A new Brzezinski takes the world stage

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Wednesday Mar 09,2022 11:33 pm
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By Max Tani and Alex Thompson

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Starting a new job as a diplomat at the fault line of Russian territorial ambition just a few days before the outbreak of the biggest war in Europe since World War II is not ideal. But that’s the hand MARK BRZEZINSKI was given.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has transformed the ambassador to Poland, once an important but lower-profile State Department assignment, into one of America’s key diplomatic roles. Less than two months after being officially sworn in, the longtime diplomat and scion of famous Polish-America foreign policy expert and former national security adviser ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI (and brother of Morning Joe host MIKA BRZEZINSKI ) is now helping craft U.S. policy around the most extreme refugee crisis in decades on top of tense negotiations around military equipment transfers and security threats.

“The job has changed pretty dramatically in the past month,” said STEPHEN MULL, a former Obama administration ambassador to Poland and close colleague of Brzezinski’s.

Over the past few weeks, Brzezinski has become the main escort for a never-ending parade of U.S. and international officials arriving daily into Poland. He’s led tours with top congressional leaders and military officials like UK Prime Minister BORIS JOHNSON. On Wednesday, he’ll welcome Vice President KAMALA HARRIS , who officially swore him in just a few weeks ago. He’s also been given the task of reassuring the country, which is a member of NATO, of America’s commitment to the alliance. Most recently, he’s helped the U.S. navigate the complicated attempts to provide fighter jets to Ukraine, an exchange the Pentagon pretty much nixed today.

When Brzezinski was nominated for the job last year, the future of U.S.-Polish relations were uncertain. While Poland remains a strong U.S. military ally and NATO partner, the relationship has been strained in recent years. American diplomats and experts expressed alarm at the country’s backsliding on democratic norms, civil rights, and freedom of the press, which Brzezinski was immediately expected to tackle.

Multiple people familiar with the process told West Wing Playbook that the Biden administration and Democratic allies in Congress were keen on getting him confirmed quickly to lobby Polish President ANDRZEJ DUDA to veto a law that would have forced American media giant Discovery to divest from its popular Polish news network TVN — a law that many U.S. officials said amounted to political censorship.

Brzezinski was confirmed before being officially sworn in by Harris in January. Immediately after, he became an intermediary between the Biden administration, the Polish government, and Discovery CEO DAVID ZASLAV. Discovery’s chief comms officer DAVID LEAVY said Zaslav came away impressed with Brzezinski’s knowledge of the issue and ability to help get the network’s license renewed.

Multiple former ambassadors to Poland told West Wing Playbook that the resolution was surreptitious, as it improved communications channels between the U.S. and Poland right before the crisis in Ukraine erupted.

Brzezinski's challenges now are far more complicated. But his supporters say he’s well positioned to navigate the crisis. He speaks fluent Polish and served as ambassador to Sweden during the Obama administration. His Polish-focused scholarship helped him get through a senate confirmation process that was contentious for other Biden nominees. And his family name carries weight in some of Poland’s political circles, where many people are familiar with his father’s history.

DANIEL FRIED , a former US ambassador to Poland who is currently a fellow at The Atlantic Council, said that the world of former Warsaw ambassadors is small, and he and other members of the cohort keep in regular touch with Brzezinski to talk shop. In recent weeks, the two have discussed the current minutiae of Polish politics, with Brzezinski taking particular interest in party politics and the country’s up and coming politicians.

“He’s a superbly qualified ambassador, and he’s the right man at the right time,” Fried said.

The U.S. embassy in Poland has also become an increasingly important venue in the Ukraine crisis due to other diplomatic gaps. The U.S. still does not have an ambassador to Ukraine, despite having settled on a candidate for the job. U.S. embassy officials in Ukraine evacuated to Poland earlier this year amid invasion fears, and much of their work is being run out of other parts of the federal government, including the embassy in Poland.

