Freeland's budget preview

From: POLITICO Ottawa Playbook - Tuesday Mar 21,2023 10:01 am
A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Mar 21, 2023 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey

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Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. I'm your host, Nick Taylor-Vaisey. Today, we scan CHRYSTIA FREELAND's pre-budget budget speech for scraps of themes. Plus, three things we're watching: Telford, truth and reconciliation, and Trump. Also, PIERRE POILIEVRE ends the workweek in the GTA.

DRIVING THE DAY

PRE-BUDGET SCRAPS — It could've been DOUG FORD walking to the podium on Monday, surrounded by electrical workers. They held signs with slogans like "Made-in-Canada" and "A growing economy." The lectern placed between teleprompter screens offered a simple message: "Creating good jobs."

They'd gathered at an Oshawa training center of the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, a union that endorsed the Ontario premier’s reelection bid — a blue-collar facility in a blue-collar city. (And a riding that has sent a New Democrat to Queen's Park three times in a row.)

But it wasn't Ford's day to win over the local locals. Finance Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND was the headliner. Her task was delivering a budget preview.

Her first opener was local-ish MP RYAN TURNBULL. The second opener was MATT WAYLAND, IBEW's government relations director. Wayland is a former member of the federal task force on "just transition" and a current board member at the Canadian Climate Institute. (Can you say future Liberal candidate?)

— Gimme, gimme, gimme: Freeland delivered a speech aimed at many audiences outside the Ottawa bubble: average news-watching Canadians, organized labor, provincial and territorial counterparts, and investors keen on reading her upcoming budget.

Everyone wants to know where she's prepared to spend federal money — and where she'll resist the urge in the name of long-telegraphed fiscal restraint.

— Three priorities: Affordability, health care and the clean economy.

Affordability: The minister acknowledged that inflation "is still too high," and pledged "additional targeted relief" that wouldn't "pour fuel on the fire." The NDP has called on the government to extend an expanded GST/HST rebate for low-income families.

New Dems also pitched federally funded school lunches. In 2021, the Liberals promised C$1 billion over five years for a national school nutrition program. Budget 2022 tasked Families Minister KARINA GOULD with crafting a food policy with fed-prov partners — but committed no money to it.

The feds ran consultations late last year. Forty senators want action now, and asked Freeland in a February letter to fund a program in Budget 2023.

Health care: Freeland also reiterated JUSTIN TRUDEAU's promise of C$196 billion in "additional" health-care spending over 10 years — including C$46.2 billion in new funding promised earlier this year.

Freeland framed the injection as a business opportunity. "Universal and high quality health care is rightly a priority for every single Canadian," she said. "It is also a national competitive advantage."

The next phase of a multi-year dentalcare program is at the top of the NDP's agenda.

Clean economy: Freeland has long promised spending meant to lure global investment amidst an industrial transformation away from carbon.

"Because Canada produces what the world needs, from energy to critical minerals, Canadian workers can be the ones to provide our allies with the resources they need," she said. Translation: America can't have all the fun.

— Not a priority: New defense spending. Freeland found nary a word for any new injections into a budget line that NATO allies eternally hope Canada will boost to 2 percent of GDP.

Freeland's dearth of oratorical interest in the subject might foreshadow an awkward conversation or two behind closed doors when President JOE BIDEN visits this week.

“There's just no doubt that defense is at the top of the agenda for the United States,” Ambassador DAVID COHEN told CTV’s VASSY KAPELOS on Sunday. America's top envoy was referencing the war in Ukraine and NORAD modernization.

Canada has funded Ukraine's war effort to the tune of more than C$1 billion since last year. Defense Minister ANITA ANAND has also pledged tens of billions for continental defense — including pricey new radar systems that'll take years to purchase and install.

Food for thought from the Broadbent Institute: Will the response to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act reveal Canada’s lack of green industrial policy?

Know someone who could use Ottawa Playbook? Direct them to this link. Five days a week, zero dollars.

THREE THINGS WE'RE WATCHING

Chief of Staff to the Prime Minister Katie Telford arrives to appear as a witness at the Public Order Emergency Commission in Ottawa, on Thursday, Nov 24, 2022.

