Pierre Poilievre: Check against delivery

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Friday Oct 21,2022 10:01 am
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Oct 21, 2022 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Maura Forrest , Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Zi-Ann Lum

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WELCOME TO OTTAWA PLAYBOOK. I’m your host, Maura Forrest, with Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Zi-Ann Lum. Today, we bring you the speech PIERRE POILIEVRE wishes he could deliver at the press gallery dinner. Elsewhere, JONATHAN WILKINSON’s shifting relationship with nuclear energy, and PHILIPPE J. FOURNIER’s Quebec election debrief.

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DRIVING THE DAY


WINE AND DINE — This Saturday marks the first Parliamentary Press Gallery dinner since the start of the pandemic. It’s a fancy, silly affair in which members of the media hobnob with politicians over an expensive dinner at the Canadian Museum of History, overlooking the Ottawa River.

Think the White House Correspondents’ Dinner, but take it down several notches.

— Traditionally, the PM and other party leaders give carefully crafted speeches at the dinner, during which they (gently) roast themselves and the media.

— This year, however, Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE isn’t going. It’s not much of a surprise, really. Poilievre has made a point lately of not associating with journalists.

— So today, Playbook brings you the speech Poilievre might have delivered tomorrow — about not attending the dinner:

“They say absence makes the heart grow fonder, but in this case, I hope it has the opposite effect. Members of the press gallery, please feel free to tweet disparaging remarks about me all night. Maybe get DAVID AKIN on stage to share a few thoughts. My fundraising team could really use some new fodder.

“Seriously, though, I know you guys are upset that I don’t respect you as a pillar of democracy or whatever. But maybe if you all didn’t lose your cool every time I look at a piece of wood , or go for a walk with someone , things wouldn’t have gotten this bad.

“I shake hands with a lot of people , OK? Some of those people turn out to be odious losers , but how was I to know that? You guys get all hysterical about every little thing.

“What I’m trying to say is that, sure, there was a time when I needed you. Back when I was just a rosy-cheeked MP of 25, launching a long, grueling career of parliamentary privilege, I may have sought out any chance to get my name in the paper.

“But those days are over. Now I can get my message out on Twitter, or Facebook, or through a YouTube tag . Not that I had anything to do with that, nor will it ever be possible to know who was responsible for that, so please stop asking.

“If I’m being honest, though, the truth is I just don’t feel comfortable hanging out in a room full of ball gowns and tuxedos. I’m just a humble guy from Calgary — or from a francophone village in Saskatchewan , depending on my audience — and this really isn’t my scene.

“Sure, you may have seen me at various events around Parliament Hill over the last 20 years or so, but that was never really me. I’ve never really been part of all this. I’m not anything like you.

“So to conclude, while you all make fools of yourselves on the dance floor tonight, I’m going to stay true to myself, and to all the people who support me, by staying home at Stornoway . Goodnight.”

For your radar


THEN AND NOW — Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON joined a Canadian Nuclear Association conference for a Thursday morning "fireside chat" about where nuclear fits into Canada's clean-energy future.

JUSTIN TRUDEAU 's Cabinet ministers haven't always had a can-do attitude about CANDU reactors. Before Environment Minister STEVEN GUILBEAULT launched a political career, he opposed the (literally) radioactive file. Last year, Guilbeault danced around a question on Canada's nuclear future — and deferred to the judgment of the marketplace.

Former natural resources minister SEAMUS O'REGAN felt differently. He championed small modular reactors as a key part of the country's energy future. And the feds committed C$120.6 million over five years in Budget 2022 for research on and regulation of SMRs.

— The new guy: Two years ago, when he was environment minister, Wilkinson told then-Maclean's writer PAUL WELLS that nuclear energy would be part of someone's future — just maybe not Canada's. And like Guilbeault, the minister invested his faith in the invisible hand of the market.

But on Thursday, in his newest gig as natural resources minister, Wilkinson showed up at the CNA conference with a new message for industry . Compare and contrast below his varying views on — cue a reliable Wilkinson-ism — a "go-forward basis."

Wilkinson in 2020: "Minister O’Regan is correct, in the sense that there are areas of the world where there probably is no path to net zero without nuclear energy.

"And on a go-forward basis, it’s certainly part of the mix of non-emitting technologies that will be competing for the provision of electrical energy.

