What Dean Phillips will say in New Hampshire

From: POLITICO Playbook - Friday Oct 27,2023 10:10 am
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Rep. Dean Phillips speaks with reporters.

Rep. Dean Phillips speaks with reporters after a Democratic caucus meeting on Capitol Hill, on Oct. 1, 2021, in Washington. | Alex Brandon/AP

GET CLEAN FOR DEAN — Rep. DEAN PHILLIPS, a House Democrat who made a fortune selling liquor and gelato and is now serving his third term representing the Minneapolis suburbs, is challenging JOE BIDEN for the Democratic presidential nomination.

“I am announcing today my candidacy for the presidency of the United States of America,” Phillips will say in New Hampshire, according to prepared remarks obtained by Playbook. “The America I love and the America WE love. The America that has provided millions of us with refuge, with liberty, and with opportunity, but is yet to fulfill its great promise to far too many.”

Phillips, who has been a strong supporter of Biden and his agenda, will nod to the fact that they agree on many issues, but will argue that Biden can’t win a general election and that the Democratic Party deserves generational change at the top.

“I am running for the Democratic nominationnot in opposition to our current president, who has my appreciation and gratitude, rather with two core convictions,” he will say: “(1) I am a Democratic candidate who can win the 2024 general election. (2) And it’s time for the torch to be passed to a new generation of American leaders.”

Despite the light touch on attacking Biden — at least today — Phillips will emphasize a few issues where his campaign believes the incumbent president is vulnerable: high federal deficits, slow wage growth, inflation, tax rates that are too low for corporations and the wealthy, gun violence and spiraling healthcare costs.

Phillips is a centrist former CEO, one of the wealthiest members of Congress, represents a swing district and is an active member of the bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus. But his nascent presidential campaign is tinged with populist messaging around the issues of economics, immigration, and foreign policy.

WHERE HE’LL DING BIDEN: In what may be the most intriguing portion of his remarks today, Phillips will emphasize three issues where many Democrats have been reluctant to criticize the president: border security, crime, and the high cost of defense spending.

“Chaos at our border and in our cities is growing, while our commitment to countering it is receding,” Phillips will say in remarks that are at odds with many Democrats, who have been loath to campaign against the spike in border crossings and urban crime lest they sound DONALD TRUMP-ian.

“We fund more for fighting than we do for feeding,” Phillips will say, adding “We’ve spent billions sending our soldiers to fight in foreign lands and STILL haven’t fixed the failures in Flint.”

Though Biden withdrew troops from Afghanistan and has not committed American troops to the defense of Ukraine and Israel — the two most expensive foreign policy projects of his presidency — Phillips, whose father died in Vietnam when he was a baby, is leaning into populist antiwar sentiment that continues to ripple through the American electorate. “And WE, the new generation, will rise — not through war but through peace — and not just here but throughout the world,” he will say.

In other places, Philips seems keen on attracting the broad middle of an electorate that has consistently told pollsters it is uninterested in a Biden-Trump rematch. Phillips refers to himself as part of “America’s exhausted majority” that his campaign will organize to “stand in the way of extremists who are hijacking America and large swaths of the world.”

Phillips nods to the fact that he’s wealthy when discussing how taxes are too low, but the source of his wealth may be a campaign issue for him. He notes that “diseases of despair are claiming our children through addiction and suicide,” a point that will likely raise questions about the candidate’s background in the liquor business.

A heavy media rollout masterminded by former JOHN McCAIN strategist STEVE SCHMIDT will launch Phillips today. A profile in The Atlantic is set to appear this morning. CBS News’ Robert Costa interviewed Phillips yesterday. A steady stream of interviews from big-name TV and print reporters will roll out through the weekend.

BETTING BIG ON NEW HAMPSHIRE: Phillips will attempt to resurrect the prominence of New Hampshire after Biden attempted to end its reign as the first in the nation primary by pushing South Carolina to the front of the line. However, New Hampshire is statutorily required to hold its contest first. (No official date has been set.) If New Hampshire disobeys the DNC, the committee says New Hampshire’s delegates won’t count at the convention.

“Among you, the great people of the State of New Hampshire, who have been the first to vet presidential candidates for over one hundred years and whose motto ‘Live Free or Die’ speaks for all of America,” Phillips will declare. “I invite you to join me in declaring a NEW AMERICAN INDEPENDENCE — not from another nation or people — rather from fear and from the status quo.”

In an announcement video slated to air in New Hampshire, Phillips plays up his personal history with the state.

