The fever can't be tamed

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Friday Nov 12,2021 10:15 pm
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West Wing Playbook

By Sam Stein, Tina Sfondeles and Alex Thompson

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There were two developments on the Republican side of the aisle this week that caught the White House’s attention, both for what they said about the state of American politics and for what they portend about future bipartisan relations.

The first was the conservative reaction, exceedingly negative and threatening, to the votes cast by 13 House GOPers in favor of the infrastructure bill — which was negotiated and passed with bipartisan support in the Senate and which President JOE BIDEN will sign into law on Monday. The second was the conservative reaction, almost exclusively ho-hum, to Rep. PAUL GOSAR’s (R-Ariz.) sharing of an anime video in which he is depicted killing his colleague, Rep. ALEXANDRIA OCASIO-CORTEZ (D-N.Y.)

Few, if any, inside the White House are dewy-eyed about the state of modern politics. But even among the jaded, the disparity in response to these two events was jarring.

“On the one hand, you have a bill with strong support across the country and both parties that everyone agrees is needed,” is how White House deputy press secretary ANDREW BATES put it. “But voting for it was somehow considered to be worse than a congressman depicting himself killing a colleague.”

Among administration officials, the belief is that the reaction to those 13 House Republicans — which included calls for them to be stripped of their committee assignments and a retribution campaign launched by fellow GOP lawmakers that involved posting their office phone numbers online (after which several received death threats) — was due to unique legislative circumstances. The bill itself wasn’t the problem, since 19 Senate Republicans voted for it too and no specter of violence followed. The problem was the perception that its passage helped secure votes for Biden’s social spending plan and boosted Biden politically at a particularly vulnerable moment.

But that didn’t exactly calm nerves. Indeed, Biden himself seemed to be taken aback by it.

“I'm hoping … that we can get back to a place where there's more civility in politics,” he said in a speech at a virtual grassroots event for the Democratic National Committee. “I really mean it. And I've never seen it this way.”

When Biden was running for office, he offered up a theory of the case about Republican behavior. Privately, he argued, a good number of elected members were quite fine working across the aisle but needed to be shown the benefits of doing so outweighed the obvious political costs. The conceit was that he was uniquely able to tilt the cost-benefit analysis towards collaboration because of his reputation for moderation and relationship building.

That theory is being deeply tested right now. Having spent the 2020 campaign and his early presidency as teflon for Republicans, Biden has quickly become their bete noire. As the Washington Post’s DAVE WEIGEL reported, anti-Biden merch sales are popping. You can’t go more than a few threads on Twitter without seeing a “Let’s Go Brandon” meme.

Against that backdrop, one can view it as remarkable that Biden was still able to push through a major bipartisan bill. His theory of the case was proven true!

But the reality is more complicated. Infrastructure was the lowest hanging of the bipartisan fruit. And its passage didn’t break the fever, it worsened it. Even inside the White House, few see hope for any future Republican collaboration beyond items like buffing up cybersecurity measures or legislation designed to increase competitiveness with China.

More likely, is that Biden's presidency is heading towards a period of intense, high-stakes confrontations with Republicans as the party psychologically tilts even more towards the camp that lashed out at the 13 House members and shrugs its shoulders at the Gosars of the caucus. It will be, in short, an era of gridlock and shutdowns and the type of merciless politics that Biden had hoped to avoid.

“There was a very short list for bipartisan compromise anyway. There was probably one big thing and they just checked it off,” said BRENDAN BUCK, who served as a top aide to former Speaker PAUL RYAN. “If Republicans take back the House, we are going to go back to legislating by conflict and getting things done through standoffs.”

INTRODUCING ‘POTUS PUZZLER’— Regular readers of this newsletter know we try to keep our trivia questions fun, really difficult, and a little nerdy. Starting this week, we are partnering with the Miller Center of Public Affairs, a nonpartisan research center and preeminent authority on the American presidency based at the University of Virginia, to help us test your White House know-how.

BUT, BUT, BUT: We have been pleasantly surprised by the stupendous reader-submitted trivia we’ve received, so we are going to keep featuring a POTUS Puzzler from a reader every Wednesday. Keep sending us your toughest, most fun presidential questions. And thanks for reading.

Do you work in the Biden administration? Are you in touch with the White House? Are you JANET H. KIM, associate counsel?

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POTUS PUZZLER

From the University of Virginia’s Miller Center

Which president was advised: “The important point is that if both we and the U.S.S.R. continue testing, then it is possible that the cost of producing weapons will go down substantially”?

(Answer at the bottom.)

Cartoon of the Week

Cartoon by Steve Sack/Minneapolis Star Tribune

Cartoon | By Steve Sack of The Minneapolis Star Tribune

Every Friday, we’ll feature a cartoon of the week — this one is courtesy of STEVE SACK. Our very own MATT WUERKER also publishes a selection of cartoons from all over the country. View the cartoon carousel here.

The Oval

THE LESSON IS, NEVER TRY — White House press secretary JEN PSAKI’s return to the briefing room today (after having a Covid-19 breakthrough infection) also coincided with the reappearance of the so-called Friday Skype seats for the first time in months, NICK NIEDZWIADEK notes. The aim is to allow reporters based outside the Beltway to participate in the briefing from afar — something that could aid White House efforts to garner local press coverage of the infrastructure bill, which the president plans to sign on Monday.