While the lack of an ambassador has raised eyebrows, some observers say it likely isn’t inhibiting the work.

In a conversation with POLITICO last week, former European Union ambassador GORDON SONDLANDno stranger to dicey Ukrainian politics —said he’d been impressed by the general response in Europe to the Russian invasion. He said that while he had some complaints about Biden’s approach to the region, and found the lack of a Ukrainian ambassador confusing, he felt that the White House was managing the diplomatic gaps.

“Events have overtaken everything and the National Security Council, the National Security Adviser, is probably in touch with Zelensky right now,” said Sondland, who said he has remained in touch with Zelensky’s advisors on the ground. “I think given where we are at this current moment, they’re handling the communications just fine.”

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POTUS PUZZLER

It’s reader-submitted trivia Wednesday! Thanks to ARYEH SHUDOFSKY for sending this one our way.

Which former president was given an “Outstanding American” honor by the National Wrestling Hall of Fame?

(Answer at the bottom.)

The Oval

SURROGATE SUPREME — PETE BUTTIGIEG’s husband, CHASTEN, appeared on ABC News Live to talk about Florida’s so-called “Don’t Say Gay” bill, which restricts classroom instruction on issues sexual orientation and gender identity from kindergarten through grade three.

“As a recent father I’ve been thinking a lot about what it would be like to be living in the state of Florida as an LGBTQ family,” he said. “I think this bill is vague on purpose because it is trying to silence or push families, students and LGBTQ individuals back into the closet. And I'm worried not only just as an individual in the community but as a father, I'm wondering what it would be like if my kid were going to school and talking about the great weekend that they had with their dads. Is a teacher supposed to censor my kids? Are they supposed to silence my kids?”

CATCH UP ON UKRAINE: Read the latest NatSec Daily from ALEX WARD and QUINT FORGEY.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ:This Twitter thread from Press Secretary JEN PSAKI accusing Russia of a “disinformation operation” about the U.S. and chemical weapons that China has “seemingly endorsed.”

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: This story from CNN’s Chris Isidore. “Gas prices were already expected to breach the $4 a gallon mark for the first time since 2008, with or without shots fired or economic sanctions imposed in Eastern Europe,” he wrote.

“Now, because so many factors are at play simultaneously, drivers should prepare to pay uncomfortably high gas prices through at least Labor Day. Prices could easily reach $4.50 a gallon before they start to retreat, and even a $5 per gallon national average is not out of the question.”

 

SUBSCRIBE TO NATIONAL SECURITY DAILY : Keep up with the latest critical developments from Ukraine and across Europe in our daily newsletter, National Security Daily. The Russian invasion of Ukraine could disrupt the established world order and result in a refugee crisis, increased cyberattacks, rising energy costs and additional disruption to global supply chains. Go inside the top national security and foreign-policymaking shops for insight on the global threats faced by the U.S. and its allies and what actions world leaders are taking to address them. Subscribe today.

 
 
Agenda Setting

WHAT COULD GO WRONGHouse Democrats removed $15.6 billion in new Covid funding from their omnibus funding bill midday Wednesday amid wrangling over how to pay for it, if at all. It enabled passage of the bill, which includes aid for Ukraine.

But it’s hard now to see how the administration gets those funds. And even if they’d gotten them, it’s unclear how big a help they would have been. “Biden officials are fuming over the Hill's last-minute call to pull Covid aid. Decision leaves the White House with no immediate plan for funding its response,” POLITICO’s ADAM CANCRYN and SARAH OWERMOHLE report. Their story from this morning noted that the original $15.6 billion was small enough to raise “the likelihood that the White House will be left shorthanded should a new, dangerous variant emerge — with officials warning that the government’s stockpile of key Covid treatments could be exhausted as early as May.”

HHS Secretary XAVIER BECERRA initially asked for roughly $30 billion. That amount was later reduced to $22.5 billion, before being cut to its current $15.6 billion level in the face of staunch opposition from Republicans, who have demanded that the administration first account for how it spent the hundreds of billions of dollars allocated toward the response over the past year.

