Biden’s hack gap on inflation

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Friday Feb 11,2022 10:14 pm
Feb 11, 2022 View in browser
 
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By Sam Stein, Alex Thompson and Max Tani

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There is widespread consensus that President JOE BIDEN has few good options to resolve the inflation crisis hampering his presidency and crippling his party’s chances in the midterms.

But there is one play that could, at a minimum, prove politically potent. And there is a bit of confoundment in Democratic circles as to why he’s not more aggressively playing it.

Biden has adopted a relatively modest approach to attacking corporate consolidation as a contributing factor to the current, historic levels of inflation. He’s taken steps to address monopoly power writ large, including by targeting the “Big Four” meat packing companies for price-fixing. He also does regularly mention monopoly power as a negative force in the modern economy.

But those mentions are often in passing and rarely, if ever, delivered with the fire and brimstone that the new anti-trust intellectuals on the left want to see.

When asked by NBC’s LESTER HOLT on Thursday, for instance, whether his proclamation that inflation would be temporary holds up, the president didn’t take a swing at corporate price gouging. In his statement following yesterday’s news that inflation had jumped 7.5 percent in the past year, he reserved only the last line to say: “we will continue to promote more competition to make our markets more competitive and give consumers more choices.” And in the fact sheet that the White House distributed in anticipation of Thursday’s report, “Protecting consumers and promoting competition” was the last of the three main bullet points.

There are several reasons for this, economists and operatives speculate. Biden believes that the keys to solving the inflation crisis lie with the Federal Reserve. He’s trying to tackle the high cost of prescription drugs and child care through legislative pushes. His focus is on dealing with supply chain constraints, rebuilding American manufacturing, and re-opening society from Covid restrictions — all of which, to varying degrees, rely on a partnership with corporate America.

But there is also a meta explanation for the absence of a more fulsome trust-buster push: mainly, a number of progressive economists don’t think it will help bring down inflation and would call him out if he began arguing it did.

“I think they have a problem with people like me, visible liberal economists,” said DEAN BAKER, co-founder of the Center for Economic and Policy Research.

A prominent economic voice on the left, Baker has applauded Biden’s anti-monopoly actions taken to date, including a slew of executive actions last summer. But he doesn’t think they’d do much for inflation, at least in the short term. He also — and this is relevant for the White House — isn’t keen on being thought of as a hack.

“We are not going to lie for them. Which isn’t to say all Republican economists are liars. But, generally speaking, if a Republican president is going to say X,Y, and Z, he usually doesn’t have to worry about prominent Republican economists saying that’s not true,” Baker said. Biden, he added, “can’t get away with bullshit.”

There is a whiff of that being true. After Thursday’s numbers came out, JASON FURMAN, a top economic adviser to former President BARACK OBAMA, took to Twitter to preempt the urge to blame the rise in prices on “corporate greed” — arguing instead that it was a matter of demand hitting a near vertical supply curve, driving an increase in prices along with profits. And earlier this year, a Biden administration staffer working in the Bureau of Labor Statistics wrote a blog post saying the White House’s argument that the large meat producers were to blame for inflation in food prices was mostly political theater.

But others in the expansive lefty-economics space say that, in fact, it is not “bullshit” to make these points; that those who believe so don’t appreciate the intersectionality of political power and the marketplace; and that it is a form of political insanity to shy away from a more populist approach.

“If you talk to economists who don’t study how markets work there is kind of a hand waving away that there are political components to inflation and that concentrated markets do provide cover for tacit cost collusion, which is absolutely driving some inflation,” said SARAH MILLER, executive director of the American Economic Liberties Project.

For Miller, the evidence is all around us. The mega manufacturer 3M has seen significant sales and better-than-expected (though somewhat flat) profit, but still chose to raise prices. Tyson Foods’ sales and profiles have both risen, and it’s still raised meat prices. Procter & Gamble had sales go up in its most recent quarter, and raised prices too, as have grocery giants like Kroger. Rather than merely point to these stories as part of the problem, she said, the White House would be wise to portray them as a root cause, and then use the bully pulpit more aggressively to change things.

“I would give it a try because I don't think they’re in a good position now and some nasty tweets from Larry Summers aren’t going to impact the politics at a moment in which a significant share of Americans think this is happening and they’re not wrong about it,” Miller added. “I think they’re overweighting the opinion of the economist both on the policy and absolutely on the politics.”

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POTUS PUZZLER

From the University of Virginia’s Miller Center 

Which president told the candidates who were vying to succeed him, "I know you don't want to play politics with your country"?

(Answer at the bottom.)

Cartoon of the Week

Cartoon by Steve Kelley for The Pittsburgh Post Gazette

Cartoon | Steve Kelley/The Pittsburgh Post Gazette

It’s Friday, meaning it’s time for cartoon of the week — this one is courtesy of STEVE KELLEY. Our very own MATT WUERKER also publishes a selection of cartoons from all over the country. View the cartoon carousel here.

The Oval

GET OUT NOW — National security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN had a stark warning for any American citizens in Ukraine who do not leave. “The president will not be putting the lives of our men and women in uniform at risk by sending them into a war zone to rescue people who could have left now but chose not to, so we are asking people to make the responsible choice," he said today during the White House press briefing. He said the threat of invasion is “immediate.”

RING RING: Sullivan said Biden is expected to call Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN soon. A senior administration official later confirmed a call between the two leaders will take place on Saturday.  

