Friendly advice for Macron

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Thursday Dec 01,2022 11:01 am
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Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey

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Thanks for reading the Ottawa Playbook. I'm your host Nick Taylor-Vaisey. Today, we play choose-your-own-adventure with Alberta's sovereignty act. Plus, with French President EMMANUEL MACRON in D.C., we tap border boosters for their best advice on dealing with the White House.

DRIVING THE DAY

LET THE LEGAL FUN BEGIN — Ottawa has sovereignty on the mind after Alberta Premier DANIELLE SMITH tabled her long-awaited sovereignty act.

Here's a primer on what's in the first bill of the Smith era .

One of the head-turning planks in the legislation tabled Tuesday appeared to give Cabinet extraordinary powers to rewrite laws. The government insists that is not the case , but constitutional law expert EMMETT MACFARLANE still insists Smith has tabled "the most unconstitutional bill in Canada's modern history."

— Trudeau's day-after reaction: "We know that the exceptional powers that the premier is choosing to give the Alberta government in bypassing the Alberta legislature is causing a lot of eyebrows to raise in Alberta, and we’re going to see how this plays out. I’m not going to take anything off the table, but I’m also not looking for a fight."

That's a pretty coy PM. His intergovernmental affairs minister, DOMINIC LEBLANC, was guarded. "We intend to read it, to study it, that's for sure," he told reporters. "I already had a preliminary legal opinion this morning."

For now, Alberta will do what Alberta will do, he said. "We think it’s not particularly constructive to try and peer around every corner and imagine what the scenario might be."

We disagree.

We recently called up University of Alberta law prof ERIC ADAMS. He talked us through the potential path for the sovereignty act. Here's how it might play out.

— So many stakeholders: Smith has already cleared crucial hurdles: a caucus and Cabinet, and a whack of taxpayer-funded lawyers who would've offered constructive criticism on the language of the bill.

— What's next: Lieutenant-Governor SALMA LAKHANI could theoretically use reserve powers to prevent the bill's passage into law — and even send it to Governor General MARY SIMON for advice. But that's extremely unlikely.

Once the bill is law, Ottawa could preemptively ask the Supreme Court for a reference — an aggressive move that would inflame tensions. Adams says that's also unlikely.

The province could request its own reference from Alberta's court of appeal. A friendly ruling could bolster its case for constitutionality.

Then there's the third option: an individual or coalition of public-interest groups could mount a legal challenge. Think unions and civil liberties groups.

— The key question: Would judges wait until the law's powers are deployed before hearing the case?

Every challenge that gets heard starts at the Court of King's Bench. That first ruling can be appealed at the provincial court of appeal. And that ruling can be appealed at the Supreme Court. (Remember the fractious fed-prov carbon tax fight ? Something like that.)

— How long will this all take? A court might fast-track the challenge, but there's a but.

"The judicial process remains slow, deliberate and time intensive," says Adams. "In one sense, justice is slow, and that can be a hindrance, but in another sense, it's actually a key and important attribute of the institution."

Translation: Settle in for a long ride.

For your radar

TIPS FOR MACRON — The French president is in the midst of a three-day Washington sojourn — the first state visit of the pandemic-dominated JOE BIDEN era.

We can't help but note that Macron has no plans to drop in for an Ottawa visit with the dean of the G-7. But we digress.

— Lobby watch: As our Brussels Playbook colleagues reminded us on the eve of Macron's transatlantic flight , France's wish list includes "access to a multibillion-dollar U.S. subsidy scheme for green industries." Sound familiar?

Canada boosters in D.C. are well-briefed, having pushed relentlessly for Canadian-made electric vehicles to be folded into generous tax incentives for manufacturers built into a massive bipartisan bill.

Every Canadian official who visits even the smallest American town considers it their mission to remind everyone they meet about the integrated supply chains that bind Canadian and American interests. Macron can't offer that. And he can't leverage a land border or vast mineral deposits that feed American factories.