But Milwaukee Journal Sentinel business reporter RICK BARRETT was stymied by a familiar hangup: the people in the briefing room couldn’t hear the audio, despite it being crystal clear to those monitoring the livestream. And so, as White House principal deputy press KARINE JEAN-PIERRE did when it happened during one of her briefings over the summer, Psaki vowed to give it a second try another time.

KNOLLER CORNER: Biden convened his third Cabinet meeting today. Longtime White House reporter and chronicler MARK KNOLLER sent us how that compares to his predecessors at this point in their presidencies.

  • DONALD TRUMP — 6 meetings
  • BARACK OBAMA — 5 meetings
  • GEORGE W. BUSH — 4 meetings

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: A New York Times column by PAUL KRUGMAN headlined, “History says don’t panic about inflation.” Krugman writes that the White Council of Economic Advisers was right in saying in July that 2021’s inflation is similar to what happened between 1946 and 1948 – meaning “it was a one-time event, not the start of a protracted wage-price spiral.”

“What, then, does history teach us about the current inflation spike? One lesson is that brief episodes of overheating don’t necessarily lead to 1970s-type stagflation — 1946-48 didn’t cause long-term inflation, and neither did the other episodes that most resemble where we are now, World War I and the Korean War,” Krugman writes.

White House deputy communications director KATE BERNER tweeted out the story . And the DNC also blasted it out in an email.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: A CBS News story by ELAINE COBBE that says Vice President KAMALA HARRIS’s Paris trip was “tightly controlled,” with no open events for ordinary French citizens to see her and no access being granted to French reporters.

“Also, the French media have been held at bay. The only reporters allowed at her events were those who traveled with her from Washington,” Cobbe writes. “Several French journalists tried in vain to get near the vice president but not a single interview request with the French media was granted.”

Filling the Ranks

SECOND TIME’S THE CHARM — Biden today nominated former Commissioner ROBERT CALIFF to lead the Food and Drug Administration , in a move that would bring the Obama-era official back for a second tour atop the agency, ADAM CANCRYN, DAVID LIM, Alex and SARAH OWERMOHLE reported.

Califf previously served as FDA commissioner for nearly a year at the tail end of the Obama administration — winning Senate confirmation by a wide margin despite the objections of a handful of Democratic senators. Some of those same senators, namely JOE MANCHIN of West Virginia and RICHARD BLUMENTHAL of Connecticut, have already signaled their opposition once again over concerns about Califf’s ties to the drug industry and the FDA’s track record on opioids.

 

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Agenda Setting

THANKS BUT NO THANKS — Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum leaders opted not to accept Biden’s offer for the U.S. to host the event in 2023, after disputes by one member nation, DOUG PALMER reports. New Zealand Prime Minister JACINDA ARDERN said she expected a decision regarding the forum’s location to be made soon. Ardern and the White House did not disclose which APEC member was blocking the U.S. bid to host the meeting, but a source tells Doug that Russia was the likeliest suspect.

XI YOU THERE: A much-anticipated virtual summit between Biden and Chinese leader XI JINPING will take place on Monday evening, the White House confirmed today. Doug Palmer, PHELIM KINE and NAHAL TOOSI write that the summit presents the biggest opportunity yet to reset the increasingly fraught bilateral relationship.

Although no major breakthroughs are expected on hot-button issues — including tensions over Taiwan, the mostly Muslim region of Xinjiang, and Hong Kong — the meeting is likely to produce initiatives on a range of issues, including easing of visa restrictions, the creation of a bilateral nuclear weapons dialogue and a possible framework to ease trade frictions.

What We're Reading

U.S. huddles with allies over possible Russian invasion of Ukraine (POLITICO’s Nahal Toosi and Paul McLeary)

COP26 in Glasgow may have a record carbon footprint, despite low-flush loos and veggie haggis (Washington Post’s William Booth and Harry Stevens)

Kamala Harris says Democrats, following tough electoral losses, don’t need a new plan (Los Angeles Times’ Noah Bierman)

Where's Joe

He participated in an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Leaders’ meeting, and convened with members of his Cabinet to discuss the implementation of the bipartisan infrastructure bill. He is departing the White House for Camp David later this evening, where he will spend the weekend.

Where's Kamala

In Paris with second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF. She participated in a press conference at the Intercontinental Paris Le Grand, before attending a conference with other world leaders on Libya. She also dialed in virtually to the president’s Cabinet meeting this afternoon.

She and Emhoff went to dinner at Chez I’Ami Louis in the evening.

The Oppo Book

One thing to know about White House national security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN: When it comes to a rom-com, he’s going to watch it, no matter how bad the reviews. He admitted to POLITICO back in 2017 that “there is no Rotten Tomatoes score too low to stop me from watching a rom-com and loving it.”

His favorites? It’s a tie between “Love Actually” and “The Wedding Singer.”

Is Love Actually technically a rom-com? Isn’t it more like a holiday movie? And, while we’re at it…. what about Hallmark Christmas movies, Jake?

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

JOHN F. KENNEDY was given that advice from PAUL NITZE, the assistant secretary of Defense, during a July 1962 meeting on the Nuclear Test Ban Treaty.

For resources on nuclear economics and the rest of the presidents, visit millercenter.org/the-presidency

We want your trivia, but we also want your feedback. What should we be covering in this newsletter that we’re not? What are we getting wrong? Please let us know.

Edited by Emily Cadei

 

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