A radical idea for the capital city

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Monday Aug 15,2022 10:00 am
A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Aug 15, 2022 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Maura Forrest and Zi-Ann Lum

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Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. One year ago, the Taliban captured Kabul. It’s also the anniversary of JUSTIN TRUDEAU’s election call. And today, we explore a question that’s been top-of-mind since the “Freedom Convoy” protests overwhelmed Ottawa earlier this year.

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DRIVING THE DAY

ONE YEAR AGO — When Prime Minister Trudeau launched Canadians into an election campaign on Aug. 15, POLITICO’s ANDY BLATCHFORD noted: “Trudeau used his Day 1 words to shape the campaign’s subtext. Canada’s election, the Liberal leader suggested, could hinge on the philosophical clash between the vaccinated and the vaccine reluctant.”

And so here we are: Twenty-six more sleeps until the Conservatives name their new leader; 35 until the House returns. The PM is back from Costa Rica.

THE WEEK’S TOP THREE STORYLINES TO WATCH:

1. ALLEGATIONS OF INTERFERENCE — The House public safety committee will continue its probe into suggestions the Liberal government wanted details released about the weapons used in Canada’s worst mass shooting in order to bolster its gun-control agenda.

Last month, MPs on the committee heard from Emergency Preparedness Minister BILL BLAIR, RCMP Commissioner BRENDA LUCKI and other officials. The transcript of that July 25 session is here.

As MAURA FORREST reported for POLITICO Pro, Blair and Lucki have denied any interference in the investigation.

— This week: Tuesday in West Block, MPs will hear from senior justice department officials and key representatives from the Royal Canadian Mounted Police. Witnesses for the RCMP will include Supt. DARREN CAMPBELL . It was his note-taking during a phone meeting with Lucki that ignited the firestorm. Read from his notebook here.

2. THE LATEST MEASURE ON INFLATION — Tuesday will also see the release of the latest Consumer Price Index.

ANDREW GRANTHAM of CIBC Economics is predicting the slump in gas prices could help cool inflation for July, though he’s advised clients that increases in natural gas rates may offset that decline.

In June, annual inflation accelerated in Canada to 8.1 percent, a 39-year high.

— Forecasts: CIBC thinks inflation will fall to 7.7 percent.

The team at the National Bank of Canada says it could decline to 7.3 percent.

— More predictions: TD’s James Orlando writes in a report that, while the Bank of Canada will welcome an improved inflation report, it’s unlikely to change its aggressive rate-hiking trajectory before its Sept. 7 policy meeting.

3. HYDROGEN HOPES — German Chancellor OLAF SCHOLZ will arrive in Canada on Sunday on a three-day visit that includes stops in Montreal, Toronto and Stephenville, Newfoundland and Labrador.

Berlin is interested in scaling up long-term exports of Canadian critical minerals and hydrogen as Russia continues to throttle the EU with natural gas cuts.

— The Globe reports: In advance of the bilateral meetings, the German government announced that Scholz and Trudeau will sign a deal to jointly explore the production of hydrogen fuel in Canada for export to Germany.

— On the agenda: Trudeau’s office says the leaders will also discuss critical minerals, climate action and the clean energy transition.

In other potential Canadian-German announcements, Volkswagen has expressed interest in making EV investments in Canada.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

8:30 a.m. Statistics Canada will release June data for wholesale trade, new motor vehicle sales as well as its monthly survey of manufacturing.

10 a.m. Agriculture Minister MARIE-CLAUDE BIBEAU will visit Greenwich, Nova Scotia to highlight investments in sustainable farming.

10:10 a.m. Ontario Premier DOUG FORD will speak at the Association of Municipalities of Ontario's 2022 AMO conference.

10:15 a.m. Tourism Minister RANDY BOISSONNAULT will announce federal investments for tourism projects across Saskatchewan.