— How to make friends and influence people: What can the French president offer? Playbook asked a few of Canada's most assertive cross-border champions to offer light-hearted advice to Macron et al. Each has experience hounding American lawmakers for attention — and concessions.

FLAVIO VOLPE, president of the Auto Parts Manufacturers' Association: "Macron may have to pretend to want to take a case of American wine back home ‘to enjoy later’ or perhaps concede that Freedom Fries is a better name for the only vegetable likely served at the state dinner. Either way, he needs less JEAN GIRARD and more RICKY BOBBY if he wants his charm offensive to get traction in the new Congress."

tl;dr: Watch more NASCAR.

LOUISE BLAIS, a veteran former Canadian diplomat in the U.S.: "State visits and the dinner are impressive ceremonies. Yet they are often used as polite distractions by the White House, when Americans have no intention of giving you a teaspoon of sugar on substantive issues. So, bon appétit!"

tl;dr: Enjoy the meal.

WAYNE EASTER, former co-chair of the Canada-U.S. Interparliamentary Group: “Macron could offer Biden some unbelievable publicity by offering to post a big thank you for whatever green support he gains. Posting a big ‘Thank You Biden — we're green with envy’ in sparkling lights atop the Eiffel Tower."

tl;dr: Take what you can get and be thankful.

MARYSCOTT GREENWOOD, CEO of the Canadian-American Business Council: Go back — like way back, like two years into the life of the newly formed United States of America, when France was its very first foreign ally. That’s a talking point that you can ride forever. Don’t be afraid to recall your ambassador when you want to make a strong point ( see AUKUS agreement ). Defeat MARINE LE PEN, who is no friend of NATO or the U.S. when she runs for president. Come to every State Dinner to which you are invited. And while you’re here, spend some time in every American's favorite French Quarter: New Orleans.

tl;dr: Use every tool ya got.

ALSO FOR YOUR RADAR

NEW BRUNSWICK REDRAWN — The province's riding redistribution commission dropped its latest report on Wednesday. Stay tuned for more Playbook analysis of the 40-page doc .

— One tidbit: New Brunswick Southwest MP JOHN WILLIAMSON objected to the proposed renaming of his district to Saint John–St. Croix. Williamson claimed the new moniker "was a lovely name" but not representative of the area. The commission disagreed.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

— PM Trudeau is at Western University's Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry in London, Ont. He'll make a 1:30 p.m. announcement on dental care for children under 12. Families Minister KARINA GOULD will be there, too.

8 a.m. Tourism Minister RANDY BOISSONNAULT will make an announcement in support of the tourism industry on Prince Edward Island.

8 a.m. Rural Economic Development Minister GUDIE HUTCHINGS will make a funding announcement to support Indigenous women’s and 2SLGBTQ organizations.

8:25 a.m. Crown-Indigenous Relations Minister MARC MILLER and Inuit Tapiriit Kanatami president NATAN OBED will co-host a meeting of the Inuit-Crown partnership committee in Ottawa.

10:45 a.m. International Trade Minister MARY NG will be in Montreal to make an announcement about the Women Entrepreneurship Loan Fund.

12 p.m. Ontario Labor Minister MONTE MCNAUGHTON is at the Chateau Laurier for a Canadian Club keynote moderated by VASSY KAPELOS. A possible preview: McNaughton seconded Business Council CEO GOLDY HYDER's call for increased economic immigration in a Wednesday tweet . Price of a table at the Chateau: C$800.

12 p.m. Canada2020 launches a policy report for rural Canada . A panel will talk about its findings: Minister GUDIE HUTCHINGS, Shorefast CEO ZITA COBB, Chief KELLY LAROCCA of the Mississaugas of the Scugog Island First Nation, Smart Prosperity Senior Director MIKE MOFFATT, and Bradford West Gwillimbury Councillor JONATHAN SCOTT.

12 p.m. Women and Gender Equality Minister MARCI IEN is in Toronto to make an announcement about preventing gender-based violence among youth.

