Don’t tax me, bro

From: POLITICO California Playbook - Wednesday Jan 10,2024 01:57 pm
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Jan 10, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Lara Korte and Dustin Gardiner

Presented by

Chime

Gavin Newsom speaks at a podium.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom. | Jeff Chiu/AP

DRIVING THE DAY — It’s budget time, y’all. Gov. Gavin Newsom this morning will unveil his plan this morning to close a gaping budget hole, and just how big of a deficit we should expect. POLITICO’s team will be there watching. Stay tuned for more coverage.

THE BUZZ: A longshot effort to tax millionaires and billionaires is suddenly the talk of the town.

But make no mistake: It isn’t likely to make it to the governor’s desk.

Multiple news outlets have jumped on the story this week that Assemblymember Alex Lee’s wealth tax proposal has been scheduled for a hearing, prompting rumors that the governor may be considering revenue-side options to close the budget gap.

The speculation has forced Newsom’s press team to repeatedly rebuke the idea in no uncertain terms.

“The governor has no interest in broad-based tax increases,” Communications Director Anthony York said when asked about the bill. “That’s not how he plans to close the budget gap.”

Even the bill’s author was surprised to see it on today’s Revenue and Tax Committee agenda. Last year, his proposal didn’t get so much as a hearing under Speaker Anthony Rendon. 

When asked why he thought the bill was on the agenda, Lee chuckled and said, "I'm not sure."

"Obviously, I'm going to give it my best shot,” he said. “But the fact of the matter is that there are people who disagree with me on this policy, and there are a lot of them, specifically on this committee, who don't like to increase taxes, even on the ultra-wealthy."

Jacqui Irwin, the Democrat heading the tax committee, said she scheduled Lee’s tax proposal for a hearing only because Speaker Robert Rivas requested that all bills have a chance to be heard.

The decision suggests Rivas will take a different approach than his predecessor, who typically gave committee chairs broad discretion to block legislation.

“The Speaker believes legislation introduced in good faith deserves an opportunity to be heard, and expects authors to collaborate with Chairs and all our colleagues,” Rivas spokesperson Cynthia Moreno said in a statement.

Rivas is new to the role, and still forming alliances with lawmakers. The bill hearing could very well be his attempt to satiate progressive Democrats, who have a voracious appetite for taxing the riches of the rich, without explicitly backing the policies.

Lee wouldn’t be crazy for thinking lawmakers might be coming around to a wealth tax. His bill would tax the net worths of multi-millionaires and billionaires to the tune of an estimated $20 billion in additional annual revenue for the state.

In tough budget years like this one, Lee said, that’s not something Democrats should be rejecting out of hand.

"There's a fundamental promise that we want to keep all the nice things that we've done and balance the budget. It begs the question: How?” he told Playbook.

To an outsider, whether a bill gets a committee hearing could seem of little consequence. But cable news pundits love to bash California’s tax burden and cost of living, and news that lawmakers are even entertaining the idea of taxing the rich could spin up a batch of headache-inducing headlines for Democrats, especially Newsom.

That may be why the governor’s press shop was trying to get out ahead of the tax news before today’s budget presentation.

“…Newsom has said repeatedly over many years, a wealth tax is not part of the conversation,” Deputy Communications Director Brandon Richards tweeted this week. “Wealth tax proposals are going nowhere in California.”

GOOD MORNING. Happy Wednesday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

Now you can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts now. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte

WHERE’S GAVIN? In Sacramento presenting his budget blueprint at 10:30 a.m.

DEBATE ALERT: WE WANT YOUR HELP — POLITICO is co-hosting the first debate for California's Senate race on Monday, Jan. 22. All four major candidates have accepted our invite to appear onstage: Democratic Reps. Adam Schiff, Katie Porter and Barbara Lee and Republican and former Dodgers player Steve Garvey.

This will be a televised battle between those top candidates. Tell us what we should ask them, and we just might use your question during the debate. Fill out this form by Wednesday, Jan. 17 to be considered. NOTE: We’ve reached our quota from the Pascucci followers, so chill for a minute.

