Trudeau’s foreign policy whisperers

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Thursday Feb 15,2024 11:04 am
Presented by Insurance Bureau of Canada: A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Feb 15, 2024 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Kyle Duggan and Zi-Ann Lum

Presented by

Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Ottawa Playbook | Follow Politico Canada

Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. Let's get into it.

In today's edition:

→ A check in on who’s advising the PM on global affairs in an increasingly turbulent time.

→ The latest on the U.S. race, as it devolves into an ageist shouting match.

→ And Playbook has updates from federal court on the end of a SaskEnergy case and a new suit by PPE companies suing Ottawa.

DRIVING THE DAY

FILE - President Donald Trump, left, and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau arrive for a round table meeting during a NATO leaders meeting at The Grove hotel and resort in Watford, Hertfordshire, England, Dec. 4, 2019. Canada's government is preparing for the possibility that Trump could reach the White House again and the “uncertainty” that would bring, Trudeau said Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024, at a Cabinet retreat. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci, File)

Donald Trump and Justin Trudeau at a 2019 round table meeting of NATO leaders. | AP

WHO’S BENDING THE PM’S EAR — International relations in 2024 started on rocky footing and it increasingly seems like it’s only going to get trickier from here.

DONALD TRUMP talked about letting Russia invade member nations delinquent on their spending commitments. The Israel-Hamas war is in its fifth month. There are elections coming up around the world.

As the stakes get higher and the heat amps up, Playbook put together a who’s who on the current roster of the PM’s key foreign affairs whisperers:

External:

The PM sometimes takes counsel from outside experts. Playbook has learned Trudeau has spoken with JANICE STEIN of University of Toronto’s Munk School several times recently.

Stein co-chairs the government’s Indo-Pacific advisory committee alongside PIERRE PETTIGREW and FARAH MOHAMED. Other key figures on that committee: Former Canadian ambassador to the U.S. FRANK MCKENNA (who, last time he spoke with Playbook, said he’s not concerned about when domestic leaders in either country lob word volleys at political players in the other), Sen. HASSAN YUSSUFF, RONA AMBROSE and DOMINIC BARTON.

On Canada-U.S. relations, Trudeau has recently chatted up Cabinet-retreat panelists LAURA DAWSON, FLAVIO VOLPE and MARC-ANDRÉ BLANCHARD.

Within PMO:

PATRICK TRAVERS, son of the late columnist JIM TRAVERS and a PMO staffer since 2016, is the senior global affairs adviser to Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU.

Deputy chief of staff BRIAN CLOW oversees PMO’s global affairs team. Clow is heavily focused on Canada-U.S. relations and Ukraine. He cemented his reputation as a whip-smart strategist when he led the Canada-U.S. relations team from 2017 to 2021.

 Issues management and parliamentary affairs adviser EMILY DESROCHERS is on the file and senior policy adviser OZ JUNGIC focuses almost exclusively on foreign affairs.

 BEN CHIN, a PMO senior adviser, is also heavily engaged on international matters. His eyeballs are fixed on the Indo-Pacific and economic issues, like supply chains and critical minerals.

 JASON EASTON, who recently joined PMO, had previously headed Trade Minister MARY NG’s office for the past several years as chief of staff.

 KATIE TELFORD maintains a hand in foreign affairs on key relationships for Canada, especially the United States.

Playbook often wonders whether former PMO figure GERRY BUTTS, who has been out of PMO since 2019, still gabs much with the PM on such matters.

Are you Gerry Butts? Drop Playbook a line.

 

A message from Insurance Bureau of Canada:

Canada needs to fund the National Flood Insurance Program now because flooding is Canada’s greatest climate threat. By launching the National Flood Insurance Program, the federal government can help protect the 1.5 million high-risk households that cannot obtain affordable flood insurance. And this can be done on a cost-neutral basis. Read more here.

 
Where the leaders are


— Deputy Prime Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND is in Toronto for pre-budget consultations with housing advocates and youth leaders. At 3 p.m., she’ll attend a Black History Month event.

— Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE will hold a 9:45 a.m. press conference in Pointe-Claire, Quebec.

— Green Party Leader ELIZABETH MAY is in Ottawa with plans at the end of the day to head to Toronto via train to kick off the Ontario leg of the "Today, Tomorrow, Together: The Green Leaders" tour.

DULY NOTED

8:15 a.m. Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE and Public Safety Minister DOMINIC LEBLANC will be at the House public safety committee to take questions on Bill C-26.

