Why Biden’s jobs boom isn’t translating

From: POLITICO West Wing Playbook - Friday Apr 01,2022 09:02 pm
Presented by Facebook:
Apr 01, 2022 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Sam Stein and Max Tani

Presented by

Facebook

Welcome to POLITICO’s West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With help from Allie Bice. 

Send tips | Subscribe here | Email Alex | Email Max

The U.S. unemployment rate hit 3.6 percent today, as 431,000 jobs were added during the month of March.

It’s the type of data point that should make a White House giddy. And yet, one can’t help but smell the whiff of frustration emanating from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

There is a remarkable disconnect among the American public involving the reality of the jobs market and the perception of it. A little-noticed survey by Navigator Research last month showed that 37 percent of the public thought that more jobs had been lost (yes, lost) over the last year while just 28 percent thought that they had been gained. That was particularly pronounced among Republicans, 47 percent of whom believed jobs had been lost over the last 12 months.

Needless to say, that’s wildly inaccurate: The unemployment rate was 6.4 percent when JOE BIDEN took office.

That these basic facts aren’t translating to the public says a lot about how news is disseminated and consumed. It’s also an illustration about how difficult it’s been for the White House to communicate its successes in light of the setbacks that have come along too.

Inflation continues to blot out most everything else politically, even on solid jobs report days. While Friday’s survey showed strong wage gains of 5.6 percent over the past year, those numbers, as the Washington Post’s HEATHER LONG noted, are “still well below inflation,” which is at 7.9 percent. (That balance suggests we’re not yet in a full-blown upward spiral of wages and prices, but the risks are rising.)

This is not a U.S. phenomenon, as the administration frequently notes. It’s gripping Europe and others too. But political opponents don’t operate in the world of nuance and global context. And Republicans have been eager to lay it all at the feet of Biden, the major Covid relief bill he helped push early in his presidency, and the energy policies he’s pursued in office.

An official with the National Republican Congressional Committee told me this week that of the 30 unique digital ad campaigns that the group has run this cycle, “probably 28 of them” dealt with cost increases for goods and services; an astounding 93 percent.

“Nothing I've seen in my decade of working in politics has been as salient as the inflation message with voters,” said MICHAEL McADAMS , the NRCC’s communications director. “When Republicans are talking about people encountering rising prices every minute of every day versus Democrats talking about bridges that might be built in three years, it’s like an NFL team going against a peewee football team.”

Putting aside the quality of the football being played, what’s clear is that inflation, not jobs, has become more pronounced as a political issue in recent weeks and months.

An NBC News poll released last week grabbed headlines for putting Biden’s approval rating at 40 percent, his lowest yet in that poll. But what was equally illuminating were the numbers behind that topline. The cost of living was the most pressing issue for respondents, with 21 percent of them ranking it their top concern. Just a few months ago, that number had been 13 percent.

The White House obviously is aware of all this. Biden himself has sarcastically hailed how great an electoral gift rising inflation is for his party. As a policy matter, it’s taken incoming from fellow Democrats for its approach — chief among them LARRY SUMMERS, who has bemoaned that the administration won’t do more to lessen tariffs and strip away energy regulations.

The difficulties, however, have been on the messaging front too. The White House went from downplaying inflation concerns, to calling them transitory, to pinning it on corporate greed, to castigating VLADIMIR PUTIN and his invasion of Ukraine for contributing to the costs. In announcing that the U.S. was releasing 1 million barrels of oil per day from strategic reserves for the next six months in order to help with supply issues, Biden mentioned the Russian leader 14 times during his prepared remarks.

The war in Ukraine and the Biden administration’s subsequent decision to cut off Russian oil clearly has played a role in higher energy costs. But as far as narratives go, Democrats concede the one the White House has built around inflation has been … choppy.

“Ahhhhhhhhhhh,” said one top Democratic operative when asked for his thoughts on how the White House was handling the topic. He paused for about five seconds to think about what to say: “I’m not gonna touch that one.”

TEXT US — Are you United Talent Agency president JAY SURES, JEN PSAKI’S agent? We want to hear from you (we’ll keep you anonymous). 

Or if you think we missed something in today’s edition, let us know and we may include it tomorrow.  Email us at westwingtips@politico.com or you can text/Signal/Wickr/WhatsApp Alex at 8183240098 or Max at 7143455427.

A message from Facebook:

We build tools that give you control and help keep you safe

Real connection can only happen on safe platforms. So we build tools to protect our communities.