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CAMPAIGN YEAR

Katie Porter

Rep. Katie Porter, D-Calif. | Mario Tama/Getty Images

PORTER’S AD BLITZ — Democratic Rep. Katie Porter is pouring money into TV ads ahead of the March 5 primary for Senate. Her camp has reserved $394,000 in broadcast and cable ads for the Jan. 10-15 period, according to data from AdImpact. That puts Porter’s total ad spending at $1.73 million, slightly ahead of opponent Rep. Adam Schiff’s $1.64 million total. Porter’s camp said it plans to release its latest ad this morning.

SPOX SWITCH-UP — Bob Salladay, a veteran California journalist, is the newest member of Newsom’s inner circle. Salladay started this week as Newsom’s senior adviser for communications, taking over the post from Anthony York, whose last day in the governor’s office is Friday.

Salladay’s resume includes stints as a reporter and editor at top California outlets, including the Center for Investigative Reporting, McClatchy’s California papers, the Los Angeles Times and the San Francisco Chronicle. In his new job, Salladay told POLITICO he wants to rely on his storytelling chops to push back on the “California crack-up narrative,” as he calls it, which casts the Golden State as perpetually on the precipice of failure.

Take, for example, retail theft. The administration on Tuesday called for new legislation to address property crimes, but Salladay said he also wants to hit back at the fearmongering from “other governors and certain news organizations” (no, he didn’t name names) based on a handful of anecdotal evidence.

“It’s going to be fact-based pushback and we want to be sort of relentless about it,” Salladay said.

The last governor Salladay covered as a journalist was Arnold Schwarzenegger, but he acknowledged it’ll take an adjustment to be “on the other side of the wall.” (Stay tuned for an exit interview with York, another former ink-stained wretch, about what that transition is like.)

“I’m always going to want to be accurate and fair and not veer into anything that feels like propaganda,” he said. “I'm not interested in that. The governor's not interested in anything like that.”

We in the California press corps look forward to holding Salladay to that.

— Melanie Mason

 

GLOBAL PLAYBOOK IS TAKING YOU TO DAVOS! Unlock the insider's guide to one of the world's most influential gatherings as POLITICO's Global Playbook takes you behind the scenes of the 2024 World Economic Forum. Author Suzanne Lynch will be on the ground in the Swiss Alps, bringing you the exclusive conversations, shifting power dynamics and groundbreaking ideas shaping the agenda in Davos. Stay in the know with POLITICO's Global Playbook, your VIP pass to the world’s most influential gatherings. SUBSCRIBE NOW.

 
 
LA-LA LAND

Kevin Merida speaking at the Los Angeles Times Festival of Books.

Outgoing Los Angeles Times Executive Editor Kevin Merida. | David Livingston/Getty Images

MERIDA OUT — The reason behind LA Times Executive Editor Kevin Merida’s exit from the newspaper after 2 ½ years has sparked conflicting narratives in the press.

Shortly after Semafor’s Max Tani broke the news on X, The New York Times’ Ben Mullin reported that for months, Merida and members of owner Patrick Soon-Shiong’s family were at odds over a variety of matters, including editorial decisions and business priorities, citing two people with knowledge of the situation. The New York Times went on to say that Merida and the Soon-Shiong family clashed over the editor’s decision to “restrict journalists who signed a letter condemning Israel’s response to the Oct. 7 attacks from covering the conflict in Gaza,” the people said.

The LA Times’ own write-up of Merida’s departure, however, initially pushed back hard on that piece of the story, citing its own sources. “People familiar with Merida’s resignation said the dispute over Gaza coverage played no role in his decision to leave,” LA Times senior entertainment writer Meg James wrote.

In an update later Tuesday, the paper quoted Soon-Shiong saying he was “disappointed” with how the issue was handled, including sidelining those capable of translating Arabic.

He also pointed to other factors, many of them financial, including a lack of progress toward meeting readership goals.

A further fleshed out version of the story later on Tuesday evening added to Soon-Shiong’s remarks with more precision. He said Merida’s disciplining of the reporters who signed the letter was not a factor in his departure. But, he acknowledged he would have liked to have been informed about it beforehand.

