The one way Biden's August didn't suck

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Friday Sep 10,2021 10:11 pm
Presented by The American Petroleum Institute (API):
Sep 10, 2021 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Sam Stein and Alex Thompson

Presented by The American Petroleum Institute (API)

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With Allie Bice and Nick Niedzwiadek

Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Alex | Email Tina

In what was otherwise a shit sandwich of an August for President JOE BIDEN, one silver lining managed to emerge.

His ambitious plan for reshaping the social safety net — otherwise known as the Build Back Better bill and formally described in congressional parlance as the $3.5 trillion reconciliation package — went largely unscathed.

Democratic operatives who track political activity during the August recess said party members encountered little pushback over the proposal in their home districts and states. Ad spending trackers said they believe liberal group television advertising on the bill outpaced that from conservative counterparts. (Two progressive environmental groups, Climate Power and League of Conservation Voters, alone spent nearly $14 million dollars in paid ads during August recess in 27 frontline districts and four states with Senate races.)

The communications and marketing agency, BPI, which does political work primarily with Democrats, found that of the roughly $12.5 million in Facebook ad spending that Republican and Republican-allied groups placed during the month of August and first week of September, roughly $2 million went after Biden. Of that $2 million, just $112,000 targeted him on economic issues. Only one group — the Conservative Institute — mentioned the Build Back Better plan in its ads. They spent less than $200 on those spots.

“We’re seeing no concerted Republican messaging effort against it,” said MAX STEELE, a spokesperson for American Bridge 21st Century, the largest opposition research, tracking, and rapid response operation allied with the Democratic Party.

The absence of a concerted attack against a legislative initiative certainly doesn’t mean that said initiative is on a glide path towards passage. Indeed, there’s plenty for Biden to worry about when it comes to passing the reconciliation bill. He can’t afford to lose many votes in the House or a single vote in the Senate. And Sen. JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.) has been saying for weeks that he’s uncomfortable with the size of the package and the speed at which it is being considered.

But for those who lived through the legislative Bataan Death March that was the passage of Obamacare, the fact that August went the way it did for Build Back Better was a godsend. Twelve years ago, Democratic lawmakers went back home only to encounter absolute bedlam over their efforts to put together the Affordable Care Act. Town hall confrontations went viral. Democratic members were inundated with protests. By the time they came back to Washington, the party was in a panic.

That just didn’t happen this time around. One top party operative recalled anxiously looking for signs of how the August recess would go while watching Rep. Cindy Axne (D-Iowa), a moderate Democrat in a frontline district, as she conducted the very first town hall during recess. “Not a single person there who was pushing back on her,” the operative recounted.

Republicans don’t concede that they’re letting Biden’s major legislative initiative skate by. They note that inflation has been at the center of their economic attacks against the president and that, inherently, people will start opposing a $3.5 trillion bill the more they begin to worry about the rising costs of living. But they also concede that there are — to put it bluntly — more inviting targets right now, from Afghanistan, to hot button culture war issues, to efforts to fight the pandemic.

“I think the lack of attacks on that specific piece of legislation speaks to how target-rich the environment is right now,” said one top GOP operative working on the 2022 campaigns. “There are probably five other more divisive issues right now.”

The fear for those Democrats working on the Build Back Better initiative is that all this could abruptly change; not just that Republican groups may soon turn their ire on the bill (indeed, there is some indication that the pace of ad spending on the right is picking up), but that major industry players will swoop in and try to tank it, too. Pharmaceutical companies and major corporate interests have been open in their opposition to the prescription drug reforms and corporate tax hikes that are set to be included in the package.

“We will be planning a significant ad buy but also doing in-district events too,” MARC SHORT, the founder of the conservative Coalition to Protect American Workers and MIKE PENCE’s former chief of staff, told West Wing Playbook.

All of which is why the Biden White House and congressional Democrats want to move quickly to pass the legislation, lest the already shaky path for passage gets closed off for good. As the aforementioned GOP operative noted: “History has shown that it's impossible for large scale bills to remain popular for a couple months.”

Do you work in the Biden administration? Are you in touch with the White House? Are you LAURA FLORES?

We want to hear from you — and we’ll keep you anonymous: westwingtips@politico.com. Or if you want to stay really anonymous send us a tip through SecureDrop, Signal, Telegram, or Whatsapp here.