3:30 p.m. Newfoundland and Labrador Industry, Energy and Technology Minister ANDREW PARSONS and Nova Scotia Natural Resources and Renewables Minister TORY RUSHTON are on the witness list at the House natural resources committee’s study on Bill C-49.

Canada’s Chief Accessibility Officer STEPHANIE CADIEUX tables the first ever accessibility report to Parliament.

We're tracking every major political event of 2024 on a mega-calendar. Send us events and download the calendar yourself for Google and other clients .

2024 WATCH

SOME SWIFT TRUTH — About three-quarters of Americans who believe the conspiracy theory that TAYLOR SWIFT is working to help JOE BIDEN win in November also not believe the 2020 election results, POLITICO’s KIERRA FRAZIER reports on the new polling insight.

— Age off: The 2024 race is increasingly turning into a battle over the two central figures trying to make the other seem too elderly to be president. Trump said of Biden: “I don’t think he knows he’s alive.” POLITICO’s ADAM WREN has the blow by blow. The Globe’s ANDRÉ PICARD argues this is the familiar stigma of ageism creeping into the race.

— Not literal: The attacks are easy but the spin is a tough job for Trump’s advisers, trying to wash away his NATO comments, after he welcomed Russia to invade NATO defense-spending laggards. The talking point: Don’t take him literally.

— But serious: But in an interview with POLITICO’s KELLY GARRITY, Trump’s former national security adviser JOHN BOLTON warns to take him seriously on pulling out of NATO.

But all of this is now being overshadowed by fears of Russian space tech advancement, as Washington buzzes about vague warnings from the House Intelligence Committee chair about a “serious national security threat,” reports POLITICO’s ERIN BANCO, ALEX WARD and LEE HUDSON.

PAPER TRAIL

SASKENERGY CASE DROPPED — SaskEnergy employees can sleep a little easier.

Revenue Minister MARIE-CLAUDE BIBEAU switched a key carbon tax-related designation from SaskEnergy to the province of Saskatchewan, Playbook has learned.

The move ended a lawsuit launched against her by the provincial Crown corp. A notice of discontinuance was filed in federal court on Feb. 9 to drop the application for judicial review.

— Quick context: As Playbook previously detailed, the suit warned the organization and its employees were about to land in hot water, facing fines and possibly even jail time, if the responsibility for paying the carbon tax on natural gas wasn’t transferred over to the province within a matter of weeks.

— Beat the clock: SaskEnergy President MARK GUILLET had warned in the court case about a looming end-of-February deadline for payment of the January 2024 carbon tax. That deadline would have pitted his organization against conflicting provincial and federal laws. Collision avoided.

Saskatchewan passed its own law last year preventing the Crown corp. from paying the federal tax. Premier SCOTT MOE has vowed the province will stop collecting the tax for electric heat in an ongoing political clash with Ottawa over carbon pricing.

$5 BILLION MASK SUIT — Domestic makers of N95 masks and other personal protective equipment are seeking a whopping C$5.4 billion in damages claiming Ottawa led them down the garden path on its commitments to supporting them.

The small and medium-sized Canadian manufacturers claim they were misled on supports for buying and promoting their products to fend off Covid-19, which led them to retool their businesses or gear up for production.

— C$88 million hit: A case filing in federal court by the Canadian Association of PPE Manufacturers alleges that “beginning March 20, 2020 and up to September 2023, the Plaintiffs collectively invested $88,400,000 into PPE manufacturing, and lost that same amount, all due to the negligent misrepresentation of the government of Canada.”

They also calculated they collectively suffered C$5.4 billion in “lost market opportunity losses over a 10-year period,” after Ottawa indicated it wanted them to retool to produce pandemic defenses but later shifted gears and “supported foreign competition against Canadian SME manufacturers.”

— Just launched: The government has not yet filed a defense.

— Recall: The government drafted a plan in March 2020, titled “Canada’s Plan to Mobilize Industry to fight COVID-19.”

The Commons also passed a unanimous consent motion on Dec. 16, 2021 calling for all masks and respirators purchased by the federal government should be from domestic manufacturers.

The statement of claims suggests they were strung along during much of the pandemic under the big mobilisation plan.

— The competition: The suit makes numerous references to foreign multinationals getting the advantage, like 3M “running roughshod” over them to influence procurement standards. 3M did not respond by deadline when asked for comment.

Public Health Agency of Canada dealt a blow when it “inappropriately misdirected 40 million Canadians away from buying” N95 and other respirators and toward “making, buying and wearing cloth masks for at least the first two year period of the pandemic,” before ultimately dropping its mask mandate requirements in 2022.