“I'm coming to New Hampshire to answer your questions,” he says. “I love New Hampshire. I spent my summers as a kid in the White Mountains going to camp. Got to canoe the Saco River, learn how to fish, learn how to shoot a gun. Got to climb the Presidential Range, including Mount Washington. And it's also where I learned to love my country. And that's why I'm back as a candidate for president in the place where we begin.” Watch the ad here

THE PUSHBACK: Phillips has missed the filing deadline for the February 6th Nevada primary, and by privileging New Hampshire he may face a backlash from Black and Hispanic Democrats who have long complained that New Hampshire’s overwhelmingly white electorate made it a poor choice to kick off the presidential primaries. Rep. BENNIE THOMPSON (D-Miss.) told ABC News that Phillips’ New Hampshire launch was “divisive and it's disrespectful to a large population and support base for the Democratic Party."

Biden came in fifth place in New Hampshire in 2020. He won the South Carolina primary.

Last night, reaction from Biden world was relatively muted. One source played down the Phillips news. “Lots of luck in your senior year!” the source said, quoting a famous Bidenism.

The White House took a subtle dig at their new opponent and sought to emphasize that Phillips has a long record of supporting the president.

“Based on the Hatch Act, we don’t discuss elections — not presidential primaries, nor primaries in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district,” White House spokesman ANDREW BATES told Playbook, referring to the fact that Phillips has recently attracted a primary challenger back home. “Separately, when it comes to President Biden’s official work, the administration appreciates that Congressman Phillips has voted for nearly 100% of the President’s legislative agenda.”

Expect to hear a lot in the coming days about Phillips turning from a Biden stan to a Biden critic. “He came to the White House this summer … to bowl with the Problem Solvers in the EEOB,” one source familiar with the White House bowling schedule told Playbook. The Daily Beast reports out a 2021 trip on Air Force One where Phillips was reportedly aggressively snapping selfies with Biden.

It’s unclear why these pro-Biden episodes will matter. SENECA, the great Roman philosopher of Stoicism, once noted, “I actually make a practice of going over to the enemy’s camp — by way of reconnaissance, not as a deserter!”

For Phillips, it may have been a bit of both.

Related read: “Inside Dean Phillips’ longshot presidential campaign,” by Elena Schneider

Happy Friday. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line and tell us whether you like liquor or gelato best: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

 

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THE PLAYBOOK INTERVIEW: MARJORIE DANNENFELSERSusan B. Anthony Pro-Life America is one of the most powerful groups in the GOP firmament. As its president, Dannenfelser directs millions of dollars to support or defeat candidates based on their views about abortion. New York magazine recently dubbed her “the woman who killed Roe.”

But since the Dobbs decision, the anti-abortion movement has been playing defense. Its statewide initiatives have suffered a string of defeats, mostly in red states. The Democrats benefited from the so-called “Dobbs effect” to curtail their losses in the midterms. And they are planning to run hard on the issue in 2024.

Ryan sat down with Dannenfelser at her Virginia headquarters to find out how she and SBA are responding. Her desk sits under a map of America that details her group’s national battle plan, including ground game strategy, info about presidential candidates, key races and a running tally of governors opposed to abortion rights.

PBDD quote card

Dannenfelser’s latest big move is newsworthy: The group is spending money in the Virginia statehouse campaigns backing a 15-week abortion ban rather than an outright ban from conception — a sign that she and SBA understand how politically toxic outright abortion bans and even six-week bans are in many states.

You can listen to the full conversation with Dannenfelser on the latest episode of Playbook Deep Dive. What follows are some key excerpts.

— Why SBA now supports a 15-week ban: “It’s obviously not our ultimate — what we want. I mean, we all know that. … It's incremental — like every other human rights battle that we've won in this country has been. It's like the Missouri Compromise.”

— What Dannenfelser would advise Trump: “We've been very clear to him and all the others that 15 weeks is the right line. You can go earlier if you want. The 15 weeks is the sweet spot.”

— On the battle over framing the abortion debate: “I'm sure since you talk to Democratic strategists a lot that you've heard and maybe spoken, even, with [Democratic pollster] CELINDA LAKE, whose advice is brilliant. … Her advice to all the candidates in the midterms and moving forward is: Don't allow your opponent to talk about gestational limits; make sure that you are calling your opponent’s position a ‘ban’ on abortion, no matter if it's 15 weeks, 12 weeks, partial-birth — call it a ‘ban.’ …

“They've all taken that advice. And in fact … so many Republicans have actually fanned the flames of that advice, meaning they've allowed themselves to be labeled being for a ‘ban,’ and they're not for a ‘ban.’ … You know, 15 weeks is not a ‘ban’ on abortion; it’s a 15-week ‘limit with exceptions.’”

— On the GOP’s sputtering response to the Dobbs decision: “There was a deer in the headlights [reaction] in the Republican Party. There's just no question about it. … Complete political malpractice. You allow the other side to define you as a monster. You say nothing about your own position, and you fail to describe their position — which is unlimited abortion. … It is political malpractice to fail to defend and fail to go on offense in a situation like that.”

