The new era of doom scrolling

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Friday Oct 01,2021 09:36 pm
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West Wing Playbook

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As the Democratic Party tries to craft an agreement around President JOE BIDEN’s agenda, one of the main motivating factors for many involved is a sense of doom about the future.

Not just doom for the planet, which is feeding the urgency around ensuring that a reconciliation bill includes major provisions to address climate change. “If we blow this chance now on climate, the national and planetary and human security consequences are incredibly grave,” was how JOHN PODESTA, former top aide to past Democratic presidents and a major climate activist now, put it.

But there’s also a sense of doom about the future of the party itself.

Democratic lawmakers are keenly aware of how brittle their majority is. In remarks this past week, Sen. DICK DURBIN (D-Ill.) implored one of the main centrist holdouts on reconciliation, JOE MANCHIN (D-W.Va.), to back off the idea of delaying the bill by evoking the possibility that a fellow Senate Democrat could literally die and the party would suddenly find itself in the minority.

“We are one heartbeat away,” Durbin said, rather darkly.

There has been no such macabre talk from inside the White House itself — at least not that we’re aware of. But lawmakers who are in touch with administration officials concede that everyone, across the board, is conscious that the window to act is almost certainly closing.

“Concern over 2022 comes up constantly,” said one Democratic House member directly involved in negotiations.

And it’s not just 2022. Among operatives, there is very real panic that the structural makeup of the Senate, which rewards rural voters, combined with the gerrymandering of the House, means it could be a decade-plus before Democrats get the trifecta again.

“This is a once every 10 or 20 year opportunity,” said one top Democratic strategist who is working on moving Biden’s infrastructure and Build Back Better plans through Congress. “There is also a sense that if we don’t do the things we say we’re going to do when we have power, then people have a point in thinking both parties are the same and we don’t follow through in addressing their challenges.”

Presidents often talk about facing uniquely critical moments in the nation’s historical arc during their time in office. BARACK OBAMA liked to summon the Dr. King phrase, “the fierce urgency of now,” as his spiritual reasoning for seeking higher office. It was a mantra he would repeat many times again, often in the context of the need to expand the franchise.

Looking back, those days seem relatively calm compared to now. The factionalism Obama was warning against in ‘07 has worsened and the crises have grown more numerous, existential and complex. (You like a debt ceiling stand-off? Try having one while navigating stalemates on major domestic agenda items!). With it, however, the prospect for long-term, capital D Democratic governance has seemed to weaken.

Many in the party look at the climate that led up to the 2020 election — in which a pandemic was raging, the economy was teetering, and a much-reviled figure was in the White House threatening, it seemed, the tenets of democracy itself — and ask: If we could not get expanded majorities then, what makes us think we can get them down the road?

All of this is impacting negotiations today, as progressive lawmakers dig in their heels, demanding they get an assurance that the reconciliation bill will move alongside the infrastructure legislation. A swath of lawmakers recall life in the minority and how feckless and defensive it all seemed. “Terrible times,” the aforementioned member said. Others see the current legislative debate as the swan song for Speaker NANCY PELOSI, amid the ever-persistent chatter that she may retire once the session ends.

Mainly, however, there is a perception that the one possible life raft comes with the passage of the most robust legislation possible; that reducing the price of prescription drugs, giving parents help on child care, taxing corporations and offering more avenues to education is the only way that Democrats can fend off historical trends.

“People see this is a unique historical moment,” said Rep. RO KHANNA (D-Cali). We have “a president willing to be bold, a moment with Covid-exposed vulnerabilities… an openness to spend big after Trump exposed austerity politics.”

And, he added for good measure, “Majorities in Congress.”

Do you work in the Biden administration? Are you in touch with the White House? Are you JUSTIN OSWALD, special assistant to the president and House legislative affairs liaison?

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PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA

Courtesy of reader CHARLES BROLL: Of the past 10 presidents — how many of them were or are left handed, and who were they?

(Answer at the bottom.)

Cartoon of the Week

Cartoon by Dave Whamond

Cartoon by Dave Whamond | Courtesy of caglecartoons.com

Every Friday, we feature a cartoon of the week — this one is courtesy of DAVE WHAMOND. Our very own MATT WUERKER also publishes a selection of cartoons from all over the country. View the cartoon carousel here.

The Oval

OPTIMISM — The president ventured to the Hill today to sell his agenda to House lawmakers, who are still not voting on the infrastructure while waiting for some firm commitments on the reconciliation package. After the meeting, Biden declared that his economic agenda is going to happen: “It doesn’t matter when. It doesn’t matter if it’s in six minutes, six days or six weeks,” NATASHA KORECKI reported. We are, shall we say, past the six minute mark.

