The end of the line for Liberal influencers

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Friday Dec 10,2021 11:02 am
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Dec 10, 2021 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey

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WELCOME TO OTTAWA PLAYBOOK. I'm your host, Nick Taylor-Vaisey. It's Friday, which leaves precisely a week and a day between now and the Commons break. Liberals really want to pass two more bills. Time is short. Also, check out our exhaustive look at potential committee chairs. Think they're out to lunch? Tell us.

DRIVING THE DAY

FACING THE CHIEFS — Before he jetted off to a Toronto fundraiser, Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU spoke to a virtual gathering of Assembly of First Nations chiefs — and then took their questions for 30 minutes.

The PM delivered characteristically optimistic remarks about his government's commitment to reconciliation. A lineup of chiefs acknowledged the PM's words, but didn't hold back. "Your deputies are not doing their jobs," said DARRYL SHORTING of the Manitoba delegation, who said government apologies haven't been meaningful. "Come and visit us. We matter, too."

THIS JUST IN —  British judges have granted a U.S. request to extradite Julian Assange.

PREDICTION TIME — As of Thursday morning, committees were officially a thing again. (Thanks to several readers for alerting Playbook to the hotly anticipated report of the procedure and House affairs committee — you know us well.)

We're sneaking in a final round of speculation that spotlights the rump of ambitious and effective Liberal MPs whose last shot at glory is at the head of a table.

— Agriculture: Nova Scotia's Liberal caucus includes one Cabinet minister and five parliamentary secretaries. KODY BLOIS, a rural-repping member of this committee since he was first elected, could get his due.

— Heritage: Two Liberals on this committee have chairing experience: HEDY FRY at the same table, and ANTHONY HOUSEFATHER at justice. Enter MICHAEL COTEAU, a star candidate and KATHLEEN WYNNE -era cabmin. This one's a toss-up, but we'll land on Housefather — a Quebecer on a key file in that province.

— Immigration: Scarborough–Centre's SALMA ZAHID chaired this committee before the election, so she's the odds-on favorite. (Unless the Liberal side wants to promote a westerner in SUKH DHALIWAL. The party's most influential positions tilt heavily to the east.)

— Environment: The favorite is FRANCIS SCARPALEGGIA, a veteran MP who chaired this committee before the election. Then there's PATRICK WEILER, whose name regularly crept into Cabinet speculation — but was dropped from the roster of parliamentary secretaries. This gig could be a consolation.

— Fisheries: The contenders are SERGE CORMIER from New Brunswick and KEN HARDIE from B.C.'s Lower Mainland. The government's most influential positions tilt heavily to the east — so this one could land with Hardie.

— Foreign affairs: Some observers were aghast that SVEN SPENGEMANN was left out of Cabinet and snubbed from the big crop of parliamentary secretaries. He chaired this committee before the election. Yanking it away would add insult to injury.

— Health: Gamblers might bet on MARCUS POWLOWSKI, a doctor who even scored a darkhorse spot on some Cabinet rosters. But SEAN CASEY is a hardened vet of the chair at human resources. He's the instant fave.

— Human resources: On a certain timeline, WAYNE LONG would get the chair. He has sat on the committee since 2016, but a maverick streak in 2017 might have cause him to forfeit a big promotion. Is this the moment for P.EI.'s BOBBY MORRISSEY?

— Indigenous affairs: This is MARC GARNEAU's only committee, but we're not betting he'll take the chair. It's also JENICA ATWIN's sole committee. She featured prominently in Cabinet speculation, but didn't land a parlsec position. Still, Playbook is inclined to go with MICHAEL MCLEOD, a three-termer from Northwest Territories.

— Industry: Surely this is the consolation that JOËL LIGHTBOUND has been waiting for after being dropped from parlsec ranks.

— International trade: Let's not kid ourselves. JUDY SGRO has chaired committees since STEPHEN HARPER's first term. She chaired this one before the election. If she's not reappointed, we'll turn it into a story.

— Justice: The showdown for Nova Scotia's Cabinet spot pitted SEAN FRASER against LENA DIAB, a former provincial attorney general. Fraser won out, but this committee's portfolio was her bailiwick.

— National defense: There's a case to be made for YVES ROBILLARD, a member of this committee since 2017. But he's up against JOHN MCKAY , a former parliamentary secretary on the file who is a serial committee chair. Our money is on Scarborough's longest-serving MP.