2:30 p.m. Ng will hold a press conference in Ottawa with European Commission executive vice president VALDIS DOMBROVSKIS , following a meeting to mark the five-year anniversary of the CETA.

3 p.m. Immigration Minister SEAN FRASER will be in Banff to make an announcement about International Experience Canada.

3:30 p.m. Health Minister JEAN-YVES DUCLOS and Revenue Minister DIANE LEBOUTHILLIER will be in Bells Corners for a dentalcare announcement.

3:30 p.m. Labor Minister SEAMUS O’REGAN will scrum in West Block on the coming into force of 10 days of paid sick leave for federally regulated private-sector workers. Canadian Labour Congress president BEA BRUSKE will join him.

3:30 p.m. Indigenous Services Minister PATTY HAJDU will appear before the House Indigenous affairs committee as it studies Arctic sovereignty.

6 p.m. Public Safety Minister MARCO MENDICINO will participate in a discussion about online abuse targeting journalists at Carleton University in Ottawa. CTV's JOYCE NAPIER moderates. Panelists include ERICA IFILL, RACHEL GILMORE and SABA EITIZAZ.

6:30 p.m. The special joint committee on the declaration of emergency will hear from national security adviser JODY THOMAS and MARIE-HÉLÈNE CHAYER, executive director of CSIS’s Integrated Terrorism Assessment Centre.

MEDIA ROOM

— CBC's JOANNE CHIANELLO and TREVOR PRITCHARD report on the devastating details of Ottawa's LRT inquiry . The headline finding: "Egregious violations of public trust." DAVID REEVELY tweets the lowlights .

— Are China’s lockdown protests the beginning of the end for XI JINPING? POLITICO’s STUART LAU breaks it down.

— The doctor who guided Nunavut through the pandemic is leaving the post of chief public health officer. APTN has the story.

ANNE MCLELLAN talks IRA and LNG and Alberta’s sovereignty act on the latest edition of the Arc Energy Ideas pod.

Alberta politics is the hot topic of conversation when VASSY KAPELOS and GRAHAM THOMSON join RYAN JESPERSON’s pod.

PROZONE

If you’re a , don’t miss our latest newsletter: Canada’s stake in Macron’s state dinner

In other Pro headlines:
Sanders to force vote on sick leave for rail workers
Congress unlikely to extend baby formula tariff relief before looming deadline
Raimondo lays out red lines in U.S.-China trade relationship
Congressional Democrats: Not a chance of reopening climate law
Brexit Britain trapped in the middle as US and EU go to war on trade

PLAYBOOKERS

Birthdays: HBD to Conservative MP DAN ALBAS.

Birthdays, gatherings, social notices: Send them our way .

Movers and shakers: Korean battery material producer EcoPro BM this week signed up in the federal lobbyist registry .

The company has been in talks with Ford and SK On to build a cathode factory in Bécancour, Quebec — the same city where BASF and GM are making huge investments in similar operations.

A Korean news outlet reported in October that the three sides would ink a final deal before the end of the year — and break ground in 2023.

EcoPro appears to be gearing up for a federal ask. The company's listing hopes to "obtain financial assistance (grants, loans or other)" for the facility from ISED, but the "program, nature and amounts" are still "unknown."

Recall the readout of PM Trudeau's September working visit with South Korean President YOON SUK YEOL: "They pledged to deepen cooperation on supply chain resiliency, critical minerals, and batteries for electric vehicles, all while maintaining high labor conditions and environmental standards."

Similar language ended up in the government's brand-new Indo-Pacific strategy , which notes Korea is an "increasingly important source" of foreign direct investment.

Worth noting: Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE recently returned from a five-day trip to Korea where he met government officials and business leaders .

CHI NGUYEN is the new executive director of Equal Voice. She ran for the provincial Liberals in downtown Toronto last June. She'll start in January.

— The Prime Minister's Office sent out a new list of comms staffers in ministers' offices. We spotted HARTLEY WITTEN, formerly of the PMO, as Labor Minister SEAMUS O'REGAN 's new press secretary. Witten started Monday.