One lawmaker told West Wing Playbook that the president told House members that they would not get the full $3.5 trillion reconciliation package and that they were aiming for something in the $2 trillion range. But he also delivered music to progressives’ ears by saying that infrastructure won’t move through the House without something tangible on that reconciliation bill. Here’s more on Biden’s last-minute drive to save his legislative agenda via SARAH FERRIS, NICHOLAS WU and HEATHER CAYGLE.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: A New York Times story by SHAWN HUBLER that points out “mandates are working” in places like California and New York. The story was blasted out by the White House today. Vaccine mandates were supposed to be a focal point for Biden this week; but he canceled a trip to Chicago to highlight a business with a vaccine mandate amid the pressure to pass his domestic agenda.

“Until now, the biggest unknown about mandating Covid-19 vaccines in workplaces has been whether such requirements would lead to compliance or to significant departures by workers unwilling to get shots — at a time when many places were already facing staffing shortages,” Hubler writes. “So far, a number of early mandates show few indications of large-scale resistance.”

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN’T WANT YOU TO READ: DAVID LEONHARDT’s morning newsletter in the New York Times with the ominous headline: “Democrats, Divided.” Leonhardt warns that “the tensions within the party are more serious than they have been in years.”

“…The era of productive Democratic unity is now in doubt — as is President Biden’s domestic agenda.”

BIRTHDAY WISHES: Former President JIMMY CARTER is 97 today (wowza). Biden tweeted a message to his “dear friend” to mark the occasion. There’s also a vintage photo of a young Sen. Biden meeting Carter, clad in a cool Mr.Rogers-like cardigan, at the White House. It reads, “Best wishes to my friend Joe Biden, Jimmy Carter.” A White House official told us Biden was an early supporter of Carter — and the photo of the two was on display in Biden’s Senate office.

Tweet from POTUS

Tweet from POTUS | Twitter

MEA CULPAS: Yesterday, we demoted JEN O’MALLEY DILLON by giving her the title of White House political director. In fact, as deputy chief of staff, she’s the political director’s boss.

We also wrote that the Senate confirmed JONATHAN MEYER to be the Department of Homeland Security’s general counsel but it was his cloture vote. His final confirmation vote is expected Monday.

We are human. And while to err is human, we feel stupid about the errors.

THE BUREAUCRATS

TIME HEALS ALL WOUNDS — The French ambassador is back in Washington, two weeks after he was recalled in the aftermath of the U.S. nuclear-powered submarine deal with Australia that angered French leaders. Biden and French President EMANNUEL MACRON cleared a bit of the air last week during a phone call. According to the French embassy, PHILIPPE ETIENNE arrived back in D.C. on Wednesday. He met with National Security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN on Thursday. Today, Etienne met with Secretary of State TONY BLINKEN following a meeting with Sen. CHRIS COONS (D-Del).

 

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Advise and Consent

VACCINE PROGRESS — The FDA’s independent vaccine advisory today announced it will hold three meetings in October to discuss Covid-19 booster shots, mix-and-match boosters and vaccines for children ages 5-11, KATHERINE ELLEN FOLEY writes.

“The meetings set up a rough timeline for a slate of FDA decisions that could help the country avoid a damaging winter surge — and ultimately help bring the pandemic to an end,” Foley writes.

MORE HARRIS DAMAGE CONTROL: Vice President KAMALA HARRIS’ former adviser in the Senate, HALIE SOIFER, is now CEO of the Jewish Democratic Council of America and came to Harris’ defense today on Israel in an op-Ed.

What We're Reading

Biden’s Slide With Key Voters: Momentary Blip or Danger Sign? (NYT’s Nate Cohn)

Biden administration to convene 30 countries to crack down on ransomware threat (CNN’s Sean Lyngaas)

Afghanistan and the haunting questions of blame (New Yorker’s Robin Wright)

Where's Joe

He was on the Hill, trying to rally Democrats around his agenda items.

Where's Kamala

No public events scheduled.

The Oppo Book

Vice President Harris’ director of press operations, PETER VELZ, is an avid runner.

Beyond fitness, he thinks it’s helped him professionally. In the fitness-focused Obama administration, he recalled that, “The chief of staff was a big runner, as were many high-level people, and as a junior staffer, I could talk to them with a shared passion in a way I couldn’t have if I didn’t run.”

What sparked his interest in the sport though, was an analogy he heard from a Virginia Tech professor when he was an undergraduate student there.

The English professor “would talk about poetry and say a part of the poem was like when you’re running with a friend and you’ve run eight or nine miles,” Velz explained to a Virginia Tech publication in June 2020 which dubbed him an “outstanding” alum. “Then your friend points to a hill and says, ‘Let’s sprint up that hill.’”

Apparently this analogy and the professor’s regular running talk inspired Velz to give running a try.

We’ve never run that many miles at once so we don’t get it.

Trivia Answer

Five — GERALD FORD, RONALD REAGAN, GEORGE H.W. BUSH, BILL CLINTON and BARACK OBAMA. The full list of lefty presidents via Insider.

AND A CALL OUT — A big thanks (again) to Charles for sending over this question. Do you have a really hard trivia question about the presidency? Send us your best one and we may use it: westwingtips@politico.com.

We want your trivia, but we also want your feedback. What should we be covering in this newsletter that we’re not? What are we getting wrong? Please let us know.

Edited by Emily Cadei

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