Something's broken with leadership debates

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Thursday Aug 04,2022 10:01 am
A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
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Ottawa Playbook

By Zi-Ann Lum

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Welcome to the Ottawa Playbook. I'm your host Zi-Ann Lum with Andy Blatchford. Today, we ponder the split between Conservative party rule followers and breakers after last night’s snoozer of a debate. Plus, Playbook chats with U.S. Ambo DAVID COHEN about the “ongoing discussions” around President JOE BIDEN’s promised trip to Canada.

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DRIVING THE DAY

BAD BORING — Instant disqualification for candidates who skip leadership debates.

Now there’s an idea.

Former Conservative party dcomm CORY HANN proposed the penalty in a column for the National Post on the eve of the third official candidates debate where PIERRE POILIEVRE and LESLYN LEWIS chose to eat a C$50,000 fine rather than attend.

Hann, a veteran of procuring stage podia, explained neutrality rules constrain party organizers into producing inevitable flops of debates. “Be entertaining but not risky. Ask tough questions but not so tough as to put any candidate in a bad light,” he wrote.

Basically, boring is safe — for party credibility’s sake.

If federal Conservatives don’t want to relinquish control over official leadership debates in future elections, there’s another option to guarantee a full slate of candidates: Jack up the fine for no-shows.

— Back of the napkin math: Debate prep takes time. Fundraising figures posted by Poilievre’s senior adviser JENNI BYRNE this week show their campaign raised C$615,304.54 on June 30 alone.

That breaks down to C$25,637.69 in donations raised per hour that day. Poilievre paid for his no-show four hours before the sun rose over Ottawa.

With 37 days left until Conservatives pick their new leader, it’s easy to see why campaigns with strong fundraising machines would opt to pay penalties rather than follow rules — even if they’re written by the very same party they’re running to lead.

Conservative leadership debate moderator Rob Batherson sits with candidates Roman Baber, Scott Aitchison and Jean Charest in Ottawa on Aug. 3, 2022. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

The Conservative leadership debate. | The Canadian Press/Adrian Wyld

— Rule breakers vs. rule followers: The televised official debate had group interview vibes, an obligatory one because fundraising figures suggest there’s a clear frontrunner.

— What they got: For showing up, the rule followers, JEAN CHAREST, ROMAN BABER and SCOTT AITCHISON were rewarded with one whole additional minute each for closing remarks to woo undecided voters.

As moderator ROBERT BATHERSON continued the white room group interview en français, Poilievre was holding a meet-and-greet event at a hotel in Regina, Sask., dumping on the party-organized debate . Lewis was in Cornwall, P.E.I. meeting supporters.

With Poilievre in the Prairies, Charest’s team grabbed the low-hanging fruit of launching a prank website wherespierre.ca to troll their rival. Tagline: “You scared, bro?”

— Close encounters: The Canadian Press’ SARAH RITCHIE was inside the “very tight” Nepean video and photography studio the party rented for its third and final debate.

The studio was so cramped for space that Ritchie noted in a pool report how lighting had to be fixed before they went live after a candidate knocked over a light on their way to the table.

It was a slap-dash set up that didn’t necessarily scream professional for the standards of a federal leadership debate. High studio ceilings and a partial wall made sounds echo throughout the room.

— Pool report gem: “Before things got started, Jean Charest remarked that the setup is ‘bizarre’ and said ‘I’ve never seen anything like this.’”

The party confirmed Wednesday that approximately 150,000 ballots have been received so far from a pool of more than 678,000 eligible voters.

Party members have until Sept. 6 to get their ballots in. Results of the leadership election will be announced Sept. 10.

What are your smart ideas for new rules to guarantee a full slate of candidates in party leadership debates? Are debates even needed? We want to hear your thoughts. Email us : ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

For your radar


TURBINE TUMULT — The House foreign affairs and international development committee springs into action today to explore why the feds circumvented their own sanctions by exporting Russian Nord Stream gas turbines to Germany.

Committee member HEATHER MCPHERSON wants the government to explain why it weakened its position on sanctions against Russia. “Every time it becomes uncomfortable for us, we choose to waive sanctions,” the NDP MP said when she asked for a new study on July 15. “That's not how this should be working.”

— Who’s in the hot seat: Foreign Affairs Minister MÉLANIE JOLY and Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON.

Five department officials including Foreign Affairs Deputy Minister MARTA MORGAN and Natural Resources Deputy Minister JOHN HANNAFORD are also on the witness list, as well as Ukrainian Canadian Congress President ALEXANDRA CHYCZIJ.