POLITICO has chronicled some of the Soon-Shiong family dynamic. And Business Insider wrote that Merida is leaving as the paper faces significant financial pressure, including cost-cutting to the tune of $10 million. On Tuesday, the ownership reaffirmed its commitment to the paper. “In the near term, the newsroom’s senior leadership team, Julia Turner, Sara Yasin, Scott Kraft and Shani Hilton, will be overseeing the newsroom, with Terry Tang continuing to lead Opinion,” Soon-Shiong said in a note to staff.

The L.A. Times wrote that Soon-Shiong and his family were launching an internal and external search for Merida’s successor.

— Christopher Cadelago

 

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UNDER THE DOME

FILE - Republican gubernatorial candidate, state Sen. Brian Dahle, right, hugs his wife Assemblywoman Megan Dahle, in celebration at an election night gathering in Sacramento, Calif., June 7, 2022. Sen. Dahle finished second in California's primary on June 7, and knows it will be hard to defeat incumbent Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom. He plans to focus on what he says are the problems people care about the most, including high gas prices and rising crime. (AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli, File)

Assemblymember Megan Dahle hugs her husband, state Sen. Brian Dahle, at a June 2022 election night gathering in Sacramento. | AP

HEALTH SCARE — Assemblymember Megan Dahle revealed that she suffered a stroke shortly before Christmas while she was hospitalized due to heart problems. Dahle, R-Bieber (Lassen County), said her condition has improved in recent weeks and she expects to “quickly and fully recover.”

“I am thankful to my family for their love and support, and I look forward to returning to work in the Legislature as soon as possible,” Dahle said in a statement Tuesday night. We wish her a speedy recovery!

 

EXCITING EVENT OPPORTUNITY: The USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future, in collaboration with POLITICO and Unite America, hosts the Warschaw Conference on Practical Politics on January 30, 2024 at USC. Top experts from politics, government, media and academia will explore the upcoming election season as part of the following conversations: PRIMARY COLORS: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Beyond, NOVEMBER SHOWDOWN: Battle for the Presidency, TRUTH DECAY: Misinformation and Disinformation in Elections, RANKING REFORMS: The Cure for the Ills of Democracy Is More Democracy. Register to attend in person or virtually.

 
 
TOP TALKERS

GET OUTTA’ TOWN — Newsom’s winter vacation included time with Bill Clinton. Some pics, via TMZ. Meanwhile, Newsom — who is not running for president in 2024 — is slightly outpolling President Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup with Donald Trump, but still trailing him, according to a new statewide poll of Michigan from The Detroit News and WDIV-TV (Channel 4). The survey found that Trump was beating Newsom by 5 points, 45 percent to 40 percent, with 3 percent voting for someone else and 13 percent undecided. Biden trails Trump by 8 percentage points.

FOUL BALL: Dodgers’ star Shohei Ohtani made history with his $700 million contract. But his plan to defer most of that income could spur tax reform. (CapRadio)

WINTER IS COMING: A huge snowstorm was expected to hit the northern Sierra Nevada starting Tuesday night, potentially leading to the closure of Interstate 80. (San Francisco Chronicle)

ANOTHER RESOLUTION: San Francisco supervisors voted 8-3 Tuesday to call for a sustained cease-fire in Gaza, the latest in a string of progressive-leaning cities to pass such a symbolic resolution. (San Francisco Chronicle)

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PLAYBOOKERS

STORK ALERT — Orange County congressional candidate and Garden Grove Councilmember Kim Nguyen-Penaloza gave birth to daughter Penelope Luna Penaloza on Jan. 4. Congrats! Pic here…

TRANSITIONS — Louie Kahn is now digital director/acting press secretary for Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.). He previously was congressional communications fellow for the Progressive Policy Institute, supporting the office of the New Democrat Coalition.

— Sara El-Amine has joined Chime as VP of community. The former Obama organizing executive is an alum of Lyft, Chan Zuckerberg Initiative and Change.org.


BIRTHDAYS — Michelle Fields … former Rep. Lois Capps (D-Calif.) … Ajit Pai Sasha Schell ... (was Tuesday:) Diana Doukas

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this -only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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POLITICO California @politicoca

 

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