The cult of Shor

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Monday May 24,2021 10:59 pm
Presented by Emergent BioSolutions:
May 24, 2021 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Alex Thompson , Laura Barrón-López and Theodoric Meyer

Presented by

Emergent BioSolutions

With help from Allie Bice and Daniel Payne

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. Did someone forward this to you? Subscribe here! Have a tip? Email us at transitiontips@politico.com.

Democratic data scientist DAVID SHOR was fired in 2020. Now, he’s got an audience in the White House and is one of the most in-demand data analysts in the country.

There are the MSNBC hits, the recent guest appearance on HBO’s “Real Time with Bill Maher,” and the innumerable podcast interviews. At just 29 years old, he is one of the few party strategists right now whose interviews tend to run Q&A style — the ultimate status symbol for the political elite.

BARACK OBAMA approvingly tweeted out one such interview from New York Magazine in March. And some Biden White House officials have taken notice, too. Some aides in the White House pay close attention to Shor’s analysis and have talked with him about his data, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

That may be because Shor sings from the same hymnal as many — but not all — of Biden’s political advisers. He’s advised Democrats to stand against “defund the police,” not talk too much about immigration, assume that Twitter is not real life, and talk about things that already have approval instead of trying to make unpopular things popular.

The White House declined to comment. Shor declined to comment on any conversations with clients or talks with the White House but agreed to talk about politics generally.

“I like to joke that I feel like I've stolen my ideas from JOE BIDEN much, much, much more than the other way around,” Shor said.

“The advice I give to every Democrat that I ever get a chance to talk to is talk about popular things that people care about using simple language,” Shor said. “I think it's as simple as that.”

Shor, however, has been at odds with some of the grassroots of the party when it comes to understanding and talking about voters of color, racial justice issues and discrimination. At one point, his analysis on these topics cost him his job.

The controversy took place last year when he tweeted out an academic study days after GEORGE FLOYD’s murder that found — in Shor’s words — that the rioting after MARTIN LUTHER KING JR.’s assassination “reduced Democratic vote share in surrounding counties by 2%, which was enough to tip the 1968 election to Nixon.” It wasn’t what many progressives wanted to hear. He apologized but was fired soon afterward from the Democratic data firm where he worked.

Nonetheless, Shor, a veteran of Obama’s 2012 campaign and now head of data science for the progressive nonprofit OpenLabs, has gained newfound prominence as Democrats try to chart their direction for the 2022 midterms and 2024 presidential election. DONALD TRUMP’s surprise strength last November has made the party eager for explanations and Shor has helped fill that vacuum. But he has articulated a path forward that not everyone in the party agrees with.

Shor has argued or amplified studies that contend that “defund the police” rhetoric and the riots last summer that spun out of protests against Floyd’s death hurt the Democrats in November.

And he has been particularly outspoken on the issue of immigration, calling it “probably the least popular part of the Democratic policy agenda.” Shor says he strongly disagrees with some pollsters who argue that Democrats can and should lean into immigration issues, or at least not be scared to talk about them.

One of those pollsters is JOHN ANZALONE, who advised Biden’s campaign and recently told immigration advocates that it’s wrong to think of immigration as a wedge issue. “Some of this stuff has such incredibly high support and bipartisan support that, quite frankly, politicians kind of lag behind it,” Anzalone said.

CORNELL BELCHER, a former Obama pollster, wouldn’t comment on Shor’s data or other Democratic pollsters’ views, specifically. But he said attempting to “predict what unique characters, like Obama and Trump, can do to certain segments of the electorate that are not traditional” is not the best use of the party’s time.

Instead, Democrats should be asking themselves two questions after 2020: “We had more older non-college white voters in the electorate than we've had previously...did we just see a high watermark for Trump voters?”

Second, how do Democrats “build a narrative” that energizes the “segment of the electorate that we don't typically see in an off-year election, which means Gen Z, millennials, people of color?”

The hand-wringing Belcher mentioned includes a Democratic fixation on the roughly 9 percent of Latino voters who shifted toward Trump in 2020 — something Shor has focused on. Framing it that way, Belcher said, “is way too simplistic and it doesn't help us strategically make a better decision.” And Democrats “shouldn't even be grouping” the very different Latino populations across the country together anymore.