INFLATION CONSTERNATION — The Consumer Price Index for February will be released tomorrow and the White House expects bad news…. Or, at least, is trying to get the rest of the world to expect bad news. Press Secretary Jen Psaki said at the briefing today: “We expect to see a high headline in inflation in tomorrow's February inflation data."

THE BUREAUCRATS

DRILL, BABY, DRILL Energy Secretary JENNIFER GRANHOLM said that the U.S. needed “oil and gas production to rise.” Speaking in Houston at the CERAWeek by S&P Global energy conference, Granholm explained “We are on a war footing,” according to Bloomberg.

BUT BUT BUT— POLITICO’s BEN LEFEBVRE also reports today that “experts say the consumer pain from the fuel price spike could hasten the shift away from oil in the U.S. and toward cleaner energy sources.”

NYET TO THE JETS — The Pentagon nixed the transfer of MiG-29 combat jets from Poland to Ukraine today, just 24 hours after Poland said it was ready to transfer them via the U.S. The issue: the administration thought it would be too escalatory for a NATO member to be providing such jets to a non NATO member engaged in a conflict with nuclear Russia. The news broke right around the time that Vice President KAMALA HARRIS was arriving in Poland.

REWRITING HISTORY — After our newsletter about the White House’s attempts to boost its prominent supporters online by granting interviews to well-known liberal digital media creators, historian and substacker extraordinaire HEATHER COX RICHARDSON emailed West Wing Playbook, disagreeing with our characterization of her as “left-leaning.” “BTW, would not call myself left-leaning,” she wrote. “I'm a historian, and thus am pro-fact and pro-democracy.”

 

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What We're Reading

An unserious plan for serious times (Scott Lincicome on Substack)

Array of Politically Sensitive Cases Tests Merrick Garland’s Reserve (WSJ’s Sadie Gurman)

Biden calls family of former U.S. Marine jailed in Russia (POLITICO’s Myah Ward)

Biden and the Oil Industry Are at Odds, Clouding Effort to Tame Gasoline Prices (WSJ’s Timothy Puko and Christopher M. Matthews)

Where's Joe

He received the president’s daily brief. He and Commerce Secretary GINA RAIMONDO also met with business leaders and a bipartisan group of governors to discuss competitiveness legislation.

In the evening, Biden delivered remarks at the Democratic Senators Issues Conference at Howard University.

Where's Kamala

She headed to Warsaw, Poland from Washington, D.C., landing around 4 p.m. EST.

 

DON’T MISS CONGRESS MINUTES: Need to follow the action on Capitol Hill blow-by-blow? Check out Minutes, POLITICO’s new platform that delivers the latest exclusives, twists and much more in real time. Get it on your desktop or download the POLITICO mobile app for iOS or Android. CHECK OUT CONGRESS MINUTES HERE.

 
 
The Oppo Book

MIKE GWIN, the White House’s director of rapid response, was a state debate champ back in his high school days in Ohio—which, if you’ve been on the receiving end of an angry call from him, you probably know.

When he was a high school senior at the Hawken School, he and classmate OZAN CUBUKCU were “named state champions at The Ohio High School Speech League State Tournament,” according to a 2010 school press release.

“After 10 rounds of competition, Gwin and Cubukcu defeated Canfield in the final round on a 5-0 decision,” it noted. “This was Mike’s second trip to the final round of the tournament; he was state runner-up in 2008 as a sophomore.”

We asked him what the final debate topic was but he did not write back.

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

ABRAHAM LINCOLN was a wrestler back in the day. According to History.com, the president was “defeated only once in approximately 300 matches.”

A CALL OUT — Do you have a better trivia question? Send us your hardest question on the presidents and we may feature it on Wednesdays.

Edited by Sam Stein

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