"But it’s going to be competing with solar and wind and geothermal and hydrogen and a whole range of other things; it will need to demonstrate that it is both commercially viable and cost wise."

Wilkinson on Thursday: "To achieve our climate and our economic goals Canada must be open to the deployment of all non-emitting technologies and energy sources, including nuclear energy.

“Today, Canada is a Tier-1 nuclear nation with over 70 years of technological leadership, a world-class regulator and a strong domestic supply chain. And our nuclear sector is poised to be a leader in an emerging global market that some estimate to be worth up to $150 billion a year by 2040.

"On a go-forward basis, nuclear power can help address increasing demand for electricity, grow the economy and create jobs, all while helping us reach our climate targets."

ELECTION POST-MORTEM — In case you missed it, POLITICO Canada ace contributor PHILIPPE J. FOURNIER nailed Quebec election projections.

All five parties landed close to 338Canada’s final projections. Fournier correctly identified the winner in nearly 95 percent of electoral districts.

In today’s Playbook, he shares his thoughts on election fallout:

Last spring in Ontario, DOUG FORD ran an intentionally uneventful campaign some dubbed “the Seinfeld election” after the show about nothing. The Progressive Conservatives stuck to a tight script and left opposition parties fighting each other.

Ford’s PCs went on to win a larger majority at Queen's Park than when they arrived in 2018.

We saw glimpses of the same play in the Quebec campaign, even as incumbent premier FRANÇOIS LEGAULT made ill-advised comments on historically slippery topics. The warring opposition proved incapable of taking advantage of the stumbles.

The Coalition Avenir Québec swept 90 of the 125 seats in the Quebec National Assembly.

— Among the slippery topics? Immigration.

— Tale of the tape: Asked about his plan to set a limit of 50,000 immigrants per year in Quebec, the premier replied: “Quebecers are peaceful. They don't like conflict and extremism and violence. And we have to make sure to keep things the way they are now.”

Opposition leaders called him out, but the campaign rolled on.

Days later, Legault’s minister of immigration was caught on tape.

“Eighty percent of immigrants coming to Quebec move to Montreal, don't work, don't speak French or do not adhere to Quebec values,” Trois-Rivières MNA JEAN BOULET said during a local debate.

Legault condemned Boulet, but still let him run under the CAQ banner. Boulet won his district with more than 50 percent of the popular vote, 30-plus points ahead of his closest opponent.

— Missing in Montreal: Legault’s victory was unequivocal in the regions, from the Outaouais to the Eastern Townships to Quebec City and all the way to Gaspésie. Outside of Montreal, the CAQ won 88 of 98 seats.

But his attempts to break through in the province’s metropolis fell short.

On the island of Montreal, the CAQ ranked a distant third in popular vote (behind the Liberals and QS), and won just two of the island's 27 seats.

Montreal, where most newcomers to the province reside and work, was once again isolated within a powder blue enclave.

— Campaign fallout: Campaigning on the backs of immigrants may have proved a winning formula, but time will tell if it was worth risking the social fabric of the Quebec nation, whose identity remains a hotly debated ballot-box issue.

Since its creation, the CAQ has branded itself as a promoter and defender of Quebec nationalism. But nationalism and cultural division can be an explosive mix, and may lead to growing counter-nationalist attitudes.

— The work ahead: Unless Legault mends bridges with Montreal and its cultural communities, the campaign could leave a mark for years to come.

IN 'N OUT — Foreign policy heavyweights ROLAND PARIS and ADAM CHAPNICK think Canada's foreign minister has morphed into a Teflon-clad role, in that no one sticks around long anymore.

Chapman told senators Thursday that quick turnover at 125 Sussex's corner office is a fairly recent phenomenon.

BRIAN MULRONEY had the same foreign affairs minister for seven years, Chapnick said. "Even LLOYD AXWORTHY was foreign minister for nearly five years."

The hot potato treatment of the high-profile responsibility has worked against a key requirement in the job: time. Paris explained long-term commitment to the role is essential to cultivate relationships to get countries to pick up Canada's calls.

Five ministers have held Canada's foreign affairs portfolio in Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU's seven years in power.