 

A message from The American Petroleum Institute (API):

The American Petroleum Institute (API) released a new analysis of the natural gas and oil industry’s impact on the U.S. economy and highlighted its importance to the nation’s post-pandemic recovery. The industry is a driver of every sector of the U.S. economy, supporting 11.3 million total American jobs in 2019 across all 50 states. The industry’s total impact on U.S. GDP was nearly $1.7 trillion, accounting for nearly 8% of the national total in 2019.

 
PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA

With the Partnership for Public Service

Who is the only person who was with Presidents GEORGE W. BUSH on 9/11 and BARACK OBAMA when OSAMA BIN LADEN was killed?

(Answer at the bottom.)

Cartoon of the Week

Cartoon by Dave Whamond

Cartoon | Dave Whamond/Caglecartoons.com

Every Friday, we’ll feature a cartoon of the week — this one is courtesy of DAVE WHAMOND. Our very own MATT WUERKER also publishes a selection of cartoons from all over the country. View the cartoon carousel here.

The Oval

THE HBCU CLUB As part of the White House’s 2021 HBCU Week Conference, twenty alums of historically Black colleges and university working in the White House got together with Director of Public Engagement CEDRIC RICHMOND (Morehouse alum) and Vice President KAMALA HARRIS (Howard) on Thursday and took a photo on the White House Navy steps.

HBCU alums are spread throughout the White House. Several of them work in Harris and Richmond’s offices, as well as for the National Security Council.

TREY BAKER (Tougaloo), CARISSA SMITH (Bowie State), and NIA PAGE (Spelman) are in Richmond’s office. VINCENT EVANS (Florida A&M), MICHAEL COLLINS (Morehouse), BRITTANY CARMON (Hampton), SIERRA FRYSON (North Carolina A&T State), and SILAS WOODS III (Howard) are in the VP’s office.

JALEN ROSIER (Bowie State), KEISHA CARTER WARNER (Virginia State), DANA BANKS (Spelman), NEDA BROWN (Bennett), DARIUS LAMAR EDGETON (Hampton), and DENIECE LAURENT-MANTEY (Howard) are at the NSC.

Then there is DANIELLE CONLEY (Howard) at the White House counsel’s office, KAMAU MARSHALL (Texas Southern) at USTR, CANDACE JOHNSON (Howard) in the visitors office, RYKIA DORSEY CRAIG (Howard) in the comms office, plus CAMERON TRIMBLE (Howard) and CARAHNA MAGWOOD (Howard) in the digital strategy shop.

HBCU alums with advisor Cedric Richmond and Vice President Kamala Harris

HBCU alums with advisor Cedric Richmond and Vice President Kamala Harris | Courtesy of the White House

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ — Deputy press secretary CHRIS MEAGHER urged his 17,800 followers to read all three of the lead stories on NYTimes.com today. Those stories provide support for Biden’s vaccine mandates announced yesterday. The headlines:

Vaccine Mandates Will Slow Pandemic in the Long Run, Experts Say

“President Biden’s Authority to Mandate Vaccines Stems From Law Protecting Workers”

“Vaccines Effective Against Severe Illness From Delta, Studies Confirm”

Meagher gave a special shout out to the Times’ MICHAEL SHEAR for his story explaining the White House’s thinking on its legal authority.

“To sum up this good @shearm explainer on @potus legal authority,” Meagher wrote.

“GOP politicians: this is bad and illegal. Actual legal scholars: this is on strong legal ground legal, logical, 'quite sensical,' and makes legal sense.”

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: If you scroll down a tad on the NYT homepage, there’s plenty the White House would prefer you NOT read. An in depth-investigation into the drone strike that killed seven children in Afghanistan last month casts doubt on the Biden administration’s official explanation of the strike, “including whether explosives were present in the vehicle, whether the driver had a connection to ISIS, and whether there was a second explosion after the missile struck the car.”

And there’s the report on the myriad legal challenges the Biden administration is already facing on vaccine mandates from Republican governors across the country.

“TELL PEOPLE, DON’T BE AFRAID”: Just out: Biden’s video message marking the 20th anniversary of 9/11 (he will attend commemorations in New York City, Shanksville, Pa. and the Pentagon tomorrow, but will not speak.). In the six-and-a-half minute speech, the president tells the story of a friend from Delaware who lost his eldest son in the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center, a year after another son had died in a boating accident. Biden spoke to the friend just a couple days after the planes flew into the towers, and his message, Biden recalls, was “don’t be afraid.”