— The score: According to the lawsuit, PSPC told them in February 2022 it “would buy medical masks and respirators only from the Plaintiffs and Canadian manufacturers for any and all of the approximately 207 Government of Canada Departments and agencies served.” But “no contracts, standing orders or purchase orders were issued.”

 

A message from Insurance Bureau of Canada:

Advertisement Image

 
MEDIA ROOM

— The Globe’s MARIEKE WALSH and KRISTY KIRKUP report that NDP, Liberal pharmacare negotiations include talks to fund birth control, diabetes medications.

The Canadian Press reports from Brussels: The federal government is spending more than C$273 million to acquire new military equipment for NATO's Canada-led battle group in Latvia.

— Environment Minister STEVEN GUILBEAULT is walking back controversial comments he made at a live-streamed event Monday, noticed by Montreal Gazette reporter MICHELLE LALONDE, about Ottawa no longer funding new roads.

Guilbeault specified on Wednesday that Ottawa is only done with “large” road projects, CBC’s JP TASKER reports.

ERICA IFILL writes that inaction on deep fakes exposes more women to online abuse.

— On The Writ ÉRIC GRENIER explains why it's rare to see the Conservatives so high and the Liberals so low.

LAURA RYCKEWAERT of The Hill Times checks in on Centre Block renovations.

— For POLITICO’s Magazine, JOANNE KENEN writes on the next front in disinformation and the vaccine wars.

Playbookers

Birthdays: HBD to Toronto councilor JAMES PASTERNAK, former MP GERALD KEDDY and Alberta strategist SHIFRAH GADAMSETTI.

HBD + 1 to Sen. BERNADETTE CLEMENT’s dad who celebrated his 102nd birthday.

Send birthdays to ottawaplaybook@politico.com.

Spotted: Elections Canada’s notification confirming registered electors in Durham should get their voter information card by today.

National Defense Minister BILL BLAIR’s Brussels bilat with German Defence Minister BORIS PISTORIUS … Blair’s obligatory handshake photo with NATO Secretary General JENS STOLTENBERG.

Labor and Seniors Minister SEAMUS O’REGAN’s declaration of recusal from discussions related to the appointment of his friend JOHN STANLEY COOK to the Canadian Tourism Commission.

Movers and shakers: The Independent Advisory Board for Senate Appointments has six new members: SOFIA MIRZA, ASH MODHA, JENNIFER MOLLOY, DALE EISLER, JEREMIAH GROVES and DAVID OMILGOITOK.

PROZONE

Our latest policy newsletter for Pro s from ZI-ANN LUM and SUE ALLAN: Canada’s defense minister warns against distractions.

In other headlines for Pros: 

WTO chief leans on members to save MC13 meeting.

Political changes can’t derail clean energy shift, IEA head says.

Bloomberg to finance health care-focused high school in New York City.

Treasury official says Hamas’ crypto financing was likely less than reported.

Treasury: 25,000 buyers have claimed EV tax credit this year.

ON THE HILL

Find House committees here.

Keep track of Senate committees here.

— Chief Accessibility Officer STEPHANIE CADIEUX will table the first-ever accessibility report to Parliament.

8 a.m. (2 p.m. GMT) Energy and Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON will be in London to deliver remarks at the Canada-UK Industrial Decarbonization Forum hosted at Canada House. Wilkinson will also make a funding announcement related to critical minerals.

8:15 a.m. The House human resources committee will meet to continue its study of Bill C-319, a private member’s bill sponsored by Bloc MP ANDRÉANNE LAROUCHE, a witness in the meeting’s second half.

8:15 a.m. NDP MP LAUREL COLLINS will be at the House justice committee to take questions on her private member’s bill, Bill C-332.

8:15 a.m. The House official languages committee will continue its study on the economic development of official language minority communities.

9 a.m. The Senate agriculture committee will continue its study on soil health.

9:15 a.m. The Senate energy committee will meet to discuss issues related to climate change and Canada’s oil and gas industry.

10:15 a.m. NDP MP DANIEL BLAIKIE will hold a press conference in West Block with union leaders to call on the government to change EI rules “that discriminate against women and new parents.”

11 a.m. Federal Housing Advocate MARIE-JOSÉE HOULE will be at the House finance committee’s study on policy decisions and market forces that have increased housing costs in Canada.

11 a.m. The House agriculture committee will meet to begin a new study on issues relating to the horticulture sector.

11 a.m. WestJet CEO ALEXIS VON HOENSBROECH will be at the House transport committee as a second-panel witness as MPs launch a study on accessible transportation for persons with disabilities.