ON THE RECORD — “I’m one of the lucky ones that made it,” PATRICK BRAZEAU said Thursday to a Senate committee studying the Federal Framework for Suicide Prevention .

“I count my blessings every day.” In 2020, Sen. Brazeau shared his own story as he urged the Standing Senate Committee on Social Affairs, Science and Technology to study suicide prevention and mental health.

On Thursday morning, he took time in front of the same committee to urge his colleagues to focus on the needs of Indigenous boys and men. “If we want to reduce the greatest number of suicides in Canada, we need to focus research programs and evaluations on those populations who commit suicide most, ” he said.

At the close of his opening comments, Brazeau shared the number for Talk Suicide Canada: 1-833-456-4566. And he spoke directly to anyone struggling: “You are not alone. You are valuable. We need you. And you belong. We love you.”

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS


— Tourism Minister RANDY BOISSONNAULT is at the APEC finance ministers’ meeting in Bangkok, Thailand.

8:30 a.m. Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE will participate in a fireside chat hosted by the Canadian American Business Council at the Canadian embassy in Washington, D.C.

8:30 a.m. Justice Minister DAVID LAMETTI will make an announcement in Montreal about firearms. MARCI IEN, minister for women, will be making a related announcement in Toronto at 9 a.m.

9:30 a.m. The Public Order Emergency Commission continues hearings in Ottawa. Testifying today are CRAIG ABRAMS and CARSON PARDY of the Ontario Provincial Police.

12 p.m. (9 a.m. PDT) Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU will make an announcement and hold a press conference in the Metro Vancouver area. Public Safety Minister MARCO MENDICINO will also be present.

1 p.m. Champagne will hold a media callback.

— On Saturday:

12:15 p.m. Governor General MARY SIMON will deliver the keynote address at a Trent University conference in honor of Arctic historian SHELAGH GRANT.

WHO'S UP, WHO'S DOWN


Who’s up: The lettuce. IYKYK .

Who’s down: The B.C. NDP, whose soon-to-be leader, DAVID EBY, will take up the reins from outgoing Premier JOHN HORGAN amid a cloud of controversy and infighting .

MEDIA ROOM


— “Whisper it, but Boris Johnson could be on the comeback trail,” POLITICO’s ANDREW MCDONALD writes in his survey of the runners and riders for next UK prime minister .

— The inquiry into the Nova Scotia mass shooting has finally released recordings of the phone meeting with RCMP Commissioner BRENDA LUCKI that sparked allegations of political interference. You can listen here .

— In Ottawa, CAMPBELL CLARK writes: There’s no doubt now about the Ottawa police failure with convoy protests.

On her Substack , MICHELLE REMPEL GARNER encourages MPs to focus less on score-settling and more on "reclaiming power that has been relinquished in a centralized party system and using it for the greater good."

GREG MERCER writes in the Globe about a Newfoundland outport where the community of a few dozen is split over resettlement plans.

— The Big Story pod features Hill reporter CORMAC MAC SWEENEY with “everything you need to know about the Emergencies Act inquiry.”

— The Hub’s SEAN SPEER writes: Central bankers need a lesson in humility.

— For the Logic, DAVID REEVELY and MURAD HEMMADI spent more than a year figuring out that the Ontario Provincial Police use controversial data-mining platform Palantir .

— Finally, KATHERINE J. WU notes in the Atlantic: “It’s gotten awkward to wear a mask.”

PROZONE


For POLITICO Pro s, catch up to our latest policy newsletter by ZI-ANN LUM and NICK TAYLOR-VAISEY: Carney: ‘Time to reduce deficits.'

In other news for s:

Parler was jubilant about Kanye West buying it. Then the problems started.

NATO is rushing equipment to Ukraine as troops hunker down for the winter.

Scramble for shade: Why cities aren’t planting more trees.

The tech moguls who want to remake American politics.

Texas sues Google over biometric data collection.

PLAYBOOKERS


Birthdays: HBD to former Newfoundland and Labrador premier BRIAN TOBIN and former MPs CHRISTINE MOORE and ROSANE DORÉ LEFEBVRE. Celebrating Saturday: ROB EVERSHED, principal and co-founder at Prospectus Associates (60!), former Parti Québécois Cabinet minister CLAUDE CHARRON and RAYMOND BACHAND, once a Liberal finance minister in the same province. And on Sunday: Former MP and MPP GLENN THIBEAULT, Winnipeg mayoral candidate RANA BOKHARI and public affairs consultant ROBIN SEARS.