While Shor believes immigration is a place where Democrats shouldn’t focus too intently, he also sees a larger problem afflicting the party. The people running it are just, well, odd.

I think the biggest fundamental problem in American politics is that the people who work in politics are super, super weird,” he said. “The people who actually staff, all of these organizations are very different, you know, obviously, than the people we're trying to persuade.”

PSA — We’re going to be experimenting with some new items and sections. Tell us what you like and what you hate.

Do you work in the Biden administration? Are you in touch with the White House? Are you JONATHAN BLACK?

We want to hear from you — and we’ll keep you anonymous: transitiontips@politico.com. Or if you want to stay really anonymous send us a tip through SecureDrop, Signal, Telegram, or Whatsapp here. You can also reach Alex and Theo individually.

 

A message from Emergent BioSolutions:

At Emergent, we make things you never thought you’d need — until you do. Until you need to counteract an opioid overdose. Or need protection against smallpox, anthrax, cholera, or botulism. And now, we’re in the fight against COVID-19. At Emergent, we take on public health challenges and work to help protect public health. And that’s why We Go.

 
PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA

With the Partnership for Public Service

Taking it back in time today — it is rumored that writer ANNE NEWPORT ROYALL became the first woman to interview a president because she stole the president’s clothes while he was skinny dipping? Who was the president?

(Answer is at the bottom.)

The Oval

NOW THAT’S AN OOO MESSAGE — Our email today to one of Biden’s campaign pollsters Anzalone bounced back with an amusing out of office message. “I will be out of the office all week for an honest to goodness post-election, post-vaccination, school is done, dad is tired real vacation. My wife has told me she is not putting up with any work shit or me sneaking off to do conference calls so I am really going to get off the grid. No really!”

MOVE OVER SCHRODINGER: The White House continues to play coy about the Bidens’ plan to bring in a cat to roam the grounds for the first time since the George W. Bush era.

In March, White House press secretary JEN PSAKI promised the First Feline would “break the internet,” though on Monday she joked that it was more of a break-in-case-of-emergency situation.

“We’re waiting for a really tough news day for the cat,” she said as wrapped up the day’s briefing, faux-confiding to reporters that, “I’ve now let you in on my secret.”

NOW ON TWITTER: RAJAN KAUR, Vice President KAMALA HARRIS’ head of digital strategy, is now on Twitter and tweeted for the first time today. Follow us, Rajan!

Advise and Consent

MARK YOUR CALENDARSKRISTEN CLARKE , Biden’s nominee to lead the Justice Department’s civil rights commission, is expected to get a final Senate confirmation vote this week. The Senate Judiciary Committee deadlocked on her nomination, but she advanced with a procedural vote on the Senate floor last week.

Tomorrow, the Senate Finance Committee will hold a hearing with several Treasury nominees: LILY BATCHELDER, BENJAMIN HARRIS and JONATHAN DAVIDSON to be assistant secretaries; and J. NELLIE LIANG to be an under secretary for domestic finance.

The Armed Services Committee will hold a confirmation hearing tomorrow for Air Force secretary nominee FRANK KENDALL III; HEIDI SHYU , who’s been nominated as undersecretary of Defense for research and engineering; and SUSANNA BLUME, the nominee to be director of the Defense secretary’s cost assessment and program evaluation office.

WHO THEY WORKED FOR: Kendall has done a lot of consulting work since leaving the Obama administration, where he served as under secretary of Defense for acquisition, technology and logistics. He’s earned more than $700,000 since Jan. 1, 2020 as a consultant to Northrop Grumman, according to his newly filed personal financial disclosure.

He also made nearly $114,000 as a consultant to Renaissance Strategic Advisors, an aerospace and defense consulting firm; $80,000 for serving on the boards of the U.S. subsidiary of the Italian defense contractor Leonardo and of QuEST Defense; more than $12,000 consulting for Mercury Systems; and tens of thousands of dollars more for other consulting work. In addition, he was paid about $280,000 a year in cash and stock through a deferred compensation plan for serving on the board of the defense contractor Leidos.