MPs will also hear from German Ambassador SABINE SPARWASSER, Ukrainian Ambassador YULIIA KOVALIV and EU Ambassador MELITA GABRIČ.

— Key message preview: The topic came up before and during a discussion between Joly and her German counterpart ANNALENA BAERBOCK in Montréal Wednesday.

Sending the turbines back to Germany, which were being serviced in Montréal before sanctions trapped them in Canada, deflates VLADIMIR PUTIN’s attempt to sow division between countries supporting Ukraine by weaponizing energy flows to Europe, Joly said.

She stressed Ottawa did its due diligence in consulting Ukrainian and German officials first.

Baerbock was more direct and frank: “We don't know what's going to happen in the future. We don't know what's going to happen with the other turbines … It could be reinstalled with regards to Nord Stream 1. So the ball lays in the field of Russia.”

— Stock phrase, activate: Canadian and German officials have repeatedly called out Putin for trying to use the sanctioned turbines in Montréal as “pretext” to cut gas flow to Europe.

“Putin was trying to sow division within the alliance within the G-7,” she continued. “We called his bluff.… That's why we decided to make sure that we took a strong stance and a difficult decision by sending back the turbine directly to Germany.”

— In related news this morning: CP's MARIE WOOLF reports that Ukraine’s ambassador will tell MPs that Canada must reverse the turbine decision.

SOMEDAY SOMETIME — What we know: President JOE BIDEN is “eager to come to Canada,” according to DAVID COHEN, U.S. ambassador to Canada.

What we still don’t know is when.

POLITICO’s ANDY BLATCHFORD sat down with Cohen, and reports the ambassador was mum about details about the pending bilateral. What he did offer was an admission that he’s been struck by a sense of “almost the hurt” Canadians have felt over their treatment under DONALD TRUMP’s administration.

“There’s a thirst for a restoration of the full friendship and full partnership and full ally-ship ... that Canada and the United States enjoy together,” Cohen said. “And I’ve sort of grafted that onto my job.”

The thirst for chest-thumping trade wins, however, can be a source of bi- and trilateral irritation. Just ask the auto industry.

— Fall frictions : An USMCA dispute settlement panel formed over a hotly contested autos trade case announced Wednesday it will deliver its ruling on Nov. 10. Read more from POLITICO Pro’s DOUG PALMER.

BIZ LEADERS WANT FREE TRADE DEAL — A new analysis released this morning by major business groups is urging the Trudeau government not to overlook India’s economic might as Canada crafts its long-awaited Indo-Pacific strategy.

The report makes the case for deepening ties with what it calls the world’s fastest growing large economy. The benefits of a comprehensive trade deal with India have the potential to lift bilateral business to C$8.8 billion a year, says the report by Ciuriak Consulting. The study was commissioned by the Business Council of Canada and the Canada-India Business Council.

Report authors argue Canada has captured only a “minimal portion” of India’s rapid economic expansion in recent decades and calls on the government “to reinvigorate its efforts to obtain a free trade deal.”

— What’s next: Foreign Minister Joly has promised to release an Indo-Pacific strategy, which is expected in the coming months. In June, she launched an Indo-Pacific advisory committee that will make recommendations to the government on the best way forward.

Joly has said the plan will focus on areas such as trade diversification, climate change and regional security.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS


— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU continues his vacation in Costa Rica.

8:45 a.m. Public Safety Minister MARCO MENDICINO will make an announcement in Montréal about gun and gang violence. A media availability will follow with Heritage Minister PABLO RODRIGUEZ, Quebec Public Safety Minister GENEVIÈVE GUILBAULT and Montréal executive committee chair DOMINIQUE OLLIVIER.

11 a.m. National Defense Minister ANITA ANAND is in Toronto to make an announcement about the Canadian Armed Forces’ efforts to support Ukraine. The Canadian Press reports this morning that Anand is expected to announce that the CAF will start training Ukrainian soldiers in a third country.

11 a.m. (12 p.m. ADT) Deputy Prime Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND will visit Armour Transportation Systems in Dartmouth, N.S. and hold a media availability.

“Private meetings” are also on Freeland’s schedule, as well as a closed-door roundtable with “energy industry representatives” at 3 p.m. (4 p.m. ADT) in Halifax.

1 p.m. The House foreign affairs committee will hear from Joly and Wilkinson on the government’s decision to export Russian Gazprom turbines to Germany. Sparwasser, Kovaliv and Gabrič follow as witnesses at 3:30 p.m.