Send birthdays to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

Spotted: Quebec Liberal MNAs MARWAH RIZQY and GREGORY KELLEY, welcoming their son . … MP DAN MAZIER and his wife, LEIGH, celebrating 37 years of marriage .

Iceland’s First Lady ELIZA REID, shouting out JOANNA CHIU’s China Unbound .

Sen. PAULA SIMONS celebrating “peak Canadiana” at Senate hearings on C-11.

MP TERRY DUGUID celebrating his dad, champion curler DON DUGUID, who received the Order of Canada on Thursday.

CATHERINE MCKENNA, hanging out in Montreal with JEAN CHAREST CARLA QUALTROUGH, being inducted into the Canadian Disability Hall of Fame.

Movers and shakers: Former DFO DM TIM SARGENT started a new role as distinguished fellow at the Centre for International Governance Innovation. Sargent's areas of expertise: Trade, macroeconomics, future of work, global financial system, artificial intelligence, international institutions.

Conservative finance critic JASRAJ SINGH HALLAN has been elected first vice-chair of the House finance committee.

Federation of Canadian Municipalities CEO CAROLE SAAB joined the Munk School of Global Affairs as a senior fellow .

Foran Mining signed up Crestview senior consultant MUHAMMAD ALI, Nokia's fixer on its recent dealings with the Trudeau government. Top priority: "funding to support the creation of the world's first carbon neutral copper mine."

The Canadian branch of Aussie multinational Fortescue Future Industries is snooping around for federal support — say, the Strategic Innovation Fund or Net Zero Accelerator — of future green hydrogen projects. CATHERINE LANSLEY is the company's lobbyist.

The Ottawa Police Services Board will name Ottawa’s new police chief this afternoon, days before the municipal election.

Conservative MP BOB BENZEN will retire from the House of Commons on Dec. 31. “Pierre Poilievre will be our next Prime Minister and we can count on him to safeguard our freedoms and restore prosperity,” he said in a statement .

Farewells: The Globe and Mail paid tribute to science journalist LYDIA DOTTO , who died last month at the age of 73.

On the Hill


Find the latest House committee meetings here .

Keep track of Senate committees here .

8:45 a.m. The special joint committee on medical assistance in dying meets to hear from witnesses including Quebec MNA NANCY GUILLEMETTE and SANDY BUCHMAN, former president of the Canadian Medical Association.

8:45 a.m. The House foreign affairs committee’s human rights subcommittee meets to elect vice chairs and to pick up its study, for the first time since June, of the situation in Tigray.

1 p.m. CRTC Chair IAN SCOTT will be at the House heritage committee , along with two of the regulator’s lawyers, to speak on Bill C-18. Heritage Minister PABLO RODRIGUEZ and deputy minister ISABELLE MONDOU will appear before MPs via videoconference.

1 p.m. Auditor General KAREN HOGAN will be at the House public accounts committee to field questions from MPs about her office’s audit reviewing the processing of disability benefits for veterans.

1 p.m. The House environment committee meets to continue its study of clean technologies before switching gears to review Bill C-248 , NDP MP BRIAN MASSE’s private member’s bill proposing the establishment of Ojibway National Urban Park of Canada. Masse will appear before MPs.

1 p.m. The House citizenship and immigration committee meets to continue its study of application backlogs and processing times.

1 p.m. The House fisheries and oceans committee meets in camera for 30 minutes before going public to launch into MPs’ third meeting studying the North Atlantic right whale.

Behind closed doors: The House international trade committee meets to review a draft report summarizing its study of the Canada-U.S. relationship and its impact on electric vehicles, softwood lumber and other sectors.

TRIVIA


Thursday’s answer: Reader BRAM ABRAMSON did the math: “JULIE PAYETTE logged, apparently, 611 hours in space across her two missions. That’s more than 25 days.”

Props also to ROBERT MCDOUGALL. 

Friday’s question: Name the Canadian leader who used an undersized fish and an illegally sized net to make his point at the United Nations.

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen: Without Luiza Ch. Savage and Sue Allan.

 

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