— Natural resources: The favorite is JAMES MALONEY, the chair before the election. JOHN ALDAG, the former chair of environment and sustainable development, is also at the table. But Maloney is our pick.

— Official languages: For eight years, Montrealer EMMANUEL DUBOURG has sat on the Liberal benches. That might give him an advantage over New Brunswicker RENÉ ARSENEAULT.

— Science and tech: A former health committee chair, RON MCKINNON, could get the nod. But Etobicoke's KIRSTY DUNCAN, once the minister of science and now a veteran of the Liberal caucus, could trump the British Columbian.

— Status of women: The clear favorite is ANITA VANDENBELD , a former parlsec who had an outside shot at Cabinet — and once chaired the pay equity committee.

— Transport and infrastructure: Recall that PETER SCHIEFKE was dropped from the parlsecs after a six-year run. He could add committee chair to his resume. GEORGE CHAHAL could be a chair just a little further down the road.

— Veterans affairs: We already picked SEAN CASEY for health, but the department watched over by this committee is headquartered in Casey's P.E.I. He's the favorite here, too.

— Ethics: This committee is helmed by a Tory. Our pick is PET KELLY , a three-term Calgary MP who vice-chaired the finance committee until the election.

— Government ops: This is another opposition-controlled committee. ROBERT KITCHEN chaired the last session, and we see no reason why he'd lose the gig.

— Public accounts: The last of the oppo-run committees. PHILIP LAWRENCE is the only Conservative returnee to this table, so our money's on him.

REGIONAL INFLUENCE — Playbook finally got a hold of the list of Liberal regional caucus chairs. They are MIKE KELLOWAY, JAIME BATTISTE, JOEL LIGHTBOUND, JAMES MALONEY, PATRICK WEILER, GEORGE CHAHAL, EMMANUELLA LAMBROPOULOS and KODY BLOIS.

DAYS WITH NO DOCS: 45 — More than a month has passed since Cabinet was sworn in, and still the Prime Minister's Office has made no mention of new mandate letters for ministers. Playbook is counting.

Treasury Board President MONA FORTIER told a Senate committee that she expects her mandate letter "very soon." Playbook keeps hearing a rumor they'll be published today. Count us skeptical, but happy to be wrong.

SEMI-ANNUAL HEADACHES — It's a virtual guarantee. When Auditor General KAREN HOGAN drops an audit, she always finds deficiencies and inefficiencies. 'Twas ever thus. Yesterday brought four tomes of discontent.

My colleague ZI-ANN LUM read through all of them so Pro s don't have to, but Playbook will stick to four key quotes that'll force some Liberal contrition.

— On border control measures: “The Public Health Agency’s inability to confirm whether more than a third of travellers complied with quarantine orders remains a significant problem.”

— On Canada's food system: “Though the government identified food as a critical infrastructure sector in 2009, it had not developed a national plan to respond to a crisis affecting Canada’s entire food system.”

— On temporary foreign workers: “We found that the Employment and Social Development Canada’s inspections — whether they targeted quarantine, outbreaks or basic living conditions — provided little assurance that the health and safety of temporary foreign workers were protected during the 2020 and 2021 growing seasons."

— On small business aid: "We found instances where funding was awarded to applicants who did not meet all of the eligibility criteria or where ineligible expenses were funded."

AROUND THE HILL

FIRST: THE RHETORIC — The House finance committee had gathered to talk about CHRYSTIA FREELAND's Bill C-2, which is all about pandemic aid.

Tory MP PIERRE POILIEVRE had other ideas. After his party's deputy leader, CANDICE BERGEN, kicked things off by challenging Freeland's fiscal literacy, Poilievre took his turn. His first three questions to the minister: Will Canada face a housing crash? Is the housing market stable? What is the total amount of public and private debt in Canada today?

Freeland didn't bite on the first two questions. She deferred to a departmental official on the third. His response was likely music to Poilievre's ears: "I don't have that number at my fingertips."

The countdown is on until a certain YouTube channel posts a new video. Possible title: Top Government Officials Can't Keep Track Of Their Debt.