“On this day, Jill and I hold you close in our hearts and send you our love,” he tells the families of those who lost loved ones on 9/11

Agenda Setting

HOW BIDEN LEARNED TO STOP WORRYING AND LOVE MANDATES — Americans are seeing the president take the sharpest course correction to date on a pandemic that has fully reemerged, NATASHA KORECKI and CHRISTOPHER CADELAGO report, bringing down the hammer on vaccine holdhouts in a way that some Democrats have been urging for months.

Filling the Ranks

20 YEARS LATER — It’s no secret the confirmation for Biden administration officials has been moving at a glacial pace. An analysis by the Partnership for Public Service takes a look at how many national security roles were confirmed at the time of the 9/11 terrorist attacks compared to where we stand now. It’s not great!

At the time of the attacks in 2001, 57 percent of 123 roles were confirmed at the Pentagon, DOJ and the State Department. That figure excludes ambassadors, marshals and attorneys. Twenty years later, only 26 percent of the now 170 relevant positions within those agencies, plus DHS, are filled.

 

Advertisement Image

 
What We're Reading

Biden readies for fight with DeSantis, GOP governors over vaccine rule (Miami Herald’s Bryan Lowry and Bianca Padró Ocasio)

Biden can bounce back from Afghanistan—by vaccinating the world (Former Senate Foreign Relations Committee senior staffer Jonah Blank in Foreign Policy)

Where's Joe

He and first lady JILL BIDEN visited Brookland Middle School in Washington, D.C., and delivered remarks about keeping children safe in schools amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Secretary of Education MIGUEL CARDONA and D.C. Mayor MURIEL BOWSER joined them at the middle school. The president and first lady then traveled to Queens, N.Y. for the evening.

Where's Kamala

She traveled to Hampton, Va. where she toured the Center for Atmospheric Sciences at Hampton University and held a roundtable discussion with STEM students. She returned to Washington, D.C. this afternoon.

The Oppo Book

Domestic Policy Council director SUSAN RICE doesn’t really know why she uses blue eyeliner in her makeup routine, she’s just always opted for it over black eyeliner.

“I don't know where the hell I get the blue eyeliner from, but I've ... had it for thirty years,” she said in an interview with BuzzFeed’s TRACY CLAYTON and HEBEN NIGATU in 2016. “It’s the same — it's Estee Lauder Sapphire Blue. And I like it.”

“I’ve just not ever changed it up,” she explained. She even asked the interviewers if the makeup looked ok — “Does it look blue from where you are? As I am — I put it on this morning and I fixed my makeup for you people.”

Clayton reassured her that she likes it.

And a correction to yesterday’s oppo book: The band Secretary of State ANTONY BLINKEN is a fan of is called “Bleachers,” not “The Bleachers.” We apologize to all of the fans we offended. Please stop emailing us about it.

Trivia Answer

Former deputy director and former acting director of the CIA MICHAEL J. MORELL. He explained his experience with both presidents in a podcast episode with the Partnership for Public Service here.

We want your tips, but we also want your feedback. What should we be covering in this newsletter that we’re not? What are we getting wrong? Please let us know.

Edited by Emily Cadei

 

A message from The American Petroleum Institute (API):

The American Petroleum Institute’s recently released PwC study shows how the natural gas and oil industry is essential to economic recovery in other sectors, like manufacturing, agriculture, industrial and more, as well as opportunities for job creation. As economic activity, travel patterns and consumption continue to grow during the post-pandemic recovery, the U.S. Energy Information Administration expects global oil and liquid fuels consumption to surpass 2019 levels in 2022. In addition to accounting for nearly 8% of the U.S. GDP in 2019, the natural gas and oil industry generated an additional 3.5 jobs elsewhere in the U.S. economy for each direct job in the U.S. natural gas and oil industry. Learn how the industry is powering each state’s economy by using the interactive map linked here.

 
 

Follow us on Twitter

Alex Thompson @AlexThomp

Tina Sfondeles @TinaSfon

Allie Bice @alliebice

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://www.politico.com/_login?base=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Please click here and follow the steps to .

More emails from POLITICO West Wing Playbook

Sep 09,2021 10:44 pm - Thursday

Harris, we have a problem

Sep 08,2021 11:22 pm - Wednesday

Biden wants 9/11 closure

Sep 07,2021 10:56 pm - Tuesday

Biden anxiety levels

Aug 30,2021 11:24 pm - Monday

Biden v. the Pentagon

Aug 27,2021 09:41 pm - Friday

Biden’s swing-for-the-fences doctrine

Aug 26,2021 11:35 pm - Thursday

Mourning in America

Aug 25,2021 10:41 pm - Wednesday

Trump trolls Biden from the bench