The case for strong mayors

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Thursday Aug 11,2022 10:00 am
A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Aug 11, 2022 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Sue Allan

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Thanks for reading the Ottawa Playbook. Today, we phone a friend for a download on DOUG FORD’s “strong mayor” initiative. ANDY BLATCHFORD sets up Round 13 of the Columbia River Treaty talks. MAURA FORREST has the two cents on the Bank of Canada’s #social #strategy. ZI-ANN LUM catches up with MICHELLE REMPEL GARNER talking blockchain and buses. Plus, FATIMA SYED shares summer reading recommendations.

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HALLWAY CONVERSATION

Toronto Mayor John Tory with Ontario Premier Doug Ford.

Toronto Mayor John Tory and Ontario Premier Doug Ford. | Cole Burston / The Canadian Press

WITH GREAT POWER — Ontario Premier DOUG FORD wants to empower the mayors of Ottawa and Toronto. The Star’s ROBERT BENZIE scooped the news weeks ago. Ontario’s premier made it official Wednesday when he tabled the Strong Mayors, Building Homes Act.

The gist via Benzie: “Under Premier Doug Ford’s new legislation, the mayors of Toronto and Ottawa would have sweeping new authority over municipal budgets and the hiring and firing of senior city staff.” Read Benzie’s take here.

Ottawa Mayor JIM WATSON wants the premier to drop the plan.

— Great responsibility: Few people in Canada know urban affairs better than BRIAN C. KELCEY of State of the City Inc. To help make sense of Ford’s move, Playbook chatted via email with Kelcey on Wednesday evening:

What is the greatest strength of the “strong mayor” initiative?

The part of local democracy that engages the highest number of citizens in Canada is direct elections for mayor. Love him or hate him, more people voted for JOHN TORY to be mayor of Toronto in 2018 than voted for every winning Toronto city councilor combined.

Ditto for JIM WATSON: More people voted for him to be mayor of Ottawa in 2018 than voted for every elected Ottawa city councilor combined.

More people vote for mayors than do anything else in local politics because voting for mayor is a simple, clear and direct expression of what direction you want your city to take. Millions of Canadians aren't voting for mayors expecting that they're voting for “just another councilor.” They expect the mayor to have some additional authority to lead the city and lead debates.

Can you point us to a best case example of this system in the U.S.? 

No, because that's the trick question that torques the Canadian debate on cities and mayors so often. While the TV version of strong mayors is certainly associated with the U.S., strong mayors don't even make up a majority of American mayoralties; they're only dominant in the largest U.S. cities.

But in healthy democracies in Asia, Latin America, Africa and Europe, a strong majority of cities are operating on some sort of “stronger-mayor” model, either with directly elected executives, or where the mayor is chief executive by virtue of leading a council's cabinet.

No one is claiming it's “the end of democracy” in Greater Manchester because Mayor ANDY BURNHAM directly hires regional transit leaders. No one is claiming it is the end of Seoul's democracy because Mayor OH SE-HOON proposes the budget before it is debated.

On the contrary: when urban-minded Canadians talk up examples of dynamic, engaged city-building, nine times out of 10, they're picking examples from “strong-mayor” cities without even realizing it. And it isn't a coincidence.

What gives you pause about the legislation? Ottawans might say, “former mayor LARRY O’BRIEN.” And, of course, Toronto’s ROB FORD comes to mind.

O’Brien and Ford were operating in “weak-mayor” systems, and they caused some havoc when they did. I've seen weak mayor systems fall apart — or worse, become little tyrannies — just as often as strong mayor systems.

The critical question is whether the legislation does enough to allow councilors, officials and reporters to push back if they want to.

Vetoes and vote counts are actually less important in city systems that need more accountability, in my experience.

The issues that keep me up at night are more like these: Can a citizen get access to damaging city information without interference? Can a councilor pepper managers with fair but tough questions on request? Can a reporter find out if the mayor has signed unfair contracts, or are contracts habitually kept secret? Are real crimes being investigated by real cops, or left to helpless "integrity commissioners?" And so on.

One stated goal of the initiative is to empower the mayors of Toronto and Ottawa to solve the housing crisis. What has otherwise been standing in their way? 

Critics are fair when they argue Canadian mayors haven't always been taking big risks to push the envelope on housing, regardless of the authority they have. And that's fair.