— Freeland's response: As my colleague ANDY BLATCHFORD reported for Pro s, the finance minister held her ground. “Notwithstanding some irresponsible partisan posturing, which we hear sometimes in the House and sometimes in committee, it is really important for the economy, for Canadians, to understand that we have made real progress.”

— Procedural shift: The committee's new chair, PETER FONSECA, departed from a convention set by his predecessor, the popular and affable WAYNE EASTER. Poilievre demanded that Freeland's responses match the length of his questions, which the Tory attack dog reminded Fonseca was Easter's rule of thumb.

But Fonseca and the clerk agreed that one chair's convention doesn't transfer to the next, so his decision ruled the day. Easter and Poilievre had an oft-testy relationship at FINA, sprinkled with moments of collegiality. The new chair won't get the kid-glove treatment. Expect many points of order in the days, weeks and interminable months to come.

THEN: THE DATA — FINA members might've scanned Parliamentary Budget Officer YVES GIROUX's newest reports on income inequality and the cost of an extended federal wage subsidy.

— 1%ers: Giroux projected that 161,000 Canadian families will make up the top 1 percent of income earners in 2021 — and each household's net wealth will add up to at least C$7.3 million. They held nearly one-quarter of the country's net wealth in 2019.

— The other end of the spectrum: The bottom 40 percent of families own a mere 1.1 percent of total wealth.

— The cost of relief: If Freeland's C-2 clears Parliament, Giroux estimated the cost of the targeted federal wage subsidy extension at C$5.46 billion — a tiny fraction of the overall program cost of C$92.3 billion since it rolled out in the early days of the pandemic.

SURVEILLANCE CAPITALISM — That's how Privacy Commissioner DANIEL THERRIEN described pernicious efforts by some of the world's most powerful corporate players to leverage private information of ordinary citizens.

"Personal data has emerged as a dominant and valuable asset and no one has leveraged it better than the tech giants behind our web searches and social media accounts," he wrote in his final annual report before his 7-year term expires next spring.

— Bill C-11: The Liberals are set to (eventually) table a bill that would overhaul Canada's digital privacy laws. They snuck legislation onto the order paper last spring, but it made little progress before the election.

At the time, Therrien expressed deep skepticism about the Liberals' first attempt at privacy reform, calling it a "step back overall."

— Pro s can download a poster of Trudeau’s cabinet, and key ministers, here.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

— Foreign Affairs MELANIE JOLY and International Development Minister HARJIT SAJJAN will take part in the G-7 foreign ministers meeting in Liverpool through Dec. 12.

— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU starts the day at Centenary Hospital in suburban Scarborough — the very birthplace of your Playbook author — where he'll visit a vaccination clinic. Local Liberal MPs GARY ANANDASANGAREE, SALMA ZAHID, JOHN MCKAY and JEAN YIP will join him.

Trudeau will spend the lunch hour with the Women’s Economic Council, alongside CHRYSTIA FREELAND — and the evening at a fundraiser inside the downtown Hilton.

— Justice Minister DAVID LAMETTI will be at the Senate’s legal and constitutional affairs committee to discuss Bill C-3.

— Health Minister JEAN-YVES DUCLOS will "provide an update" on Covid models.

HOUSE BUSINESS

— Government House Leader MARK HOLLAND set out the priorities for the second-last week of the December sitting: C-2 and C-3. That's it. Related reading: Uncertain if Liberals can pass two remaining priority bills before break.

The House finance committee is scheduled to hear from Canada Revenue Agency officials on Bill C-2 at 1 p.m.

— Over in the Senate, the fisheries and oceans committee holds an organization meeting.

— On Monday, five House committees will elect their chairs. Another four will follow on Tuesday. Two more hold their first meetings on Thursday. Every standing committee is mandated to meet at least once before Dec. 17.

ASK US ANYTHING

What are you hearing that you need Playbook to know? Send it all our way.

PROZONE

Pro s should catch our Pro PM Memo: Here’s what just happened on The Hill.

— More from Zi-Ann Lum: Watchdog blasts Canada's 'reactive' border measures.

— More from Andy Blatchford: Freeland hits back at 'irresponsible partisan posturing' over health of Canadian economy.

