How the Trump ruling puts Dems in a tough spot

From: POLITICO Inside Congress - Monday Mar 04,2024 10:33 pm
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POLITICO Inside Congress

By Nicholas Wu and Daniella Diaz

Presented by

With assists from POLITICO’s Congress team

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at his Mar-a-Lago estate, Monday, March 4, 2024, in Palm Beach, Fla. The Supreme Court unanimously restored Trump to 2024 presidential primary ballots, rejecting state attempts to ban him over the Capitol riot.(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)

Justices unanimously ruled that it’s not up to the states to decide if Trump doesn’t qualify for the presidency under the Constitution’s “insurrection clause.” | AP

COURT PUNTS TRUMP QUALIFYING QUESTION TO CONGRESS

The Supreme Court’s Monday decision essentially told congressional lawmakers: You’re the ones who have the power to disqualify Donald Trump from the presidency.

Democrats are scrambling on how to handle that.

Justices unanimously ruled that it’s not up to the states to decide if Trump doesn’t qualify for the presidency under the Constitution’s “insurrection clause.” Instead, the justices left the question of eligibility up to Congress, while leaving what Congress might do with a potential Trump victory on Jan. 6, 2025 unresolved.

Some Democrats have declared Trump an “insurrectionist,” and members like Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D-N.Y.) have unsuccessfully pushed legislation to express the House’s sense that Trump engaged in insurrection. But remember: Those same Hill Democrats slammed their Republican colleagues for objecting to Joe Biden’s win on Jan. 6, 2021 based on debunked theories about the 2020 election.

So the court’s punt to Congress puts Democrats in a tough spot. If they embrace the ability to disqualify Trump, they open themselves up to harsh criticism — fairly or unfairly — that they’re repeating the GOP antics they lambasted for years. If they decline to disqualify him, Democratic voters could accuse them of giving Trump a pass on encouraging an insurrection attempt.

For now, there’s not much appetite on the left to mount a challenge to the counting of electoral votes for Trump, even if he wins this fall. It’s just not a not a place lawmakers are willing to go politically, with the memories of the Jan. 6 Capitol attack still fresh in many minds.

“We should certify whoever wins 270 electoral votes, which I believe will be Biden,” said Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.), a leading progressive voice in the House.

Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-Calif.), a frequent Trump antagonist, also said in a text to us that he would vote to count Trump’s electoral votes.

Still, illustrating that Democrats will struggle to dismiss the ruling outright, Swalwell said the Court left it up to those in “Congress to determine whether he committed insurrection, not the states.”

And former Jan. 6 select committee members said the ruling leaves a role for Congress to play.

“The Supreme Court did not find that he wasn't an insurrectionist. The Supreme Court did not find that he did not participate in insurrection,” Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) said in an interview with us Monday. “The Supreme Court just kicked the whole thing over to Congress saying that Congress needs to act.”

Raskin said he was working on legislation to enforce the insurrection clause. It stands no chance of advancing in the GOP-controlled House, and the narrowly divided Senate is also unlikely to act, but Raskin was still hopeful he could pick up some support from the right.

“We have to set up a mechanism judicially by which the courts can consider whether someone had engaged in insurrection within the meaning of the Constitution,” he said. “But then, the Congress also has the opportunity by resolution to define a particular event such as January 6, 2021.”

Zoe Lofgren, who also served on the Jan. 6 committee, told POLITICO in a statement she is waiting to see how legal experts interpret the ruling.

“As I continue to review the Supreme Court justices’ determination regarding ex-President Trump’s eligibility, I hope to hear from legal scholars across the political spectrum about the role Congress can and should play moving forward,” she said in the statement.

However, she noted: “Voters should take notice that a person who is Constitutionally ineligible to hold office is nevertheless able to run because of a procedural loophole.”

— Nicholas Wu and Daniella Diaz, with an assist from Kyle Cheney

 

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GOOD EVENING! Welcome to Inside Congress, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Monday, March 4, where it’s officially the start of State of the Union week!

FUNDING TALKS STATUS CHECK 

Half the stack of 12 government funding bills will be off to President Joe Biden’s desk by week’s end, if all goes as planned, with a House vote expected Wednesday and then the usual uncertainty as the Senate tries to get a time agreement for final passage.

The big question now is: What’s going to happen to the second tranche of six bills, set to lapse after March 22, that fund the Pentagon, federal health programs and lots more.

Here’s what we know about that trickier bundle, which holds about 70 percent of all the federal government funding:

How close: Negotiations on the second half of the bills aren’t starting cold. Over the last few weeks, when top lawmakers were trading offers to lock in the package they just debuted on Sunday, funding levels for most of the 12 measures were included in that back and forth, according to sources familiar with the talks.

So a number of the bills comprising the second tranche are in a good spot, even as both sides continue to hash out the bigger policy clashes that have been punted to leadership. The Homeland Security spending measure is a notable, and not surprising, exception, according to those sources.

Soft deadline for a deal: Next week.

Top lawmakers have signaled they need a deal by March 15 at the latest to ensure there’s enough time to write bill text and pass the spending measures by the March 22 deadline. Just like the first tranche, bill text needs to be released by the prior Sunday (now 13 days away) or the risk of another stopgap goes up, along with the risk of a government shutdown that would hit the military and many non-defense programs.

Also expiring March 22: Funding for congressional operations, trade programs, the IRS, foreign operations, homeland security agencies, plus the departments of State, Treasury, Labor and Education.

Also: House Republicans, turning to fiscal year 2025, plan to mark up a budget resolution in committee on Thursday, unveiling a plan that aims to balance the budget in a decade.

— Jennifer Scholtes and Caitlin Emma 

 

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

Real “Pokémon Go to the polls” vibes here.

Mike Lee brought Marvel and the FISA debate together.

Bob Casey wants to make cookies bigger for Cookie Monster.

How do we get invited to Sylvia Garcia’s rodeo brunch?

 

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QUICK LINKS 

A lover of music, Rep. Hank Johnson’s newest mission is protecting hip-hop from Tia Mitchell at the Atlanta Journal Constitution

House Republicans often vote no on spending, but love to add pet projects, from Paul Kane at The Washington Post

Jim Banks calls on Biden to 'publicly acknowledge' Laken Riley at SOTU, from Julia Johnson at Fox News

 

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TRANSITIONS 

Mayra Alejandra Rodriguez is now assistant press secretary at DHS. She most recently was comms director for Rep. Raul Ruiz (D-Calif.).

Meagan Foster is now a senior principal at Cozen O’Connor Public Strategies. She was previously the legislative director and deputy chief of staff for Senator Peter Welch (D-Vt.).

 

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TOMORROW IN CONGRESS

The House and Senate are in session.

TUESDAY AROUND THE HILL

Quiet.

TRIVIA

FRIDAY’S ANSWER: Steve Finley correctly answered that Mo Udall was the first professional basketball player to serve in Congress.

TODAY’S QUESTION, from Steve: What senator walked into a phone booth in the Senate Democratic cloakroom, in the belief that it was an elevator, and said: “Up, please.”

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Inside Congress. Send your answers to insidecongress@politico.com.

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Follow Daniella on X at @DaniellaMicaela.

 

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