Kendall’s not the only one: Shyu brought in more than $534,000 consulting for more than a dozen aerospace and defense companies, including Boeing, Raytheon and Northrop Grumman. She also served on at least seven corporate boards.

MEREDITH BERGER , Biden’s nominee to be assistant secretary of the Navy for energy installations and environment, has made about $243,000 since February 2020 working for Microsoft (plus at least $115,000 more in stock and unvested restricted stock units). Before that, she worked for the consulting firm started by former Navy Secretary RAY MABUS.

 

A message from Emergent BioSolutions:

Advertisement Image

 
What We're Reading

Biden administration moves toward making the pandemic work-from-home experiment permanent for many federal workers (The Post’s Lisa Rein)

Mitt Romney’s family plan and the death of D.C. dealmaking (The Atlantic’s Peter Nicholas)

Is there a Biden doctrine? (New York’s Gabe Debenedetti)

More than 500 Biden campaign and Democratic Party staffers urge president to do more to protect Palestinians, hold Israel accountable (The Post’s Jacqueline Alemany)

Biden administration scraps plans to house ‘tender age’ migrant children at Texas Army base ( CBS’ Camilo Montoya-Galvez)

Are U.S. officials under silent attack? (The New Yorker’s Adam Entous)

Where's Joe

President Joe Biden talks to employees at FEMA headquarters

President Joe Biden talks to employees at FEMA headquarters | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

He was briefed on the Atlantic hurricane outlook and preparedness efforts at FEMA headquarters and delivered remarks on the agency’s vaccination efforts as well as the additional funding it’s set to receive ahead of hurricane season.

Where's Kamala

She hosted a listening session on the digital divide at 2:15 p.m. in the South Court Auditorium. VINCE EVANS, Harris’ deputy director of public engagement and intergovernmental affairs, moderated the discussion.

The Oppo Book

Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG dined at a restaurant on Capitol Hill called Fight Club over the weekend, and while he himself may not have broken the first rule of fight club — which is to not talk about fight club — the restaurant did by publicizing his visit.

Fight Club sent out a detailed press release about Pete’s experience, even highlighting that Buttigieg’s table, seated on the front patio, ordered “the FC Chicken Doink, Fight Club’s riff on the McGriddle with a crispy buttermilk-brined chicken thigh, Crystal hot sauce mayo, shrettuce, and tomato between two maple cakes; the Diego Rivera punch featuring mezcal, grapefruit, lime, and maraschino; and an order of Churros for the table.”

Yum.

The owners even took a selfie with Buttigieg and posted it on Twitter. Pete’s partner, CHASTEN BUTTIGIEG, jokingly called it out on Twitter.

All sorts of Fight Club rule violations going on.

HELP US OUT — Do you have a story — that’s potentially embarrassing but not too mean or serious — you think we should use for an "Oppo Book" item? Email us transitiontips@politico.com.

Trivia Answer

Royall found JOHN QUINCY ADAMS while he was skinny dipping and asked for an interview, allegedly sitting on his clothes until he agreed.

We want your tips, but we also want your feedback as we transition to West Wing Playbook. What should we be covering in this newsletter that we’re not? What are we getting wrong? Please let us know.

Edited by Emily Cadei

 

A message from Emergent BioSolutions:

At Emergent, we make things you never thought you’d need — until you do. Until you need to counteract an opioid overdose. Or need protection against smallpox, anthrax, cholera, or botulism. And now we’re in the fight against COVID-19. At Emergent, we take on public health challenges. For over 20 years, we have produced therapies and vaccines to help protect public health. And that’s why We Go.

 
 

Follow us on Twitter

Alex Thompson @AlexThomp

Theodoric Meyer @theodoricmeyer

Allie Bice @alliebice

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://www.politico.com/_login?base=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Please click here and follow the steps to .

More emails from POLITICO West Wing Playbook

May 18,2021 10:53 pm - Tuesday

Avoiding the next Solyndra

May 17,2021 11:05 pm - Monday

Biden's coming court conundrum

May 14,2021 11:05 pm - Friday

The world’s most powerful local paper

May 13,2021 11:14 pm - Thursday

Psaki successor sweepstakes