2 p.m. NDP Leader JAGMEET SINGH will hold a presser on Parliament Hill about Canada's healthcare system.

PAPER TRAIL


FROM THE TENDERS — The Correctional Service Canada is looking for a supplier for take-home naloxone kits to give to discharged inmates “for use in the community in cases of opioid overdose” as well as prison needle exchange kits.

— Media monitoring infrastructure: An advance contract award notice from the Department of Finance for cable TV services via coaxial cable notes the department has a “0% tolerance level to outages due to sensitivity of broadcast recordings.” Rogers has been pre-identified as a supplier.

MEDIA ROOM


— Top of POLITICO this morning: Kansas landslide fuels abortion rights movement’s next fights.

REUTERS reports: China fires missiles in largest ever drills in waters off Taiwan.

APTN’s BRETT FORESTER takes a deep dive into the Doctrine of Discovery.

— In a piece for The Hub, former MPP JEREMY ROBERTS explains what it’s like to be a politician on social media.

— “Trudeau is spending two weeks in Costa Rica. So what?” ROBYN URBACK’s take on the PM’s getaway closes with an A+ line on the ArriveCan app.

PAUL WELLS has drawn up The Trudeau Rescue Plan. Details are for paying s.

“The Trudeau of 2015 would not have recognized the Trudeau of 2022,” he writes. “And he’d have been startled and embarrassed at the spectacle of the hidebound, defensive stick-in-the-mud he has become.”

— Political strategist BRIAN TOPP is the hot seat on the latest edition of The Herle Burly.

THE DECIBEL pod answers listener questions about monkeypox with help from health reporter WENCY LEUNG.

— Here’s MONA ZHANG and PAUL DEMKO with a survey of cannabis legalization efforts across the U.S.

— Finally, a sad note: Civil rights lawyer CLAYTON RUBY has died. Here’s CP’s obituary via PAOLA LORIGGIO.

PROZONE


If you’re a POLITICO Pro , don’t miss our latest newsletter: The latest on Biden’s Canada visit.

In other news for Pro s:

Panel to issue USMCA autos ruling Nov. 10.

Rich countries put billions into global Covid responses. Low-income countries wish they could spend it on bigger problems.

U.S. monkeypox response stirs up anxious memories of AIDS era for activists.

The Fed's global problem.

Electric cars, drug costs and more: 5 battles Democrats could lose on their marquee bill.

EU antitrust enforcers are investigating Google Play Store.

The question vexing Democrats: Biden 2024?

Playbookers


Birthdays: Happy 75th to trailblazer CATHERINE FRASER, who just retired as Alberta’s top judge, Other birthdays today: Former premier DANNY WILLIAMS, author and professor emeritus ROGER MARTIN and academic and economist RANDALL WRIGHT. 

Send birthdays to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

Movers and shakers: DAVID MCGONIGAL is now comms and media manager to the CEO of the One Campaign.

Bad day to be a fence: An amphibious Lady Dive tour bus crashed into the gates of 24 Sussex … and a man with “edged weapons” was arrested after ramming a vehicle into gates on the Hill.

Foreign Affairs Minister MÉLANIE JOLY and German Foreign Minister ANNALENA BAERBOCK taking in the view from the top of Montréal’s Mont-Royal … and from the city’s old port , inspecting grain silos … Sen. PETER BOEHM got a picture with Baerbock , too.

Public Safety Minister MARCO MENDICINO meeting EASY, the gun-sniffing springer spaniel .

CTV’s MACKENZIE GRAY noticed JEAN CHAREST between two actual ferns .

Farewells: KHAWAR NASIM bids adieu to NYC as he leaves his post as acting counsel general of Canada in New York.

Send Playbookers tips to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

TRIVIA


Wednesday’s answer: ROBERT ESMIE was lead runner on the 4 x 100 meter relay team that raced past the U.S. to a gold medal for Canada in Atlanta. From a few years ago, here’s Sportsnet’s oral history of the race.

Props to JOSEPH CHAMOUN, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, BRAM AMBRAMSON, PETER MCKINNEY, DOUG  RICE, JOHN ECKER, JOHN DILLION and ROB LEFORTE.

Today’s question: Name the Canadian leader who said: “I laugh when critics and some reporters say that I’m nothing more than a fighter, someone always looking for a racket, never happy unless I’m taking someone on. Well folks, I’m here to tell you today that those folks are right.”

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Alejandra Waase to find out how: awaase@politico.com .

Playbook wouldn’t happen without Luiza Ch. Savage, Sue Allan and editor Ben Pauker.

 

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