 

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WHAT'S HAPPENING TODAY

On the Hill

The Senate and The House are out.

3 things to watch …

  1. We’re keeping a close eye on the reaction to MIKE JOHNSON’s first in-depth interview as House speaker, conducted last night with Fox’s Sean Hannity. He made news on several issues — starting with his call to “bifurcate” funding for Ukraine and Israel. He did not, however, rule out Ukraine aid entirely: “We’re not going to abandon them, but we have a responsibility … to make sure that the White House is providing the people with some accountability for the dollars.” Separately, Johnson said, the House would move forward with $14 billion in Israel aid but offset it with budget cuts elsewhere.
  2. As for the upcoming Nov. 17 shutdown deadline, Johnson indicated a clean continuing resolution would not be acceptable and said Freedom Caucus Reps. BYRON DONALDS (R-Fla.) and CHIP ROY (R-Texas) were among a group of members hashing out options: “We’re working through this with ideas and trying to ensure that if another stopgap measure is required that we do it with certain conditions.”
  3. Johnson also weighed in on a pair of tricky issues that could be headed to the House floor. Asked about the possible expulsion of Rep. GEORGE SANTOS (R-N.Y.), he played down the possibility, noting the thin GOP majority: “We have no margin for error, and so George Santos is due due process, right?” He was much more bullish on the prospect of impeaching Biden: “If in fact all the evidence leads to where we believe it will, that’s very likely impeachable offenses.” More interview tidbits from Andrew Zhang

At the White House

Biden will participate in a campaign reception in the afternoon. In the evening, he will depart en route to Wilmington, Delaware.

VP KAMALA HARRIS has nothing on her public schedule.

On the trail 

The Republican Jewish Coalition Annual Leadership Summit kicks off in Las Vegas. Presidential candidates scheduled to appear this weekend include Trump, RON DeSANTIS, CHRIS CHRISTIE, NIKKI HALEY, MIKE PENCE, TIM SCOTT, VIVEK RAMASWAMY and DOUG BURGUM.

 

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PLAYBOOK READS

CONGRESS

Speaker Mike Johnson makes a statement to reporters.

Newly-elected House Speaker Mike Johnson faces a looming spending deadline and potential political blowback should he choose to move an impeachment process forward against Biden. | J. Scott Applewhite/AP

WHOSE SPEAKER IS IT? — Johnson’s ascension to the speakership has reignited Republicans' hopes of a possible Biden impeachment, though obstacles still remain, Jordain Carney and Olivia Beavers report.

While some of the “loudest Republican impeachment voices already view [Johnson] as a natural ally,” being a relative backbencher involves a different calculation than he must make as speaker, “since he has to protect members in battleground districts who worry an impeachment vote would hurt them back home.”

“Signs of coming tensions have quietly percolated behind the scenes. Some centrist Republicans warned each speaker designate against moving forward with impeachment unless they have a clear smoking gun … Other centrists and governing-minded lawmakers are making it clear they support the investigations being led by Judiciary Chair JIM JORDAN (R-Ohio) and Oversight Chair JAMES COMER (R-Ky.).”

The view from 1600 Penn … The White House must now deal with a House leader who refused to acknowledge Biden's victory in the 2020 election as staffers scramble to research their “new negotiating partner” ahead of aid and government spending fights, Adam Cancryn and Jennifer Haberkorn write.

What they are saying: “[Johnson’s] record is troubling. But what matters is whether there’s a way to do business with him,” said one adviser to the White House. “We just don’t know what we have, and we don’t know how long a honeymoon [House Republicans] are going to give the guy.”

More top reads: 

  • Following the deadly mass shooting in Lewiston, Maine, Rep. JARED GOLDEN (D-Maine) has reversed his prior opposition to an assault weapons ban, Anthony Adragna reports. “‘I have opposed efforts to ban deadly weapons of war like the assault rifle used to carry out this crime,’ Golden said at a news conference … ‘The time has now come for me to take responsibility for this failure, which is why I now call on the United States Congress to ban assault rifles.’” 

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

Israelis take cover as a siren warns of incoming rockets fired from the Gaza Strip.

Israelis take cover as a siren warns of incoming rockets fired from the Gaza Strip in Holon, Israel on Thursday, Oct. 26. | Petros Giannakouris/AP

LATEST IN THE MIDDLE EAST — As Israeli PM BENJAMIN NETANYAHU “faces growing domestic pressure to launch a ground invasion” of Gaza, he’s facing international pressure from U.S. and other Western leaders who are increasingly urging caution amid rising calls for a humanitarian pause in fighting, WSJ’s Vivian Salama, Dov Lieber and William Mauldin report.