11 a.m. Trade Minister MARY NG and Innovation Minister FRANCOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE will meet virtually with Mexico's Secretary of Economy TATIANA CLOUTHIER for the first Canada-Mexico High Level Economic Dialogue virtual event.

1:30 p.m. Families Minister KARINA GOULD will be in North York, Ont. to announce project funding through the Social Development Partnership Program.

2 p.m. (1 p.m. CDT) Ng will make an announcement about the Women Entrepreneurship Strategy in Winnipeg, on the first day of a four-day trip to Manitoba and British Columbia.

HALLWAY CONVERSATION

CAPITAL SECURITY — Who should be responsible for protecting the national capital? The question has been top-of-mind since the “Freedom Convoy” protests overwhelmed the Ottawa Police Service in February. A House of Commons committee is currently studying whether to extend the area around Parliament Hill monitored by the federal Parliamentary Protective Service instead of the municipal police.

In a new paper, Carleton University assistant professor JERALD SABIN explores the possible solutions to Ottawa’s jurisdictional mess, including one he concedes is “radical.”

Playbook spoke with Sabin about his ideas. This interview has been edited for length and clarity. 

You wrote that there’s a “misalignment” between jurisdictional and political responsibility for Ottawa. What do you mean by that?

In other federations, such as the United States, Australia and India, the capital city is carved out of the country and made into a federal district. Ottawa is a regular municipality in the province of Ontario.

So the misalignment comes in Canadians associating Ottawa with the federal government, where in terms of policymaking and policy direction, Ottawa is subject to the whims of Queen’s Park.

How did that play out during the Freedom Convoy protests?

It was politically risky for [Ontario Premier] DOUG FORD to take on, condemn, or in any way move against convoy participants. There was support in his caucus and in the broader Progressive Conservative Party for, if not the actions of convoy protesters, at least their grievances.

The federal government, on the other hand, had very little power off of Parliament Hill. So that prolonged the occupation.

In your paper, you say a municipal police force should not be tasked with protecting a national capital. Is that the issue, in a nutshell?

A hundred percent. It’s crazy. [The Ottawa police] are doing traffic stops, they’re doing community policing, they're doing criminal investigations. They're doing that smaller-scale police work that's focused on the residents of Ottawa.

And they're being tasked, at the same time, with having the resources and the capacity to take on national security incidents. Very few other police services in the country are going to be tasked with that.

You discuss three possible solutions. What are they?

The first solution would be for the City of Ottawa to close down access for vehicles on Wellington Street [across from Parliament], and to make it into a pedestrian mall that has controlled access.

The second solution is to have the federal government assume operational control of Wellington and Sparks streets [by expanding the parliamentary precinct]. I think this is the ideal solution in the short term.

The third solution is the most radical and the least likely to occur. It would be to follow the precedent set by other federations, like the United States or Australia, and to carve out the national capital region as a federal district or a territory.

There are some risks involved in that. In Washington, D.C., it’s Congress that sets the laws, and so you have to capture the attention of federal politicians, whose focus is at the national level, in order to get things done.

And in Australia, there was a long struggle for local government and self-determination for the residents of the Australian Capital Territory. And so there are risks for Ottawa, but there might also be benefits.

Probably the most looming issue is that you'd be asking the province of Quebec to cede territory to the federal government, and the current politics of that seem fraught. I can't imagine a pathway forward where that would occur.

It seems your conclusion is that extending the parliamentary precinct is the best we can hope for.

It’s the most elegant solution. It will provide the greatest level of security for downtown Ottawa and remove the burden of national security.

There's an open question about whether we're likely to see a lot more of these large-scale protests that require large-scale police responses.

We are in a moment of political unrest. We’re dealing with the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, and the frustration, the loss, the trauma that people have experienced over the past two and a half years. And that has been manifesting itself in protests across the country.

But now that that precedent has been set, now that protesters know that it's possible to blockade the national capital of a G-7 country, the obligation of all levels of government is to ensure that this doesn't happen again.