• Privacy Checkup, where you can manage your privacy settings and control who sees what you share
• Industry-leading AI that detects and reacts to harmful content faster than ever

Learn about our efforts

 
POTUS PUZZLER

From the University of Virginia’s Miller Center 

Of which president was it said, “he ain't a-runnin’, he's gallopin’ ”?

(Answer at bottom.)

Cartoon of the Week

Cartoon by Chip Bok

Cartoon by Chip Bok | Courtesy

Every Friday, we feature a cartoon of the week — this one is courtesy of CHIP BOK. Our very own MATT WUERKER also publishes a selection of cartoons from all over the country. View the cartoon carousel here.

 

SUBSCRIBE TO NATIONAL SECURITY DAILY : Keep up with the latest critical developments from Ukraine and across Europe in our daily newsletter, National Security Daily. The Russian invasion of Ukraine could disrupt the established world order and result in a refugee crisis, increased cyberattacks, rising energy costs and additional disruption to global supply chains. Go inside the top national security and foreign-policymaking shops for insight on the global threats faced by the U.S. and its allies and what actions world leaders are taking to address them. Subscribe today.

 
 
The Oval

THE EXIT DOORS — The White House is losing one of its main liaisons to the progressive ecosystem. DEIRDRE SCHIFELING, the advocacy director in the Office of Political Strategy & Outreach, is leaving, several people familiar with the move tell our CHRIS CADELAGO. Schifeling has been described as a crucial cog in the administration’s efforts to work with outside groups. That’s likely because she’s a veteran of them. Prior to serving in the White House she was a top official at Planned Parenthood and then went on to play a key role at the so-called “Fight Back Table,” an initiative that progressive entities launched after the 2016 election to make sure they were more closely working together. One person familiar with the arrangement said her departure was “long planned.”

PSAYONARA — JEN PSAKI is set to depart the White House in the coming weeks. West Wing Playbook reported earlier this week that the White House press secretary was a likely lock at MSNBC when she leaves the White House (a detail that was first reported by Puck). Today, Axios reported that the timeline for her departure was accelerating , and she could be gone before the end of spring. A source with knowledge of the coming move confirmed that Psaki is slated to join MSNBC and have a show on its streaming partner Peacock, and that she's likely to leave her role around or shortly after the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner.

It was the talk of the White House press briefing. Before Psaki even took the podium, a reporter asked her if she planned on leaving for MSNBC. And the longer Psaki is in limbo, the more uncomfortable it could be for her: She faced multiple questions about whether it was ethical to act as the press secretary for the president while also actively negotiating with a media company.

MEANWHILE — Deputy Press Secretary SABRINA SINGH said goodbye to colleagues yesterday in a brief note marking her last day in the vice president’s office before she moves over to the Pentagon. “Thank you for your partnership, friendship, and support during my time here,” she said. “From working on a campaign in the middle of a pandemic to joining this administration and now coming out of a pandemic, it has been incredible to see this team come together and deliver results for the American people.”

 

Advertisement Image

 
Agenda Setting

AN END OF A TRUMP-ERA POLICY — The administration announced today that it will end the use of Title 42 to expel migrants showing up at the southern border come May 23. The public health policy had been instituted by President DONALD TRUMP during the height of the pandemic under the argument that limiting undocumented immigrants coming into the country would help limit the spread of the virus. Biden kept it in place, to the chagrin of some Democrats who said its perpetuation was xenophobic. But not all Democrats agreed. Indeed, some Senators went public today expressing their concerns about the ending of the provision.

“Ending Title 42 prematurely will likely lead to a migrant surge that the administration does not appear to be ready for,” tweeted Sen. MAGGIE HASSAN (D-N.H.) who is up for election this year. “I'll keep pushing the administration to strengthen border security & look forward to hearing directly from border agents during my upcoming trip to the border.”

DEPT. OF HOPE THESE AREN’T NEEDED — The United States has been quietly sending Ukraine protective equipment against a possible chemical weapons attack from Russia, our own ALEX WARD reports. He has four administration officials confirming the news.

“Meanwhile, the U.S. is rushing to provide Ukrainian civilians with gas masks, hazmat suits and other materials, though Kyiv could decide to send this protective gear to its military,” writes Alex. “How much has already been sent or the U.S. plans to send in total, though, remains unclear."