Yesterday, Israeli military announced “that it had briefly sent tanks into the northern Gaza Strip overnight as part of preparations for the next stage of fighting,” NYT’s Nadav Gavrielov, Matthew Mpoke Bigg, Vivian Yee and Matina Stevis-Gridneff report. They claimed to carry out “more than 250 strikes in the preceding 24 hours; the Gazan health ministry said that at least 43 of those, and 481 resulting deaths, were in southern Gaza — the region Israel has directed civilians go for their safety.”

Elsewhere in the region: “US fighter jets strike Iran-linked sites in Syria in retaliation for attacks on US troops,” by AP’s Lolita Baldor

 

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2024 WATCH

Ron DeSantis speaks.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis announced yesterday that he’s organized weapons, ammunition and drones to be sent to Israel. | Charlie Neibergall/AP

DeSANTIS DOWNLOAD — And as the violence in the Middle East continues, the Florida governor announced yesterday that his state has organized weapons, body armor, ammunition and drones to be sent to Israel, AP’s Adriana Gomez Licon reports.

The 2024 context: “The confirmation of the military aid comes as DeSantis and other GOP presidential contenders are expected to attend the Republican Jewish Coalition’s annual gathering of donors” on Friday. And while DeSantis has been largely critical of the Biden administration’s handling of matters in Israel, it’s “unclear whether DeSantis coordinated shipments of any weapons” with the administration.

More top reads: 

TV TONIGHT — PBS’ “Washington Week”: McKay Coppins, John Dickerson and Nia-Malika Henderson.

SUNDAY SO FAR …

NBC “Meet the Press”: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis … Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.). Panel: Stephen Hayes, Kelly O’Donnell, Toluse Olorunnipa and Jen Psaki.

FOX “Fox News Sunday”: Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas) … Eric Johnson. Legal panel: Charles Stimson and Ted Williams. Law enforcement panel: Charles Marino and James Butts.

MSNBC “The Katie Phang Show”: Molly Jong-Fast … Robert D’Amico.

MSNBC “The Sunday Show”: Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) … Dennis Ross.

ABC “This Week”: retired Gen. Abe Abrams. Panel: Donna Brazile, Rick Klein, Sarah Isgur and Alex Burns.

CNN “Inside Politics Sunday”: Panel: Carl Hulse, Eva McKend, Molly Ball and Josh Dawsey

 

PLAYBOOK IS GOING GLOBAL! We’re excited to introduce Global Playbook, POLITICO’s premier newsletter that brings you inside the most important conversations at the most influential events in the world. From the buzzy echoes emanating from the snowy peaks at the WEF in Davos to the discussions and personalities at Milken Global in Beverly Hills, to the heart of diplomacy at UNGA in New York City – author Suzanne Lynch brings it all to your fingertips. Experience the elite. Witness the influential. And never miss a global beat. BE PART OF THE CONVERSATION. SUBSCRIBE NOW.

 
 
PLAYBOOKERS

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: Jill Biden will join Nickelodeon and ATTN: today at an event in Philadelphia to unveil a new animated series, “Well Versed,” about democracy and the Bill of Rights that updates the classic (and beloved by Playbook) “Schoolhouse Rock” series. We got a first look at the sizzle reel for the show: Watch here

SPOTTED having lunch yesterday at Peruvian Brothers at Amazon HQ2 in Arlington: Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin and Peruvian Ambassador Gustavo Adolfo Meza-Cuadra Velasquez.

WHITE HOUSE DEPARTURE LOUNGE — Namrata Mujumdar is now senior adviser for Treasury’s Office of Legislative Affairs. She previously was special assistant to the president for economic agency personnel.

TRANSITION — Col. Dave Butler is now comms adviser to the new chief of staff of the Army, Gen. Randy George. He most recently was comms adviser to the chair of the Joint Chiefs.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Rep. Lori Trahan (D-Mass.) (5-0) … Matt Drudge … Vanity Fair’s Michael CalderoneJudy Smith of Smith & Co. … Richard ClarkeStuart Roy of Strategic Action Public Affairs … Phil Anderson of Navigators Global and the Ukraine Freedom Alliance … Mike McCurry of Public Strategies Washington and Wesley Theological Seminary … Clark Reid of Commerce … WaPo’s Henry Olsen Lora Ries of the Heritage Foundation … Christian Stellakis of the Commonwealth Foundation … Emily Vander Weele of Weber Shandwick ... George Landrith George Helmy Jack Kalavritinos of JK Strategies … Nina Easton Bryan Wells of the Stanton Park Group … Ora Rosenbaum of The Next 50 … Zoe Chace of “This American Life” … Annika Olsons of the Air Traffic Controllers … Ali Watkins

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Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com or text us at 202-556-3307. Playbook couldn’t happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Bethany Irvine and Andrew Howard.

 

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