— In related news: International partners had concern about Canada’s ‘ability to handle’ convoy protests. (The Canadian Press) Blockades cost Canadian economy billions in reduced GDP, documents show. (The Globe and Mail)

PAPER TRAIL

FROM THE TENDERS — The federal government is looking for someone to assess the character and intellect of candidates for some of the most senior positions in the public service.

According to a recently posted notice , the Privy Council Office wants to conduct “standard leadership assessments” for up to 272 candidates for governor in council appointments.

Those appointments can include heads of federal agencies, boards, tribunals and Crown corporations, ombudspersons, and such agents of Parliament as the auditor general or the chief electoral officer.

— What’s involved: The psychometric assessments give a sense of “an individual’s quality of character, leadership potential, relational skills, people management skills (internally and externally) and intellectual capacity, which can be beneficial in selection and succession planning decisions, in the identification of high-potential talent, and in leadership development,” the notice says.

The service provider will give a “verbal debrief” on each candidate to the selection committee, but will “leave the room/call … before the selection committee begins its deliberations on their advice to the Minister.”

Screened candidates can ask for their results.

— How much: It’s a plum contract, valued at C$1.8 million over three years, which breaks down to C$6,500 per assessment.

— The no-nos: “The service provider is NOT to provide their opinion on who is the best candidate, and is NOT to rank them numerically,” the tender reads.

— The likely provider: The government is planning to award the contract to global consulting firm Korn Ferry, unless other qualified applicants step forward by next Monday. The justification for all but choosing a winning bidder with no competition? “The Privy Council Office has been unsuccessful in securing compliant bids against two successive Requests for Proposals.”

— Why it matters: Key appointments have not always gone smoothly for the government. Former astronaut JULIE PAYETTE resigned in January 2021 from her position as Governor General following allegations of abusive behavior toward her staff.

For your radar

U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai gestures with her hands during an interview.

USTR Katherine Tai | Sakchai Lalit/AP Photo

TRADE WINDS — POLITICO’s senior trade reporter DOUG PALMER tells Playbook that U.S. Trade Representative KATHERINE TAI is definitely not working up a sweat over the European Union’s charge that an EV tax credit appears to violate World Trade Organization rules.

The House approved the measure Friday as part of a huge tax, climate and health care package now headed to President JOE BIDEN’s desk, despite the EU’s plea that lawmaker makers remove “discriminatory” elements from the bill. South Korea has also complained about domestic tax breaks for U.S.-made EVs.

— USTR spokesperson ADAM  HODGE: “The Biden Administration is committed to boosting U.S. EV manufacturing, infrastructure, and innovation that will help us meet our clean energy goals, reduce costs, and create jobs.

“This bill provides strong incentives to reduce our dependence on China for the critical materials that will power this key industry, and we look forward to working with allies and partners to advance our climate goals, strengthen and diversify our supply chains, and address our shared concerns with China’s non-market policies and practices.”

—  Canadian Trade Minister MARY NG: Canada welcomes House passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, she said. “[It] recognizes the Canada-United States integrated supply chain, by giving tax incentives for the purchase of electric vehicles made in North America."

— Mexico also cheered the legislation. “By considering the manufacture of batteries and electric vehicles in North America, it encourages greater regional integration and accelerates the adoption of these technologies,” a Mexican government official said.

Ambassadors from the EU, Canada, Mexico, Japan and South Korea all signed a letter last year objecting to an earlier version of the tax credit.

— In related reading: Here’s ADAM RADWANSKI with what the resurrection of Biden’s climate agenda means for Canada.

MEDIA ROOM

Globe photographer GORAN TOMASEVIC returned to Afghanistan one year after the Taliban takeover. 

POLITICO put five questions to NICK CLEGG, Meta’s president of global affairs. Hear his thoughts on the metaverse, the open internet and the war in Ukraine.