ALEXA, WHAT’S THE WHITE HOUSE REACTION?: On Friday, Amazon workers in Staten Island celebrated a major victory after voting to form the company’s first union. The White House offered tepid support for the results, one that wasn’t exactly the equivalent of joining a victory lap for organized labor. “The president was glad to see workers ensure their voices are heard with respect to important workplace decisions,” Psaki said during Friday’s press briefing. “He believes firmly that every worker in every state must have a free and fair choice to join a union and the right to bargain collectively with their employer. The Amazon workers in Staten Island made their choice to organize a grassroots union and bargain for a better workplace union and a better life.”

Biden, last spring, put out a video supporting the right of Amazon workers to decide if they wanted to form a union. But his former press secretary, JAY CARNEY, is also a top official at Amazon and Carney has, according to the Wall Street Journal, privately complained to Chief of Staff RON KLAIN about the posture the White House has taken to the company.

What We're Reading

Biden administration secures release of Afghan-American Naval reservist who was held by Taliban (CNN’s Jake Tapper)

Administration finalizes rule to raise fuel standards for new cars, light trucks by 2026 (WaPo’s Michael Laris)

What We're Watching

Vice President KAMALA HARRIS on MSNBC with host JOY REID at 7 p.m. ET.

Pentagon Press Secretary JOHN KIRBY on FOX News Sunday this week with anchor MARTHA MACCALLUM .

 

DON’T MISS CONGRESS MINUTES: Need to follow the action on Capitol Hill blow-by-blow? Check out Minutes, POLITICO’s new platform that delivers the latest exclusives, twists and much more in real time. Get it on your desktop or download the POLITICO mobile app for iOS or Android. CHECK OUT CONGRESS MINUTES HERE.

 
 
Where's Joe

The president delivered remarks about the March jobs report, and received the President’s Daily Brief.

He headed to Delaware this evening, where he’ll spend the weekend.

Where's Kamala

She traveled to Greenville, Miss., where she toured Joycee’s Embroidery, Fabrics, Alterations & Sewing, a small business. She also delivered remarks at the Delta Center Stage about economic development and community lender investments.

She heads back to the White House this evening.

The Oppo Book

We've noted press secretary Jen Psaki is a big fan of toaster waffles for breakfast...but she's also just a huge proponent of the meal entirely.

When asked what she had for breakfast in a White House's YouTube video, she dodged the question, but made sure to gush over the most important meal of the day.

"I would eat breakfast for every meal if that was an option. I will eat any kind of breakfast — pancakes, waffles — it just depends on the day, but I absolutely approve of breakfast and would have it for every meal."

This is exactly the right answer. No notes.

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

THEODORE ROOSEVELT, who was Republican WILLIAM MCKINLEY's running mate in the election of 1900. He campaigned furiously for the eventual victor, traveling more than 21,000 miles on a campaign train and making hundreds of speeches.

More than three million people saw him in person as he spoke in 567 cities and a total of twenty-four states. “‘Tis Tiddy alone that's runnin’," observed Mr. Dooley, the nom de plume of columnist FINLEY PETER DUNNE, who added, “an’ he ain't a-runnin’, he's gallopin’.” Less than a year after the election, TR became the youngest president in history when McKinley was assassinated.

For more on Roosevelt and his presidency, visit millercenter.org.

A CALL OUT — Think you have a more difficult trivia question? Send us your best question on the presidents with a citation and we may feature it.

Edited by Sam Stein

A message from Facebook:

Privacy Checkup helps you stay informed and empowered on Facebook

We want privacy to be as easy as possible for you. That's why we built the Privacy Checkup, so you can:

• Strengthen your account security
• Learn about your privacy settings and how your information is used
• Control who sees what you post

Learn more about our safety efforts.

 
 

Follow us on Twitter

Alex Thompson @AlexThomp

Maxwell Tani @maxwelltani

Allie Bice @alliebice

 

Follow us

Follow us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Instagram Listen on Apple Podcast
 

To change your alert settings, please log in at https://www.politico.com/_login?base=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.politico.com/settings

This email was sent to by: POLITICO, LLC 1000 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA, 22209, USA

Please click here and follow the steps to .

More emails from POLITICO West Wing Playbook

Mar 31,2022 09:45 pm - Thursday

The Obama FOIA timebomb

Mar 30,2022 10:07 pm - Wednesday

The WaPo roots of Biden’s Russia policy

Mar 29,2022 10:49 pm - Tuesday

Kate Bedingfield makes her debut

Mar 28,2022 10:53 pm - Monday

Not quite Dunn after all

Mar 24,2022 10:16 pm - Thursday

The Dept. of Energy’s #NeverTweet moment

Mar 23,2022 10:03 pm - Wednesday

What The White House Wants You To Read