But one thing holding them back politically is that until the mid-2010s housing wasn't always seen as a mayoral-level problem in most Canadian cities. It was presumed that ward councilors would lead on those decisions, with a few exceptions.

Now that mayors are more engaged in the supply problem, they're running into a fundamental trend of city politics — what Chicago calls “aldermanic privilege.” Meaning: a lot of city councilors logroll: “You let me decide for my neighborhood, I won't interfere in yours.”

The result is, there's a strong institutional interest in councilors to back up NIMBYist policies as a group, over and above the institutional incentive for a particular councilor to resist new housing in a particular ward.

The cities that have done the most to break this iron triangle cycle recently are American cities where broader zoning changes are dropped on an entire city, or mayors have pushed for big housing projects and thrown their weight around to build them. The Ford government clearly hopes the new legislation will help with either approach. Time will tell.

Should the timing surprise us — 74 days before Ontario municipal elections?

The legislation isn't changing the election, so much as it is changing what happens after.

It'd be more cynical if Queen's Park had waited until election results were in than it is to leave open the possibility of putting this new authority into the hands of critics.

Consider, for example, the fact that CATHERINE MCKENNEY and BOB CHIARELLI are two of the three leading candidates in Ottawa's mayoral race right now, and neither would be considered to be friendly to the Ontario’s Progressive Conservative government. Either could end up with stronger powers as a result of this legislation.

— Related reading from Kelcey: To lead in the 21st century, Canadian mayors need the power to propose.

DRIVING THE DAY


DOWN BY THE RIVER — Negotiators are back at the table for a 13th round of talks on the modernization of the Columbia River Treaty.

ANDY BLATCHFORD sets the scene: The meandering process, which started in 2018, has been slow. But stakeholders say it’s a crucial piece of cross-border collaboration between Canada, the U.S. and Indigenous peoples.

The six-decade-old treaty governs all things water in a drainage basin that touches Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Utah, Wyoming and British Columbia. The latest talks started Wednesday in Vancouver and continue today.

— The bargaining table: DAVID COHEN , the U.S. ambassador to Canada, told a conference last month that the two countries are in “violent agreement” about the importance of hydropower, flood control, ecosystems and, in particular, the need to modernize the treaty.

“I'm in a pretty optimistic state with respect to the Columbia River Treaty negotiations at this point,” Cohen told the annual Pacific NorthWest Economic Region Foundation summit in Calgary. “There has been progress made at the bargaining table.”

— Who’s watching: The agreement is on the radar of top U.S. lawmakers. Sen. JIM RISCH (R-Idaho) told POLITICO the issue came up last fall in Washington when U.S. senators met with Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU.

“The stakes are incredibly high,” MARYSCOTT GREENWOOD, CEO of the Canadian American Business Council, tells Playbook. “This is something that has the attention — big time — of U.S. senior congressional leadership.”

— What’s next: Expect talks to continue for the next year and a half. Some provisions of the treaty are set to expire in 2024. “It's not unlimited, but we're not at the end of the shot clock yet,” Greenwood said.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS


— Trudeau is still in Costa Rica.

9 a.m. (10 a.m. AT) Official Languages Minister GINETTE PETITPAS TAYLOR is in Church Point, N.S. to make a Francophone education funding announcement.

10 a.m. Deputy Prime Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND will be at Roy Thomson Hall in Toronto to unveil a special one-dollar coin celebrating the late OSCAR PETERSON.

SUMMERTIME READS


Here’s our summer 2022 reading list so far

Fatima Syed sits in a desk chair wearing a shirt that says

Fatima Syed | Tiffany Lam

Today’s picks come from FATIMA SYED, host of The Backbench and Ontario reporter at The Narwhal: 

One of my favorite authors of all time has new books I'm finally catching up on. “The Nutmeg's Curse: Parables for a Planet in Crisis” and “The Living Mountain” by AMITAV GHOSH. 

Next on deck: “How to Take Over the World” by RYAN NORTH — a delightful comic by an award-winning Marvel Comics writer about how supervillain schemes could a) be scientifically plausible and b) actually save the world.

For a good cry: “Lost & Found” by KATHRYN SCHULZ. 

Ordered: “Our Voice of Fire: A Memoir of a Warrior Rising” by BRANDI MORIN. 

For your radar


WATCH THIS SPACE MICHELLE REMPEL GARNER says crypto enthusiasts should get active in politics or else regulatory rules will be written without them.