11 a.m. The House access to information committee will continue its study on the federal government’s use of technological tools capable of extracting personal data from mobile devices and computers.

11 a.m. The House health committee will meet to continue its study on women’s health.

11:30 a.m. The Senate banking, commerce and the economy committee will continue its study of Bill C-34. Macdonald-Laurier Institute senior fellow CHARLES BURTON is on the board as a witness.

11:30 a.m. The Red Sea crisis will be up for discussion in the first half of the Senate foreign affairs committee before the topic moves on to senators’ study on foreign relations and trade.

11:30 a.m. The Senate social affairs, science and technology committee will meet to study Bill S-252.

11:45 a.m. Bill S-230 will be up for discussion at the Senate legal and Constitutional affairs committee. First order of business is the election of a deputy chair before taking the bill through clause-by-clause consideration.

1 p.m. Imperial Tobacco Canada’s ERIC GAGNON will hold a press conference in West Block to talk about “loopholes, misconceptions and outright inaccuracies clouding the public health conversation on smoking cessation and nicotine pouches.”

3:30 p.m. Small Business Minister RECHIE VALDEZ will be a witness at the House status of women committee as part of MPs’ study on women’s economic empowerment.

3:30 p.m. Environment and Sustainable Development Commissioner JERRY DEMARCO will be a witness at the House public accounts committee where his report on forests and climate change is under study.

3:30 p.m. Canada-Ecuador free trade negotiations will be up for discussion at the House international trade committee.

3:30 p.m. The House fisheries committee will meet to launch into a new study of population sustainability of Yukon salmon stocks.

3:30 p.m. The House environment committee will gather for its 16th meeting to discuss the topic of freshwater.

3:30 p.m. The House heritage committee will hear from Star columnist SHREE PARADKAR, Unifor, Fédération professionnelle des journalistes du Québec and other organizations as it studies media in Canada.

Behind closed doors: The House science and research committee will meet to discuss two reports.

 

A message from Insurance Bureau of Canada:

DON’T BE FLOODED WITH REGRET – Roughly 10% of Canadian households are at high risk for flooding but lack access to flood insurance. Over the past few years, devastating floods in BC, Newfoundland and Labrador and, most recently, in Nova Scotia have massive financial and emotional consequences for residents in those regions. The federal government, to its credit, recognizes that a public-private solution is needed and, in 2023, Finance Canada committed seed funding to set up Canada’s first National Flood Insurance Program. But that is not enough. The program requires more than a pledge. It needs operational funding as part of the 2024 federal budget in order to be up and running before the next federal election. The good news? It can be run on a cost-neutral basis. Canadians have waited long enough. It is time to fund the National Flood Insurance Program. Read more here.

 
TRIVIA

Wednesday’s answer: CARRIE BEST started a radio show, “The Quiet Corner,” which aired for 12 years. More on her here. 

Props to ROBERT MCDOUGALL, BOB GORDON, MARCEL MARCOTTE, GREG MACEACHERN and BRAM AMBRAMSON.

Today’s question: As recently recognized in the House by MP LENA METLEGE DIAB:

Who was the first Nova Scotian and third Canadian to receive the Victoria Cross for valor and bravery?

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, editor Willa Plank and Luiza Ch. Savage.

 

Follow us on Twitter

Nick Taylor-Vaisey @TaylorVaisey

Sue Allan @susan_allan

Maura Forrest @MauraForrest

Kyle Duggan @Kyle_Duggan

Zi-Ann Lum @ziannlum

POLITICO Canada @politicoottawa

 

Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family

Playbook  |  Playbook PM  |  California Playbook  |  Florida Playbook  |  Illinois Playbook  |  Massachusetts Playbook  |  New Jersey Playbook  |  New York Playbook  |  Ottawa Playbook  |  Brussels Playbook  |  London Playbook

View all our political and policy newsletters

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://www.politico.com/_login?base=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

| Privacy Policy | Terms of Service

More emails from POLITICO Ottawa Playbook

Feb 14,2024 11:02 am - Wednesday

New deck of wild cards

Feb 13,2024 11:03 am - Tuesday

Accountability fail

Feb 12,2024 11:01 am - Monday

The little app that couldn't

Feb 09,2024 11:02 am - Friday

Dodge and pony show

Feb 08,2024 11:01 am - Thursday

‘Next steps’ by noon

Feb 07,2024 11:02 am - Wednesday

Message control and wedge-ology

Feb 06,2024 11:02 am - Tuesday

Smith brings her issues to Ottawa