this country, we’re in deep trouble,” he warned.

But unity has been hard to come by. Gallup’s analysis found his approval among Democrats to be at 92 percent and disapproval among Republicans at 94 percent.

Gallup notes that the “88-point partisan gap in job approval is the largest for Biden thus far in his presidency and ranks among the largest in more than eight decades of Gallup measurements of presidential approval. Donald Trump is the only president to receive more politically polarized approval ratings, having done so on several occasions, including a record 92 points just before the 2020 election.”

LIVE FROM NEWARK — Biden’s sister and confidante, VAL BIDEN OWENS, interviewed Saturday Night Live’s LORNE MICHAELS Thursday night at the University of Delaware's Mitchell Hall in Newark, The News Journal’s PATRICIA TALORICO reports.

Per Talorico: “Biden Owens said bringing Michaels to UD came about through their mutual friendship with former Sen. Chris Dodd, D-Conn., who also attended the talk.”

ICYMI: Our look at the Biden-Dodd relationship.

THANKS FOR READING? The Pod Save America guys discussed/didn’t like our top earlier this week on Biden’s lack of interviews. “Alex Thompson of POLITICO, of course, wrote a piece this week where he accused the White House of having a ‘bunker mentality’ since Biden has only done 10 sit-down 1-on-1 interviews and none since Labor Day, even though he’s taken many questions from reporters after events,” host JON FAVREAU said (listen here).

Read the original piece here.

Filling the Ranks

NEW HAT — NEERA TANDEN, senior adviser to the president, was named White House staff secretary on Friday, replacing JESSICA HERTZ, whom DANIEL LIPPMAN scooped last week was leaving the White House. QUINT FORGEY and EUGENE DANIELS report that Tanden will remain a senior adviser “and will continue to provide leadership on particular projects and initiatives,” a White House official said. Tanden will report to White House chief of staff RON KLAIN . The Washington Post first reported the news.

Agenda Setting

BACKTRACK — Biden didn’t hesitate at Thursday’s town hall when asked whether the U.S. would come to Taiwan’s defense if China is attacked. But the White House later clarified the president’s comments , telling POLITICO that there had been no change in policy and that the U.S. defense relationship with Taiwan is guided by the Taiwan Relations Act, MYAH WARD reports. Biden made a similar comment in August during an interview with ABC News.

HO HO NO: While the White House is working to assure everyone that holiday travel won’t be affected by a vaccine mandate for federal contractors, the trade association for UPS, FedEx and others is sounding the alarm over the Dec. 8 deadline, saying it threatens to wreak havoc at the busiest time of the year, NATASHA KORECKI writes. The letter asks the Biden administration to postpone the deadline until “the first half of 2022.”

 

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What We're Reading

With Xi-Biden meeting, U.S. aims to show responsible handling of China ties (Reuters’ Trevor Hunnicutt, David Brunnstrom and Michael Martina)

Private prison companies pursue creative workarounds to Biden executive order (The Intercept’s Max Rivlin-Nadler)

Where's Joe

He had no public events today. Later this evening, he and the first lady are flying to Wilmington, Del. for the weekend.

Where's Kamala

She traveled to New York City to deliver remarks at the Northeast Bronx YMCA about the administration’s agenda and how it will benefit working families. Secretary of Health and Human Services XAVIER BECERRA also attended the event and gave remarks.

The Oppo Book

HERBIE ZISKEND, now Harris’ deputy communications director, had a crucial task while serving in the Obama administration.

Just before President BARACK OBAMA’s ceremonial first pitch at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., his close aide REGGIE LOVE called Ziskend — a baseball lover and a fellow lefty — to see if he had a left-handed glove to spare.

Obama ended up borrowing Ziskend’s glove while throwing out a pitch that was objectively terrible — wide and high.

Still, Ziskend thought the glove needed to be showcased, and who can blame him?

His housemate and fellow White House aide JAKE LEVINE recalled him saying, “‘The president used my glove and we should treat it accordingly’ … And it started to take on a life of its own.”

No joke: the glove is now showcased at Newton North High School in Massachusetts — Ziskend’s old stomping grounds, according to a 2018 Boston Globe article.

 

A message from Coalition for Medicare Choices:

Medicare Advantage is 27 million strong: that’s the number of seniors and people with disabilities who rely on Medicare Advantage for access to high-quality, affordable health care. The program covers more racially diverse populations than original Medicare and approximately 40% of Medicare Advantage members make less than $25,000 per year. Medicare Advantage has strong bipartisan support because it is a prime example of the government and free market working together to deliver lower costs, more choices, and better outcomes. In fact, according to new data from CMS, Medicare Advantage premiums are set to decrease an additional 10% in 2022, dropping to an average premium of just $19 per month. And, with a 94% satisfaction rate among enrollees, Medicare Advantage outperforms original Medicare on 16 out of 16 different clinical quality measures. Seniors and people with disabilities are raising their voices to say, “don’t cut my care.”

 
Trivia Answer

Former President FRANKLIN D. ROOSEVELT called his leased 1939 Lincoln K series limousine from the Ford Motor Company, “Sunshine Special.”

AND A CALL OUT — Do you have a harder trivia question about the presidency? Send us your best one and we may use it: westwingtips@politico.com.

We want your trivia, but we also want your feedback. What should we be covering in this newsletter that we’re not? What are we getting wrong? Please let us know.

Edited by Emily Cadei

 

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