Sullivan also appeared to push back on reporting from PBS’ NICK SCHIFRIN, who tweeted earlier on Friday that the Russian president has “decided to invade Ukraine, and has communicated that decision to the Russian military.”

Sullivan said that PBS’ reporting “does not accurately capture what the US government's view is today. Our view is that we do not believe he has made any final decision, or we don't know that he has made any final decision and we have not communicated that to anybody." Asked about whether the network stood by its claims, a PBS spokesperson told West Wing Playbook that Shifrin would be on the network’s broadcast at 6pm ET to discuss his reporting.

SCOTUS UPDATE : Psaki confirmed that Biden could meet with potential Supreme Court nominees as soon as next week. WaPo’s SEUNG MIN KIM reported the same last night.

Advise and Consent

NEW AMBASSADOR NODS — The White House announced that Biden intends to nominate PHILIP GOLDBERG and CARRIN PATMAN to be ambassadors of South Korea and Iceland, respectively. Patman was a bundler for Biden 2020, per Revolving Door Project. Goldberg has served as a diplomat in countries around the world.

Agenda Setting

TRUCKER DIPLOMACYPer the White House, Biden and Canada’s Prime Minister, JUSTIN TRUDEAU spoke to “discuss the ongoing blockade of key bridges and crossings between the United States and Canada.” Read POLITICO’s ANDY BLATCHFORD from Ottawa on how the “Trucker convoy forces Canada's largest province into state of emergency.”

PLUS: POLITICO’s TANYA SNYDER and ALEX DAUGHERTY on how U.S. truckers are distancing themselves from their Canadian counterparts.

PIVOT! The Washington Post’s JEFF STEIN reported this morning that “White House aides have in recent days discussed revamping President Biden’s economic package so it substantially reduces the budget deficit, in an appeal designed to win over Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.).” Bloomberg confirmed later Friday.

What We're Reading

Vacancies in top health and science jobs may threaten Biden’s agenda (NYT’s Sheryl Gay Stolberg)

Build back better was always a God-awful name (New York’s Benjamin Hart)

Biden says he is ‘rejecting’ critical accounts from U.S. commanders about the Afghanistan evacuation (WaPo’s Dan Lamothe)

Biden proposes splitting billions in Afghanistan funds between 9/11 victims and humanitarian aid (WaPo’s Karen DeYoung)

What We're Watching

The rest of Joe Biden’s interview with LESTER HOLT, which will air on NBC before the Super Bowl.

National security adviser Jake Sullivan will be on CBS' Face the Nation Sunday.

Pentagon Press Secretary JOHN KIRBY will be on Fox News Sunday.

Where's Joe

Biden received the President’s Daily Brief in the morning.

He also held a call with global leaders to discuss Russia’s latest moves around Ukraine. Those on the call included: Canada Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU, European Commission President URSULA VON DER LEYEN, European Council President CHARLES MICHEL, President of France EMMANUEL MACRON, Chancellor of Germany OLAF SCHOLZ, Italy’s Prime Minister MARIO DRAGHI, NATO Secretary General JENS STOLTENBERG, Polish President ANDRZEJ DUDA, Romanian President KLAUS IOHANNIS and U.K. Prime Minister BORIS JOHNSON.

He held a separate call with Trudeau to discuss Canadian truckers’ blockade of key bridges and crossings between the two countries.

The president left the White House this afternoon to head to Camp David for the weekend.

Where's Kamala

The vice president traveled to Newark, N.J. in the morning and delivered remarks about the impact of the bipartisan infrastructure law. Harris also heard from people in the area who have had their lead pipes replaced. Communications director JAMAL SIMMONS, deputy chief of staff MICHAEL FUCHS and director of public engagement MICHAEL COLLINS traveled with Harris and EPA Administrator MICHAEL REGAN joined her in Newark.

She headed back to Washington in the afternoon.

 

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The Oppo Book

Climate envoy JOHN KERRY’s wife, TERESA HEINZ KERRY likes to find humor in pretty dark situations — like wartime PTSD.

In a 2002 interview with the Washington Post ahead of his 2004 presidential bid, Kerry told MARK LEIBOVICH he had finally stopped having nightmares about serving in the Vietnam War.

But then Heinz Kerry began mimicking how Kerry behaved when he was having the nightmares, putting her hands on her head and yelling, "Down! Down, down!"

"I haven't gotten slapped yet," she told the Post at the time. "But there were times when I thought I might get throttled."

Leibovich reported that “Kerry quivers his right foot and steers the discussion to the counseling programs he has supported for Vietnam veterans. Asked if he has been in therapy himself, he non-answers. ‘It doesn't bother me anymore, I just go back to sleep.’”

“Heinz presses him. ‘Not therapy for the dreams, therapy for the angst,’ she says, and looks quizzically at him, awaiting an answer. Kerry shakes his head ‘No.’ This is not your father's political couple, though you wonder, at this moment, if Kerry wishes it were.”

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

In a conversation on October 18, 1968, LYNDON JOHNSON told RICHARD NIXON, HUBERT HUMPHREY, and GEORGE WALLACE about his plans to advance peace negotiations in Vietnam with a bombing halt. "This is in absolute confidence," he began.

Shortly afterwards, LBJ came to believe that the Nixon campaign was trying to undermine his efforts in order to prevent any substantial movement towards peace until after the election.

For secret White House recordings from the Johnson presidency, visit millercenter.org.

A CALL OUT — Do you have a better trivia question? Send us your hardest trivia question on the presidents and we may feature it on Wednesdays.

Edited by Emily Cadei

 

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