“Do not assume that government understands what you understand,” the Conservative MP told the audience at the 2022 Blockchain Futurist Conference in Toronto on Wednesday.

Rempel Garner’s name is on Bill C-249 , private member’s legislation that would require the finance minister to create a national framework to grow Canada’s crypto asset sector.

The bill, which she said is up for second reading in September, is intentionally broad in hopes of getting the crypto community involved in the legislative process to help Ottawa fill in the blanks.

— Doors of perception : Rempel Garner told the crowd there’s lots of potential for economic benefit and for social equity, but she’s concerned about timing. Ottawa is tuning into the space right when talk around crypto is getting increasingly oversimplified and polarized. Freedom convoy, anyone?

It’s happening from both left and right political poles, she said.

On the left, she said, “You're getting a lot of ‘Crypto is the devil,’ ‘We should ban crypto,’ ‘It's only going to lead to a lot of money laundering and death and terrible things.’”

The emerging narratives on the right, in contrast, have been “very interesting” to watch. “You've got a lot of people who actually believe that blockchain and cryptocurrencies are going to usher in things like digital IDs that are going to trace people,” Rempel Garner said.

— When the House comes back: The Calgary MP ended speculation in June over whether or not she would run to replace JASON KENNEY as Alberta’s United Conservative Party boss.

Her focus, she said, is to keep blockchain and crypto discussions nonpartisan, ensuring the sector doesn’t experience death by over regulation or negative political narratives.

“This community has to drive the bus or the bus will be driven over it,” she said. “The future is already here and I just think a lot of people don't realize it.”

ALSO FOR YOUR RADAR


EXPLAINING INFLATION — The Bank of Canada isn’t defensive, you’re defensive.

Canada’s central bank is trying to explain monetary policy in layman’s terms, and it’s getting, well, mixed reviews.

“Why raise rates when Canadians are already feeling stretched with their budgets? Higher interest rates help reduce spending and that lowers inflation,” the bank said in the first of a six-tweet thread on Wednesday . “Keep reading to learn how.”

We did, and we learned all about how the economy is overheated and rising interest rates will cool demand. Various emojis were used.

“The best thing we can do for everyone is to bring inflation back down again,” the bank finished, solemnly, to the rousing chorus of 36 likes. “And we will.”

— This wasn’t the central bank’s first such attempt. On Aug. 4: “#YouAskedUs how raising interest rates at home solves the problem if high #inflation is caused by international challenges.” (Nine tweets.)

And on July 28: “#YouAskedUs why we need to raise interest rates so much.” (Six tweets.)

— So: An earnest attempt to educate the public? Or a slightly clumsy response to attacks from the likes of PIERRE POILIEVRE? Or both?

#WeSurveyedSmartPeople:

TREVOR TOMBE , University of Calgary economist: “Communicating monetary policy to a broad general audience is difficult, but increasingly important. … Especially important to defend its independence and improve public confidence.”

KEN BOESSENKOOL , Conservative strategist: “I’d be very interested in who the BoC thought the target audience is for this. In my view it is still way too technical for a ‘broad general audience.’”

ROB GILLEZEAU , University of Toronto economist: “I like the idea of what they're trying to do here, but the tone and confidence level feel off. It makes the Bank sound defensive on its rate path.”

— Related, from south of the border: “The Biden administration on Wednesday got some much-needed good news,” POLITICO’s SAM SUTTON and VICTORIA GUIDA report . “For the first time in more than two years, overall inflation didn’t rise at all in July, thanks to lower gas prices.”

Stock markets responded with big gains, but inflation was still at 8.5 percent — analysts were expecting worse.

MEDIA ROOM


Top of POLITICO this morning: A mole! Pretextual! Planted evidence! — Trump world rife with theories about the FBI search.

— For iPolitics, KADY O’MALLEY gets into the wonky weeds exploring what could happen if the Liberal-NDP deal falls apart over dental care .

— The CBC's KYLE BAKX reports: Tumbling prices could mean the worst of inflation is over.

— The Association for Canadian Studies worked with polling firm Leger to gather attitudes on Bill 21 in Quebec, STEVE RUKAVINA reports for the CBC. The survey revealed that most Quebec Muslims feel less accepted, less safe and less hopeful under the new law, he reports.

DEAN BEEBY reports on his blog: “For the first time, a federal department [Public Services and Procurement Canada] is headed to court to challenge an order issued by the Information Commissioner of Canada.”

