Biden’s credit, where it’s due

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Thursday Dec 09,2021 10:53 pm
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West Wing Playbook

By Sam Stein, Alex Thompson and Tina Sfondeles

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Ask any veteran of BARACK OBAMA’s first term in office what the most politically-gnawing moment was for them and the answer is likely to be the 2010 BP oil spill.

The pure environmental degradation that resulted from more than 4 million barrels of crude oil spilling into the Gulf of Mexico was tragic enough. But in addition to that were two other elements that made the issue particularly excruciating.

The first was the ubiquity of it. For 87 days, the story was the same, emphasized by the live video feed of Deepwater Horizon’s broken well under the water: Oil was gushing into the Gulf and the administration was unable to stop it. The second was how it ended. After weeks of failed efforts to put a cap on the ruptured wellhead, BP successfully used a ‘static kill’ to stem the flow. And then, just like that, the news coverage sort of went away.

“We would send out 10-page documents every day that showed every single thing we were doing, every resource we were deploying, every inter-agency effort that was underway. But as long as that oil continued to spill out in the Gulf, it was live on television opposite the briefings,” recalled BEN LABOLT, who was working in the Obama communications department at the time. “When the hole was finally plugged, the press just moved onto another story. A missing plane or person. There is no parallel coverage for having effectively managed the issue.”

The political saga of the BP oil spill looms large for Democrats today as they assess the state of the Biden White House. There is no harrowing environmental catastrophe currently unfolding (at least not as acutely and theatrically as what happened in 2010). But there is a sense inside the administration that the progress being made is getting no attention, at least relative to the attention given to the problems that precipitated their action.

They have a case to make, one that BRIAN DEESE, director of the National Economic Council, laid out today in the briefing room.

Just in the past few weeks, there have been reports that the supply-chain crisis that drove the inflation spike was beginning to cool and that the semiconductor chip shortage that grabbed headlines was showing signs of relief. Food costs are looking like they’ll be falling, wages are rising, and economic confidence seems to be bouncing back, ever so slightly, from the Delta variant-driven dip. Just this morning, jobless claims came in at an all-time low adjusted for population.

The economic recovery is fairly robust, certainly when stacked against other countries. Virtually all the schools are open, despite panic that Covid fears would keep them closed. Booster shots picked up after a rocky unveiling around guidance over who could get them. And gas prices—the most iconic symbol of the administration's coming electoral doom—are trending downwards, with expectations that they will keep falling.

One White House official noted that on the three immediate missions President JOE BIDEN had when he came into office — shots in arms, money in pockets, and kids back in schools — the administration has had major success. And that success, the official added, has come despite Covid lingering and vaccine skepticism persisting.

So why isn’t this the predominant story line? That question is what gnaws at this White House, which, along with its allies, has adopted a notably more aggressive communications campaign to claim the credit they feel they deserve.

But the actual answer is multifaceted.

Part of it is the surrounding context that muddies the “success” narrative. The vaccination progress hasn’t been easy and the pandemic still painfully lingers, with the Omicron variant adding an even more foreboding layer. And while a combination of tax cuts and rising wages has meant disposable income is up, the cost of goods is too (lumber prices, for instance, are back up ), complicating the picture of the financially-better-off middle class family.

Part of it is that Biden doesn’t necessarily deserve credit for the recent “successes,” in the same vein that he didn’t deserve blame for the many crises the pandemic created. Take gas prices. Their rise was owed to society emerging from a pandemic that dramatically reduced travel. The current fall is owed to a variety of forces outside Biden’s control, among them that a warmer-than-expected winter should help take the sting out of heating bills.

But part of it is, admittedly, the modern media climate, which is geared around covering the visceral and dramatic (usually how problems present themselves) rather than painstaking and non-linear (often the form in which progress takes place). It’s quite plainly an issue now, as it was when LaBolt was dealing with it 11 years ago. And it’s one both the media itself and the White House will have to reckon with.

“The big picture is improving but the administration is not getting the requisite credit in the press,” he said. “It creates a negative feedback loop and a vicious cycle. And it requires direct communication to voters to explain to them the progress they’re making.”

Do you work in the Biden administration? Are you in touch with the White House? Are you DIONNE N. JACKSON, deputy associate director for policy?

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POTUS PUZZLER

From the University of Virginia’s Miller Center

Which president wrote, “I had hoped for the nomination in [three straight elections], but now I would hesitate to take it"?

(Answer at the bottom.)

The Oval

AMTRAK JOE? STEPHEN GARDNER , the president of Amtrak, says that they will likely have to cut back train service next month in order to comply with the Biden administration’s vaccine mandate, according to written testimony for a House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee hearing, Bloomberg reports.

The rail company boasts a 94 percent vaccination rate but some workers, particularly in areas with already low vaccination rates, are unlikely to comply. There are still pending questions on enforcement given legal challenges, however.