On the Bad and Bitchy pod, ERICA IFILL talked to ANGELA SIMMONDS, the first Black woman to run for the leadership of the Nova Scotia Liberal Party. (Yarmouth MLA ZACH CHURCHILL was elected July 9.)

— SARAH RATCHFORD writes in Chatelaine that Canadian abortion providers are preparing for an influx of Americans seeking care. It’s also a story ANDY BLATCHFORD wrote about here.

— The NYT’s ALAN FEUER looks at the growing threats of political violence and actual attacks that have become a steady reality of American life and finds experts blaming dehumanizing and apocalyptic language.

ASK US ANYTHING


TELL US EVERYTHING — What are you hearing that you need Playbook to know? Send it all our way.

PROZONE

For POLITICO Pro s, our latest policy newsletter: The scoop on Canada’s poop.

In other news for s: 

Monkeypox may be here to stay.

U.S. to lay out "ambitious roadmap" for Taiwan trade talks.

Western states face drastic water cuts as Colorado River dries up.

States want to tackle violent extremism on social media. It has proven difficult.

Think flying is miserable now? Wait until the climate worsens.

SUMMERTIME READS

Here’s our summer 2022 reading list so far

Today’s recommendations come from PHIL GAUDREAU, a Cardus NextGEN Fellow. 

A few reads we're working through this summer as part of our curriculum:

"Dare to Lead" by BRENE BROWN: A great look at vulnerability in leadership.

"Strong and Weak: Embracing a Life of Love, Risk and True Flourishing" by ANDY CROUCH: In a similar vein to Brené Brown's book, this short read looks at how leaders use their authority for the benefit of others, while also showing extraordinary willingness to face and embrace suffering

"Political Visions and Illusions" by DAVID KOYZIS: Updated in 2019, this Canadian read is useful for both Christians and non-Christians in understanding political ideologies, their promises, their shortcomings, and how they can be fairly perceived by faith communities.

And one personal recommendation:

"The Ruthless Elimination of Hurry" by JOHN MARK COMER: An excellent reminder that, when we're constantly hurried, other important facets of our life get crowded out. A timely reminder before the busyness of the fall starts up again!

Send us your reading suggestions — your brain food and your guilty pleasure! We'll share them here

PLAYBOOKERS

Birthdays: HBD to Senator MOHAMED-IQBAL RAVALIA. Also celebrating today: Former deputy premier of Manitoba ROSANN WOWCHUK and former Conservative MP DAVID ANDERSON.

Spotted: Alberta Premier JASON KENNEY, weighing in on the Alberta Sovereignty Act proposal.

RANDALL BARTLETT, senior director of Canadian Economics with Desjardins, “somewhere in the northwest corner of Algonquin Park.”

The Globe’s MARCUS GEE, at the close of a summer trek. “There is nothing like a trip across the country to affirm your faith in Canada, the impossible country.”

Media mentions: NOUSHIN ZIAFATI has signed off from CP.

Farewells: Longtime New Democrat BOB SKELLY has died. The Vancouver Sun remembers his political career.  

TRIVIA

Friday’s answer: The Ontario Legislature Building is known as the Pink Palace.

Props to LAURIE MACE, ANDREW SZENDE, JOE MACDONALD, MARIANNE GOODWIN, ALYSON FAIR, HARRY MCKONE, DOROTHY MCCABE, JOHN ECKER, JEFF SMITH, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, JOANNA PLATER, WALTER ROBINSON, ANNE-MARIE STACEY, DOUG RICE, GUY SKIPWORTH, JEFF LABINE, GWENDOLYN MONCRIEFF-GOULD and NANCI WAUGH. 

Monday’s question: Name the senator who dropped the following reference to Harry Potter into Senate debate: “I often think about choices we make in life. When I do, I reflect upon Professor Albus Dumbledore, the headmaster of Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry from the Harry Potter series. ‘Harry,’ Professor Dumbledore said to him in one of the early encounters, ‘it is our choices that show who we truly are, far more than our abilities.’ That line has stuck with me for many years.”

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

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