Media mentions: BuzzFeed culture writer ELAMIN ABDELMAHMOUD is hosting a new CBC Radio show called Commotion : "Every day, a crowded table of smart voices will dissect the big culture stories with urgency, levity, and depth." Commotion launches Jan. 30.

Yesterday was NICOLE MACADAM’s last day as editor of the Ottawa Citizen and Sun. Her next move? “Outside of the news.” Hint: She'll be working with a former NDP MP.

Send Playbookers tips to ottawaplaybook@politico.com .

On the Hill

Find the latest on House committee meetings here .

Keep track of Senate committee meetings here .

9 a.m. The parliamentary budget officer will post a new legislative costing note titled “Deduction of Travel Expenses for Tradespersons.”

9 a.m. The Senate committee on energy, the environment and natural resources will hear from officials with the Canada Energy Regulator, the Canadian Climate Institute, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce and Pathways Alliance as it studies climate change and the Canadian oil and gas industry.

9 a.m. The Senate fisheries committee will continue its study of Canada’s seal populations and their effect on Canada’s fisheries.

9 a.m. The Senate internal economy committee will continue its study of financial and administrative matters.

11 a.m. The House public safety committee will conduct clause-by-clause consideration of Bill C-21, the government’s gun-control bill.

11 a.m. The House official languages committee will resume debate on the motion of Liberal MP MARC SERRÉ.

11:30 a.m. The Senate banking and commerce committee will hear from KEVIN PAGE, president of the Institute of Fiscal Studies and Democracy, on the state of the Canadian economy and inflation.

11:30 a.m. Sens. MOBINA JAFFER and KIM PATE will appear before the Senate legal and constitutional affairs committee to discuss Senate public Bill S-213, which would amend the Criminal Code to increase the independence of the judiciary.

12 p.m. Former Supreme Court justice LOUISE ARBOUR, who released a report on sexual misconduct in the Canadian military earlier this year, will appear before the House national defense committee .

12:30 p.m. The Senate foreign affairs committee will continue its study of the provisions and operation of the SERGEI MAGNITSKY law and the Special Economic Measures Act.

3:30 p.m. Parliamentary budget officer YVES GIROUX will appear before the House operations committee about the supplementary estimates (B).

3:30 p.m. The House status of women committee will meet to continue its study of women and girls in sport.

3:30 p.m. The House justice committee will go through clause-by-clause consideration of Bill C-9, which would amend the Judges Act to change the process for reviewing allegations of misconduct against judges.

3:30 p.m. The House veterans affairs committee will continue its study of a new rehabilitation contract.

3:30 p.m. Indigenous Services Minister PATTY HAJDU will appear before the House Indigenous affairs committee as it continues its study of Arctic sovereignty.

6:30 p.m. The special joint committee on the declaration of emergency will hear from national security adviser JODY THOMAS and MARIE-HÉLÈNE CHAYER, executive director of CSIS’s Integrated Terrorism Assessment Centre, as well as from a representative of GiveSendGo.

Behind closed doors: The House procedure committee will discuss its draft report on expanding the parliamentary precinct, and another on hybrid proceedings. The House industry committee will consider two draft reports and a draft letter. The Senate social affairs committee will meet in camera to consider its draft report on the role of gender-based analysis plus in the policy process.

TRIVIA

Wednesday’s answer: Conservative MP KELLY BLOCK first got her first taste of political life by signing up for a playground committee — a detail noted in this 2010 Maclean’s profile by JOHN GEDDES. 

Props to ROBERT MCDOUGALL.

Today’s question: Name the sitting MP who owned a martial arts studio before winning a seat in the House. “The discipline is with me every day,” he once said. “Focus, try to avoid inflammatory language, step back when angry, and always maintain a posture that is fair and open.”

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen: Without Luiza Ch. Savage, Mike Zapler and Sue Allan.

 

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