In other headlines for Pros:

Senate Democrats eye bill change to ease carbon capture requirements.
John Kerry calls for investing ‘trillions’ to get big emitters to quit polluting.
Six ways Biden is shaping the next 20 years of China trade.
How China won WTO entry and beat the global trading system.
Privacy watchdog puts onus on Ottawa to protect Canadians against ‘bad actors’.
Tai wary of cutting tariffs on health care goods.
Macron: France aims to complete carbon border tax during EU presidency.

Keep watch for today’s PM Pro Memo, which will set you up for the week ahead.

MEDIA ROOM

— Top of POLITICO this morning: 17 pandemic innovations that are here to stay.

— CP'S MIA RABSON speaks with the Canada's environment minister. Headline: Mandate to enforce EV sales quotas needed by end of next year: Guilbeault

— Forbes Magazine named CHRYSTIA FREELAND the 97th most powerful woman on the planet.

— The Globe’s NATHAN VANDERKLIPPE asks a billion-dollar question: Could Canada hold the U.S. liable for billions in B.C. flood damage?

ALTHIA RAJ, RAISA PATEL and KADY O’MALLEY talk Omicron, Afghanistan and the upcoming economic statement on this week’s edition of No Talking Points.

— On CBC's FRONTBURNER this morning: Did NATO make a mistake in Ukraine?

— The Citizen’s BRUCE DEACHMAN spoke with FATEMEH ANVARI, the teacher in Quebec who was reassigned for wearing a hijab. “It’s my resistance and my resilience, and I stand by it,” she says.

J. MICHAEL COLE shares advice on naming Canada’s next ambassador to China: “It is past time we brought back diplomatic skill and dignity to the post of ambassador.”

PAUL WELLS continues his recent tear with thoughts on Canada’s diplomatic vacancies.

PLAYBOOKERS

Birthdays: HBD to former Sen. COLIN KENNY, 78 today. ... Former P.E.I. premier WADE MACLAUCHLAN is 67. ... Former Liberal MP NANCY KARETAK-LINDELL is 64. ... Former NDP MP MATTHEW KELLWAY is 57.

Spotted: MP BLAKE DESJARLAIS at Speaker ANTHONY ROTA’s for dinner. “Yes, I did teach him how to pronounce Griesbach,” he shared.

Movers and shakers: Edelman's DARCY WALSH is lobbying for Boeing Canada, which has on its wish list lucrative contracts to modernize CF-18 fighter jets — and replace them (the aerospace giant was recently knocked out of the latter competition).

Crestview's BRIAN DETCHOU, a Senate staffer until last May whose first job on the Hill was a stint as a House of Commons page, is repping the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers. The oil patch lobby group has an extensive to-do list with federal policymakers.

From the ethics files: PM TRUDEAU recently declared — and forfeited — a gift from Italian PM MARIO DRAGHI at the Rome G20: a Salvatore Ferragamo leather briefcase. (The cheapest briefcase on the luxury Florenzian retailer's website goes for a mere C$1,690.)

Media mentions: MADISON WONG has a permanent gig at The Toronto Star.

TRIVIA

SAVE THE DATE: TRIVIA — Don't make plans for Dec. 21 at 7 p.m. ET. Playbook is whipping up our first-ever virtual trivia night with Outside The Box Trivia. It will be a chance to show off your knowledge of #cdnpoli.

RSVP with your team details to Ottawa Playbook. We have a ton of interest. A team from CIVIX has signed up. The Public Policy Forum's KATIE DAVEY is bringing a stacked team. Legislative aide SARA CIMETTA is onboard. Freelance journalist JENN JEFFERYS is wrangling a team. Don't delay. RSVP today!

Registration is free. We’ll send sign-up details. The trivia platform enables you to gather teammates from all over — you can play and collaborate at the same virtual table, as long as you all have access to WiFi.

Thursday's answer: Nickelback’s CHAD KROEGER dropped in on the Harpers.

Props to ZEV LEWIS, ROBERT McDOUGALL, BEN ROTH, SHEILA GERVAIS, JOHN GUOBA, KEVIN COLBOURNE, DALE BARBOUR, SARAH ANDREWS, LEIGH LAMPERT, BRAM ABRAMSON, ALAN KAN, TREVOR RODIE, JOHN ECKER and ALYSON FAIR.

Friday’s question: The Grey Cup was first televised in 1952. Who opened the competition with a ceremonial kickoff?

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without Luiza Ch. Savage, editor Sue Allan and Zi-Ann Lum.

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