 

BECOME A GLOBAL INSIDER: The world is more connected than ever. It has never been more essential to identify, unpack and analyze important news, trends and decisions shaping our future — and we’ve got you covered! Every Monday, Wednesday and Friday, Global Insider author Ryan Heath navigates the global news maze and connects you to power players and events changing our world. Don’t miss out on this influential global community. Subscribe now.

 
 
Filling the Ranks

PPO WATCH — The White House’s Office of Presidential Personnel, the place that vets political hires for the entire administration, is creating a new position to bolster recruiting of underrepresented communities, The Washington Post’s Early 202 first reported this morning. CLAUDIA CHAVEZ will be special assistant to the president for candidate recruitment. The move comes amidst pressure from Latino lawmakers and outside groups to improve Latino representation in the White House and the administration more broadly.

CARETAKER: National Institutes of Health Principal Deputy Director LAWRENCE TABAK will take over as acting director of the NIH when longtime leader FRANCIS COLLINS departs later this month. SARAH OWERMOHLE has more for Pros.

Advise and Consent

ICYMI — The Senate voted last night to confirm MICHAEL SMITH to be CEO of AmeriCorps, 58-41. Smith was part of the team that designed and launched the My Brother’s Keeper initiative in the Obama administration and most recently served as executive director of the My Brother’s Keeper Alliance.

Agenda Setting

KLAIN-SPLAIN Chief of staff RON KLAIN posted an explainer video for the White House on the economy today, replete with plenty of charts. “That’s an economy that’s humming ,” he declared.

STARBUCKS’ BUCKS: Workers at a Buffalo Starbucks shop voted by a 19-8 margin to be represented by a union today. As HuffPost’s DAVE JAMIESON noted , there are questions about how far this spreads. Still, it was the first time that workers at a location for the coffee giant have done that. And it served as yet another illustration of something that Biden has been touting: the clout of the worker in his economy.

Considering that, we asked the White House for comment on the vote. Speaking on condition of anonymity, an administration official offered the following: “We aren’t going to comment on individual labor actions, but as the President has said, this Administration is the most pro-union administration in history. We strongly support unions, workers’ right to organize if they so choose, and collective bargaining.”

 

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What We're Reading

Rapid coronavirus tests are still hard to find in many places, despite Biden vows (The Washington Post’s Yasmeen Abutaleb, Lena H. Sun, Laurie McGinley, Dan Diamond and Tyler Pager)

White House braces for legal, political showdown over vaccine mandates (Lauren Egan, Sahil Kapur and Jonathan Allen)

Hunter Biden talks about his art (Vanity Fair’s Emily Jane Fox)

What We're Watching

First lady JILL BIDEN on “CBS Sunday Morning” Dec. 12 at 9 a.m.

Where's Joe

Busy day for the president. He started it off by hosting the Leaders’ Plenary Session at the White House’s virtual “Summit for Democracy.”

He and the first lady then traveled to the Capitol, where Biden gave remarks at the congressional tribute ceremony for the late Sen. BOB DOLE (R-Kan.).

The president also discussed the Russian military presence on the Ukrainian border on a phone call with Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKY. And following that call, he spoke with the leaders of the Bucharest Nine group of eastern flank NATO Allies to brief them on his call with Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN earlier this week.

In the afternoon, he met with the White House Covid-19 Response Team.

Where's Kamala

She delivered closing remarks for the first day of the “Summit for Democracy.”

The vice president and second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF also joined the president and first lady at the ceremony for Sen. Dole. Later, Harris attended the president’s meeting with the White House Covid-19 response team.

 

DON’T MISS CONGRESS MINUTES: Need to follow the action on Capitol Hill blow-by-blow? Check out Minutes, POLITICO’s new platform that delivers the latest exclusives, twists and much more in real time. Get it on your desktop or download the POLITICO mobile app for iOS or Android. CHECK OUT CONGRESS MINUTES HERE.

 
 
The Oppo Book

We’ve previously noted that Domestic Policy Council speechwriter and communications adviser ZEV KARLIN-NEUMANN likes to eat soup for breakfast — but now we know he’s a vegetarian, so the soup had to exclusively be veggie soup.

What’s more: that dietary restriction was how he and his now-wife, ORLY MAY, bonded on their first date.

The pair met through JSwipe, a Jewish dating app, and went to Smoke & Barrel to meet up for the first time, according to the couple’s 2018 New York Times marriage announcement. They ordered “vegan chicken wings and pumpkin beer, and bonded over being vegetarians.”

Dare we say, love at first bite?

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

JAMES BUCHANAN in 1856. He added, "Before many years the abolitionists will bring war upon this land. It may come during the next presidential term." Buchanan won the 1856 election and was still president when South Carolina seceded on December 20, 1860.

For information on Buchanan and the other presidents, visit millercenter.org.

Got a better question? Send us your hardest trivia question on the presidents and we may feature it on Wednesdays. We also want your feedback. What should we be covering in this newsletter that we’re not? What are we getting wrong? Please let us know.

Edited by Emily Cadei

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