Chief of Staff to the Prime Minister Katie Telford, Thursday, Nov 24, 2022. | Sean Kilpatrick, The Canadian Press

KATIE TELFORD: Whoever had March 21, 2023, in their office pools as the date of the first potential confidence vote of the year in the House of Commons, cash in your chips.

There will be a vote on a high-stakes Conservative motion. Whether or not it tests the House's confidence in the government is less clear. That's likely to depend on backdoor negotiations between Liberals and New Democrats.

The Commons will vote on a Conservative gambit that would call on the prime minister's chief of staff — and a long list of senior government officials — to testify about Chinese foreign election interference at the House ethics committee.

— The NDP response: House leader PETER JULIAN countered the Tory motion with his own. He wants the House to vote on a parliamentary committee report that already called on the government to call an independent public inquiry into foreign election interference.

— A matter of confidence? Government House Leader MARK HOLLAND wouldn't rule out treating today's vote as life or death for his government. Speaking to reporters Monday, Holland only said talks are ongoing with the New Democrats, whose confidence deal with the Liberals features a "no surprises" clause.

THE SENATE: Residential school survivor BARBARA CAMERON will be at the Senate this morning with STEPHANIE SCOTT, executive director of the National Centre for Truth and Reconciliation. Senators will first hear from KIMBERLY MURRAY, special interlocutor for missing children and unmarked burials at residential schools.

DONALD TRUMP: The potential arrest of the former U.S. president has America on edge. U.S. law enforcement officials met at NYPD headquarters in Manhattan on Monday to plan for a possible indictment of Trump on charges stemming from payments to a porn star, a person involved in the planning told POLITICO. While the timing and details of the indictment remain unclear, POLITICO’s JULIA MARSH and WESLEY PARNELL consider what could happen next.

Also from POLITICO: By-the-book DA confronts unpredictable opponent in Trump.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU is attending Cabinet at 10 a.m. and QP at 2 p.m.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND is attending Cabinet.

8 a.m. Defense Minister ANITA ANAND is out early with a funding announcement for infrastructure in the National Capital Region.

9:30 a.m. The Canadian Alliance on Mental Illness and Mental Health holds a West Block presser. The association wants a "significant portion" of health funding to "improve and expand access to mental health and substance use health programs."

10:15 a.m. A Green Party crew will hype Bill C-226, which calls for a national strategy to assess, prevent and address environmental racism.

10:45 a.m. NDP leader JAGMEET SINGH will speak about "budget expectations and Biden’s visit."

1 p.m. Environment Minister STEVEN GUILBEAULT is in Markham, Ont., to make an announcement about Rouge National Urban Park (a large chunk of which lies in your host's hometown of Scarborough, FYI).

1 p.m. Families Minister KARINA GOULD will be in West Block with an "update on passport service delivery."

3:45 p.m. Singh will meet with the Northwest Territories Association of Communities

TELL US WHAT YOU KNOW — We welcome your tips and intel. What are you hearing that you need Playbook readers to know? Send details.

For your radar

NOTICE PAPER — Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE placed a new bill on the notice paper: "An Act to amend the Canada Business Corporations Act and to make consequential and related amendments to other Acts”

BUDGETMAKING 101 — Freeland delivered her stage-setting speech near the tail end of a year-long budget cycle that accelerates following the fall fiscal update. AMITPAL SINGH, a former policy adviser to both Freeland and BILL MORNEAU, launched this week a Substack focused on the policy and politics that drive the minister's thinking.

— This line stuck out: "Canada’s geographic, cultural, and linguistic diversity is an economic planning nightmare," Singh wrote in the first part of his series.

Stay tuned for excerpts from Singh's -only posts in future Playbooks. Next up is a Wednesday dispatch that tackles this question: "What issues arise with PMO?"

OTTAWA'S SECOND-HOTTEST TICKET — If you were hoping to score an invite to the Canadian American Business Council's Friday night after-party following POTUS's two-ish days in the capital, you're probably out of luck. There were 300-plus RSVPs up for grabs, but they vanished soon after SCOTTY GREENWOOD put out the word last Wednesday.