— Canada has adopted a U.N. resolution recognizing a healthy environment as a human right. The Narwhal’s CARL MEYER explains why a bill making its way through Parliament to codify this right may need to change.

— “Social media users deliberately attempting to silence journalists and others with messages of hate has become a norm that is threatening our democracy,” human rights advocate AMIRA ELGHAWABY writes in The Star. “Far too many people are driven out of the public square.”

PROZONE


If you’re a POLITICO Pro , don’t miss our latest newsletter: Deep dive on Columbia River Treaty talks.

Just for Pros: Join POLITICO reporters Josh Siegel, Brian Faler and Kelsey Tamborrino today at 11 a.m. ET for a briefing to discuss the behind-the-scenes maneuvers and compromises that made it possible to pass the Inflation Reduction Act in the Senate.

In other news for Pro s:

GOP's risky proposition: Rebuffing a fossil fuel-friendly climate bill.

How real is the danger from Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant?

Russian hackers continue to target Ukrainian energy grid.

Europe’s scorching summer parches hydropower.

Gas is suddenly cheaper. That could help Biden.

Premier François Legault is staying put. The future of his rivals is much less secure.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: HBD to retired politician NORM KELLY — aka @norm. National Assembly President SOL ZANETTI is 40. Former MP TONY VALERI also celebrates today.

Send birthdays to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

Spotted: NADIA THEODORE, sharing dad texts about her appointment as Canada’s ambassador and permanent representative to the World Trade Organization in Geneva. “In middle age, there are fewer and fewer opportunities to make your parents proud,” she tweeted.  

DAVID HERLE in conversation with former premiers KATHLEEN WYNNE, STEPHEN MCNEIL and CHRISTY CLARK.

In his penultimate week as Canada’s ambassador to Latvia, KEVIN REX met with Latvian Prime Minister KRIŠJĀNIS KARIŅŠ.

Movers and shakers: LANA PAYNE is the new national president of Unifor.

Former Trudeau staffers ALLIE LEE and BROOKE MALINOSKI are joining Enterprise Canada’s National Public Affairs in Ottawa.

CHRIS SEVERSON-BAKER is taking the reins as the new executive director of the Pembina Institute, replacing LINDA COADY.

DAWN FARRELL will become the new president and CEO of Trans Mountain Corp.

Foreign Affairs Minister MÉLANIE JOLY announced two new appointments Wednesday: DAVID DA SILVA is the new representative to the Palestinian Authority, replacing ROBIN WETTLAUFER. LOUIS MARCOTTE is the new ambassador to Peru, replacing RALPH JANSEN.

Farewells: DAVID REED, deputy high commissioner for the U.K. in Canada, has been sharing highlights from his time in Canada as he prepares to return to the U.K:

No. 4: Meeting MARGARET ATWOOD. No. 7: Smores and paddling.

Send Playbookers tips to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

PAPER TRAIL


COIN WITHOUT CASH — Playbook shared a tender for tchotchkes the other day about the Public Health Agency of Canada’s (PHAC) search for a supplier of 5,000 commemorative “COVID Coins” and 5,000 velvet presentation boxes.

It’s an employee recognition idea, we get it. But we had to ask if the token came with a cash award. Nope, according to spokesperson ANDRÉ GAGNON.

— Here’s the response : “Health Canada and the Public Health Agency of Canada employees will receive a COVID-19 commemorative coin as an everlasting expression of gratitude for their contributions under the unprecedented circumstances of the COVID-19 pandemic, but will not, however, be receiving a bonus, or any other form of remuneration.”

TRIVIA


Wednesday’s answer: “Ahead By A Century” was the last song at The Hip’s final concert. 

Props to JOHN ECKER, JACQUES STURGEON, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, ANNE-MARIE STACEY, HARRY MCKONE and DOROTHY MCCABE. 

Today’s question: The Stanley Cup floated down the Bow River on Wednesday. Because: Tradition? Tell us though, who is the Keeper of the Cup?

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without Luiza Ch. Savage and editor Ben Pauker.

 

Follow us on Twitter

Nick Taylor-Vaisey @TaylorVaisey

Sue Allan @susan_allan

Andy Blatchford @AndyBlatchford

Maura Forrest @MauraForrest

Zi-Ann Lum @ziannlum

POLITICO Canada @politicoottawa

 

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