No word on the venue. But we'll see you there (maybe).

SKIPPING TOWN — Tory leader PIERRE POILIEVRE isn't backing in the glow of Biden's visit to Ottawa. Poilievre will headline a Friday evening fundraiser in the Greater Toronto Area that starts at 5:30 p.m.

— The venue: Tories will gather at the Arlington Estate banquet hall in the riding of Vaughan–Woodbridge, a Liberal-held district since 2015. But before FRANCESCO SORBARA's three-term run as MP, this was JULIAN FANTINO's turf — and the Tories narrowed the Liberal margin to five percentage points in 2021

The event organizer is longtime Tory operative STACEY SHERWOOD..

HALLWAY CONVERSATION

Sabreena Delhon is executive director of the Samara Centre for Democracy.

Sabreena Delhon is the host of a new podcast about the human side of Parliament Hill. | Courtesy the Samara Centre

OUT OF OFFICE REPLIES — This week, the Samara Centre for Democracy is launching Humans of the House, a six-part series starring a dozen former MPs: SCOTT BRISON, CELINA CAESAR-CHAVANNES, JAMES CUMMING, MATT DECOURCEY, CHERYL HARDCASTLE, PETER KENT, CATHERINE MCKENNA, ROBERT-FALCON OUELLETTE, LISA RAITT, ROMEO SAGANASH, KENNEDY STEWART and ADAM VAUGHAN.

Media Girlfriends produced the project, which features the MPs in candid conversation.

SUE ALLAN spoke with host SABREENA DELHON, executive director of the Samara Centre, in a conversation we’ve edited to fit in this newsletter:

Tell me about the title of the podcast.
Humans of the House is a show where you're going to hear politicians without talking points. We're looking at the human side of politics.

You say in the first episode that it’s a pod for everyone who has tuned out. What’s your sense of the size of that audience? 
Voter turnout has been quite low across different elections. If we look at the polarization of the political conversation online, we know that's pushing people away instead of drawing them in. Democracy only works when we all participate. One way forward is to recognize the humanity in the people who represent us. So this show is for everyone.

The podcast actually stops to explain certain details, like how you actually win a nomination. 
One of the main motivations of the project is to demystify life in the House of Commons.

Humans of the House is part of our MP Exit Interviews. To date, we've conducted over 150. The show features the Samara Centre's research and work from other researchers as well.

Those Exit Interviews have traditionally been shared in a report. 
This is the first time we've done a podcast. We're so excited to use a medium that lets you hear the voices and experience the interview. These are very open and honest conversations. It wasn't uncommon for people to become emotional. It's important we hear that and value that and make space for that.

What most surprised you?
You're going to find a lot of honesty and hope. And this is not from observers of politics, but from those who have lived it.

The stories are sometimes hard to hear. They can be quite raw. But none of our guests regret devoting those years to public service.

They share their stories as another act of public service to bring awareness to their challenges, and to help people understand what it takes to be a member of Parliament in Canada.

What’s your hope for what listeners take away?
There is a difficulty and darkness in political conversations today, but there are really good, hard-working people doing their level best in these roles.

Hearing these stories, it's so important for us to have a better understanding about what is good and bad about our democracy, but also how it can be better.

The first episode of Humans in the House drops today in all your favorite podcast places. 

MEDIA ROOM

TL;DR, global warming is bad and getting worse. POLITICO’s KARL MATHIESEN and ZIA WEISE report on the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

JAMES MCCARTEN writes from Washington on "the USMCA’s self-destruct button." Review clause conjures fears of 2018 all over again.

Are Meta’s C-18 threats a bluff? News publishers don’t think so, writes The Logic’s MARTIN PATRIQUIN.

Writing for Air Quotes Media, MIKE MCDONALD explains why a hybrid House offers a release valve for parliamentarians from British Columbia.

— The Hub’s AMAL ATTAR-GUZMAN writes that one under-reported element in the swirl of electoral interference stories is the impact on the Asian diaspora.

— The Hill Times published its annual Top 100 lobbyists list — noted in alphabetical order. "The list is not a popularity contest," write JESSE CNOCKAERT and STEPHEN JEFFERY, "but is intended to showcase prominent lobbyists at the federal level based on their reputation and perceived effectiveness, as judged by their peers."

— The Calgary Herald gave MIKE ROSE, chairman of Tourmaline Oil, some real estate to make the industry case for LNG.

PROZONE

President Joe Biden speaks in the East Room of the White House.

President Joe Biden in the White House, Monday, March 20. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

For POLITICO Pro s, our latest policy newsletter by SUE ALLAN: Sightlines into the Biden visit.

In news for POLITICO Pro s:
U.N. climate report shows world is flying blind into the storm.
Guterres issues call to “massively fast-track climate efforts.”
Washington prepares for war with Amazon.
Ukraine grain export deal extended for 120 days.
Next EU-U.S. Trade and Technology Council set for May 30.

PLAYBOOKERS

Birthdays: HBD to ED BROADBENT, former leader of the NDP. Liberal MP JOHN MCKAY also celebrates today.

Spotted: A wedding party full of politicos. When Wright Strategies principal KIM WRIGHT and MPH Agency partner CHRIS ROUGIER tied the knot on the weekend, their party included SAM O'GRADY, Crestview campaign strategist and NATE ERSKINE-SMITH leadership aide; BEN PURKISS, creative director at the Pendulum Group; ERIN MORRISON, former d-comm of the Ontario NDP; MELANIE PARADIS, president of Texture Communications; MITCH HEIMPEL, GR manager at Crestview; and FRANK PARKER, VP at Crestview in Alberta. Photos here.

A gift for JUSTIN TRUDEAU, presented by Bahamas PM PHILIP DAVIS during the CARICOM Summit in February: a Land Santa Fe leather briefcase.

Movers and shakers: It was day one as a Globe and Mail intern Monday for PRAPTI BAMANIYA.

On the Hill

Find the latest on House committee meetings here.

Keep track of Senate committee meetings here.

9 a.m. The Senate transport and communications committee starts the day by jumping into its study of Bill S-242.

9 a.m. A trigger warning is on the Senate Indigenous peoples committee’s meeting advisory with testimony expected from the Office of the Independent Special Interlocutor for Missing Children and Unmarked Graves and Burial Sites associated with Indian Residential Schools and National Centre for Truth and Reconciliation.

11 a.m. The House health committee meets to continue its study of children’s health before moving on to discussion “committee business” — with cameras on — about study budgets and deadlines for legislative amendments.

11 a.m. “Support for the commercialization of intellectual property” is the topic of study at the House science committee with witnesses from the University of British Columbia, University of Calgary, University of Saskatchewan and TRIUMF Innovations.

11 a.m. The House finance committee meets to study the current state of play on green finance with testimony from the United Nations Environment Programme finance initiative head, Eric Usher.

11 a.m. The House foreign affairs committee meets to continue its study of sexual and reproductive health and the rights of women globally.

3:30 p.m. Ten department officials will be the back-up band supporting Natural Resources Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON’s appearance at the House natural resources committee to take questions about supplementary estimates.

3:30 p.m. Bill C-35 is up for study at the House human resources committee and Canadian Labour Congress President BEA BRUSKE is on the day’s witness list.

3:30 p.m. The House official languages committee meets to take Bill C-13 through clause-by-clause consideration.

6:30 p.m. The Senate energy committee meets to study climate change and Canada’s oil and gas industry.

6:30 p.m. Independence of commercial inshore fisheries in Atlantic Canada and Quebec is again on the agenda of the Senate fisheries committee.

6:30 p.m. The Senate agriculture committee continues its study examining soil health.

— Behind closed doors: The House transport committee meets to review a draft copy of its study into air passenger protections regulations; the special joint committee meets to get drafting instructions for an upcoming report.

TRIVIA

Monday’s answer: In 2004, STEPHEN HARPER beat BELINDA STRONACH and TONY CLEMENT to become the first leader of the new Conservative Party of Canada.

Today’s question: Today is the International Day for the Elimination of Racial Discrimination. What does it commemorate?

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com.

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: Luiza Ch. Savage, Sue Allan and David Cohen.

 

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